Ahsan Choudhray

Recent macro data released by the Federal Reserve is flashing serious warning signs — far worse than what markets were prepared for. What’s unfolding right now doesn’t look like a routine correction. It looks like the early stages of a deeper, systemic problem that most investors are completely overlooking.

This is not just bearish sentiment. It’s structural stress.
⚠️ Something Is Breaking Beneath the Surface
Liquidity conditions are tightening fast, and the Fed has already been forced into action. Over the latest period:
The Fed’s balance sheet jumped by ~$105 billion
$74.6B was injected through the Standing Repo Facility
Mortgage-backed securities rose sharply by $43.1B
Treasury purchases lagged at only $31.5B
This is critical.
This isn’t growth-driven stimulus or bullish money printing. This is emergency liquidity support — the kind that appears when funding markets are under strain and banks need cash immediately.
When the central bank starts absorbing more MBS than Treasuries, it’s a clear stress signal. It suggests declining collateral quality — something that only shows up during periods of financial pressure.
🧨 The Bigger Problem: Unsustainable Debt
The U.S. is now carrying over $34 trillion in national debt, growing faster than the economy itself. Interest payments are exploding and are becoming one of the largest components of government spending.
In simple terms: The U.S. is borrowing new money just to pay interest on existing debt.
That’s not stability — that’s a debt spiral.
Treasuries are no longer truly “risk-free.” They now rely heavily on confidence. And that confidence is slowly eroding.
Foreign buyers are pulling back
Domestic buyers demand higher yields
The Fed quietly steps in as buyer of last resort
This is why funding stress matters so much. You cannot sustain record debt levels when funding markets tighten and collateral weakens.
🌍 This Is Global — Not Just the U.S.
At the same time, China is facing similar pressure.
The People’s Bank of China injected over 1.02 trillion yuan in a single week via reverse repos. Different economy, same underlying issue:
Too much debt, too little trust.
When both the world’s largest economies are forced to inject massive liquidity simultaneously, it’s not stimulus — it’s a sign that the global financial plumbing is starting to clog.
📉 Markets Always Misread This Phase
Historically, this is where investors get it wrong.
Liquidity injections are often mistaken as bullish. But this phase isn’t about pushing asset prices higher — it’s about preventing funding markets from freezing.
And when funding breaks:
Bonds react first
Money markets show stress
Equities ignore it — until they can’t
Crypto suffers the most violent drawdowns
The pattern never changes.
🪙 The Real Signal: Hard Assets Are Speaking
Gold is at record highs.
Silver is at record highs.
This isn’t optimism.
This isn’t growth.
It’s capital moving away from sovereign debt and paper promises into hard collateral. That only happens when trust in the system weakens.
We’ve seen this setup before:
Before the dot-com crash
Before the 2008 financial crisis
Before the 2020 repo market shock
Each time, a recession followed.
⏳ The Fed Is Cornered
The central bank has only two options — and both carry risk:
Print aggressively → confidence erodes, metals surge
Hold back → funding markets seize under massive debt pressure
Risk assets can ignore these realities for a while.
But never forever.
🔥 Final Thought
This isn’t a normal economic cycle.
It’s a slow-forming crisis driven by balance sheets, collateral stress, and sovereign debt risk — building quietly in real time.
By the time it becomes obvious, most investors will already be positioned on the wrong side.
Positioning correctly now could be the difference between surviving 2026 — or being crushed by it.
#USJobsData #WriteToEarnUpgrade #CPIWatch #MarketRebound

Bitcoin has cooled off sharply after topping near 126K and is now hovering around the 90K–92K support zone. This isn’t just another random level on the chart — it’s a key area that has held before, and if the broader bull trend is still alive, this zone needs to defend once again.
The current price action feels deliberate. After an aggressive rally, BTC is now compressing, signaling that the market is pausing for direction rather than drifting aimlessly. This kind of tight structure often leads to a strong expansion move.

How the structure looks right now
As long as 90K remains intact, bullish control is still valid, and another push higher remains a realistic scenario.
A decisive reclaim and hold above 103K would likely confirm strength and reopen the path toward continuation.
However, if Bitcoin loses 90K on a weekly close, that would be a meaningful shift. In that case, downside momentum could accelerate, targeting the 80K–85K region as the next major support band.
At the moment, BTC is stuck in a tight range and showing indecision. Historically, these phases don’t last long — they usually resolve with volatility. That’s why the weekly close matters far more than intraday moves. The reaction around 90K will give the clearest signal of what comes next.

The forgotten CME gap that still matters
There’s also an important detail many traders have overlooked: a CME gap formed in September 2024. Why does this matter? Because its structure closely resembles the setup seen during the last major dip that preceded the 126,200 ATH.
Back then, price dipped, a CME gap formed, and the larger-timeframe trend eventually resumed higher. Seeing a similar pattern appear again doesn’t guarantee repetition — but it does raise the probability that this pullback could be part of a bigger bullish continuation, not the end of the cycle.
Should you short here?
Shorting at this stage is high risk. A sharp relief bounce before any deeper drop could easily wipe out early shorts. There’s also a small CME gap near the 100K area, which price may want to revisit first.

A more patient approach would be to:
Wait for price to move above 100K,
Then watch for weakness or rejection, which could form a potential head-and-shoulders structure if the market truly wants to roll over.

Final thought
This is not a market for guessing. Bitcoin is sitting at a level that will define the next major move. Let price confirm direction first — patience here can be far more profitable than rushing into a trade.

The 90K zone isn’t just support.
It’s the decision point.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has made a striking remark, saying he understands why the United States is keen on Greenland. This was revealed by Kremlin envoy Kirill Dmitriev, and it sends a clear message: Moscow doesn’t see Greenland as mere political drama — it views it as a powerful strategic asset in the Arctic.

🔍 Why Greenland Matters
Strategic gateway:
Greenland sits at a crucial crossroads of new Arctic shipping routes. These paths could slash Asia-to-Europe travel time by nearly 40%. On top of that, the island holds rare-earth elements like neodymium and dysprosium, plus uranium — all essential for advanced technology and defense industries.
American presence:
The U.S. already operates the Pituffik Space Base (formerly Thule), a key hub for missile detection and space monitoring. While Washington denies any forced takeover plans, lawmakers are actively discussing legislation to block any such move, showing how sensitive the issue has become.
European resistance:
Denmark and Greenland’s leadership have firmly rejected any idea of a sale. European allies — including France, Germany, Norway, and Sweden — have shown visible support, signaling that any pressure on Greenland could shake NATO unity.
Russia’s stance:
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov maintains Greenland is Danish territory but warns that competition in the Arctic is heating up as major powers strengthen their military presence in the region.
♟ What Could Happen Next?
Any aggressive move by the U.S. — diplomatic or otherwise — could trigger internal conflict within NATO and shift power dynamics in the Arctic. The region is quickly turning into a high-stakes geopolitical battleground.
Stay alert. The Arctic game is just getting started. ❄️🔥
#dusk #frax #RİVER #FraxShare
#MarketRebound

Bitcoin faced a sharp sell-off, plunging below the critical $93,000 level as escalating global trade war fears rattled financial markets. The sudden downturn wiped out approximately $357 million in leveraged positions, highlighting how fragile investor sentiment has become amid rising geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
What Triggered the Bitcoin Crash?

The primary catalyst behind the sell-off was renewed concern over trade tensions between major economies, particularly following aggressive tariff threats and policy signals from the United States. As traditional markets reacted negatively, crypto — often treated as a high-risk asset — was not spared.
When macro uncertainty rises, traders tend to reduce exposure to volatile assets, triggering a risk-off move. Bitcoin, despite its long-term “digital gold” narrative, continues to behave like a risk asset during periods of global stress.
Leverage Wipeout Accelerates the Decline
A major factor behind the speed of the crash was excessive leverage in the futures market. As Bitcoin dipped below key support zones, a cascade of forced liquidations followed:
$357 million in leveraged positions liquidated
Majority of liquidations were long positions
High leverage amplified downside volatility
Once liquidation levels were hit, automatic sell orders flooded the market, pushing prices even lower in a short period of time.
Key Technical Levels Broken
Bitcoin’s fall below $93,000 is significant from a technical perspective. This level had acted as a strong support zone, and its breakdown triggered further selling pressure.
Market analysts are now closely watching:
$90,000 as the next psychological support
Short-term momentum indicators turning bearish
Decreasing open interest suggesting traders are stepping back
A failure to reclaim $93K quickly could open the door to deeper consolidation or further downside.
Broader Market Impact
The crash wasn’t limited to Bitcoin. The wider crypto market also saw red:
Major altcoins followed Bitcoin’s decline
Market sentiment shifted sharply bearish
Fear & Greed indicators moved toward “fear”
This reinforces Bitcoin’s role as the market leader — when BTC falls sharply, the rest of the market usually follows.
What Happens Next?
Despite the short-term weakness, many long-term investors view such corrections as healthy market resets, especially after extended rallies fueled by leverage. However, volatility is likely to remain elevated as long as trade war headlines and macro uncertainty dominate the narrative.
Traders are advised to:
Reduce excessive leverage
Watch macroeconomic developments closely
Focus on key support and resistance zones
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin’s drop below $93,000 is a reminder that macro events still heavily influence crypto markets. While long-term fundamentals may remain intact, short-term price action is increasingly driven by global politics, interest rates, and investor risk appetite.
As trade war fears continue to loom, the crypto market may experience further turbulence — making risk management more important than ever.
$BTC
$ETH

The past 12 hours have delivered a wave of high-impact developments across geopolitics, security, and global stability. From rising Middle East tensions to unrest in the United States and Asia-Pacific brinkmanship, the world is entering another volatile phase. Here’s a clear breakdown of what’s unfolding:
🇮🇷 Middle East on Edge
A former U.S. ambassador, Dan Shapiro, has warned that President Trump may authorize a direct strike targeting Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, potentially within days. Reports suggest a U.S. carrier strike group is repositioning, signaling readiness for a broader military campaign against Iranian-linked forces if tensions escalate further.
Inside Iran, the situation remains grim. Human rights monitors allege that thousands of protesters have been killed during ongoing unrest. More than 3,300 deaths are confirmed so far, with over 4,000 additional cases under review. Arrests reportedly exceed 24,000 as the government intensifies its crackdown.
🇸🇾 Syria’s Balance Shatters
Syrian government forces have advanced roughly 50 kilometers from Aleppo toward Raqqa, capturing the strategic Tabqa Dam. The move came faster than anticipated, as the SDF withdrew more rapidly than agreed. What was meant to be a managed transfer of territory has instead turned into a disorderly scramble for control.
🇺🇸🇪🇺 Trade Wars & Greenland Shock
President Trump has threatened sweeping tariffs on Denmark and multiple European nations if they resist his push regarding Greenland. Proposed penalties start at 10% from February 1 and could rise to 25% by June, injecting new strain into already fragile transatlantic relations.
On the domestic front, Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer pledged to reverse DOGE-era spending cuts if Democrats regain power, pointing toward renewed government spending. Critics argue this could reopen the door to inefficiency and waste that voters are increasingly frustrated with.
🇺🇸 Rising U.S. Unrest
Unrest in Minneapolis has intensified, prompting Trump to consider deploying up to 1,500 active-duty troops to Minnesota. The 11th Airborne Division is reportedly on standby should local authorities fail to stabilize the situation.
Tensions boiled over outside Minneapolis City Hall when activist Jake Lang was violently attacked following an anti-Islam protest. Witnesses say he was beaten with flagpoles and pelted with ice and other objects, highlighting the growing volatility on U.S. streets.
🇵🇸 Gaza Plan Raises Eyebrows
Trump’s proposed “Gaza Board of Peace” is drawing criticism after details emerged suggesting influence could be bought. Under the plan, countries would pay $1 billion for a seat, while Trump would retain permanent chairman authority, full agenda control, and offer lifetime membership for upfront payments.
🇨🇳🇹🇼 Asia-Pacific Alarm
China has flown a high-altitude WZ-7 “Soaring Dragon” surveillance drone over Taiwan-controlled airspace near Pratas Island for the first time. Operating beyond interception range, the mission exposed potential weaknesses in Taiwan’s air defense capabilities and raised fresh regional security concerns.
🇨🇱 Climate Crisis in Chile
In South America, a rapidly spreading wildfire is tearing through southern Chile near Concepción. More than 20,000 residents have been evacuated as authorities race to contain the blaze. Officials warn that casualties may rise as the fire continues to move at alarming speed.
#BreakingNews #GlobalAlert #WorldUpdate #12HourNews #Geopolitics #WorldCrisis

What Pushed BTC, ETH, DOGE & Altcoins Lower
Today’s crypto sell-off wasn’t sudden or accidental. It was driven by a combination of macroeconomic pressure, changing investor behavior, and tightening global liquidity. Let’s break down what actually caused the drop — in a simple, logical way.
📉 Rising U.S. Bond Yields Triggered Risk Aversion
One of the main reasons behind today’s decline was the rise in U.S. Treasury yields. When bond yields increase, they become more attractive compared to risky assets. As a result, investors often shift capital away from crypto and into safer instruments.
This move reduces liquidity in the crypto market and increases selling pressure. Importantly, this wasn’t a crypto-only event. U.S. equities, especially tech stocks, also moved lower — showing that crypto is reacting to the same global forces as traditional markets.
🏦 Federal Reserve Expectations Added More Weight
Another major factor was the Federal Reserve’s latest outlook on interest rates. Recent signals suggest that rate cuts in 2025 may be fewer than previously expected. Higher rates for longer mean tighter financial conditions.
Crypto markets typically perform best when money is cheap and liquidity is abundant. Strong economic data and resilient employment numbers have kept inflation concerns alive, forcing central banks to remain cautious. Historically, this environment has been unfavorable for high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
🌍 Global Uncertainty Is Fueling Caution
Beyond rates and yields, broader economic concerns are also influencing sentiment. Rising government deficits, fiscal uncertainty, and future policy decisions are making investors more defensive.
When uncertainty increases, risk exposure is usually reduced first — and crypto often feels that impact earlier and more sharply than other markets.
Some analysts still see potential for short-term upside due to temporary liquidity flows in early 2025. However, upcoming factors such as tax season and government funding requirements could pull liquidity back out, increasing downside risk again.
🔍 The Bigger Market Context
Crypto-related stocks have already started declining alongside digital assets, highlighting how interconnected everything has become. This sell-off isn’t just about technical charts or panic selling — it’s about capital flow, interest rates, and global economic expectations.
✅ Final Takeaway
Today’s market drop is a clear reminder that crypto doesn’t operate in isolation. Rising bond yields, prolonged high interest rates, and macro uncertainty put pressure on all risk assets.
For now, the focus should be on patience, disciplined risk management, and closely tracking liquidity conditions in the weeks ahead.
$BTC $ETH $DOGE

On the surface, XRP looks like one of the most widely held cryptocurrencies. Public wallet data shows millions of XRP accounts, creating the impression of broad global ownership. But when you dig deeper, the reality is very different.

Recent analysis shared by an XRP Ledger validator, 24HrsCrypto, reveals that true XRP ownership is far more concentrated than most people realize. The difference between wallet count and meaningful ownership is critical—and it could reshape how future demand impacts price.
What the Wallet Distribution Really Reveals
At first glance, the XRP Ledger shows over 4 million wallets. However, a large percentage of these accounts hold very small amounts of XRP—often less than 20 tokens, or even under 1,000 XRP.
These low-balance wallets don’t reflect real participation. Many are inactive accounts, dust balances, or test wallets. When these are excluded, the number of wallets that actually matter drops sharply.
According to the data, wallets holding between 1,000 and 500,000 XRP total roughly 1.2 million accounts. 24HrsCrypto referred to this group as meaningful XRP holders. Even if we assume one wallet equals one person, that represents only 0.0135% of the global population—roughly 1 out of every 7,400 people worldwide.
So while the “4 million XRP wallets” statistic is technically correct, it lacks context. The majority of those wallets contribute little to real supply ownership.
Supply Concentration Tells a Bigger Story
The distribution charts also highlight where XRP supply is actually held. Wallets in the 10,000 to 100,000 XRP range control a significant share of the circulating supply. Above that level, even fewer wallets hold increasingly large amounts of XRP.
These large holders—often referred to as whales—move billions of XRP within the ecosystem. This confirms that XRP is not a retail-saturated asset. Instead, ownership remains relatively narrow, with supply concentrated across defined tiers.
This structure directly affects market behavior. Liquidity, volatility, and price reactions all change when supply is controlled by fewer, more committed participants.
What This Means for XRP’s Future
Limited ownership creates opportunity. For XRP to grow, new participants don’t need to displace existing holders—they only need to join a relatively small group. That dynamic favors expansion rather than saturation.
As infrastructure improves—through institutional adoption, better custody solutions, and clearer regulations—barriers to entry continue to fall. Each improvement expands the potential holder base while existing supply remains tightly held.
The data suggests that XRP supply is already positioned. Large balances sit within known tiers, often inactive. If demand rises, supply doesn’t need to spread across millions of wallets. Instead, value can move through far fewer hands.
This setup supports stability during accumulation phases and allows for rapid upward repricing when conviction and demand accelerate.
#MarketRebound #StrategyBTCPurchase #WriteToEarnUpgrade #CPIWatch

Bitcoin is back in that frustrating zone again.
No clear uptrend. No real breakdown either.
Just slow, sideways movement designed to exhaust traders.
On lower timeframes, everything looks tempting.
Small pullbacks, decent reactions, setups everywhere.
It feels tradable.
But zoom out…
Higher timeframes tell a different story.
Nothing is confirmed yet.
And that’s exactly where most traders get trapped.
1H Chart:

Price stuck inside a tight range.
EMAs flat → zero momentum.
4H Chart:

Every time price touches moving averages, sellers step in.
That’s weakness, no question.
Daily Chart:

Real support sits much lower, around 88K–90K.
Now imagine this:
You short near the range top.
Price creeps higher.
Funding fees bite.
Doubt kicks in.
You go long near the range bottom.
Quick dip happens.
Stops get hunted.
Heart rate spikes.
Both trades can be correct.
But mentally, they feel terrible to hold.
Yes, lower zone is strong support.
But if BTC decides to go there,
it won’t be fast or clean.
It will chop.
Fake out.
Stretch time.
Test your patience until you question your own plan.
The real danger right now?
Not direction.
It’s patience and capital management.
This is one of those moments where:
• Smaller position size = smarter
• Taking partial profits = wise
• Holding and “hoping” = dangerous
Nothing wrong with trading BTC here.
Just don’t force it.
And don’t expect mercy from the market.
Sometimes…
The best trade is staying unhurt.
Would love to hear your views 👇
$BTC

Over the past couple of months, I’ve accumulated more than three tonnes of physical copper.
Yes — real metal.

I even rented a dedicated storage space for it.
From here on out, I plan to add one tonne every month.
This isn’t a short-term play.
This is long-term positioning for the next economic cycle.
People who understand why copper matters today also understand where the world is heading tomorrow.
⚡ THE AI ENERGY CRISIS NO ONE IS TALKING ABOUT
Copper demand isn’t rising just because of electric vehicles.
It’s rising because AI runs on power — and power runs on copper.
Modern data centers are: • Energy monsters
• Heat factories
• Infrastructure nightmares
They need: • Heavy-duty wiring
• New transmission lines
• Transformers
• Advanced cooling systems built with copper tubing and plates
A recent 2026 forecast suggests global data-center capacity could expand 10x by 2040.
You can’t connect that to today’s grid.
The entire system must be rebuilt — and copper is the choke point.
🌱 THE GREEN REVOLUTION IS ACCELERATING
Even without AI, the numbers are insane:
• An electric car uses three times more copper than a gas car
• Wind farms and solar plants are copper-hungry
• Battery storage and charging networks depend on it
We’re trying to redesign the world’s energy system in 25 years
using a metal that hasn’t been mined yet.
⛏️ THE SUPPLY PROBLEM (THIS IS THE REAL EDGE)
This is where copper starts to resemble Bitcoin.
You can’t just create more supply overnight.
• It takes 17–20 years to build a major mine
• New discoveries today won’t matter until the 2040s
• Ore quality keeps dropping
• Costs keep rising
• The easy copper is already gone
By the 2030s, experts expect a multi-million-ton annual shortage.
Even higher prices won’t fix it —
because you can’t buy what doesn’t exist.
🧱 WHY I CHOSE PHYSICAL COPPER
I skipped mining stocks.
Stocks come with: • Political risk
• Share dilution
• Accounting tricks
I wanted real scarcity.
In a world of unlimited money printing,
unlimited leverage,
and unlimited digital assets —
True wealth is physical.
Copper isn’t optional.
You can’t replace it at scale.
Factories will pay any price to secure supply —
or they shut down.
When the crunch hits, copper won’t be seen as just an industrial metal.
It will be treated like a strategic resource.
🔮 MY OUTLOOK
Today’s copper price is a gift.
The fear comes later —
when warehouses are empty
and demand becomes non-negotiable.
I’m moving early.
Quietly.
Consistently.
See you in 2030. 🚀
$BTC