Crypto AnalyZen

Most traders lose money by doing too much.
You don’t get paid for being active — you get paid for being patient.
This article introduces a simple but powerful weekly framework built on three metrics:

Bitcoin (BTC), Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), and TOTAL3 (Altcoin Market Cap).
Together, they reveal where capital is flowing — and more importantly, where it is not.

🟠 Bitcoin (BTC) — Weekly Structure

Bitcoin is still trading inside a macro uptrend, but after the strong expansion phase into the 120K area, the market has entered its first meaningful corrective leg.
Key observations:

• The trend structure (Higher Highs / Higher Lows) is still intact
• Momentum has cooled off
• Price is consolidating around the 85K–90K support zone
Weekly Scenarios:

• Holding above 85K → Base formation & continuation potential
• Weekly close below 85K → Deeper correction toward 78K–72K zone
🔵 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) — Weekly Rotation Signal

BTC Dominance recently expanded from the 40% area to above 65%. After such a strong move, BTC.D is now in a consolidation phase.
Key observations:

• Momentum is slowing
• No decisive breakout yet
• The next directional move will define capital rotation
Weekly Scenarios:

• Break above 61% → Bitcoin outperforms altcoins
• Break below 58% → Altcoin season conditions begin
🟣 TOTAL3 — Altcoin Market Cap (Excluding BTC & ETH)
TOTAL3 shows the real strength of the altcoin market. After a powerful expansion, it is now trading inside a wide, volatile range.
Key observations:

• Trend structure still bullish
• Current phase = compression & uncertainty
Weekly Scenarios:

• Weekly close above 900B → Altcoin continuation
• Weekly close below 830B → Risk-off for altcoins

Conclusion

This is not a trending market — it’s a transitioning market.

And in transition phases, the most profitable action is often waiting.

Less trades.

Better timing.

Stay out of chaos.

Regra Mestre

BTC mostra a direção.
BTC.D mostra para onde o dinheiro flui.
TOTAL3 mostra quanto capital de risco está em alts.

#1 — Modo Altseason
BTC ↑ | BTC.D ↓ | TOTAL3 ↑
➡️ O dinheiro roda do BTC para as altcoins
➡️ Altcoins superam o BTC

📌 Estratégia:

• Foque em altcoins fortes
• Siga as tendências, reduza em picos
• Evite overtrading
#2 — Mercado em alta liderado por BTC
BTC ↑ | BTC.D ↑ | TOTAL3 ↑
➡️ Dinheiro fresco entra no mercado via BTC
➡️ BTC é o principal motor

📌 Estratégia:

• Prefira BTC / principais
• Alts ficam para trás no começo, depois seguem

Updated Charts, Same Macro Structure
My previous analysis for $BTC was published shortly before the end of 2025. At that time, I assumed that the yearly candle would close green and below the 2024 mid-high. Instead, the annual time frame is now showing a very different scenario.
📊 Annual Timeframe Overview
On the annual chart, three upward impulse waves are clearly visible, with deep pullbacks after the first two impulses.
The third upward impulse, which started in 2023, ended at the 2025 all-time high of 126,199.63.
The 2025 close formed a red candle with a large upper tail, which statistically points to a higher probability of a correction phase rather than an immediate continuation of the bullish move.
I still assume we will see a test of the 2024 mid-high at 108,353.00, which lies just below the 50% level of the 2025 annual candle’s upper tail at 109,887.87.

📅 Monthly Structure & Gap Analysis
In the first two weeks of the new year, there were attempts to break above the 2025 opening level at 93,576.00.
On the monthly chart, there is a gap between the October 2025 low (102,000.00) and the December 2025 high (94,588.99).
The lower boundary of this gap has already been tested during the first weeks of 2026.
If this gap zone is convincingly reclaimed, price may move toward 108,353.00.
🔻 Downside Structure & Key Zone
If price moves downward, attention shifts to:
• The 2026 opening level — 87,648.00
• The lower tail of the 2025 annual candle — 74,508.00
The most important zone remains the gap between the 2025 low (74,508.00) and the 2021 all-time high (69,000.00).
This zone also corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the entire impulse from 15,476.00 to 126,199.63.
If this main zone fails to hold, even lower levels and deeper gap fills remain possible.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
🔼 Upside Scenario
• Gap zone: 94,588.99 – 102,000.00 → opens path to 108,353.00
• 109,887.87 → 50% of the 2025 upper tail (major resistance area)
🔽 Downside Scenario
• 2026 opening level — 87,648.00
• Lower tail of 2025 candle — 74,508.00
• Main gap zone: 74,508.00 – 69,000.00
(50% Fibonacci of 15,476.00 – 126,199.63)
📌 Structure first. Levels second. Emotions last.
This outlook is based on multi-timeframe market structure, not short-term noise.

$ADA O gráfico anual em si fala volumes.
Após um aumento meteórico em 2021 até um máximo histórico de 3.1010, a ADA tentou continuar subindo, mas cada ano seguinte falhou em sustentar esse momento. Em 2024, o preço testou brevemente o nível de abertura de 2022 em 1.3080, mas nenhuma reversão estrutural se seguiu.

Em 2025, um novo mínimo foi formado abaixo do mínimo de 2024. A vela anual fechou com um grande corpo vermelho, que estatisticamente não favorece uma continuação de alta.
➡️ Níveis de teste de baixa de alta probabilidade: