Trisha_Saha

Considering the strong breakout of price above the long-term bearish trendline and the successful reclaim of key structural levels, the overall market structure of PEPE has shifted to bullish. This move was impulsive and backed by strong momentum, which usually signals a change in market sentiment rather than a simple short-term reaction.

At this stage, we are not chasing price. Instead, the focus is on finding buy or long opportunities from the origin of the move and well-defined support zones. These areas are where smart money and market makers typically defend price after a breakout. Market makers often manipulate price by creating pullbacks or short-term sell pressure to shake out late buyers, absorb liquidity, and build long positions at better prices.

For this reason, we have identified two potential entry zones that can be executed using a DCA approach. This allows traders to manage risk more effectively and avoid emotional entries during temporary volatility. A pullback into these zones does not invalidate the bullish structure; on the contrary, it can be part of a healthy retracement engineered to trap impatient traders before continuation.

The targets have been clearly marked on the chart based on structure projections and previous resistance levels. As long as price holds above the key support and respects the reclaimed structure, the bullish scenario remains valid.

However, it is important to stay disciplined. A daily candle close below the invalidation level would signal that market makers have shifted behavior, the structure has failed, and this setup is no longer valid. Until then, patience is key and reacting to manipulation instead of chasing candles will provide the best trading opportunities.

If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.

This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.

$1000PEPE

HBAR is sitting at a key decision level.

Price remains in a bearish structure with clear lower highs and lower lows. The current zone is a major support shelf that has previously acted as demand.

• Break & close below this level → confirms a bearish BOS and opens the door for continuation lower
• Hold above support → allows for a short-term relief bounce, but remains corrective unless structure is reclaimed

Overhead supply is heavy, and recent volume suggests active selling, not passive drift.

This is a wait-for-confirmation area, not a chase.
Let structure decide.

$HBAR

📌 ICP Technical Analysis: price massiv dumped by rejecting 3 times trendline. price fell from the 20 area down to the 3 range over the multi-year cycle. currently price is trading near 4.41 as it starts to show signs of a structural rebound.

📌 Major Weekly Support Zone:

Strong Support: now its in strong 1 week support zone.

Hold Support: before many times price pumped taching this support zone and it is now acting as a proven historical floor.

Indicators: weekly RSI is beginning to curve upward and is currently neutral, showing that the long-term bearish momentum is finally weakening.

Trend Shift: price is now holding above the 200-day EMA, which is a critical level for maintaining a long-term bullish trend.

📌 Bullish Price Targets: if it hold this support and breaks the next major resistance, targets are:

Target 1: first major structural resistance near 5.19

Target 2: mid-range target near 7.10

Final Goal: long term structural target of 15 – 20 +

$ICP

We’re seeing another dump reaction across the majors, and Solana isn’t immune. That said, this still looks like reactionary selling within a broader structure, not random collapse.

On SOL specifically:
• Price broke down from a steep corrective channel
• Momentum flushed quickly, which is typical late in corrections
• The $100 area lines up with the top of the prior trend / major HTF support
• A sweep into that zone would still be structurally healthy

A move toward ~$100 would likely be a retest, not a failure. That’s where you’d expect:
• Sellers to exhaust
• Late shorts to press
• Potential for relief or rotation back into the range

If $100–105 holds with acceptance, a relief bounce back toward $125–140 is very reasonable. If it doesn’t, then we reassess. Simple.

Same theme as BTC and ETH:
Volatility is shaking confidence, not invalidating the higher-timeframe picture yet. Let price come into real levels before jumping to conclusions.

$SOL

As requested, take a look at the chart. If we lose $1.88 and close below the bottom trendline, my next target would be $1.60. Hold above $1.88, then most likely continue to grind sideways, and look for confirmation, either up or down.

I like to keep it simple. My bias for now is bearish.

Close a daily candle above $2.25, and we may flip bullish.

Stay cool, Hunny Bunny!!

$XRP

Crypto has had a lacklustre 2025, and we may have an even worse 2026. Despite reaching new all-time highs, BTC has not delivered as much as people hoped, while most Altcoins continue bleeding against it.

Assuming the four-year cycle is still intact (as we have had nothing to signal otherwise), 2026 should be a bear market for the asset class, where accumulation opportunities will present themselves. To build on this further, the chart highlights a similar area with regard to monetary policy, which is presenting itself again today. By taking a similar bar pattern and overlaying it, we can see a potential outcome for the year.

I believe the bleed will be relatively slow throughout the year and should reach its cycle lows approximately one year after the 2025 cycle highs, which happened in October. As social interest has been low for this cycle, I don’t believe this will cause any major sharp capitulations—more likely, we’ll see temporary moves to the upside along the way.

As a conservative target for the year, I believe BTC should go below $65,000. Good accumulation opportunities should form in the later part of the year as metals start to slow down and experience some pullbacks. I believe a realistic cycle low could form around $50,000, but I will spread my dynamic DCA over multiple months to capture price action below $65,000 and ensure I have enough cash available if BTC decides to head even lower.
$BTC

#RLC

The price is moving within a descending channel on the hourly timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a downward trend, approaching the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is anticipated.

There is a key support zone in green at 0.595, and the price has bounced from this level several times. Another bounce is expected.

The RSI is showing a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward move.

Entry Price: 0.604
Target 1: 0.616
Target 2: 0.630
Target 3: 0.647

Stop Loss: Below the green support zone.

Remember this simple thing: Money management.

For any questions, please leave a comment.

$RLC

Welcome to another Mubite market update. Today we are looking at MINA (MINA/USDT) on the 4H timeframe.

The market structure is compressing within a large Symmetric Triangle pattern. Volatility is tightening, which usually precedes a massive expansion move.

Here is the technical breakdown and three distinct "Models" to trade this setup depending on your risk style.

The Technical Structure

The Triangle Squeeze Price has been respecting both the ascending support trendline and the descending resistance trendline. We are approaching the apex, meaning a decision is imminent.

Key Zones

Red Zone (Resistance / Bearish OB): The immediate hurdle around 0.0895 - 0.0910. Price is currently testing this supply area.

Yellow Zone (Support / Bullish OB): The strong demand zone around 0.0780 - 0.0800. This aligns with the lower trendline support.

The Game Plan: 3 Trading Models

We have designed three specific entry models based on risk tolerance. Choose the one that fits your style.

Model 1: The "Hybrid" Approach (Aggressive)

Strategy: Buy a starter position at Current Market Price (CMP) and DCA lower.

Logic: You don't want to miss the move if it breaks out immediately, but you also want to be safe.

Execution: Enter 30-40% of your size here at CMP (~0.0895). If price drops, add the remaining 60-70% at the Yellow Zone (Bullish OB).

Goal: Secure an entry now while lowering average cost if a dip occurs.

Model 2: The "Breakout" Approach (Conservative Momentum)

Strategy: Wait for confirmation.

Logic: The Red Zone is currently acting as resistance. Buying right into resistance is risky if it rejects.

Execution: Wait for a solid 4H candle close ABOVE the Red Zone (above 0.0915).

Goal: You sacrifice a deeper entry price for a higher probability of success. Momentum is confirmed once this level breaks.

Model 3: The "Sniper" Approach (Best Risk-to-Reward)

Strategy: Limit orders at Support.

Logic: Buying at support gives the tightest stop loss and biggest potential gain (High R:R).

Execution: Set buy orders strictly at the Yellow Zone (~0.0790). If price doesn't dip that low, you miss the trade, but you also take zero risk.

Goal: Maximizing profit margins by catching the absolute bottom of the structure.

Summary
Trend: Neutral-Bullish (Consolidation). Action: Choose your Model (CMP, Breakout, or Dip). Invalidation: A daily close below the white support trendline invalidates the bullish structure.

Disclaimer: This analysis by Mubite is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk.

Which Model are you choosing? 1, 2, or 3? Let us know in the comments!

$BTC

On the 4H chart, the current decline looks like a five-leg downside impulse. Moves like this often end with a final push into a key Fibonacci extension area, followed by an initial reaction attempt.

My primary focus is the 261.8% Fibonacci extension zone marked on the chart. This is the first area where I would expect a potential stabilization and bounce attempt, but only after confirmation.

A secondary extension level is located around 84,856. Whether price reaches it or reacts earlier is still unclear. I treat it as the next logical downside area if the 261.8% zone fails to hold.

For confirmation, I want to see price react at the 261.8% zone, hold or reclaim it, and then break above the descending trendline that is currently acting as resistance. A trendline break after the zone test would be a stronger sign that bearish momentum is fading.

If price accepts below the 261.8% zone on the 4H timeframe, the bounce scenario weakens and the probability of continuation toward the 84,856 area increases.

Not financial advice. This is a scenario-based idea and I’m waiting for confirmation rather than trying to pick the exact bottom.

$BTC

There's a lot going on in the chart, for now this is my theory. Right now I see an anti Gartley on the chart, we run down into the B area and then bounce, the bounce could take us up into the mid $90Ks which would then close the small CME gap between $92,940 and $93,045 which then forms a Head and shoulders with B being the neckline.

As I said above, this is a theory of mine right now, we could also just keep running it down into the D point of the harmonic, but nothing goes up and down in a straight line. My previous post on btc hit on the button and is now closed for me at this point.

This isn't financial advice, stay safe.....

$BTC

Triple Zig-Zag
It appears that AVAX has been forming a triple zig-zag correction on a high time frame. After further study of lower time frames, I have discovered smaller fractals of this correction of lower degrees. Price action is currently supported by the 1.272 pocket, which COULD lead to a reversal, but the1.618 (Wave "W" × 0.618) is a favored ratio above the 1.272 . However, there are crumbs on a lower time frame that suggest we may be experiencing another fractal of this structure.

On The 8-Hour Chart
An ABC correction has complete, and has price has become impulsive to the down side; the dominant trend has resumed. Price is currently in the Golden Window (0.618-0.786) retracement of wave B and in an area of high liquidity. Could this be a shakeout reversal pattern or continuation pattern? 👇👇👇

On the 1-Hour Chart
An exotic expanded running flat was printed that potentially marked wave 2 or B of a higher degree. Afterward came a 5 wave impulse down with a truncated 5th followed by an ABC to the upside. It's possible that we are in the middle of a zig zag correction and are waiting for confirmation of wave 2 of the potential 5 wave impulse down. An invalidation level would be @ $12.49 and would suggest that the high time frame triple zig zag may be complete at the 1.272 of wave "W". 👇👇👇
...if price action continues to the down side the 1.618 of wave A is a common area of retracement. The 1.272 ratio on the 1-Hour chart is also a potential retracement level, but less common than the 1.618.

This Publish Is Intended For Educational Purposes Only

$AVAX

ONDO Potentially printing sub-wave 5 of an extended 3rd wave of one higher degree. This suggests lower lows for ONDO. This also hints that the 5th impulsive wave of an even higher degree is not in yet. Key take away: Price is still impulsive to the downside.

This Publish Is Intended For Educational Purposes Only

$ONDO

Hi!

ETH has decisively broken its rising trendline, confirming a shift in short-term market structure. After the breakdown, price retraced into the former support zone (now acting as a flip area), which served as a corrective move rather than a bullish reclaim.

With the flip area holding as resistance, downside pressure remains dominant. If momentum continues, ETH could extend the move lower toward the $2,630 target zone, which aligns with a key demand area on the chart.

Overall bias stays bearish below the flip area, with any weak bounces likely to be corrective.

$ETH

Just went long on ONDO

🛑sl: $0.3395

🎯tp: $0.3629

🎯tp2: $0.37

⚖RR: 4.24

Based on my DT framework Ondo is likely to pump soon towards target area

$ONDO

1. Foundation of Currency Stability

One of the most important reasons forex reserves matter is their role in maintaining currency stability. Exchange rates are influenced by supply and demand in the foreign exchange market. During periods of stress—such as capital outflows, geopolitical tensions, or global financial shocks—a country’s currency may come under severe depreciation pressure.

Forex reserves allow the central bank to intervene in currency markets by selling foreign currency (usually US dollars) and buying the domestic currency. This intervention helps smooth excessive volatility, prevent panic-driven depreciation, and maintain orderly market conditions. Without sufficient reserves, a country becomes vulnerable to speculative attacks and sharp currency crashes, which can quickly spill over into inflation and financial instability.

2. Shield Against External Shocks

Global economies are interconnected. External shocks such as oil price spikes, global recessions, sudden stops in capital flows, or financial crises can severely impact a country’s balance of payments. Forex reserves act as a financial buffer during such times.

When export revenues decline or foreign capital dries up, reserves help meet external payment obligations like imports, debt servicing, and foreign liabilities. Countries with healthy reserves can absorb shocks more effectively, avoiding abrupt policy measures such as import restrictions, capital controls, or emergency borrowing at unfavorable terms.

3. Ensuring Smooth International Trade

International trade relies heavily on stable access to foreign currencies. Countries need forex to pay for imports such as crude oil, machinery, technology, medicines, and essential commodities. Adequate forex reserves ensure that a nation can continue importing critical goods even if export earnings temporarily fall.

This is particularly important for import-dependent economies. If reserves are low, even short-term disruptions can lead to shortages, rising prices, and economic stress. Strong reserves, on the other hand, reassure global suppliers and trading partners that payments will be honored on time, strengthening trade relationships.

4. Boosting Investor Confidence

Forex reserves are closely watched by foreign investors, rating agencies, and international financial institutions. High and stable reserves signal economic strength, prudent macroeconomic management, and financial discipline.

When investors see that a country has ample reserves, they feel more confident investing in its equity markets, bonds, and infrastructure projects. This confidence reduces the country’s risk premium, lowers borrowing costs, and attracts long-term capital inflows. Conversely, declining or critically low reserves often raise red flags, triggering capital flight and currency depreciation.

5. Supporting Monetary and Fiscal Policy

Forex reserves enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy. Central banks use reserves to manage liquidity, control inflationary pressures arising from currency depreciation, and stabilize interest rates during volatile periods.

In addition, reserves provide flexibility to the government during fiscal stress. While reserves are not meant to fund regular government spending, their presence allows policymakers more room to maneuver during crises—such as pandemics or financial meltdowns—without immediately resorting to external bailouts or austerity measures.

6. Meeting External Debt Obligations

Many countries borrow in foreign currencies. Servicing this external debt—interest and principal repayments—requires reliable access to forex. Reserves ensure that debt obligations can be met even if market access becomes constrained or refinancing becomes expensive.

Countries with weak reserves may face higher default risks, currency mismatches, and rising debt servicing costs. In contrast, strong reserves lower sovereign risk and improve credit ratings, which further reduces borrowing costs in international markets.

7. Crisis Prevention and Crisis Management

History provides many examples where inadequate forex reserves triggered or worsened economic crises. Currency crises in Asia (1997), Latin America, and other emerging markets were often linked to weak reserves relative to short-term external liabilities.

Adequate reserves serve as insurance. They deter speculative attacks because markets know the central bank has enough firepower to defend the currency. Even if reserves are not fully used, their presence alone can prevent crises by anchoring expectations and calming markets.

8. Enhancing Global Standing and Negotiating Power

Forex reserves also influence a country’s global economic standing. Nations with large reserves have greater influence in international forums, stronger bargaining power in trade negotiations, and more credibility in global financial discussions.

They are also better positioned to support regional stability, extend swap lines, or assist neighboring economies during crises. This enhances geopolitical and economic influence beyond domestic borders.

9. Indicator of Economic Health

Forex reserves are a key macroeconomic indicator. Analysts track metrics such as import cover (how many months of imports reserves can pay for), reserves-to-GDP ratio, and reserves relative to short-term external debt. These indicators help assess a country’s vulnerability to external risks.

While extremely high reserves may raise questions about opportunity costs, insufficient reserves are almost universally viewed as a serious economic weakness.

10. Balancing Costs and Benefits

It is important to note that holding forex reserves is not cost-free. Reserves are usually invested in low-risk, low-return assets like US Treasury bonds. This means there is an opportunity cost compared to investing in domestic infrastructure or social development.

However, most economists agree that the benefits of adequate reserves—stability, confidence, and resilience—far outweigh the costs, especially in a volatile global financial environment.

Conclusion

Forex reserves matter because they sit at the crossroads of stability, confidence, and sovereignty in the global financial system. They protect a country from external shocks, stabilize the currency, support trade, reassure investors, and strengthen policy effectiveness. In an era marked by rapid capital flows, geopolitical uncertainty, and frequent economic disruptions, strong forex reserves are not a luxury—they are a necessity.

For policymakers, investors, traders, and citizens alike, understanding the importance of forex reserves provides deeper insight into a nation’s economic strength and its ability to navigate uncertainty with confidence.

$BTC

📊 ETH/USD Technical Analysis – Market Structure & Outlook 🚀
🧭 Market Structure Overview

Primary Trend: 🔻 Bearish (Lower Highs & Lower Lows)

The chart clearly shows a transition from a previous uptrend into a market structure break, followed by strong bearish momentum.

Price failed to sustain above the key consolidation zone, confirming weakness.

🟨 Key Zone: Consolidation / Supply Area

Highlighted Zone (~3,050 – 3,100 USD)

This area acted as:

✅ Previous support

❌ Now flipped into resistance / supply

Multiple rejections from this zone suggest strong seller interest.

📌 Professional Insight:
As long as price remains below this zone, upside moves are considered corrective, not trend-reversing.

📉 Breakdown & Momentum

The aggressive sell-off from the consolidation confirms:

Distribution phase completed

Entry of strong bearish momentum

The move created a new lower low, reinforcing downside bias.

🟥 Major Support Zone

Key Support: ~2,750 – 2,780 USD

This level aligns with:

Previous reaction lows

Strong horizontal demand

A sweep or bounce from this zone is technically valid.

⚠️ A clean break below this support could open the door to further downside acceleration.

🔄 Projected Price Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Correction Scenario

Price may:

Sweep liquidity near 2,750

Form a higher low

Retrace back toward 3,050–3,100 resistance

This would still be a pullback within a bearish trend unless structure flips.

🔴 Bearish Continuation Scenario

Failure to reclaim 3,000+

Strong rejection from resistance

Continuation toward lower demand zones

📈 Indicator Insight (RSI)

RSI is hovering near oversold territory (~34) 🧯

Suggests:

Selling pressure is strong

A short-term relief bounce is possible

⚠️ Oversold does not mean trend reversal—only momentum exhaustion.

🧠 Professional Summary

✅ Trend: Bearish
✅ Bias: Sell rallies / cautious longs
✅ Key Resistance: 3,050 – 3,100
✅ Key Support: 2,750 – 2,780

$ETH

🔹The WEF continues. Preliminary US manufacturing and services PMI data will issue at 17:45 (UTC+3) - no sharp movements expected.

🔥ETH

🔹Ethereum price situation is pretty the same as yesterday's:

1️⃣ The minor correction of levels above. Now there are: 3170, 3102, 3058.
2️⃣ 2826 below is still actual.

The price is forming triangle, and it's not as confident as Bitcoin's. Current prices look more like a continuation of the downward movement (but that's not a fact). I'd say Ethereum is more likely to breakout of 2826 and then pullback. Possibly by the end of the weekend.

---------------
Share your thoughts in the comments!

$ETH

This one is pretty straightforward.

OKB is still trading inside a clear range, and price is now pushing into the lower bound of that range, right around the $100 round number.

That area matters. It has acted as support before, and it’s doing so again....

As long as:
• the lower range support holds
• and $100 remains intact

➡️ I’ll be looking for long setups, targeting a move back toward the upper bound of the range.

If $100 fails, the idea is invalid.
If it holds, the range trade remains in play.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.

📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.

Good luck! 🍀

All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!

$

We are currently tracking a significant divergence in the market internals. While retail traders are buying the dip, Institutional Flows are actively selling into strength. They are not buying this drop yet.

The biggest risk right now is the 'Whale Trap' at $88,500.

There is nearly $6 Billion in Leveraged Longs crowded around this level.

If Bitcoin loses $88,500, these positions are at risk of liquidation, which could trigger a rapid 'flush' down to $85,000 - $84,200.

The Setup:

🚫 RESISTANCE: The $92.5k - $94k region is a brick wall. Smart money is offloading risk here.

🛡️ SUPPORT: $88,500 is the line in the sand.

📉 THE PLAY: We are Neutral/Cash. We do not front-run the institutions. We wait for either a reclaim of $94k (Strength) or the flush to $85k (Discount).*

Patiently waiting for the flush to clear the leverage.

$BTC