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I thought of Luna's highest point. An old brother said there is no problem with the spot.
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I have had enough of the rules 0 right?
#比特币走势分析 1. Current Price and Key Levels (2026-01-30)
- The current price is approximately $84,000, which is a drop of about 9% from the recent peak.
- Key support: 84,000-85,000 (short-term accumulation zone) → 80,000 → 75,000 → 67,000 → 56,000 (extreme target).
2. Conditions for a drop to 56,000 (must meet all)
1. Technical: Monthly closing below 85,000-88,000, breaking the 200-week moving average (approximately 50,000) and other long-term supports.
2. On-chain and capital: 75% holding cost line (93,000) unable to recover for a long time, stablecoin liquidity continues to shrink, large institutional sell-offs.
3. Macroeconomic and regulatory: Reversal of interest rate cut expectations by the Federal Reserve, stock market crash, tightening of cryptocurrency regulations, ETF funds shifting from net inflow to large outflow.
- The current price is approximately $84,000, which is a drop of about 9% from the recent peak.
- Key support: 84,000-85,000 (short-term accumulation zone) → 80,000 → 75,000 → 67,000 → 56,000 (extreme target).
2. Conditions for a drop to 56,000 (must meet all)
1. Technical: Monthly closing below 85,000-88,000, breaking the 200-week moving average (approximately 50,000) and other long-term supports.
2. On-chain and capital: 75% holding cost line (93,000) unable to recover for a long time, stablecoin liquidity continues to shrink, large institutional sell-offs.
3. Macroeconomic and regulatory: Reversal of interest rate cut expectations by the Federal Reserve, stock market crash, tightening of cryptocurrency regulations, ETF funds shifting from net inflow to large outflow.
#美联储利率决议 Today's Key Economic Data and Events: January 29, 2026, Thursday
① 03:00 Federal Reserve FOMC announces interest rate decision
② 03:30 Federal Reserve Chairman Powell speaks
① 03:00 Federal Reserve FOMC announces interest rate decision
② 03:30 Federal Reserve Chairman Powell speaks
#合约爆仓 two numbers exploded 80,000. Now the cash on hand is indeed painful. My hands are itching all day long.
#打狗日记 Has been a dog for 1 year Compared dimensions Overseas MEME coins Domestic MEME coins↑ more.
IP foundation Long-term symbolized IP, cross-cultural communication Short-term hot memes, no independent IP
Community logic Co-building autonomy, long-term consensus Waiting for pump, strong external dependence
Economic model Value return, supply and demand balance No continuous consumption, inflation pressure
Communication range Global community, strong liquidity Mainly Chinese circle, low external awareness
Lifecycle Several years, strong resilience Several weeks/months, prone to collapse The key is that during this cycle, no one made money, taking domestic meme coins and Chinese memes as examples, here you just got in and directly poured in.
IP foundation Long-term symbolized IP, cross-cultural communication Short-term hot memes, no independent IP
Community logic Co-building autonomy, long-term consensus Waiting for pump, strong external dependence
Economic model Value return, supply and demand balance No continuous consumption, inflation pressure
Communication range Global community, strong liquidity Mainly Chinese circle, low external awareness
Lifecycle Several years, strong resilience Several weeks/months, prone to collapse The key is that during this cycle, no one made money, taking domestic meme coins and Chinese memes as examples, here you just got in and directly poured in.
#2026热门 2026 The RWA (Real World Asset Tokenization) sector has entered the stage of large-scale implementation, driven primarily by institutional capital inflow, clear regulatory frameworks, and improved infrastructure. Below are the most likely RWA-related tokens to explode, categorized by sector and growth logic, along with key highlights and breakout points.
1. U.S. Treasury/Brokerage Market Fund RWA Leaders
- ONDO (Ondo Finance): Market cap approximately $910 million, with 73,000 holding addresses; leading tokenized U.S. Treasury/Brokerage Fund, TVL approximately $2 billion, has launched nearly a hundred tokenized stocks and ETFs, supported by the Base ecosystem. Breakout point: Continuous inflow of institutional capital, compliance expansion to more traditional financial products, becoming an essential tool for RWA issuance.
- BUIDL (BlackRock Tokenized U.S. Treasury Fund): Market cap approximately $1.71 billion, size increased threefold in six months, included in derivatives exchange margin; backed by BlackRock, with 100% collateral on short-term U.S. Treasuries, annualized around 4%-6%. Breakout point: Surge in demand for allocation from traditional asset management institutions, with continuous improvement in liquidity and recognition.
1. U.S. Treasury/Brokerage Market Fund RWA Leaders
- ONDO (Ondo Finance): Market cap approximately $910 million, with 73,000 holding addresses; leading tokenized U.S. Treasury/Brokerage Fund, TVL approximately $2 billion, has launched nearly a hundred tokenized stocks and ETFs, supported by the Base ecosystem. Breakout point: Continuous inflow of institutional capital, compliance expansion to more traditional financial products, becoming an essential tool for RWA issuance.
- BUIDL (BlackRock Tokenized U.S. Treasury Fund): Market cap approximately $1.71 billion, size increased threefold in six months, included in derivatives exchange margin; backed by BlackRock, with 100% collateral on short-term U.S. Treasuries, annualized around 4%-6%. Breakout point: Surge in demand for allocation from traditional asset management institutions, with continuous improvement in liquidity and recognition.
#币圈现状 The cryptocurrency world is no longer a casual playground; it is moving towards a globally unified set of regulations. Only by following the rules can one survive and grow, while those who do not comply will eventually be eliminated. Here's the core content explained in simple terms:
1. The whole world is establishing rules for the cryptocurrency space, and the regulations are becoming clearer.
- United States: Federal-level regulatory rules have been established specifically for stablecoins, delineating the jurisdictions of different regulatory agencies, and leaving a path for compliant DeFi projects, allowing large institutions to invest with confidence.
- European Union: Unified crypto regulatory rules are in place; businesses related to cryptocurrency must obtain licenses, and the reserves of stablecoins must be transparent, with regular audits required.
- Hong Kong, China: The issuance and trading of stablecoins must be conducted by licensed entities, with reserves held separately, specifically attracting compliant projects and funds.
- Mainland China: All virtual currency-related activities are illegal, with strict crackdowns on speculation and money laundering, with no exceptions or pilot programs.
2. Compliance has become a hard requirement in the cryptocurrency space; without compliance, it is impossible to operate.
- Big institutions call the shots: Traditional financial institutions (like those involved in Bitcoin ETFs) have entered the market, only willing to invest in compliant projects, and market influence is gradually shifting to these large institutions.
- Regulations are becoming increasingly strict: Real-name verification, anti-money laundering, and fund monitoring have become standard practices; stablecoins must have sufficient reserves and disclose them monthly, while projects without licenses are directly cleared out.
- Technology must also adhere to regulations: Cryptographic technology must comply with regulatory standards, decentralized finance must implement tiered regulations, and asset custody must be segregated to prevent misuse.
3. People in the cryptocurrency space must adapt to compliance changes.
- For project developers: Must obtain licenses, maintain transparency of reserves, and implement effective risk controls; otherwise, no one will trust them, and they won't be able to raise funds.
- For investors: The market will become increasingly transparent, and reliable projects will be more visible, but speculation on virtual currencies in the mainland remains illegal and carries significant risks.
- For the entire cryptocurrency space: Projects that lack real value and primarily exploit investors will be eliminated, and blockchain technology will be genuinely applied to real assets (for example, turning stocks and bonds into on-chain tokens).
1. The whole world is establishing rules for the cryptocurrency space, and the regulations are becoming clearer.
- United States: Federal-level regulatory rules have been established specifically for stablecoins, delineating the jurisdictions of different regulatory agencies, and leaving a path for compliant DeFi projects, allowing large institutions to invest with confidence.
- European Union: Unified crypto regulatory rules are in place; businesses related to cryptocurrency must obtain licenses, and the reserves of stablecoins must be transparent, with regular audits required.
- Hong Kong, China: The issuance and trading of stablecoins must be conducted by licensed entities, with reserves held separately, specifically attracting compliant projects and funds.
- Mainland China: All virtual currency-related activities are illegal, with strict crackdowns on speculation and money laundering, with no exceptions or pilot programs.
2. Compliance has become a hard requirement in the cryptocurrency space; without compliance, it is impossible to operate.
- Big institutions call the shots: Traditional financial institutions (like those involved in Bitcoin ETFs) have entered the market, only willing to invest in compliant projects, and market influence is gradually shifting to these large institutions.
- Regulations are becoming increasingly strict: Real-name verification, anti-money laundering, and fund monitoring have become standard practices; stablecoins must have sufficient reserves and disclose them monthly, while projects without licenses are directly cleared out.
- Technology must also adhere to regulations: Cryptographic technology must comply with regulatory standards, decentralized finance must implement tiered regulations, and asset custody must be segregated to prevent misuse.
3. People in the cryptocurrency space must adapt to compliance changes.
- For project developers: Must obtain licenses, maintain transparency of reserves, and implement effective risk controls; otherwise, no one will trust them, and they won't be able to raise funds.
- For investors: The market will become increasingly transparent, and reliable projects will be more visible, but speculation on virtual currencies in the mainland remains illegal and carries significant risks.
- For the entire cryptocurrency space: Projects that lack real value and primarily exploit investors will be eliminated, and blockchain technology will be genuinely applied to real assets (for example, turning stocks and bonds into on-chain tokens).
#New Coin Introduction 1:1 pegged to Tesla's stock price, making the cryptocurrency market more diversified in the long run. Especially beneficial for leading RWA coins. In the short term, it's not very useful, with Tesla's increase of 11% from 2025🍜 to 2026.
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