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Compass Point Advises Caution on Bitcoin Purchases Below $98,000

Investment bank Compass Point has advised investors to exercise caution when considering buying Bitcoin during price dips until it exceeds the $98,000 mark. According to NS3.AI, this level represents the average purchase price for short-term holders. Bitcoin recently approached $97,500 but was unable to maintain this level, subsequently dropping below $90,000. While a decline to approximately $80,000 could offer a potential buying opportunity, the bank cautions that the risks associated with leveraged buying remain significant.
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Bitcoin News: Bitcoin Slips Below $90K as Whale Selling and Long-Term Holder Distribution Intensify

Bitcoin slipped below the $90,000 psychological level on Tuesday as onchain data pointed to renewed selling from whales and long-term holders, raising the risk of a deeper pullback toward the $84,000–$86,000 support zone.The move comes as large investors increased exchange deposits and long-term holders accelerated profit-taking following Bitcoin’s recent rally toward $97,000.Bitcoin falls below $90K as selling pressure buildsBitcoin, during the New York trading session, BTC dropped below $90,000, extending losses as broader market sentiment weakened and onchain indicators signaled rising distribution activity.According to CryptoQuant’s Whale Screener, large wallets deposited more than $400 million worth of Bitcoin into spot exchanges on Jan. 20, a level historically associated with preparation to sell or increased market-side liquidity.“This marks the second major BTC deposit spike in a short period,” said CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha, noting that a similar $500 million whale inflow occurred on Jan. 15.“Large BTC deposits to spot exchanges usually indicate elevated sell-side pressure,” Taha said, adding that such moves often precede short-term price weakness.Long-term holders accelerate profit-takingBeyond whale flows, long-term holder (LTH) behavior is adding to downside pressure.Glassnode data shows the LTH net position change has remained negative since early January, with approximately 68,650 BTC sold over the past 30 days.This indicates that long-term investors — typically considered a stabilizing force — are distributing into price strength, including the recent rally toward $97,000.In practical terms, long-term holders appear to be locking in profits during rebounds rather than accumulating, reinforcing the current corrective structure.Still, analysts note that similar levels of LTH selling were observed in mid-December 2025, shortly before Bitcoin rebounded from $84,000 to $94,700 in early January — offering a potential historical parallel.Key Bitcoin support levels to watchWith BTC now trading near $89,000, analysts are closely monitoring nearby technical zones.$87,300: 100-week simple moving average (SMA)$84,000–$86,000: Major demand and psychological support zone$80,500: November local low and deeper downside targetA sustained break below the 50-day SMA near $90,000 and the 20-day EMA around $92,000 could open the door for a retest of lower support levels. Analysts warn bounce may be temporaryMN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe said Bitcoin is now trading back inside its broader range as geopolitical risks intensify.“Bitcoin breaks down into the range as geopolitics worsen,” van de Poppe wrote on X, noting that momentum indicators are approaching oversold levels.His analysis points to a potential short-term relief bounce between $84,000 and $86,000, but not yet a confirmed trend reversal.“The RSI is just as oversold as during the collapse toward $80,000,” he said. “We could see a bounce — not a reversal.”Can Bitcoin regain $90K?For bulls, reclaiming and holding above $90,000 remains critical to restoring market confidence.Until whale exchange inflows slow and long-term holder selling stabilizes, analysts warn that Bitcoin may remain vulnerable to downside volatility — particularly as macro uncertainty and geopolitical tensions continue to pressure risk assets.For now, the market appears caught between distribution at higher levels and defensive positioning, with traders watching closely whether the $84,000 zone can once again act as a structural floor, according to Cointelegraph.
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Bitcoin News Today: Smart Money Accumulates $3.2B in Bitcoin as Retail Sells, Santiment Says

Bitcoin whales and large holders accumulated more than $3.2 billion worth of BTC in just nine days, signaling what analysts describe as a potential long-term bullish divergence, according to data from crypto analytics firm Santiment.Despite recent price weakness, onchain behavior shows that large investors — often referred to as “smart money” — are continuing to build positions while smaller retail holders exit the market.Whales buy as Bitcoin slips below $90,000Santiment reported that between Jan. 10 and Jan. 19, Bitcoin wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC accumulated 36,322 BTC, valued at approximately $3.21 billion at current prices.During the same period, retail wallets holding less than 0.01 BTC sold a combined 132 BTC, worth roughly $11.6 million.“Bitcoin’s whales and sharks continue to accumulate,” Santiment said in a post on X, noting that BTC fell 4.55% in 24 hours and was trading near $89,100 at the time of publication.According to the analytics firm, this divergence between large and small holders often appears during periods of market stress — and historically has preceded stronger long-term recoveries.“Optimal conditions for a crypto breakout are when smart money accumulates and retail dumps,” Santiment said, adding that geopolitical tensions aside, the pattern is forming a long-term bullish divergence.Tariff headlines pressure price, not accumulationBitcoin’s latest pullback followed renewed tariff threats from U.S. President Donald Trump, who earlier this week floated potential trade measures against several European countries amid disputes tied to Greenland.The comments triggered a broader risk-off move across markets, pushing Bitcoin down nearly 7% at its local low.However, analysts note that while price reacted sharply to macro headlines, onchain accumulation behavior did not reverse.Last week, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju also observed that retail participation has faded, while large holders continue buying, reinforcing the view that current selling pressure is not being driven by institutions.Sentiment remains cautious as capital concentrates in BitcoinDespite whale accumulation, broader crypto sentiment remains subdued.The Crypto Fear & Greed Index printed a “fear” reading of 32, reflecting lingering uncertainty across digital asset markets.Meanwhile, the Altcoin Season Index — which measures whether altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin — registered a Bitcoin score of 29 out of 100, indicating that capital remains concentrated in BTC rather than rotating into higher-risk assets.Santiment also noted that social media discussion around Bitcoin has surged, particularly comparisons between BTC and traditional safe havens such as gold and silver, both of which hit new all-time highs amid escalating geopolitical tensions.Analysts divided on short-term price outlookWhile accumulation trends point to longer-term strength, some analysts remain cautious in the near term.Crypto analyst Will Clemente said current price structure remains uninspiring despite positive onchain signals.“Being objective, it’s tough to be excited about Bitcoin here based on price action,” he said in a post on X.Still, historical data suggests that periods marked by retail capitulation and whale accumulation often precede stronger directional moves — particularly once macro pressure eases, according to Cointelegraph.
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Bitcoin News: Bitcoin Fills Key CME Gap Below $88K as BTC Slips, Traders Remain Defensive

Bitcoin briefly dipped below $88,000 on Wednesday, filling a key Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) futures gap formed at the start of the year — a move closely watched by traders as a potential short-term turning point.BTC rebounded modestly toward the $90,000 level after touching intraday lows near $87,800, but analysts cautioned that the bounce lacks conviction, with broader market sentiment still tilted toward capital preservation.BTC erases January gains after CME gap fillAccording to TradingView data, Bitcoin’s decline marked its lowest price since the beginning of January, wiping out more than $10,000 in gains from earlier monthly highs.The move completed a long-watched CME futures gap from the yearly open — a technical level that often acts as a price “magnet,” drawing spot markets back before any sustained trend resumes.With the sub-$88,000 gap now closed, traders note that three additional CME gaps remain above current price levels, near:$97,800$113,400$116,900While some analysts argue the completed gap removes near-term downside pressure, others remain skeptical about Bitcoin’s ability to regain upside momentum.Traders divided as technical structure weakensMarket reaction following the gap fill has been mixed.Some traders suggested the move was necessary to reset positioning before any potential rebound. Others highlighted deteriorating structure on higher timeframes, pointing to a failed breakout attempt and renewed pressure along descending trendlines.One commonly cited concern is the formation of a lower low following a recent higher high — a pattern often associated with weakening trend continuation.As one trader summarized, Bitcoin is now “back to square one for the year,” with price once again testing key technical support rather than extending higher.Macro pressure keeps crypto in defensive modeBeyond technical factors, macroeconomic conditions continue to weigh heavily on crypto markets.In its latest Asia market update, trading firm QCP Capital said Bitcoin is behaving increasingly like a high-beta macro asset, reacting sharply to:Interest rate expectationsGeopolitical riskCross-asset volatility“Until clearer policy signals emerge, crypto is likely to remain reactive rather than directional,” QCP noted, adding that markets are currently prioritizing capital preservation over conviction.Gold hits new records as Bitcoin lagsWhile Bitcoin struggles to regain traction, traditional safe-haven assets continue to outperform.Gold surged to a fresh all-time high near $4,888 per ounce, extending its rally amid rising geopolitical tension and trade uncertainty. The divergence has reinforced a short-term risk-off narrative, with capital favoring metals over digital assets.Market observers say the contrast underscores Bitcoin’s current sensitivity to macro stress, rather than its long-term store-of-value narrative.What traders are watching nextWith the January CME gap now filled, attention shifts to whether Bitcoin can:Hold above the $88,000–$90,000 zoneReclaim lost trendline supportAttract renewed spot demandUntil then, analysts say the market remains vulnerable to volatility spikes, with upside dependent on clearer policy direction or a return of institutional risk appetite.For now, Bitcoin remains range-bound — and cautious sentiment continues to dominate the tape, according to Cointelegraph.
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Tom Lee: 2026 Market Correction Likely, but Bitcoin Still Set for New All-Time High

Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee said global markets may face a sharp correction in 2026 before staging a strong rebound later in the year, driven by an eventual shift in U.S. monetary policy.In a recent interview, Lee cited rising geopolitical tensions, tariff risks, and political polarization as key factors that could trigger a significant pullback across both equity and crypto markets. He estimates the U.S. stock market could decline between 15% and 20% during the year.However, Lee expects conditions to improve once the Federal Reserve pivots toward a more dovish stance and brings quantitative tightening to an end. Under that scenario, he believes markets could rebound strongly by year-end.Bitcoin still expected to reach new ATHDespite near-term downside risks, Lee said he remains confident that Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high in 2026.He described a fresh Bitcoin peak as a critical milestone that would allow the market to fully move past the October 10 deleveraging event, which marked one of the largest risk resets of the current cycle.According to Lee, a confirmed new high would signal restored confidence and structural recovery across digital assets.Preferred assets for 2026Looking ahead, Lee said energy, basic materials, and gold stand out as high-quality allocation assets for 2026 amid macro uncertainty.At the same time, he expects AI and blockchain sectors to continue benefiting from long-term growth trends, even if volatility persists in the near term.Into The Cryptoverse CEO Benjamin Cowen echoed similar views, suggesting that precious metals may once again outperform cryptocurrencies during parts of 2026, particularly if macro pressures remain elevated.
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