Prediction markets are a new type of open-source spy tool.
Hong Kong Web3 Association Co-Chair Zhu Yaohua:
Pointing out that blockchain transparency allows intelligence agencies to easily monitor abnormal betting, providing early warnings of geopolitical events.
In addition, as the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) scales back its crypto enforcement actions, prediction markets have evolved from ethical concerns to issues of intelligence leaks and national security.
Today prediction markets have also turned into a spy gold mine,
for example, Maduro's betting cases are simply too crazy!
The end of the crypto world is to buy gold, storing it in old Swiss nuclear bunkers.
This is not a joke; there are companies actually doing this, and they are playing it super big.
The world's largest stablecoin, USDT, is backed by the Tether company,
which is now buying 1-2 tons of physical gold every week!
CEO Paolo Ardoino directly told Bloomberg that they will continue this pace for at least the next few months. Calculating it, they are spending over 1 billion dollars every month!
These gold bars are not just thrown into some bank safe, but are transported weekly to an old Cold War-era nuclear bunker in Switzerland.
That place is hardcore: multi-layer thick steel doors that can withstand a nuclear explosion level.
Paolo himself describes it as a place straight out of a James Bond movie; it’s just crazy!
There are 370,000 such old bunkers across Switzerland, originally built to prevent nuclear war. Many are now abandoned, but Tether chose one that has been renovated into a top-notch vault.
Why did they choose this place?
They want to hold physical gold directly, without relying on paper contracts or others' custody, completely avoiding any external risks.
Paolo's goal is clear: to make Tether one of the “largest gold central banks in the world.”
So think about it; those altcoins and meme coins you trade in the crypto world, when they fluctuate wildly and you lose everything, where does the money end up?
A large portion might have turned into Tether's USDT reserves, which then becomes the gold stash they hide in the mountains of Switzerland.
The money lost by crypto players indirectly helps them stockpile gold...
Let me tell you something heart-wrenching: their gold reserves are worth about 2.7-3 times that of Bitcoin!
Gold is becoming an increasingly heavy part of their reserves; of course, they also have over 10 billion dollars in U.S. Treasury reserves.
As of January 31, the latest data shows that Tether's physical gold reserves are currently about 148 tons.
Using Bitcoin worth $13 million each to pay off $100 trillion in debt sounds too crazy...
The viewpoint of MIT investment scholar @InvestScholar,
believes that the #U.S. government is most likely to turn Bitcoin into a 'flat' tool in the future,
by 2045, U.S. debt will exceed $100 trillion, and if BTC rises to $13 million each, the U.S. only needs to hold about 1/3 of the world's Bitcoin to directly 'write off' the huge debt.
Michael Saylor also clearly stated in the video that the price of Bitcoin in 2045 will be $13 million.
This is a very small probability, filled with Michael Saylor's big ideas, extreme numbers, and certain conspiracy/grand narrative thoughts.
@InvestScholar is one of the more influential Chinese content creators in the cryptocurrency and investment circles.
He is a Chinese American, his parents immigrated from Hong Kong and mainland China, and he was born in the United States, raised in California, so he is not an immigrant, but definitely one of the most famous figures in the Chinese community— the only Chinese senior official in Trump's team!
He can be considered Trump's staunch penman, extremely outspoken, fiercely protective of his boss.
He usually confronts reporters, disses celebrities, often throws around profanity and wolf warrior-style remarks, and everyone has long gotten used to it.
But recently, it seems he has really offended Trump and the MAGA fans.
Now rumors say he has lost Trump's trust and has been kicked out of the inner circle.
The controversy is not due to any major incident, but rather the accumulation of his long-standing explosive style and relentless protection of his boss gradually irritated people.
The most explosive incident happened on January 13, when Trump visited the Ford factory in Michigan, only to be confronted by a worker who called him a "pedophile protector," saying the government was dragging its feet on releasing Jeffrey Epstein's documents.
Trump directly responded with a middle finger and profanity, making the situation extremely awkward.
Steven Cheung immediately jumped out to issue a statement defending his boss, saying, "A madman completely out of control spewing profanity, the president gave him the most appropriate and clear response."
As a result, this statement caused an uproar among the media and netizens, with people criticizing him for being too low in his wolf warrior defense of his boss, saying things like "How could the White House speak like this?" Reuters, Yahoo, and China Daily all reported on it, with the focus on him calling the protester a "madman."
Additionally, there are rumors that he opposes ICE's crackdown on Black people and Chinese Americans, but this is basically just internal MAGA gossip and dissing, with no mainstream media confirming it. There are plenty of such factional struggle rumors on X, which seem to have little substance.
Overall, Steven Cheung's situation is quite awkward now: he was once Trump's most loyal enforcer, but now seems to be looked down upon by his own people.
In politics, being overly protective of your boss can lead to a backfire, don't you think?
Moreover, flaunting wealth is probably another reason, like luxury cars and mansions.
《The Accurate Prophet Warns Again: The Decline of Gold and Silver Is Far From Over!》
Adam Hamilton, co-founder of Zeal LLC, who accurately predicted the sharp decline of gold, has issued another weighty warning: the downward trend of gold and silver is far from over!
At the beginning of January this year, he predicted that the moment of reckoning for gold would come, with a rapid decline of around 20%. At the end of January, he published an analysis article titled "Gold Speculative Mania" in mainstream media, warning that gold had entered a dangerous zone of speculative mania, forecasting a rapid drop of 20% within 1-3 months. As a result, the market crashed the next day, accurately fulfilling his prophecy.
Now, Hamilton's latest assessment is even more astonishing: the fluctuations in gold and silver we just experienced are not ordinary corrections, but the first loud sound of a "cycle switch." This round of frenzy driven by emotion, leverage, and FOMO (fear of missing out) has only just begun to truly spill over.
Based on historical data, he presents a classic path: first a drop of 20% followed by a rebound of 10%, leading many to mistakenly believe the crisis is over, then another round of even more severe declines. Historical statistics show that after every extreme overheating of gold, a subsequent drop of 20% to 30% follows, lasting two to three months, and it is never gentle.
Even more disruptive is his belief that this round of soaring gold and silver prices is unrelated to fundamentals, purely a product of emotion and herd mentality. Because the global central bank's gold purchasing volume will decrease in 2025, and physical demand in Asia and India is also weakening, there are no fundamentals to explain the nearly 3-fold increase in gold prices over two years.
Regarding future trends, Hamilton offers three scenarios:
• Mild version: a 20% correction, gold price drops to $4300;
• Historical average version: a 25% correction, gold price drops to $4000;
• Extreme nightmare version: referencing 1980, a correction of over 40%, with silver potentially dropping by 40% or more.
Finally, Hamilton reminds us: the market is always in a cycle of greed and fear, and when everyone thinks "this time is different," it is often the most dangerous moment.
(The above views are solely the personal opinions of Adam Hamilton, co-founder of Zeal LLC, and do not constitute investment advice. Investors should make their own judgments.)
Do you think this round of gold market has ended?
Adam Hamilton is the co-founder of Zeal LLC, focusing on precious metals, gold mining stocks, and market speculation analysis, mainly publishing weekly reports, monthly reports, and articles through the website zealllc.com.
From Google → OpenAI (11 million) → Musk/xAI (unknown) → Now the owner of Crypto.com (70 million)
Moreover, the owner of the crypto industry is wealthy enough to spend, he bought it in April 2025 to promote a personal AI agent platform (which can debut in a Super Bowl advertisement).
他说:"We have options to run on the U.S. dollar reserve. We have the option to sell equity. We have the option to sell Bitcoin. We have the option to sell Bitcoin derivatives. And we keep our options open..."(我们有各种选项,包括卖股权、卖比特币、卖比特币衍生品,我们保持选项开放,以便为所有利益相关者做最好的事。)
On-chain data shows that Yi Lihua's Trend Research transferred 7,989,000 USDT yesterday to an intermediary address starting with 0xcdF, and then into Binance's hot wallet 0x28C.
At the same time, Garrett Jin (#BitcoinOG1011short)'s address, 2 hours ago, also sent 10,000 ETH to the same 0xcdF address, then transferred to the same 0x28C Binance hot wallet.
Normally, Binance's large deposit addresses are basically exclusive to users, especially hot wallets,
The probability of two independent large holders hitting exactly the same address is super low.
Unless it's pure coincidence, address reuse, or they have a common funding channel/OTC behind them.
It could be the same group of people or have hidden connections, quite intriguing.
The story of Garrett Jin is really absurd, like a movie plot……
Look at the citation, he still has about $2.5 billion in assets in other wallets...........
And his funds have always been very controversial.
This is the annoying shortcoming of blockchain, transactions are transparent and traceable.
@0xENAS updated today in the TG group: has closed all positions and left the market again, does not want to be the last one holding the bag.
The important reason is: $BTC OG insider whale has transferred a total of 5000 $BTC to Binance, worth 351 million dollars.
He believes that the gold crown (Garrett Jin started) has cleared BTC positions, suspected of clearing and dumping.
He does not want to be the bag holder, so he also closed his positions and exited.
The market has become extremely difficult, in the future only take actions with a super clear risk-reward ratio. This year's bottom-fishing was done reasonably well, but could have earned more.
In Ivanka's family photo, @Saylor sneakily appeared in the frame. What does this imply? Is Bitcoin about to take off?
Ivanka Trump recently posted a family photo on her Instagram Story,
The event was a charity dinner hosted by her brother Eric Trump for St. Jude Children's Research Hospital, celebrating 20 years of collaboration with the hospital and raising over $50 million for cancer treatment for children.
01 A woman in a wine red (dark red/burgundy) long dress with sequins and a pink bow/belt at the waist. She is Bettina Anderson (Eric Trump's current partner/girlfriend).
02 A man in a dark blue suit with a red tie, beaming with a smile; he is Eric Trump (Trump's second son), the star of the event.
03 A blonde woman in a deep purple/deep blue sequined short-sleeve dress; she is Lara Trump (Eric Trump's ex-wife and current RNC co-chair and other roles).
04 A woman on the right wearing a white/champagne-colored fringed sequined short skirt, blonde with high heels; she is Ivanka Trump (Trump's eldest daughter).
The dress is a vintage Bob Mackie design that her late mother Ivana Trump wore, adorned with sequins and fringes. Ivanka specifically chose to wear it to honor her mother. She mentioned in the post that although her mother was not present, she felt her spirit was always there, and wearing her mother's dress felt like having her close by.
And as for the background of the photo, the arrow points to none other than Michael Saylor (the boss of MicroStrategy), with an orange tie and his signature serious expression, who unexpectedly appeared in the frame, standing right behind Ivanka!
This is a classic "photo bomb," instantly turning a charitable family photo into a gossip hotspot in the crypto circle.
Seen as a potential bridge between “politics + Bitcoin.”
Many interpret it as a signal that Bitcoin is moving from the margins to the “center of power.”
Others simply see it as gossip, saying “Saylor is trying to ride the Trump wave” or “Did they talk about BTC at the family gathering?”
@ivankatrump also wrote on the photo:
I am so proud of you, @erictrump! Over the past 20 years, more than $50 million has been raised to help children with cancer receive treatment @stjude
Over the last few hours, over 700,000 to 800,000 ETH has been sold, worth over 1 to 2 billion dollars.
Using the money from sales to pay off loans and reduce leverage.
In the past 10 hours, around 170,000 ETH has been sold off.
Current situation:
Leverage risk: Basically lifted! The previous high leverage was very dangerous, but now that so much has been sold, the loans have significantly decreased, and the remaining positions are much smaller. Although the liquidation price is still around 1640 dollars, the positions are small, and it won't easily blow up.
Total loss: Approximately 740 to 760 million dollars (realized losses of 200 to 300 million + unrealized losses of 400 to 500 million). All the profits of over 300 million earned before have been given back, and there’s a loss of over 400 million in principal.
How much ETH is left: Only over 20,000 ETH remains (about 21,000 to 23,000 ETH, worth around 40 to 50 million dollars).
Basically, the position is almost cleared, 96% has been sold to exchanges, and the tail end is being processed.
From the "most aggressive ETH bull" directly turning into "bravely admitting defeat and clearing positions", a typical case of a bear market whale surrendering.
The truly resilient ones who can survive are those who are the "real goats".
They dare to take big positions when it's time (not afraid of losing everything), and they also dare to completely zero out when it's time to cut losses (not letting emotions take control).
To survive in trading, it’s not about stubbornly holding on, but rather about flexibility + the courage to face extreme outcomes.
ETH has a bit of selling pressure in the short term, but many believe this wave of selling might signal a bottom.