Polymarket: Bitcoin is more likely to drop below $30,000 this year,

instead of rebounding to last year's historical high.

Last year's historical high ≈ $126,000.

Currently, on the Polymarket platform, the probability of reaching $55,000 is 59%, and the probability of reaching $30,000 is 19%.

The market reflects that traders are conservative about the BTC peak in 2026, mostly believing that breaking new highs is too difficult.