goldrally

Gold just did what Bitcoin was supposed to do.As the US Dollar weakens and talk of currency debasement grows louder, Gold has surged to a fresh record above $5,300, cementing its role as the market’s go-to hedge. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is still stuck below $90,000, creating a striking divergence between two assets often grouped under the same “hard money” narrative. 📉➡️📈
The shift comes after US President Donald Trump downplayed the recent drop in the Dollar, calling it positive for American business.A softer Dollar makes US exports more competitive, and markets are increasingly speculating that policymakers may tolerate or even quietly welcome further currency weakness.That narrative triggered a sharp 1.3% single-day drop in the US Dollar Index (DXY), one of the steepest moves in months.Historically, Dollar weakness fuels demand for scarce assets.This time, however, traditional safe-haven flows are clearly favoring Gold over crypto. Over the past year, Gold has climbed more than 90%, while Bitcoin remains down roughly 17%, according to market data. Even more telling, blockchain analytics show Bitcoin’s 1-year correlation with Gold has slipped near zero, meaning the two are no longer moving together. 🧭
Why the hesitation in BTC?
One explanation is positioning.Gold attracts institutional flows during macro uncertainty because it’s deeply embedded in traditional finance. Bitcoin, while increasingly accepted, still behaves partly like a risk asset reacting to liquidity conditions, regulation, and investor sentiment.Yet there’s a twist.Bitcoin has historically thrived during prolonged Dollar downturns. Major DXY declines in 2017 and 2020 aligned with powerful BTC bull cycles.With the Dollar now showing signs of structural weakness again, crypto traders are starting to ask whether Bitcoin is simply lagging — not failing.The macro backdrop is quietly turning supportive: a weaker Dollar, expectations that the Fed may eventually ease, and growing concerns about long-term currency purchasing power. If capital rotates from traditional hedges into digital ones, Bitcoin could still have its moment.So here’s the big question:US President Donald Trump’s comfortable stance on the US Dollar’s (USD) weakening led to a massive single-day decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY) of 1.3% on Tuesday. Trump’s statement fuels speculation about debasement, prompting a sell-off in the Greenback and pushing Gold (XAU/USD) to a record high. Still, Bitcoin (BTC) lags in the race to replace the US Dollar despite the supportive macro backdrop.
Trump backs a weaker US Dollar, sees gains for US exporters
Donald Trump downplayed the weakness in the US Dollar, saying that it's great for business. The falling value of the US Dollar aligns with Trump’s push to attract more business from global economies, making US exports more competitive. This could potentially start a devaluation strategy to support US exporters, as seen with the Chinese government depreciating the Yuan (CNY) to counter tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. 
According to Trump, “The [US] Dollar’s recent decline is great for US businesses.” The US President also criticized China and Japan for artificially depreciating their currencies for the same motives. 
As the US government acknowledges the Greenback's declining value, currency markets witness intense selling pressure. In Asian markets, the debasement narrative brought some relief to local currencies, including the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) and the Japanese Yen (JPY), while the Indian Rupee (INR) and the Chinese Yuan continue to weaken.

Additionally, the drop in the US Dollar could support the case for an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed), if exports spur growth without inflation rising in the long-term. The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday is likely to keep the interest rates unchanged at the 3.50%-3.75% range. 
Gold, on the other hand, extends its rally after Trump’s disruptive stance, crossing $5,300 in the European session on Wednesday. However, Bitcoin lags below $90,000, extending the divergence with the yellow metal. Over the last year, Gold has posted gains of over 90%, while Bitcoin is down roughly 17%, reaffirming Gold’s safe-haven status amid debasement trades.
Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin’s correlation with Gold over the last 365 days has dropped to -0.051, as the metal benefits from traditional safe-haven flows while BTC remains trapped in a range. 

However, the sharp decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY) aligns with a minor recovery in BTC prices. Extended pullbacks in DXY in 2017 and 2020 align with Bitcoin's bull runs in those years, signaling a potential comeback for BTC bulls if the US Dollar repeats a similar decline.
Is Gold’s breakout a warning that investors trust old safe havens more — or a signal that Bitcoin’s catch-up rally hasn’t started yet? 🚀

#GOLD #FedWatch #BTC #GoldRally #BitcoinWatch
$BTC
$PAXG

💥 Tirgi nemelo—tie rotē bez žēlastības. Zeltu sitot rekordus pāri $5,000, sudrabs pieaug, kamēr Bitcoin apstājas vidū $80k un ether klusi plūst? Tas nav nejauši; tas ir kapitāls, kas bēg no riska ģeopolitisko satraukumu un tarifus sarunu fonā. Es samazināju BTC ekspozīciju pagājušajā mēnesī, skatoties uz metāla hedžiem pats pēc tam, kad apjomi tur eksplodēja—atgādina man par 2022. gada plūsmu, kad kripto smagi atdalījās. Vai tā ir lielā rotācija, vai tikai pauze pirms kripto atgūst naratīvu?
Cenu darbība kliedza brīdinājumu. Bitcoin nokritās līdz $87,000 zonām uz slēgšanas bailēm, saskaņā ar The Block, ar 24 stundu apjomiem strauji samazinoties—zema likviditāte slazdu vīksnām abos virzienos. Ether līdzīga stagnācija, SOL turas relatīvi labāk, bet nav pārrāvuma pārliecības. BTC dominēšana plaisā, tomēr nav alt eksplozijas—klasiskā riska novēršana, kur tradicionālie hedži izceļas. Finansēšanas likmes ir nomāktas, atvērtā interese ir nomākta Binance; nav sviras, kas veicinātu kustības.

💥 Vai ir sākusies kapitāla bēgšana? Kas ir īstais ieguvējs? 👀
Ainā, kas atspoguļo skaidru pārmaiņu globālo tirgu noskaņojumā, zelts un sudrabs turpina strauji kāpt bez jebkādas korekcijas, laikā, kad Džonsa indekss piedzīvo strauju kritumu par 408 punktiem vienā sesijā 📉.
Šī strāva neizriet no tukšuma, bet atspoguļo pieaugošu investīciju satraukumu un spēcīgu atgriešanos drošo patvērumu loģikā pret augsta riska aktīviem.