Es jūs brīdināju jau 45 dienas, ka liels kritums tuvojas, un tagad tas notiek tieši tā, kā gaidīts. Bitcoin jau ir kritis par apmēram $20K un tagad tirgojas tuvu 112K, tieši pie galvenās pretestības zonas, kas izraisījusi katru lielo korekciju kopš 2018. gada.
Mazs atspēriens uz 115K–116K ir iespējams, bet pēc tam es gaidu vēl vienu kritumu uz 100K, un iespējams, pat zemāk uz 90K. Es joprojām turu savu 50% īso pozīciju. Ja kas mainīsies vai es aizvēršu savu pozīciju, es jūs informēšu. Atcerieties, ka iepriekš minēju, ka, ja BTC atgriezīsies pie 125K–128K, es pievienošu vairāk īso pozīciju, un šis plāns nav mainījies.
Līdz pirmdienai es gaidu kādu svārstīgumu, bet pirmdienas cenu kustība sniegs skaidrāku virzienu.
🔸 Nedēļas: BTC vēlreiz pieskārās ilgtermiņa tendences līnijai → notika skaidra atteikšanās. 👉 Līdz brīdim, kad mēs iegūsim nedēļas slēgšanu virs 125K, galvenā atsitiena riski paliek augsti.
🔸 Ikdienas: Cena ir 110K–125K piedāvājuma zonā. Struktūra ir vāja. Ja cena pārtrauc un pretestība notiek zem 110K, tad 100K ir nākamais mērķis.
📊 Mans darījums:
✅ Pirmais mērķis 105K sasniegts Turu 50% īso pozīciju, gaidot atspērienu uz 115K, pēc tam uz leju.
Pēdējās 40 dienas esmu teicis, ka esmu pesimistisks attiecībā uz $BTC. Mēs jau divas reizes esam nokrituši gandrīz par 8K, bet katru reizi Bitcoin atguva līmeņus. Šobrīd tas tirgojas ap 18K līdz 119k, bet man nekas nav mainījies. Es joprojām esmu pesimistisks.
Es esmu teicis daudz reižu, ka 115K līdz 124K reģions ir īsā zona, nevis ilgā zona. Ja jūs joprojām turat ilgtermiņa pozīcijas, es ieteiktu jums pāriet uz īso pozīciju, jo grafiks rāda vairākus augšējās signālus.
Nepakļaujieties hype, piemēram, “Bitcoin līdz 1 miljonam līdz šā gada beigām.” Tas ir tikai troksnis. Struktūra ir vāja, likviditāte tiek inženierēta, un lielāks kritums joprojām ir priekšā.
➡️Sveiki tirgotāji! Lai gūtu panākumus nākotnes tirdzniecībā, stingra riska pārvaldība ir būtiska. Vienmēr piešķiriet tikai 10% no jūsu maka katrā tirdzniecībā. Sāciet ar 5% pie pirmās ieejas un 5% pie otrās ieejas. Piemēram, ja jums ir 100 USD jūsu makā, ierobežojiet savu ieguldījumu līdz 10 USD katrā tirdzniecībā (t.i., 5 USD pie pirmās ieejas un 5 USD pie otrās). Ievērot šo 10% noteikumu ir svarīgi!
➡️Kad sasniedzat savu mērķi, pielāgojiet savu stop loss (SL) ieejas cenai. Ja tiek sasniegti tālāki mērķi (piemēram, Mērķis 2 vai Mērķis 4), pārvietojiet savu SL uz augšu, lai aizsargātu šos ieguvumus. Atcerieties: SL ir kritisks - jebkas var notikt kriptovalūtā, kā mēs esam redzējuši ar aktīviem, piemēram, FTT un Luna.
- Captured Maduro - Threatened Cuba - Threatened Colombia - Threatened Credit card companies - Threatened Institutional home buyers - Captured Russian ships - Threatened Mexico - Annexation proposed for Greenland - Called for Iran intervention - Investigation launched into Powell - Called for 100% tariffs on BRICS nations - Threatened with 25% tariffs on Canada - Called Jerome Powell a jerk - Imposes 10% tariffs on EU - Sued JP Morgan and Jamie Dimon for political debanking - Threatened Canada with 100% tariffs
On 1st Jan, Trump said that his New Year's resolution is "Peace on Earth."
$BTC is currently trading around 89k. It has been nearly five months since I flipped bearish, and my view remains unchanged. I am continuing to hold my short positions.
Why?
Geopolitical Tensions: I expect global instability to rise again, which will likely cause the stock market to drop while Gold and Silver continue their pump.
FOMC Meeting: All eyes are on the Federal Reserve this week. We’re seeing "insiders" selling non-stop at these levels. 😂
Right now, BTC is holding the 1W99EMA (around 86,400) quite strongly. However, once we get a candle close below that level, my next target is the 72k region. I have already added to my shorts at 97k and will look to add more if the market provides higher entries as you can see in the chart.
$BTC
Crypto Skull Signal
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Pozitīvs
#Bitcoin Sunday Update
$BTC continues to respect the weekly structure. The rejection from the 1W 99 EMA played out as expected, confirming it as a major resistance zone.
A push toward the 99k to 100k area, or even a brief sweep slightly above, remains structurally possible before any deeper downside. However, my higher timeframe outlook stays bearish, with downside targets below 72k in the coming months. I remain strongly bearish on both stocks and Bitcoin.
I added more to my short position around 97k, bringing my average entry close to 104k. Additional short orders are stacked higher and are shared exclusively in the premium channel.
⚠️WARNING: #SILVER IS FLASHING A SYSTEM RISK SIGNAL... AND THE GAP CAN NO LONGER BE IGNORED 🚨
COMEX shows silver near 100 per ounce but that number is no longer real. The physical market has broken away with Japan clearing around 145 the UAE near 165 and China around 140. A forty to sixty percent spread is not a discount. It is a signal that the paper market has detached from reality.
Physical demand is overwhelming supply. Solar manufacturers are consuming annual output China is tightening exports and strategic reserves are at historic lows. The cheap price is only for paper claims that depend on trust in a system losing credibility.
The reason the gap does not close is simple. Banks that dominate paper trading are heavily short. If silver snaps to the real clearing zone near 130 to 150 the losses on those positions Would be massive and would hit balance sheets instantly. Tier one capital ratios would weaken and stress would show up across the system. This is not active price discovery. It is survival mode.
Physical buyers are quietly removing silver from vaults while banks keep issuing synthetic exposure. Real metal leaves the system while paper claims multiply. As registered inventory drops each withdrawal increasses the pressure. When the vaults reach a critical threshold the paper price becomes irrelevant and the market reprices to physical instantly.
This is not ordinary manipulation. It is a structural warning that solvency risk is building in the background. If the squeeze accelerates silver can reprice violently and spill into other risk markets including crypto. Movements in hard assets often lead funding stress and $BTC reacts quickly when liquidity tightens.
A Ponzi scheme is a fraud where early investors are paid “returns” directly from deposits of new investors. There is no business, no external value. The operator promises profits, recycles incoming money, and the whole thing collapses once inflows dry up ❗️
🕯 Markets are different. Profits come from buying low and selling high in open exchange. There is no promise of payout, only voluntary trades at agreed prices.
🤑 Bitcoin and Ethereum fall into this second category. They are assets with open markets. Early buyers made money because later buyers valued them higher, just like with equities or real estate. That dynamic is speculation, not fraud.
🤷♀️ Even meme coins and rugs are not Ponzis. They are bad assets with no fundamental value. Early insiders dump on later buyers, but there is no operator promising fixed returns from new deposits. That makes them pump-and-dumps, not Ponzis.
The distinction is clear. Ponzi = guaranteed returns paid from new money. Markets = open price discovery where some win and some lose ❗️