Brothers, next week the macro environment will be relatively calm, but there is a "big surprise" waiting——the non-farm payroll data on Friday. This could very likely become a key indicator for short-term capital flow 🔥
This week the Federal Reserve is hawkish, gold and silver have plunged, and some capital may have already retreated to observe. If the non-farm employment and wage data once again exceeds expectations, the interest rate cut expectations may continue to be delayed, putting pressure on precious metals. Can the crypto market take over the banner of capital returning? This is the logic we need to keep a close eye on.
Several key points:
· Wednesday's ADP employment data is a small test, often seen as a precursor to non-farm data;
· Friday's non-farm + unemployment rate is the main event, the strength or weakness of the data directly affects the market's betting on Federal Reserve policy;
· Several Federal Reserve officials will speak in between, pay attention to whether anyone "leaks" information to set the tone.
Overall, next week market sentiment will be firmly driven by employment data. If the data cools down, gold may rebound, and risk assets could warm up; if it continues to be hot, the dollar may strengthen, and capital could become more cautious.
Do you think this non-farm report will be surprising or continue to be strong? Will capital turn back to rush into crypto? Let's discuss in the comments 👇
