Dom Nguyen - Dom Trading

🚨 THE NEXT 3–6 MONTHS WILL DECIDE EVERYTHING

Read that again.
The manipulation phase is ending.
Forced selling is drying up.
What’s left is demand.
Not narratives.
Not hope.
Real buying pressure.
2026 is shaping up to be the biggest run crypto has ever seen.
And no — that’s not hype.
That’s positioning.

Here’s the part most people will miss:
This run won’t be polite.
It won’t give you time to “wait for confirmation.”
It will:
Move fast
Leave people behind
Create more new millionaires than any cycle before
Alts won’t creep up.
They’ll explode.
10x.
20x.
30x+.
And by the time it feels safe, it’ll already be gone.
If you’re reading this, you’re not late.
But you are on the clock.

Fear is loud right now because that’s how transitions work.
The crowd panics at the lows and celebrates at the highs.
Don’t do what the crowd does.
Buy when you can.
Ignore the noise.
When I fully exit the market, I’ll say it here publicly — no hindsight, no excuses.
But when that happens, you won’t have time to think.
You’ll have to act.
Turn on notifications.
Pay attention.
Opportunities like this don’t announce themselves twice.

🚨 IF YOU’RE 18–48 AND IGNORE THIS, YOU’LL REGRET IT

Alt Season 2026 won’t be polite.
It’s going to be violent.
Here’s why.
PMI just flipped bullish.
That’s not a headline signal — it’s a cycle signal.
It tells you the business cycle is quietly waking up again.
Meanwhile, alts have been compressed for 4+ years.
Dead charts.
No interest.
Maximum boredom.
Sound familiar?
It should.

Back in 2021, about 650 days after the halving, the altcoin market cap exploded ~4,600%.
No warning.
No confirmation.
Just ignition.
What happens next is always the same:
Tight ranges → breakouts
Quiet markets → violent moves
Skepticism → disbelief → FOMO
If 2021 caught people off guard,
2026 will be on another level.
This is the phase where:
Smart money accumulates quietly
Retail gets bored and leaves
Narratives sound ridiculous
And then price does what price always does.
If you’re reading this now, you’re not late.

But the window is closing faster than people think.
I don’t track hype.
I track sentiment.
And sentiment right now feels exactly like the calm before the last storm.
Like this post and I’ll share the alts I’m buying.
Follow so you don’t miss what comes next.

🚨 BITCOIN IS BEING PUSHED — AND MOST PEOPLE ARE WATCHING THE WRONG THING

BTC didn’t move to $70K “for no reason.”
That’s the lie.
Look at the flows, not the candles.
In less than 24 hours:
Binance bought 28,668 BTC
Coinbase Prime 14,001 BTC
Kraken 8,591 BTC
Insider wallet 7,456 BTC
Wintermute 5,192 BTC
Crypto.com 4,248 BTC
That’s ~68,159 BTC — about $4.47B — rammed through a thin market.

That’s not organic price action.
That’s coordination.
Here’s the setup in plain English:
Liquidity is low.
So price can be moved without tens of billions.
Dump first → spread fear
Rip price → spark FOMO
Pull in leverage
Then the switch flips.
Fast pump → shorts get wiped
FOMO longs pile in
Then comes the dump → longs get liquidated
Same play. Every time.
No headlines needed.
No sentiment shift required.
It’s just leverage + low liquidity.
Candles distract you.
Flows tell the truth.

I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called nearly every major top, including the October BTC ATH.
Follow and turn notifications on.
I’ll post the warning before it hits the headlines.
Ignore it if you want — just don’t say you weren’t warned.

🚨 A BILLIONAIRE INSIDER JUST BLEW THE WHISTLE — THIS IS WHAT’S ACTUALLY HAPPENING

They’re not pumping crypto yet.
That’s the tell.
While retail waits for headlines, BlackRock, Fidelity, Tesla, Apple, NVIDIA are buying quietly.
No press releases.
No victory laps.
Just positioning.

Why? Because the shift isn’t about hype.
It’s about survival.
Fiat credibility is eroding.
Debt math doesn’t work anymore.
Money printing can’t fix insolvency.
So capital is moving before permission is given.
The playbook is always the same:
Accumulate in silence
Let retail argue narratives
Flip the switch with announcements
When it starts, it won’t crawl.
It will gap.

You’ll hear about:
Strategic reserves
Corporate allocations
“Unexpected” balance-sheet moves
By then, price won’t wait.
This is why they’re not pumping now.
They’re loading before the crowd understands the game.
Call it crazy.

Call it impossible.
Every regime change sounds insane until it’s obvious.
I’m preparing the biggest investment of my life.
When I execute, I’ll say it here — publicly — like I always do.
If you want to catch the move before it becomes consensus,
pay attention now.

🚨 U.S. GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN IS COMING — AND MARKETS ARE IN DENIAL

This isn’t politics.
This is risk.
Prediction markets are pricing a ~70% chance of a U.S. government shutdown by Feb 14.
Read that again.
Seventy percent.

And if you think a shutdown is “just noise,” look at last time — only 5 days:
BTC: $79K → $74K
ETH: $2,700 → $2,100
Gold: $5,445 → $4,670
Silver: $118 → $77
GDP hit: -0.43%
That’s not drama.
That’s damage.
Now here’s why this is getting serious.
DHS funding is the fuse.
And after the Minneapolis Border Patrol shooting, that fuse is being politically weaponized.
If DHS stalls, the shutdown clock starts.
Period.

A shutdown isn’t “people taking days off.”
It means:
Paychecks delayed
Contracts frozen
Approvals stalled
Data delayed
Uncertainty bleeds into the economy fast.
Markets aren’t pricing it yet.
But they always do — late.
I’ve watched this movie before.
Ignore it if you want.
Just don’t act surprised when volatility explodes.
I’ll post the warning before it hits the headlines.

🚨THIS IS HOW I’M TIMING THE NEXT BITCOIN CYCLE BOTTOM

This is not about guessing price.
It’s about time.
Most people ignore it.
That’s why they miss entire cycles.
The time-based data that matters
Days from all-time high to cycle low:
2012 halving: 406 days
2016 halving: 363 days
2020 halving: 376 days
2024 halving: pending

The pattern clusters tightly.
Based on this, the highest-probability window for the next major capitulation is:
October–November 2026
Not because of narratives.
Because cycles rhyme in time, not headlines.
My framework: two axes, not one
Most retail traders operate on one dimension:
“I’ll buy at X price.”
That’s how you get front-run and left behind.

I operate on two axes:
Vertical Axis (Price)
Below $60,000 is a strong buy, regardless of date.
Horizontal Axis (Time)
October–November 2026 is a strong buy, regardless of price.
Time hedges the risk of missing the cycle.
Price hedges the risk of overpaying.
Using both limits downside and regret.
The on-chain reality: NUPL
There is one institutional-grade on-chain indicator I trust:
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)

The blue zone historically marked:
2018 bottom
COVID crash
2022 bottom
No exceptions.
We are not in that zone yet.
That’s why a $45K–$50K print by the end of 2026 would not surprise me.
That is my ultimate bottom zone.
Execution plan
My accumulation strategy is rules-based, not emotional.
If price is below $60K, I buy.
If the date is October–November 2026, I buy.
If either condition is met, I execute $500,000 per day in DCA.
No narratives.
No panic.
No hero bottom calls.
Final perspective
I’ve been here since 2013.
I’ve watched BTC drop 99 percent in minutes when exchanges collapsed.
A 50 percent drawdown is noise.
This phase is uncomfortable, but it’s on schedule.
When I make my next move, I’ll say it publicly.

🚨 JAPAN IS ABOUT TO PULL THE LIQUIDITY PLUG — MARKETS AREN’T READY

This isn’t noise.
This is preparation.
Japan is lining up a $600B+ liquidation of U.S. assets to defend the yen.

Not just bonds. Stocks and ETFs.
When the Bank of Japan stops jawboning and starts moving size, it’s no longer a “Japan issue.”
It becomes global liquidity stress.

Here’s the chain reaction nobody’s pricing:
→ Japan sells U.S. equities/ETFs
→ Dollar liquidity tightens
→ Volatility jumps
→ Risk reprices fast
→ Forced selling follows
That’s how calm markets flip violent.
The yen has been under pressure for months.
Warnings were issued.
Time was bought.
Now words don’t work. Firepower does.

And the scariest part?
This is happening before confirmation.
Positioning is still crowded. Complacency is high.
When volatility shows up, it won’t stay contained:
Stocks dump
ETFs gap
Crypto feels it first and fastest
High volatility isn’t a tail risk.
It’s the base case.

Pay attention now, not after the headlines.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called most major dumps.
If you want to survive 2026, follow and turn notifications on.
I’ll post the warning before the mainstream notices.

🚨 BITCOIN DOESN’T FORGET — IT COLLECTS SCARS

Every cycle, different excuse.
Same outcome.
Bitcoin doesn’t move in straight lines.
It moves through trauma.

Look at the record:
2013 — Bubble Burst
$260 → $70

2014 — Mt. Gox Implosion
$1,000 → $400

2018 — Crypto Winter
$19,800 → $3,200

2020 — COVID Liquidity Shock
$9,100 → $4,000

2021 — China Mining & Regulatory Crackdown
$58,000 → $30,000

2022 — LUNA + FTX Nuclear Event
$69,000 → $15,000

2025 — Tariff War / 10-10 Crash
$126,000 → $84,000

2026 — Epstein Files & Global Sell-off
$88,000 → $60,000

Every time, people say:
“This time is different.”
“Bitcoin is dead.”
“It’s over.”

And every time, Bitcoin survives but only after wiping out certainty.
These aren’t bugs in the system.
They’re the system itself.
Bitcoin doesn’t reward belief.
It rewards endurance.
And years from now, this will just be another memory
people swear they lived through —
or wish they had the courage to.

🚨 THIS IS WHY BITCOIN IS DUMPING EVERY SINGLE DAY

This is not retail.
This is not sentiment.
If you still think BTC trades on simple supply and demand,
you’re looking at a market that no longer exists.
Let me put it plainly.
Bitcoin price is no longer set on-chain.
It’s set in derivatives.
That’s the whole game.

BTC was built on:
21 million supply
No rehypothecation
Then Wall Street layered on:
Perps
Options
ETFs
Lending
Wrapped BTC
Swaps
Same structure.
Same outcome.
This is the exact break that already happened to:
Gold.
Silver.
Oil.
Stocks.
“Paper BTC” exploded.
And once synthetic supply overwhelms real supply, price stops responding to demand.

It responds to:
Positioning
Hedging flows
Liquidations
That’s why the playbook is always the same:
→ Sell into every pump
→ Force liquidations
→ Cover lower
→ Repeat

This isn’t a free market.
It’s a fractional-reserve price system wearing a Bitcoin mask.
Ignore it if you want —
just understand why every bounce fails.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major top, including the October BTC ATH.
Follow. Turn notifications on.
I’ll post the warning before it hits the headlines.

🚨 2026 WILL DESTROY THE “ONE-ASSET” CROWD — DEBASEMENT WON’T SAVE BTC THE WAY YOU THINK

Everyone is screaming “currency debasement” like it’s a free pass to buy anything scarce.
That’s lazy thinking — and 2026 will punish it.
The real question isn’t IF debasement happens.
It’s WHO survives the uncertainty phase and WHO gets liquidated first.
Gold & silver: the uncomfortable winners early on

Here’s the truth crypto hates:
When liquidity is tight and trust cracks, boring beats innovative.
Gold and silver don’t need:
Liquidity injections
Narrative believers
ETF inflows
They don’t get margin-called.
They don’t care about funding rates.
In messy macro environments, metals don’t moon —
they outlast.

That’s why institutions still run to them when things feel wrong.
BTC & ETH: debasement hedge… with a timing problem
Yes, Bitcoin and Ethereum protect against debasement.
But not during the stress phase.
In 2026-style uncertainty:
They trade like high-beta risk
They’re used as liquidity sources
They get sold before “safe assets”
Crypto wins after something breaks:
After leverage is flushed
After policy credibility cracks
After liquidity comes back

Before that?
It’s pain, not protection.
The biggest mistake people will make
They’ll treat all “hard assets” as equal.
They’re not.
In a real macro reset:
Gold/silver = survival
BTC/ETH = recovery weapon
One keeps your capital intact.
The other multiplies it later.
Mixing those roles is how portfolios blow up.
My controversial take
2026 is not a clean debasement rally.

It’s:
Violent
Stop–start
Liquidity-driven
Metals win first.
Crypto wins last.
If you’re all-in crypto expecting it to behave like gold…
you’re betting on the wrong phase of the cycle.
Final warning
Debasement isn’t a trade.
It’s a sequence.
Miss the order —
and you won’t survive long enough to enjoy the upside.
2026 won’t reward belief.
It will reward positioning and patience.

🚨 GLOBAL CENTRAL BANKS JUST FLIPPED THE SWITCH — AND CRYPTO / CARRY TRADES ARE IN TROUBLE

This is flying under the radar — but it matters more than any single CPI print.
Global central banks are quietly shifting from easing… to HOLD / TIGHTEN.

And that’s a direct headwind for crypto and FX carry trades.
This is the regime change nobody is pricing in
Markets are still trading like:
“Cuts are coming, liquidity will save us.”
That assumption is cracking.
Across major economies, central banks are saying the same thing in different words:
Inflation is sticky
Financial conditions need to stay tight
Premature easing = credibility loss

So instead of cutting aggressively, they’re:
→ Holding rates higher
→ Draining liquidity slowly
→ Letting markets absorb the pain
That’s not bullish.
That’s capital discipline.
Why this is bad for crypto
Crypto doesn’t crash because of bad tech.
It crashes when liquidity retreats.
In a hold/tighten world:
No fresh liquidity impulse
No fast Fed pivot
No global easing wave
Bitcoin becomes:
→ A high-beta macro asset
→ A funding source in stress
→ The first thing sold when risk is reduced
No easing = no sustained upside.
Simple.
Carry trades are the silent victim
This is the part FX traders already feel.
Carry trades depend on:
Stable volatility
Predictable rate differentials
Abundant liquidity

When central banks stop easing:
→ Volatility rises
→ Funding costs jump
→ Risk-adjusted carry collapses
That’s when you get:
Sudden FX reversals
Violent unwinds
“Out of nowhere” crashes
Not because the trade was wrong —
but because the regime changed.
My controversial take
This isn’t a temporary pause.
This is central banks telling you:
“We’re done bailing out risk every time it cries.”

That means:
Crypto rallies will be sold
Carry trades will be fragile
Volatility becomes the norm
Anyone trading 2026 like it’s a liquidity-driven bull market
is trading the wrong decade.
Bottom line
Global policy is no longer easing-friendly.

🚨 STOP BUYING THE DIP — THIS IS HOW PEOPLE GET WIPED OUT IN 2026

Let me say it clearly:
Most people buying “the dip” right now are future exit liquidity.
Bitcoin isn’t underperforming.
It’s doing exactly what a macro risk asset does when liquidity is being strangled.
And that’s the part nobody wants to hear.

❌ This is NOT the dip
If your reason to buy is:
“It already dropped a lot”
“Sentiment is bad”
“Everyone is scared”
Congratulations — you’re early.
And early in a macro unwind is the same as wrong.
A real dip doesn’t feel tempting.
It feels boring, hopeless, and forgotten.
We’re not there.

🔥 The uncomfortable truth about Bitcoin right now
Bitcoin is no longer special in the short term.
It trades like:
High-beta tech
A liquidity release valve
A 24/7 ATM for stressed funds
As long as:
Rates stay restrictive
Liquidity stays tight
The Fed refuses to pivot
Every pump is a sell.
Not because Bitcoin is bad —
but because macro doesn’t care about narratives.

💀 Worst-case bear scenario nobody wants to price in
History is brutal and consistent.
From a ~$126K peak:
A -65% to -70% drawdown is completely realistic
That puts BTC around $38K–$45K
That’s where:
Influencers disappear
Conviction evaporates
“Bitcoin is dead” trends again
Not the most popular take.
But markets don’t bottom at popular opinions.

🧠 My personal stance (take it or leave it)
Buy too early → you bleed slowly
Buy every dip → you run out of ammo
Wait for confirmation → you miss nothing
The real money isn’t made by guessing the bottom.
It’s made by waiting until nobody wants to play anymore.
Bitcoin doesn’t bottom on fear.
It bottoms on indifference.
Final warning
If you’re aggressively buying here because you’re afraid of “missing out”…
You’re not early.
You’re being tested.
The market will give you a chance.
But only after it breaks your patience — or your confidence.
Choose wisely.

🚨 THIS WASN’T A SILVER PUMP — IT WAS A WARNING SHOT

Silver just ripped +20% in 10 minutes on Shanghai futures.
That doesn’t happen by accident. Ever.
This wasn’t speculation.
It was allocation.

While the West plays games with leverage and paper claims,
China is rotating out of U.S. exposure and into physical metals.
Physical > paper.

Always.
Shanghai moves first.
Everyone else reacts later.

This is what’s really happening:
→ U.S. assets get sold
→ Physical supply gets front-run
→ Futures gap violently
→ Liquidity disappears
→ Price resets before anyone can hedge
Once physical tightens, price doesn’t grind — it snaps.
We’ve seen this playbook before.
This is not a healthy market move.
It’s what happens when trust breaks.

Now look around:
→ Dollar rolling over
→ Stocks under pressure
→ U.S. assets being offloaded
→ Physical metals bid hard again
Capital doesn’t know where to hide.
The East is accumulating.
The West is still debating narratives.
Watch the flows — not the headlines.

I’ve studied macro for a decade and called most major dumps.
This wasn’t noise.
It’s another warning.

🚨 CRYPTO DIDN’T DUMP — LIQUIDITY DID

Bitcoin broke $66K.
Not news.
Not fear.
Not fundamentals.
This was a LIQUIDITY EVENT.
Nothing failed in Bitcoin.
Global funding did.

The warnings were already there:
Bond yields spiking
Repo markets tightening
Dealer balance sheets shrinking
Risk models flipping to survival mode
Crypto didn’t move first.
It moved fastest.
That’s why BTC always gets hit early.
This was forced selling.
Not conviction loss — collateral stress.

What actually happened:
→ Margin got pulled
→ Collateral got re-priced
→ Funds cut exposure
→ Liquid assets sold first
BTC trades 24/7.
So it becomes the ATM.
Once $70K snapped:
→ Stops fired
→ Liquidations cascaded
→ Price fell through thin books
After that, machines ran the market.
WHY ALTS GOT OBLITERATED
In stress:
BTC gets sold
Alts get dumped
Narratives die last
That’s why you saw -30% to -60% in hours.
Liquidity left the room.

WHAT THIS MOVE IS REALLY SAYING
This wasn’t the end.
It was a warning shot.
It says:
→ Leverage is still too high
→ Liquidity is fragile
→ The “central bank put” is no longer trusted
Crypto crashes when funding breaks.
That’s what Feb 5 was.

WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Not price.
Watch:
Bond yields
Repo stress
Dollar funding
Stablecoin flows
BTC is a lagging indicator here.
I’ve been in this market over a decade.

🚨 THE SAME CRASH PATTERN THAT WIPED OUT WALL STREET IS BACK

In 1929, Roger Babson warned the American economy was about to collapse.
Wall Street laughed.
47 days later, they were ruined.
Babson wasn’t lucky.
He identified a 5-stage pattern that shows up before every major financial crash.

That same pattern appeared before:
– 1987
– 2000
– 2008
And right now?
4 out of 5 stages are flashing red.
That’s not a coincidence.
That’s a warning.

Markets don’t collapse randomly.
They unwind in sequence.
And when people finally agree something is wrong…
the damage is already done.

🚨 BITCOIN BEAR MARKETS DON’T CARE ABOUT YOUR FEELINGS

Bitcoin drawdowns follow a pattern most people choose to ignore:
2011: -93%
2015: -86%
2018: -84%
2022: -77%

Same story every cycle:
Volatility compresses as the market matures.
Smaller drawdowns — but still brutal.
Extend the trend.

A ~-70% drawdown from the $126K ATH puts the real bottom at $38K.
Not $69K.
Not $60K.
Not $50K.

Those are comfort levels — not capitulation.
Everyone wants to “buy the bottom.”
Few are willing to wait for maximum disbelief.
I’ll see you at $38K.

🚨 MY 2026 MARKET CYCLE ROADMAP (READ CAREFULLY)

This isn’t a prediction.
It’s a structure-based roadmap.
Dec: Bull trap — optimism weaponized
Jan: Sharp breakdown — denial cracks
Feb: $BTC ~$65k — panic selling peaks
Mar: Final flush — $BTC ~$50k, capitulation
Apr: Silent accumulation — smart money loads
May: First bounce — retail already gone

Most will think it’s over.
It won’t be.
The decline continues — not in price, but in participation.
Prepare for what comes next.