Rumman96

🚀 #KAITO HTF Daily Setup Alert

Extreme compression detected BB20 squeezed inside KC20 less than 3 percent

Williams R minus 98 RSI 43 momentum trapped sellers exhausted RVOL 0.28 energy stored likely absorbed by smart money

Daily swing high at 2.4084 serves as a clear liquidity target One confirmed daily candle above upper BB KC with volume surge could trigger a fast aggressive breakout

This is a classic HTF meme coin spring setup price fully coiled breakout imminent
Trade smart wait for confirmation 🔥

#ALCH 0.33 gonna hit 🔥

⚠️ $RIVER Analysis: Bearish Momentum Accelerating – Strategic Short Entry

The "Euphoria Phase" for RIVER/USDT has officially shifted into a distribution phase. Following its parabolic run to the $24.77 ATH, technical indicators are now flashing strong exhaustion signals, suggesting that the path of least resistance is currently downward.

Current Market Condition:
Trend Breakdown: RIVER has broken below the key 7-day Moving Average (MA7), which previously acted as structural support. We are seeing a "Lower High" formation on the 4H chart, a classic bearish reversal signal.
Volume Analysis: The recent price drops have been accompanied by high selling volume, while relief bounces are appearing on weak, declining volume—indicating a lack of institutional buying interest at these levels.
Overbought Cooling: While the Daily RSI was previously at extreme levels (>85), it has now crossed downward. Momentum is favoring the bears as the market seeks a "fair value" zone, likely much lower than current levels.
Strategic Short Setup:

Primary Sell Zone: $15.50 – $16.50 (Wait for a retest of this resistance)
Target 1 (Immediate): $11.80 (Local support retest)
Target 2 (Main Goal): $8.50 – $9.00 (Liquidity gap fill)
Stop Loss: $17.80 (Above the recent lower high to protect capital)

Expert Note for Short-Sellers:
RIVER is currently a high-beta asset. Expect "stop-loss hunts" (quick spikes upward) designed to liquidate early shorts before the main move down. Maintain a conservative leverage (3x–5x) and avoid chasing the dump at the exact support level of $12.00. Wait for the dead-cat bounce to the $15.50 level to initiate or add to your position.

🚀 $MERL Analysis: Institutional Demand Zones & Bullish Retest at Support

As of January 2026, Merlin Chain (MERL) is presenting one of the most compelling risk-to-reward setups in the Bitcoin Layer-2 sector. After absorbing the recent token unlock sell-pressure, we are seeing a clear transition from distribution to accumulation.
Technical Breakdown:

Support Validation: $MERL has formed a solid "Double Bottom" structure around the $0.24 - $0.25 psychological floor. This level has held despite high volatility, suggesting strong buyer absorption at this price point.
Momentum Indicators: The 14-day RSI is currently at 32.9, approaching deep oversold territory. Historically, an RSI bounce from this zone on MERL has led to significant relief rallies.

L2 Narrative: Merlin Chain remains a Top 10 L2 by volume. With Coinbase perpetuals now live, liquidity is deepening, providing the fuel needed for a breakout above the 50-day EMA (~$0.33).

Strategic Trade Setup:

Entry Zone: $0.265 – $0.285 (Accumulate within this range)
Target 1 (Short-term): $0.337 (Reclaiming the 50-EMA)
Target 2 (Mid-term): $0.400 (Major resistance breakout)
Stop Loss: $0.235 (Exit if the structural floor breaks)

Expert Verdict:
We are currently in the "Accumulation Box." While the broader market remains sensitive, MERL’s technical floor is firm. As Bitcoin dominance stabilizes, capital rotation into the BTC L2 ecosystem is expected to favor MERL as a primary beneficiary.

Watch the Volume: A spike in 24h volume above $40M will be the primary signal that the markup phase has begun.

🚀 #ALCH Analysis: Bullish Reversal Coiling at Major Support Floor

The current structure for #ALCH is presenting a high-probability "Long" opportunity for disciplined swing traders. After a healthy period of consolidation, we are seeing signs of institutional accumulation at the current price levels.

Technical Breakdown:
Support Verification: Price has successfully tested the $0.117 - $0.118 support zone multiple times. This level is acting as a "hard floor," with strong buyer absorption preventing any further downside.

Momentum Indicators: The RSI on the 4H timeframe has exited oversold territory and is trending upward, while the MACD is nearing a bullish crossover.

Ecosystem Catalyst: The upcoming integration of Alchemist 3.5 no-code AI tools is driving fundamental interest back to the token, increasing its utility-to-price ratio.
Strategic Trade Setup:

Entry Zone: $0.120 – $0.122 (Current Market Price)

Target (Swing): $0.245 (Major liquidity gap fill)

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