CL莉姐

Brothers, next week the macro environment will be relatively calm, but there is a "big surprise" waiting——the non-farm payroll data on Friday. This could very likely become a key indicator for short-term capital flow 🔥

This week the Federal Reserve is hawkish, gold and silver have plunged, and some capital may have already retreated to observe. If the non-farm employment and wage data once again exceeds expectations, the interest rate cut expectations may continue to be delayed, putting pressure on precious metals. Can the crypto market take over the banner of capital returning? This is the logic we need to keep a close eye on.

Several key points:

· Wednesday's ADP employment data is a small test, often seen as a precursor to non-farm data;
· Friday's non-farm + unemployment rate is the main event, the strength or weakness of the data directly affects the market's betting on Federal Reserve policy;
· Several Federal Reserve officials will speak in between, pay attention to whether anyone "leaks" information to set the tone.

Overall, next week market sentiment will be firmly driven by employment data. If the data cools down, gold may rebound, and risk assets could warm up; if it continues to be hot, the dollar may strengthen, and capital could become more cautious.

Do you think this non-farm report will be surprising or continue to be strong? Will capital turn back to rush into crypto? Let's discuss in the comments 👇

#非农就业数据 #资金流向 $BTC

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No wonder the trend of slaughtering pigs has been particularly popular lately🔥
Doesn't it look like everyone is trapped📉
😭😭#加密市场回调 #金银为何暴跌

🙂

🙂

Wow, after 839 days, ahr999 has finally dropped below the 0.45 buy-in line!

Brothers, this is not clickbait. The last time I saw this signal was in October 2023, and before that... it was the freezing point of the deep bear market.

To put it simply:
This indicator is like a “buying bottom alarm.” When it’s below 0.45, it roughly means: the current price is considered cheap compared to short-term investment cost and long-term growth expectations. It's like the market is saying: “Hey, wake up, the value-for-money window might be open.”

From my own perspective:
To be honest, when I saw this data, my first reaction was to check my position and then I smiled wryly. I've been in the crypto space for a long time, and I both love and fear this kind of “golden pit” signal. What I love is, historical data shows that buying in this position and holding for a few years has a good chance of winning; what I fear is, who knows if “there's still a lower bottom,” it’s common for us old crypto enthusiasts to buy halfway up the mountain 😂.

So, what should we do now?

1. Don’t go all-in: The signal is a reference, not an oracle. No one can precisely hit the absolute bottom.
2. Dollar-cost averaging can be more relaxed: For friends who have been dollar-cost averaging, this area can be seen as a “strengthened investment zone,” with the same amount of money, you can buy more chips.
3. Be prepared for volatility: Market sentiment is extremely fragile, a bad news might dig another pit, and your mindset must be able to withstand it.

I looked at my position screenshot from the peak in 2022, and then looked at this indicator now, I feel that if I had understood this back then, perhaps... forget it, there's no perhaps, it's all tuition fees.

What percentage of your position do you have now? With this signal out, are you choosing to 【gradually increase your position】, 【lie down and play dead】, or 【run away quickly】? Let’s chat in the comments!

#比特币走势分析 #抄底最佳时机 $BTC

Quantra builds within the shared hypothesis.

Go for it💪

Is it time to buy the dip?😍#比特币ETF净流入流出 #美国政府停摆 $BTC $ETH $BNB

Another crash? How to play in a plummeting market, friends gather! 📉

Yesterday, we were imagining Bitcoin breaking 80,000, today it directly dreams back to the 70,000s. Bitcoin returns to the 70,000 range after 300 days, the liquidation leaderboard is back, the familiar formula and familiar taste... ETH is even harsher, dropping nearly 12% in one day, are those holding positions shaking now? 😭

Look at this diving team: SOL hovering at 100 dollars, BNB can't even hold 800, and altcoins are in a state of despair. SSV and ORDI are directly down 20% to start, brothers who surged yesterday probably won't sleep well tonight.

Let’s talk about personal observations (not financial advice!):

1. This wave of correction is actually not unexpected; after such a long rally, profit-taking is bound to happen.
2. ETH's performance is ridiculously weak, probably related to the fluctuating expectations of ETFs; the news market is like this.
3. The decline in altcoins is obviously larger, once again verifying that bull markets experience violent crashes; don't mess with leverage.

The half position I took profit on the day before yesterday now looks like a genius move, although the other half has already lost 15%... Having been in the crypto world for so long, the mindset is developed through drops; who hasn't been a “counter indicator” a few times? 🤡

Now the key question arises: is it time to buy the dip or cut losses? Personally, I tend to gradually accumulate some goods, focusing on whether BTC can stabilize at 70,000. Remember! Never go all in, leaving some USDT for meals is better than anything else.

What percentage of your position do you have now? Is the buy-the-dip list ready? Let’s chat in the comments, let’s wait for a rebound together today!

#比特币暴跌 #牛市回调 #加密生存指南 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB

Did you hear that loud noise? It's not thunder; it's a whale explosion.😨

The OG whale lost 117 million US dollars overnight📉, with ETH, SOL, and BTC longs all in the green. This tells us two things: 1. In the face of macro shifts, no one is truly a god. 2. Position management, even a whale can drown.

Many people panic when they see the news: "The whales are buried, should we run?" But thinking in the opposite direction, when such a large amount of leveraged longs is liquidated, hasn't a large chunk of the floating 'fuel' in the market also been cleared out? This is often one of the signals that the severe fluctuations are coming to an end. I'm not saying to instantly reverse, but when panic reaches its peak, the scent of opportunity begins to fill the air📈.

The fluctuations in my account are nothing compared to the storm in a teacup when compared to the big players. But the benefit is, I can sleep soundly! While the big players toss and turn, I can calmly scroll through Twitter.

Now, the market sentiment indicators are about to fall off the screen. Remember, profits always come from others' mispricing and excessive panic. When most people are trembling while staring at the liquidation leaderboard, what should you do?

While others are liquidating, I’m making my moves; while others are fearful, I… you know what I mean. Make a good plan and work in batches🧲.

Do you think this wave of whale liquidations is a buying opportunity for a bull reversal, or the beginning of a larger decline? Let's chat in the comments and see if there are more strong men or those who run fast.
$BTC $ETH $BNB #比特币ETF净流入流出 #美国PPI数据高于预期

Wash is in power, should the crypto circle tremble? Old Powell is out, Trump is quiet, but the market may be more exciting.

Last night before bed, I took a look at gold, and woke up to a direct drop. Once the news broke, gold and silver plummeted; those who understand know — Wash is notoriously hawkish. What does a strong dollar mean for our crypto circle? Let's take a deep breath.

In simple terms, a strong dollar is traditionally a "stress test" for risk assets. But don’t panic, the script might be different this time. Wash's primary task upon taking office is to rebuild credibility, which means predictability has increased. The days of Trump tweeting wildly and Powell being confused may be over, and macro disturbances might actually decrease.

For the old players in the crypto circle, this is actually a good thing. The market doesn't hate "hawks" or "doves," it hates "change." Knowing the rules is essential to keep playing. Wash's style is more likely to be "cold face interest rate hikes," rather than "midnight crowing."

However, players heavily invested in spot need to be cautious. If the strong dollar cycle is truly defined, expectations of liquidity contraction will rise. The collapse of gold has already given a warning: if traditional safe-haven assets are no longer safe, for us with even greater volatility, position management is the lifeline.

A few days ago, I was chatting with a friend about "allocating some gold for hedging," and now I've been directly educated by the market. It seems we are all students in the face of macro factors.

Do you think with Wash in power, should we "stock up on U" or "go for spot" in the next six months? Let’s chat in the comments and help my gold position.
$BTC #美国政府停摆 #下任美联储主席会是谁？ #美联储维持利率不变

ReservationLive

Today the market crashed! When the whole world is pulling you to the rooftop
only artx will tell you: friend, don't go
come down for a cup of tea🥹#贵金属巨震 #美联储维持利率不变 $ARTX @ULTILAND

Seeing "God of Victory" shorting BTC with 40x leverage, I quietly deleted my trading app...

Brothers, today I came across some data on HyperInsight that completely shattered my defenses! This brother called "God of Victory" actually shorted 12.18 BTC with 40x leverage, at an average price of $82,098.5. Although he is currently at a loss, his historical performance is outrageous—225 trades, only 5 losses, with a total loss of just over $5,000, while he made a whopping $509,300 in profits! This win rate must be divine!

Looking at myself, last week I tried to play with leverage, and nearly got liquidated at 10x, scared into closing my position overnight, missing out on a wave of market movement. Sigh, it's true that comparisons make one feel inferior. After years in the crypto space, I still can't escape the curse of "one win, nine losses." However, from this God of Victory, I've learned a thing or two: risk management is key! Cut losses quickly when losing, and hold steady when making profits—this is the ultimate principle of contracts.

Now BTC is hovering around 82,000, with intense long and short battles. In the short term, ETF inflows are slowing, and there's technical pressure for a pullback, who knows, it might really drop and let the God of Victory feast on the shorts. But in the long term, I remain bullish—halving narratives have yet to be realized, and institutional FOMO has just begun!

Besides BTC, I've recently been secretly accumulating ETH. With the Cancun upgrade approaching, the Layer 2 ecosystem might explode, tokens like ARB and OP could be opportunities during pullbacks. Don’t ask me why I'm confident, my own position is already all-in (be gentle, after all, I’m the one who got wrecked with leverage).

In short, trading is like dating; if your mindset collapses, you will lose. Do you think the "God of Victory" can win this short? Will BTC crash or hit new highs? Let’s discuss your bold moves in the comments, and save my poor heart of a retail trader! If likes exceed a hundred, I’ll share my wreckage record next time…#BTC走势分析 $BTC