Wow, after 839 days, ahr999 has finally dropped below the 0.45 buy-in line!
Brothers, this is not clickbait. The last time I saw this signal was in October 2023, and before that... it was the freezing point of the deep bear market.
To put it simply:
This indicator is like a “buying bottom alarm.” When it’s below 0.45, it roughly means: the current price is considered cheap compared to short-term investment cost and long-term growth expectations. It's like the market is saying: “Hey, wake up, the value-for-money window might be open.”
From my own perspective:
To be honest, when I saw this data, my first reaction was to check my position and then I smiled wryly. I've been in the crypto space for a long time, and I both love and fear this kind of “golden pit” signal. What I love is, historical data shows that buying in this position and holding for a few years has a good chance of winning; what I fear is, who knows if “there's still a lower bottom,” it’s common for us old crypto enthusiasts to buy halfway up the mountain 😂.
So, what should we do now?
1. Don’t go all-in: The signal is a reference, not an oracle. No one can precisely hit the absolute bottom.
2. Dollar-cost averaging can be more relaxed: For friends who have been dollar-cost averaging, this area can be seen as a “strengthened investment zone,” with the same amount of money, you can buy more chips.
3. Be prepared for volatility: Market sentiment is extremely fragile, a bad news might dig another pit, and your mindset must be able to withstand it.
I looked at my position screenshot from the peak in 2022, and then looked at this indicator now, I feel that if I had understood this back then, perhaps... forget it, there's no perhaps, it's all tuition fees.
What percentage of your position do you have now? With this signal out, are you choosing to 【gradually increase your position】, 【lie down and play dead】, or 【run away quickly】? Let’s chat in the comments!
