I am trying to become a better trader with each passing day by implementing discipline in real life. It will ultimately affect your trading X @cryptoalchemy11
Why I Think the Next Crypto Wave Will Be Boring (And Why That Benefits Plasma)
I think the next real wave in crypto will look boring to most people. No meme coins, no celebrity drops, no viral stunts. Instead it will be quiet money moving through reliable rails that businesses and ordinary people actually use. Stablecoin flows tell the story. In 2024 stablecoin transaction volume topped about 27 trillion dollars. That is not speculative trading. Much of it is remittances, trade settlement, and business payments in places where banks are slow or expensive. The problem is that most of that volume still runs on centralized rails or on messy multi chain setups that do not scale. Tron is cheap and fast but raises centralization concerns. Ethereum is trusted but costly. Solana is fast but has reliability questions. Those tradeoffs keep institutions and real businesses on the sidelines. Plasma takes a different path. It is not a general purpose chain that happens to support stablecoins. It is built around stablecoins from the protocol level up. That focus shows in the stack. Aave live at launch means lending and credit are available from day one. Maple bringing institutional yield means capital parked on the network is productive and auditable. Yuzu Money proving merchant rails in Southeast Asia shows the model works for cash heavy economies. These are working primitives, not promises. What matters for adoption is that merchants and fintechs do not have to assemble the plumbing themselves. A shop owner in Manila can accept a stablecoin payment and settle in local currency without managing gas, bridges, or liquidity pools. Users do not need to learn rollup architectures to move a dollar. That is the practical advantage Plasma is building toward. $XPL fits into this picture as the native fuel consumed by real activity. Every transfer, settlement, and payout uses network resources. Paymasters and gas abstraction convert those costs into ongoing consumption of the native asset. Scarcity and value come from continuous utility, not from hype. Plasma is not flashy. It is infrastructure work. That makes it boring on social feeds and essential in the real world. If the next wave is about steady usage rather than attention, Plasma is positioned to benefit.
Patiesais iemesls, kāpēc lielie uzņēmumi turpina teikt nē Web3 (un kā Vanar to saprata)
Pagājušajā nedēļā es dzēru kafiju ar draugu, kurš vada operācijas vidēja lieluma e-komercijas uzņēmumā. Pastāstīju viņam par on-chain lojalitātes programmām, tokenizētām atlīdzībām, visu ierasto Web3 pārdošanas runu. Viņa atbilde mani nogalināja. Viņš teica: "Forši. Tagad izskaidro manam CFO, kāpēc mūsu darījumu izmaksas mainās ik pēc piecpadsmit minūtēm."
Šī viena teikuma izskaidro, kāpēc adopcija apstājās. Ne tehnoloģija. Ne regulējums. Rēķināšana.
Padomā par to, kā darbojas AWS. Tu izvēlies plānu, zini savu mēneša izdevumu, tu palielini to prognozējami. Tagad padomā par uzņēmuma vadīšanu uz Ethereum vai Solana. Gāzes cenas pieaug sastrēgumu laikā. Lietotāji atsakās, kad maksa pieaug. Tava finanšu komanda nevar prognozēt izmaksas nākamajam ceturksnim, jo ķēde nosaka, ko tu maksā, pamatojoties uz tīkla satiksmi, kuru tu nevar kontrolēt.
Stablecoins processed over $27T in volume last year and most of it still runs through clunky, fragmented rails.
Plasma flipped the model instead of making users navigate chains, bridges, and wallets, the network handles that weight internally. Maple brings sustainable yield. Aave brought live credit markets from day one. Yuzu hit $70M TVL building a real neobank for Southeast Asian merchants. All connected. No assembly required. $XPL gets burned with every transaction, so demand ties directly to usage, not hype. While everyone chases the next narrative, Plasma just keeps building the financial plumbing nobody tweets about but everyone eventually needs.
The $60,000 Bitcoin Bounce: Real Bottom or Bull Trap?
$BTC just bounced off $60,000. That’s a big round number. So the question everyone is asking is… has Bitcoin bottomed? Let’s look at the signals. First, the technicals. Bitcoin’s RSI is deeply oversold, hitting around 15. That’s extreme. The price is down about 33% from its $97,000 peak. And today we saw a 4% bounce from $60,000. These are classic signs you see near a potential bottom. But we can’t trust the price alone. We need to check the on-chain data. And here, the picture gets complicated. Over 9.3 million Bitcoin are now underwater. That means the people holding them bought at a higher price and are sitting on a loss. That’s the highest number of coins in the red since January 2023. This puts massive pressure on the market. There’s another big problem. Bitcoin’s price has now fallen below its estimated electrical cost to mine it, which is near $77,000. When this happens, mining becomes unprofitable. This increases the risk of miner capitulation miners being forced to sell their Bitcoin to cover costs. This adds more sell pressure. So right now, demand is weak, and the potential supply from stressed holders and miners is high. That’s a bad imbalance. Because of this, many analysts are not convinced $60,000 is the final floor. They see two possible paths: Path One: The Optimistic View This 33% drop from the 2025 high is the bottom. The long bear phase is ending, and $60,000 becomes the base for the next rally. Path Two: The Deeper Correction If this bear market follows historical patterns of shrinking declines, the bottom could be much lower. A 70% drop from the all-time high of $126,000 would put the bottom near $38,000. This is the big debate.
Is the bounce from $60,000 the start of a real recovery? Or is it just a bull trap a fake bounce that will lure in buyers before another sharp drop lower? Without a strong catalyst to bring back big institutional buying, the path of least resistance could still be down. The bounce is a relief, but the structure is still weak. Until we see on-chain metrics improve like a reduction in coins underwater and miners stabilizing the $60,000 level remains in danger. Watch it closely. If it fails, the next major support zones are much lower.
Everyone keeps comparing TPS numbers like it matters. Meanwhile the actual reason enterprises refuse to touch Web3 is unpredictable costs. Vanar solved that by building a subscription-style gas model where developers lock costs and users pay nothing. Google Cloud and NVIDIA partnered with it because those companies need billing certainty, not speed benchmarks. myNeutron gives on-chain assets real memory and context, and the 500:1 AI compression ratio means data-heavy applications actually work natively. $VANRY under a cent with 11k holders. The market is sleeping on infrastructure that enterprises can actually use. That gap will not last.
Bitcoin grimst līdz 2021. gada līmeņiem, jo pārdošana padziļinās zem $70,000
Bitcoin tikko sabruka līdz līmenim, ko mēs neesam redzējuši kopš 2021. gada. Cena ir sabrukusi dziļi zem $70,000. Un pirms dažām minūtēm tā sasniedza jaunu zemu līmeni $66,666. Jā, tu dzirdi pareizi. $66,666. Daži to sauc par laimīgu skaitli. Citi to redz kā nelāgu zīmi. Bet paskatīsimies, kas patiesībā notiek. Pārdotājs ir intensīvs. Bitcoin šodien samazinājās par vairāk nekā 7,5%, tirgojoties ap $67,400. Tas nebija klusais kritums. Tirdzniecības apjoms pieauga, kas liecina, ka tas bija piespiedu pārdošana. Cilvēki tika likvidēti. Galvenais atbalsta līmenis $72,000, ko mēs visi vērojām? Tas tika izsists vakar. Šis sabrukums apstiprināja lāča tendenci, kas sākās, kad Bitcoin neizdevās atgūt $90,000 agrāk šogad.
Vanar Uzbūvēts Mirklim, Kad Hype Pārstāj Darboties
Spēļu blockchain kapsēta piepildās ar projektiem, kas saprata tokenus, bet nesaprata spēlētājus. Katrs solīja revolūciju. Katrs tika uzsākts ar ekonomiskām mehānismiem, kas paredzēti, lai piesaistītu kapitālu, kas maskēts kā kopiena. Lielākā daļa sabruka, kad stimuli izsīka un reāla izklaide nekad neparādījās, lai uzturētu iesaisti.
Skatoties, kā šis cikls atkārtojas, es iemācījos pievērsties jaunām spēļu ķēdēm ar lielu skepsi. Kad parādījās Vanar, sākotnējā reakcija bija pazīstama šaubas. Vēl viens projekts, kas apgalvo, ka iegūst masu pieņemšanu. Vēl viens ceļa karte, kas aptver spēles, metaversu, zīmolus un visu citu, kas varētu piesaistīt investīciju uzmanību. Virsma atbilst projektiem, kas iepriekš vilšanās.
Lielākā daļa spēļu ķēžu tika uzsāktas ar tokenomiku vispirms un spēlētājiem otrajā vietā. Stimuli, kas izstrādāti, lai piesaistītu spekulantus, kas tērpušies kā spēlētāji. Klikšķiniet, audzējiet, iegūstiet, aiziet. Paraugs atkārtojās, līdz visi pārstāja izlikties, ka modelis darbojas. Vanar ienāca šajā izsmeltajā ainavā ar atšķirīgiem pieņēmumiem. Komanda pavadīja gadus izklaidē un zīmolu partnerattiecībās, pirms pieskārās blokķēdei. Šī secība ir svarīga. Viņi vēroja, kā īsti lietotāji uzvedas apkārt spēlēm un kolekcionējamām lietām. Viņi saprata, ka saglabāšana nāk no prieka, nevis ienākumu prognozēm. Virtua atspoguļo šo izpratni. Nevis tukša zeme, kas gaida spekulatīvo vērtību. Licencēti vide, kur fani patiešām vēlas atgriezties. VGN darbojas līdzīgi spēļu izplatīšanā. Studijas testē blokķēdi, neuzspiežot maku izglītību spēlētājiem, kuri to nekad nav lūguši. Vanar pozicionējums šķiet pacietīgs veidos, kur šis tirgus reti atlīdzina. Nav ražotas steigas. Nav nedēļas paziņojumu, kas pieprasa uzmanību. Tikai infrastruktūra, kas attīstās klusi, kamēr skaļākie projekti iznīcina savus naratīvus. Šī pacietība izskatās kā vājums, līdz tā pēkšņi izskatās kā izturība. @Vanar $VANRY #Vanar
$BTC ir tuvu $69,000 šobrīd. Ko mēs darām tālāk? Es redzu skaidru rakstu veidošanos. Izsist, atgūt un tad turpināt uz leju. Sadalīsim to pa daļām. Augstāka laika posma attēls joprojām ir negatīvs. Tirgus veido zemākas maksimumus. Vispārējā pasūtījumu plūsma joprojām dod priekšroku pārdevējiem. Tāpēc jebkura kustība uz augšu no šejienes jāuzskata par koriģējošu, nevis jaunā bullish tendence. Tagad paskatieties uz neseno cenu darbību. Mēs redzējām nedēļas zemā līmeņa izsistīšanu. Cena strauji kritās, izņēma visus stopus zem atbalsta un tad tūlīt atguva virs tā.
@Plasma pārdomā maksājumus, padarot lietotāju neredzamu pret berzi. Iedomājieties, ka tiešsaistē iegādājaties kafijas automātu un nekad neuztraucaties par degvielu, maksām vai kuru pārvadātāju tas pārvietoja. Jūs maksājat cenu, platforma rūpējas par pārējo. Tas ir Paymaster idejas pielietojums blokķēdē. Lietotāji sūta stabilās monētas, un tīkls klusi noregulē gāzi un maršrutēšanu aizkulisēs. Nav nepieciešams turēt $XPL vai mācīties gāzes mehāniku. Pārskaitījumi jūtas dabiski, tūlītēji un uzticami.
Tas ir svarīgi, jo masveida pieņemšana nav par to, lai mācītu visus, kā blokķēdes darbojas. Tas ir par nepieciešamības noņemšanu. Kad maksājumi kļūst tikpat viegli kā elpošana, lietojums palielinās. Katrs nevainojams pārskaitījums joprojām izsauc reālas valsts izmaiņas un reālus izdevumus tīklā. Paymasters pārvērš šos izdevumus komerciālā ciklā, kas finansē validētājus un nodrošina sistēmu. XPL kļūst par trūkstošo degvielu, ko patērē masveida, neredzama loģistika. Tā vērtība nav sauklis, bet nepārtrauktas, augstas apjoma aktivitātes rezultāts. #plasma
tikai sabruka līdz $71,000. Un šobrīd aizkulisēs sākas milzīga cīņa. Tas vairs nav par parasto pirkšanu un pārdošanu. Tas ir sviru karš starp Bitcoin vaļiem.
Skat, kad cena nokritās zem $80,000, lielie spēlētāji iekļāvās nākotnes tirgū. Viņi ne tikai tirgojas. Viņi veic masīvus, augsta riska likmes ar sviru. Vienā pusē ir vaļš, kurš ieguldījis $3 miljonus, lai atvērtu 20x garo pozīciju. Viņš liek uz to, ka Bitcoin pieaugs, lai gan viņš zaudēja $11 miljonus līdzīgā likmē iepriekš.
Plasma Understood That Nobody Wants To Think About The Truck
Every morning millions of packages arrive at doorsteps. Recipients tear open boxes without wondering which route the delivery van took. Nobody calculates diesel consumption per mile or researches toll booth pricing along the highway. The logistics cost exists. It gets paid. But the person receiving goods never experiences that payment as a separate decision requiring separate attention.
Current stablecoin transfers work nothing like this. Want to send USDT to a friend? First acquire ETH or TRX or SOL depending on which network holds your tokens. Calculate whether your gas balance covers the transaction. Hope the fee estimate remains accurate between submission and confirmation. This sequence feels as absurd as requiring package recipients to personally refuel delivery trucks before accepting shipments.
Plasma rejected this entire framework. The Paymaster mechanism treats transaction costs the way logistics companies treat fuel expenses. Real costs that get handled. Invisible to the end user. Bundled into operations rather than extracted as separate friction points demanding separate user decisions.
The experience difference matters more than the technical difference. Someone sending stablecoins on Plasma never pauses to check XPL balance. Never calculates gas requirements. Never fails a transaction because fee estimation missed by small margins. They send value and value arrives. The space between those moments contains no anxiety, no confusion, no mandatory crypto education.
Critics ask where XPL derives value if users never touch it directly. The question misunderstands how infrastructure consumption actually works. Every transfer that feels free to users still requires state changes on Plasma. Nodes process transactions continuously. Paymaster systems acquire and consume XPL in real time to cover network costs. The burning happens constantly beneath the surface while users experience only smoothness above it.
This model inverts traditional public chain economics. Previous networks collected tolls directly from users. Small extraction on each transaction. Visible friction that reminded everyone they were using blockchain rather than normal financial rails. Plasma packages these costs into commercial operations. The network earns system maintenance fees from ecological circulation rather than pocket change from individual users.
Scale changes the math dramatically for Plasma. Thousand transactions daily means modest XPL consumption. Millions of stablecoin transfers flowing through Plasma infrastructure means massive underlying demand for the fuel that powers invisible settlement. The token becomes scarce not through marketing narratives but through actual usage volume that real logistics requires.
When cross-border payments and tokenized assets move through Plasma like packages through fulfillment centers, XPL scarcity emerges from operational reality rather than speculative positioning. The delivery arrives. The recipient enjoys their purchase. Somewhere behind the scenes, Plasma infrastructure consumed exactly what Plasma infrastructure needed to make that moment feel effortless.
Bitcoin’s Long Road From Zero to a Global Asset (2009 to Early 2026)
$BTC did not start as an investment. In 2009 it was closer to an idea than a currency. When the first block was mined, Bitcoin had no market price at all. There were no exchanges, no charts, no buyers and sellers. The only cost was electricity and curiosity.
2009 to 2010: No Price, Then Pennies
Throughout 2009 Bitcoin traded at zero because there was nowhere to trade it. In 2010, informal transactions began. The famous pizza purchase in May valued Bitcoin at roughly $0.004. By mid 2010, small online markets pushed Bitcoin to around $0.08. By the end of the year, it briefly touched $0.30. Even then, it was treated as a technical experiment, not money.
2011: First Real Boom and First Crash
2011 was the first time Bitcoin showed what volatility meant. It opened the year near $0.30, ran up to around $31 by June, then collapsed hard. By the end of the year, Bitcoin was trading near $2. This single year taught early users that Bitcoin could rise fast and fall even faster.
2012: Quiet Accumulation 2012 was relatively calm. Bitcoin mostly traded between $4 and $13. The first halving happened late in the year, reducing new supply. There was no immediate explosion, but the foundation was being laid. More wallets, more miners, and more belief started to form quietly.
2013: From Double Digits to Four Figures Bitcoin entered 2013 around $13. By April it touched $266, then crashed below $70. Later that year, momentum returned. By November, Bitcoin surged past $1,000 for the first time. This was when global media started paying attention. Exchanges grew rapidly, sometimes faster than their security.
2014: Reality Check
2014 was a painful year. The Mt. Gox collapse destroyed confidence. Bitcoin fell from above $800 to near $300 and stayed weak most of the year. Many called Bitcoin dead. Developers stayed. Speculators left. Long term holders began to form.
2015: Bottom Formation
Bitcoin spent most of 2015 between $200 and $300. This was not exciting, but it was important. Infrastructure improved. Wallets became easier. New exchanges appeared. Bitcoin stopped falling and slowly stabilized.
2016: Slow Recovery Bitcoin started 2016 near $430 and ended close to $1,000. The second halving occurred mid year. Price did not explode immediately, but momentum was clearly shifting. More people could now buy Bitcoin without technical knowledge.
2017: The Mania Year Bitcoin began 2017 around $1,000. By December it nearly touched $20,000. Every correction was bought. New investors flooded in. Many bought without understanding what they owned. It was Bitcoin’s most emotional year so far.
2018: The Long Fall 2018 erased most of the hype. Bitcoin fell from near $20,000 to around $3,200 by December. This was one of the deepest drawdowns in its history. Projects failed. Confidence was shaken again.
2019: Relief Rally
Bitcoin rebounded in 2019, climbing from $3,200 to around $13,800 mid year before cooling off near $7,000. It showed that Bitcoin could recover, even after brutal declines.
2020: Panic Then Rebirth March 2020 saw Bitcoin crash to nearly $3,400 during global market panic. Many questioned whether Bitcoin was really different. By the end of the year, it answered. Bitcoin closed 2020 near $29,000 after aggressive monetary stimulus changed how people viewed scarce assets.
2021: Institutional Era Bitcoin opened 2021 around $29,000 and climbed to nearly $69,000 by November. Institutions entered. A country adopted Bitcoin as legal tender. Large companies added it to balance sheets. Corrections were sharp but buyers stayed active.
2022: Trust Breakdown 2022 was dominated by failures. Bitcoin fell from around $47,000 to near $15,500. Exchange collapses destroyed confidence. Long term holders increased. Short term speculation faded.
2023: Rebuilding Confidence Bitcoin recovered steadily in 2023, moving from $16,000 to above $44,000. The narrative shifted toward ETFs and institutional custody. Price action became more structured and less chaotic.
2024: New Highs and Maturity
In 2024 Bitcoin reached new all time highs above $100,000 after ETF approvals and renewed global demand. Volatility remained, but corrections were shallower than past cycles. Bitcoin behaved more like a macro asset than a fringe trade.
2025: Expansion Phase Throughout 2025, Bitcoin ranged widely but held above previous cycle highs. Institutional ownership increased. Supply on exchanges declined. Volatility compressed compared to earlier bull markets.
Early 2026: A Different Asset By early 2026, Bitcoin is no longer treated as an experiment or trend. Price cycles still exist, but the market is deeper, more liquid, and more globally distributed. What once moved on forums now moves alongside global macro narratives.
Bitcoin’s price history is not a straight line. It is a sequence of belief, doubt, panic, and rediscovery. From fractions of a cent to six figures, every rise and fall shaped how people understand money, scarcity, and trust. The journey matters as much as the number on the chart. #btc
$SOL tirdzniecība notiek ap 96.21 pēc strauja krituma par 6.54%, izveidojot jaunu intraday zemāko punktu pie 94.71. Pāris tika noraidīts no 106–104 piedāvājuma zonas un tagad ir nokritis zem 100 psiholoģiskā līmeņa, kas norāda uz skaidru īstermiņa medību kontroli. Divu stundu grafikā tirgus struktūra parāda zemākus augstumus un zemākus zemākos punktus, ar lejupvērstu momentum, kas paātrinās. MACD paliek dziļi negatīvs (DIF -2.11, DEA -1.79), norādot uz ilgstošu pārdošanas spiedienu, nevis ātru kapitulāciju. Apjoms ir palielinājies uz sarkaniem svečturiem, norādot, ka izplatīšana ir procesā, nevis panikas izsīkšana. Tiešā atbalsta josla atrodas pie 94–95; izšķirošs pārtraukums zem tā, visticamāk, atvērs ceļu uz 90.
$SENT is trading near 0.0338, down about 2.45% after failing to hold the recent bounce. Price is hovering just above the intraday low at 0.03303, showing buyer hesitation after repeated rejections under 0.036–0.037. The 2‑hour chart shows a weak structure with lower highs forming following the sharp spike toward 0.045, which now reads as a major distribution wick. Momentum remains negative and MACD sits slightly below zero, indicating sellers still control the tape but without strong follow‑through.
$BNB is trading around 749.68 USDT, down about 2.67% after a rejection from the 778–785 resistance band. The two‑hour chart shows clear selling pressure after the failed breakout, and price is drifting back toward a key demand area. Volatility is elevated, with a 24‑hour range between 736.08 and 778.22 and heavy participation near 187M USDT in volume. The wick into the 730s confirms buyers are defending lower levels, but momentum is losing strength. MACD is negative, which favors continued downside unless bulls can quickly reclaim the 760–770 zone. A clean hold above 745 keeps the structure neutral to stable, while a break below that level would open the path to a deeper retest around 735–728.
is trading around 0.1075 after a sharp recovery from the 0.0995 sweep, showing clear demand absorption at the lows. On the 2H timeframe, price printed a strong rejection wick below 0.103, followed by higher lows, signaling short-term bullish structure despite ongoing consolidation. Immediate support sits at 0.1060–0.1035. As long as this zone holds, DOGE remains in a buy-the-dip structure. A clean breakout and hold above 0.1105 opens the door toward 0.1140 and 0.1180, where previous supply and liquidity rest.
$SUI is trading around 1.1209 after a sharp rejection at 1.1684, showing elevated volatility on the 2‑hour timeframe. Price flushed down into the 1.06–1.08 demand zone and reacted quickly, indicating buyers are defending the structure, though momentum remains cautious after the sell‑off. The 1.10–1.12 area is the current pivot. Holding above this zone keeps the recovery intact, while a decisive break would likely send price back to 1.08 and possibly 1.06. On the upside, 1.15 is the first resistance, with the major supply band near 1.17 above that. MACD is flat with a weak bullish divergence, pointing to consolidation before the next expansion. A decisive move should arrive soon. Bulls need strength above 1.15 to retake control, and bears will gain the edge if 1.10 fails.