Gold Hits $5,000 for First Time — Three Risks Behind the Panic
Gold broke through $5,000 per ounce for the first time in history. Prices have climbed more than $650 in January alone. Last week’s 8.5% gain marked the largest weekly increase ever in dollar terms. It was also the biggest percentage rise since the Covid pandemic panic in March 2020. Silver also topped $100 per ounce, up 44% this year.
The flight to safe havens comes as markets brace for a triple threat: US-Canada-China tariff escalation, potential yen intervention, and rising odds of a US government shutdown.
Gold Rally Reflects Eroding Trust TD Securities strategist Daniel Ghali told the Wall Street Journal that the gold rally is tied to questions of trust in the global financial system. Trust has been shaken but not broken, he noted, adding that if it does break, the upward momentum could persist much longer.
Multiple factors are driving gold’s surge. The dollar has weakened amid Trump’s intervention in Venezuela, pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and tariff threats over Greenland. Fed rate cuts have reduced yields on Treasuries and money-market funds, lowering gold’s opportunity cost.
China has been buying gold for 14 consecutive months, and Poland’s central bank recently approved a major purchase. Cyclically adjusted P/E ratios show stock valuations at their highest since the dot-com bubble in 2000. Investors are turning to alternative assets.
Three Risks Markets Are Watching Beyond the flight to gold, three specific catalysts are driving investor anxiety this week.
US-Canada-China Tariff Clash President Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Canada if it proceeds with a free trade agreement with China. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney immediately pushed back, stating there are no plans for an FTA with China.
“Under the free trade agreement with the US and Mexico, there are commitments not to pursue free trade agreements with nonmarket economies without prior notification,” Carney said. “We have no intention of doing that with China or any other nonmarket economy #Write2Earn #BinanceSquare #BinanceSquareFamily #BTCVSGOLD $BTC
Lielā atšķirība: Zelts pie $5,000 pret Bitcoin pie $87K — vai "Digitālā zelta" naratīvs ir beidzies? 📉🌕 Tirgus piedzīvo vēsturisku "Režīma maiņu." Pirmo reizi gados mēs redzam masveida atdalīšanos starp tradicionālajiem drošajiem patvērumiem un kriptovalūtu tirgu. Pašreizējā aina: Zelts ($XAU): Strauji pārsniedzot $5,000, ko nosaka ģeopolitiskās spriedzes, tarifu draudi un centrālo banku uzkrāšana. Šomēnes tas ir pieaudzis gandrīz par 17%! 🚀 Bitcoin ($BTC): Cīnās, lai noturētu $87,000, ar spēcīgu pārdošanas spiedienu, jo īstermiņa turētāji iznāk ar zaudējumiem un kapitāls atgriežas "Risk-Off" aktīvos. 📉
Stop Trading the Noise, Start Trading the📈📉🤔 Narrative 🧠 Most retail traders fail because they react to the 15-minute charts while ignoring the macro trend. In 2026, the market isn't just about "Up or Down"—it's about Liquidity Cycles. The Trap: Buying the "Green Candle" out of FOMO. The Strategy: Identifying Accumulation Zones and being patient. The Key: Focus on sectors with real utility like RWA (Real World Assets) and AI-driven Protocols. Bottom line: If you don't have a plan, you are part of someone else's plan. Stick to your strategy, manage your risk, and let the market come to you. Question: Which sector are you most bullish on for the next quarter? Let’s discuss below! 👇 #CryptoStrategy #TradingPsychology #BinanceSquare #SmartMoney $BNB $BTC $ETH
LATEST: 📊 US spot Bitcoin [$BTC ] ETFs bled $1.72 billion across a five-day outflow streak as crypto sentiment plunged back into fear territory, with Wednesday's $709 million exodus marking the worst day of the week #BTC #Write2Earn #Bullish #BinanceSquare
🚨 LATEST: Ethereum [$ETH ] Foundation launches Post-Quantum security team with $2M funding to protect against quantum computing threats #ETH #Write2Earn
Bitcoin’s price prediction debate is splitting between accumulation and momentum signals. CryptoQuant data shows new whale realized cap racing higher into 2026, while a separate weekly chart shows Bitcoin sliding to the low $82,000s with RSI pressing into a historically low zone.
BTC realized cap for new whales spikes into 2026 New Bitcoin whale wallets expanded their realized cap sharply at the end of the chart, rising toward about $120 billion as BTC price stayed near the top of its range. CryptoQuant’s “BTC: Realized Cap for New Whales” graphic shows the purple area barely visible until 2021, then growing slowly through 2022 and 2023 before turning higher in 2024
BTC Realized Cap for New Whales. Source: CryptoQuant/ X
Then the curve steepened. Through 2025, the new whale realized cap accelerated from a modest base into a near vertical climb, ending close to the top of the left axis. Meanwhile, the black price line climbed into 2025 and then moved sideways near the 80K to 100K zone on the right axis, with a slight dip at the far right as the purple area continued rising.
Earlier cycles look different on the same chart. Price surged into 2017, dropped through 2018, and recovered into 2021 before sliding in 2022. However, the new whale realized cap did not show comparable scale in those years, because the series only starts to build meaningfully from 2021 onward and remains relatively flat until the late 2024 to 2025 transition.
As a result, the image highlights a widening gap: large, newer holders increased their aggregate cost basis rapidly, while spot price advanced more gradually and then consolidated near the Bitcoin weekly RSI drops toward prior cycle lows as BTC slides to $82,550 on Coinbase Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s weekly RSI fell toward the lower end of its multi year range as BTC pulled back to about $82,550 on Coinbase, according to a TradingView chart shared on X by account Nexus. The screenshot shows the latest weekly candle with an open near $94,182, a high around $95,950, and a low near $81,386 before settling close to $82,550, a weekly drop of about 12.35% .
🚀Vai nejaušu spekulāciju ēra ir beigusies? Šeit ir tas, kas notiek aizkulīs 2026. gadā! 🛑
Daudzi jautā: "Kāpēc mans portfelis nekustas, kamēr tirgus deg?" Skarba patiesība ir tāda, ka spēles noteikumi ir pilnībā mainījušies! Mēs ne tikai piedzīvojam vēl vienu "bull cycle", bet gan revolūciju reālo aktīvu (RWA) tokenizācijā. 🌍💎 Kamēr daži ir aizņemti, izsekojot "memecoins", kas pazūd divu dienu laikā, lielās finanšu institūcijas un Davos 2026 bankas jau ir sākušas ieguldīt miljardus projektos, kas saista nekustamo īpašumu un zeltu ar blokķēdi. 🏦 Kāpēc šī ir Zelta ēra? Mākslīgais intelekts (AI): Vairs ne tikai modes vārds, AI ir kļuvis par galveno dzinēju tīkla drošības un likviditātes sadalē. Stabilās monētas: Cīņa starp tradicionālām stabilajām monētām un jaunajām (piemēram, USD1) pārvērš dominējošo ainavu. Bitcoīna nobriešana: $BTC virs $90,000 līmeņa nav tikai cena; tā ir jauna "institucionālā cenu grīda." 📈 Diskusiju jautājums: 👇 Vai domājat, ka lietderību balstītas monētas šogad iznīcinās memecoins, vai "hype" paliks ķēniņš? Dalieties ar savu viedokli komentāros, un es analizēšu visvairāk patīkamo monētu no visvairāk patīkamā komentāra savā nākamajā ierakstā! 🎯
Bitkoins nokrīt zem 88 000 $ pirms Fed nedēļas un Big Tech peļņas
Bitkoins nokrita zem 88 000 $ līmeņa svētdien, jo kripto tirgi vājinājās plānā nedēļas nogales tirdzniecībā, pagarinot atvilkšanu, kas ir nospiedusi kripto tirgu pēdējās nedēļas laikā.
BTC tirgojās ap 87 800 $ ASV pēcpusdienas stundās, samazinoties aptuveni par 2% 24 stundu laikā, saskaņā ar CoinGecko datiem. Etera cena nokritās uz 2 880 $, kamēr solana, XRP un cardano katrs uzrādīja zaudējumus no 3% līdz 5% dienas laikā. Lielākā daļa galveno žetonu paliek ievērojami kritušies septiņu dienu laikā, atspoguļojot trauslo noskaņojumu tirgū.
Šis solis izraisīja 224 miljonu $ likvidācijas uz bullish likmēm, ko vadīja 68 miljonu $ bitkoinu nākotnes darījumi un 45 miljonu $ eita nākotnes darījumi.
Nedēļas nogales kustības bieži tiek vadītas mazāk ar jaunu informāciju un vairāk ar pozicionēšanas pielāgojumiem, it īpaši pēc periodiem ar paaugstinātu svārstīgumu iepriekšējā nedēļā.
Tirgotāji uzsāk jauno nedēļu ar paaugstinātu modrību par iespējamām iejaukšanās darbiem Japānas jenā, pēc tam, kad premjerministre Sanae Takaichi brīdināja pret “anormālām” tirgus kustībām, komentāriem, kas sekoja pēkšņai atgriešanai jenā vēlu piektdien.
Valūtas straujā pieauguma dēļ radās piesardzība visā Āzijas tirdzniecības birojos, pat ja amatpersonas atturējās no jebkādas rīcības apstiprināšanas, kā ziņots Bloomberg.
Citos virzienos politiskais risks ASV pievienoja jau tā satricināto fona.
Senāta demokrātu līderis Čaks Šūmers teica, ka viņa partija bloķēs lielu izdevumu paketi, ja netiks noņemta finansējums Iekšlietu departamentam, palielinot daļējā valdības slēgšanas risku.
Lai gan šādi konflikti ir pazīstami, tie var sašaurināt īstermiņa likviditātes apstākļus un nosvērt noskaņojumu risku aktīvos, it īpaši periodos ar paaugstinātu pozicionēšanu.
Jaunākais kritums sekoja posmam, kad bitkoins īslaicīgi zaudēja 90 000 $ līmeni smagu likvidāciju un plašāku makro nenoteiktību dēļ. Vairāk nekā 1 miljardu $ paaugstinātu pozīciju tika iznīcinātas iepriekšējā nedēļā, jo tirgotāji samazināja ekspozīciju pēc straujām kustībām valūtās un obligāciju tirgos. $BTC #BTC #Binance
Bill Miller: Bitcoin Would Hit $1.7 Million if Recognized as 'Digital Gold
If the market truly viewed Bitcoin as the digital equivalent of gold, the price of a single coin wouldn't be struggling to reclaim $100,000.
In fact, according to Bill Miller IV, Chief Investment Officer at Miller Value Partners, the leading cryptocurrency would be trading near $1.7 million.
Now that gold is hitting record highs, critics have been quick to declare the correlation dead. Miller, however, argues that the lack of correlation is exactly the point.
The $1.7 million math Miller’s hypothetical price target is derived from a simple market cap parity calculation.
If Bitcoin were to capture gold’s entire monetary premium, the price per coin would need to rise approximately 19x from current levels.
Miller’s post comes after the recent divergence between the two assets. Gold experienced a massive rally in 2026, which was driven by central bank buying and geopolitical hedging. In the meantime, Bitcoin's price action has been extremely underwhelming, with the cryptocurrency struggling to reclaim even the $90,000 level.
However, Miller pointed to the historical lack of correlation between the two.
"Wrong - the correlation between BTC and gold over the past decade is 0.09 (none). Why would you expect it to move at the same time?" he said.
As reported by U.Today, Miller recently confirmed that he remained bullish on Bitcoin despite the recent underperformance.
More than digital gold Ark's Cathie Wood also recently dismantled the narrative that Bitcoin is merely "digital gold."
Wood believes Bitcoin has "miles to go" just to catch up to gold. She views the current price as an early entry point.
She also argues that Bitcoin is the only asset in the world that functions as both a risk-on and a risk-off asset.
Finally, Wood argues that Bitcoin is actually harder money than gold due to the physics of mining #BTC #Write2Earn #BinanceSquare $BTC
$BTC 🚨🚨🚨🚨 In a post on X, Woo shared archives from the bitcoin developers mailing list to support his argument. The data reveals that the share of messages discussing quantum resistance has consistently remained above 10% since June 2025, with October and November being the only exceptions
This defense comes amid growing alarm regarding the vulnerability of bitcoin addresses to quantum computing. Some analysts suggest these fears are already weighing on the market, contributing to bitcoin’s inability to break above the $100,000 mark for several weeks. Crypto advocate Nic Carter suggested that bitcoin’s recent price stagnation reflects a market waking up to long-term quantum risks. While developers may view the threat as distant, Carter argues institutional investors now see it as a legitimate “headwind.”
This sentiment is gaining traction in traditional finance. Christopher Wood, a strategist at Jefferies, recently removed bitcoin from a recommended pension portfolio, citing the “existential technological threat” of quantum computing. On the other hand, Sergio Ermotti, the CEO of the financial services giant UBS, stated that bitcoin must overcome the quantum threat to maintain its long-term credibility as a store of value.
To counter the narrative of inaction, Woo’s analysis highlighted an “explosion” of technical discussions in 2025, following a period of near-total silence between 2018 and 2024.
The primary focus of these discussions—often exceeding 100 messages per thread—revolves around the vulnerability of ECDSA/Schnorr signatures to Shor’s algorithm. Key points of the current developer consensus include implementing voluntary transitions rather than forced protocol changes. There is an agreement to prioritize the maturity of the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) post-quantum cryptography standards before integration.
Jauni paziņojumi par Bitcoin nākotni no Bloomberg analītiķa McGlone Trīs izcili finanšu pasaules pārstāvji, Skots Melkers, Maiks McGlone un Gerets Solovajs, apsprieda rekordaugstus rādītājus preču tirgos, obligāciju ienesīgumu un kriptovalūtu nākotni savā jaunākajā pārraidē.
Kamēr zelts un sudrabs sasniedza jaunus augstumus, Bitcoin stagnācija un aktivitāte obligāciju tirgū piesaistīja uzmanību.
Bloomberg Intelligence analītiķis Maiks McGlone ieņēma piesardzīgu nostāju, norādot, ka tirgi sniedz signālus, kas līdzīgi tiem, kurus redzēja pirms 1929. gada un 2008. gada. McGlone apgalvoja, ka Bitcoin paliek apdraudēts, ja vien tas nepārsniedz $100,000, un ka atkāpšanās uz $10,000 līmeni ir “grafiski normāla.”
Slavens investors Skots Melkers norādīja, ka makroekonomiskie dati neatspoguļo ielas realitāti. Reaģējot uz datiem, kas liecina par spēcīgu ekonomiku, Melkers teica: “Ekonomika ir spēcīga tikai bagātajiem; visi pārējie cīnās pat par piena iegādi.”
Melkers aprakstīja Bitcoin pašreizējo stāvokli kā “iestrēgušu dubļos,” norādot, ka ne labas, ne sliktas ziņas nespēj pārvietot cenu, un apjoms ir nepietiekams.
Melkers apgalvoja, ka tirgiem vajadzētu izskatīties labi no augusta līdz oktobrim pirms ASV vēlēšanām, tāpēc jebkura pašreizējā lejupslīde varētu tikt “aizmirsta” no politiskā viedokļa.
Solovajs norādīja, ka tehniski bīstams “Galvas un plecu” modelis ir izveidojies uz Bitcoin grafika, kas varētu novest cenu atpakaļ uz $69,000 līmeni. Viņš piebilda, ka fakts, ka Bitcoin nepārvietojas kopā ar zeltu tā pieauguma laikā, ir pierādījums tam, ka aktīvs tiek novērtēts kā “riska aktīvs” nevis “droša patvēruma.” #BTC #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare #Write2Earn $BTC
While the traditional world stares at Gold ($XAU) hitting new psychological resistance levels this January, the crypto world is witnessing a massive "Degenerate Rotation." Smart money is no longer just hedging; it's multiplying. The data is clear: Retail liquidity is flooding back into high-beta assets. $PEPE is currently leading the charge, flipping major resistance into support, while $SHIB is seeing massive whale accumulation on the 4-hour chart. We are seeing a rare market setup where safe havens and hyper-speculative memes are pumping simultaneously. Is this the final "Blow-off Top" or the beginning of a super-cycle? The volume on Binance suggests the latter. Keep your eyes on the liquidity—where the frog goes, the market follows. Are you HODLing for the moon or playing it safe with Gold? Drop your 2026 targets below! 👇
Market Pulse Today: ONDO (Ondo Finance) | RWA Sector | $1.45 | 🟢 +18.3% LINK (Chainlink) | Oracle Hub | $24.10 | 🟢 +9.7% XAU (Gold) | Safe Haven | $2,810 | 🟢 +1.2% The Macro Outlook: 💥 #BREAKING: As global geopolitical tensions hit a new peak this January, we are witnessing a "Dual-Safe Haven" era. While Gold ($XAU) continues to break structural resistance, smart money is no longer just sitting in metals—it’s rotating into "Tokenized Real World Assets" (RWA). The decoupling is real. Institutional demand for $ONDO and $LINK shows that the market is valuing on-chain liquidity just as much as physical gold. This isn't just a rebound; it's a fundamental shift in how global reserves are being managed. Watch the $2,800 level on Gold closely—it’s the trigger for the next crypto-liquidity wave.
#BREAKING: The shift from "Panic Hedging" to "Strategic Risk-On" is underway. As $XAU consolidates near its monthly support, capital is rotating aggressively into RWA (Real World Assets) and infrastructure tokens. Large-scale wallets are positioning for a weekend volatility spike following the latest macro-economic data. The rebound is looking structural, not just a bounce. Keep eyes on the liquidity flow!
"Are you holding $GOLD or rotating into $ALTS? Let me know below