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#美国伊朗对峙
如今美伊对峙处于“边谈边打、极限拉扯”状态，由于40余年结构性矛盾从而叠加近期军事、外交、制裁全面升级的结果，风险极高但暂未全面开战。

目前关键动态

2月6日：两国在阿曼举行间接谈判（2025年6月美空袭伊朗核设施后首次高层接触），没有实质协议，当前仅保留了沟通渠道。
​
谈判当日：美国宣布了新一轮制裁（15家实体、2人、14艘油轮），来针对伊朗石油贸易；伊朗武装部队进入最高戒备，公开展示射程2000公里的新型弹道导弹。
​
军事部署：美军航母打击群部署阿拉伯海，伊朗强化波斯湾防空与海上巡逻，双方目前都处于高度战备。

最为关键的三大核心死结（根本谈不拢）

第一核问题
美国要求伊朗彻底停止高丰度铀浓缩、销毁库存、关闭关键核设施；但伊朗坚持和平核能是主权，仅接受有限限制，拒绝“零核”。
​
第二导弹与地区势力
美国要求伊朗限制远程导弹、停止支持胡塞、真主党等地区武装；伊朗明确这是国防红线，绝不谈判。
​
第三就是制裁与信任
伊朗要求全面、立即解除制裁；可是美国只同意分阶段松绑，并且谈判后仍加码制裁，导致伊美双方互信基本为零。

另外一个就是深层根源

两国历史：1979年伊斯兰革命后美伊断交，长期处于敌对状态。
​
伊朗扼守霍尔木兹海峡（全球能源咽喉要道），美国要主导中东、来遏制伊朗影响力。
​
而美国维护石油美元与地区霸权，伊朗坚持独立自主、反霸立场。

根据当前局势判断

伊美双方都不愿全面战争（因为这样的代价太大了、而且国内与国际影响都存在非常大的压力）。
​
目前短期都属于外交接触+制裁施压+军事威慑并行，摩擦与误判风险极高。
​
长期来看如果核心分歧解不开，对峙将长期化，这样一定会持续牵动全球能源、金融与中东安全。

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🔹 1. Single-Candle Patterns (Market Mood)
These show immediate sentiment.
1️⃣ Doji
Look: Small body, long wicks
Work: Indecision → trend may pause or reverse
2️⃣ Hammer
Look: Small body, long lower wick
Work: Bearish trend → possible bullish reversal
3️⃣ Inverted Hammer
Work: Buyers trying to step in after a dump
4️⃣ Hanging Man
Work: Bullish trend → warning of reversal down
5️⃣ Shooting Star
Work: Buyers rejected → bearish signal
🔹 2. Two-Candle Patterns (Trend Shift)
These show change in control.
6️⃣ Bullish Engulfing
Work: Strong buying → trend may go up
7️⃣ Bearish Engulfing
Work: Sellers dominate → trend may go down
8️⃣ Tweezer Bottom
Work: Double rejection → bullish bounce
9️⃣ Tweezer Top
Work: Double top → bearish rejection
🔹 3. Three-Candle Patterns (Confirmation)
These give high-confidence signals.
🔟 Morning Star
Work: Bearish → bullish reversal
1️⃣1️⃣ Evening Star
Work: Bullish → bearish reversal
1️⃣2️⃣ Three White Soldiers
Work: Strong bullish continuation
1️⃣3️⃣ Three Black Crows
Work: Strong bearish continuation
🔹 4. Continuation Candles (Trend Strength)
1️⃣4️⃣ Marubozu
Work: Full body → strong trend conviction
1️⃣5️⃣ Spinning Top
Work: Weak momentum → market waiting
📌 How Many Candles Exist?
✔ 50+ named patterns
✔ 15–20 are used by professionals
✔ Context (trend, support, volume) matters more than names
🧠 Pro Tip (Very Important)
Candles do NOT work alone.
Always combine with:
Support & resistance
Volume
RSI / Moving Averages
If you want, I can: ✅ Make a visual candle cheat sheet
✅ Explain which candles work best in crypto
✅ Show real BTC/ETH candle examples
Just tell me 🔥$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
$XRP
{spot}(XRPUSDT)
$USDC
{spot}(USDCUSDT)

🔹 1. Single-Candle Patterns (Market Mood)
These show immediate sentiment.
1️⃣ Doji
Look: Small body, long wicks
Work: Indecision → trend may pause or reverse
2️⃣ Hammer
Look: Small body, long lower wick
Work: Bearish trend → possible bullish reversal
3️⃣ Inverted Hammer
Work: Buyers trying to step in after a dump
4️⃣ Hanging Man
Work: Bullish trend → warning of reversal down
5️⃣ Shooting Star
Work: Buyers rejected → bearish signal
🔹 2. Two-Candle Patterns (Trend Shift)
These show change in control.
6️⃣ Bullish Engulfing
Work: Strong buying → trend may go up
7️⃣ Bearish Engulfing
Work: Sellers dominate → trend may go down
8️⃣ Tweezer Bottom
Work: Double rejection → bullish bounce
9️⃣ Tweezer Top
Work: Double top → bearish rejection
🔹 3. Three-Candle Patterns (Confirmation)
These give high-confidence signals.
🔟 Morning Star
Work: Bearish → bullish reversal
1️⃣1️⃣ Evening Star
Work: Bullish → bearish reversal
1️⃣2️⃣ Three White Soldiers
Work: Strong bullish continuation
1️⃣3️⃣ Three Black Crows
Work: Strong bearish continuation
🔹 4. Continuation Candles (Trend Strength)
1️⃣4️⃣ Marubozu
Work: Full body → strong trend conviction
1️⃣5️⃣ Spinning Top
Work: Weak momentum → market waiting
📌 How Many Candles Exist?
✔ 50+ named patterns
✔ 15–20 are used by professionals
✔ Context (trend, support, volume) matters more than names
🧠 Pro Tip (Very Important)
Candles do NOT work alone.
Always combine with:
Support & resistance
Volume
RSI / Moving Averages
If you want, I can: ✅ Make a visual candle cheat sheet
✅ Explain which candles work best in crypto
✅ Show real BTC/ETH candle examples
Just tell me 🔥$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
$XRP
{spot}(XRPUSDT)
$USDC
{spot}(USDCUSDT)

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聚焦 Upbit 事件： 继 Bybit 后再爆大案！Upbit 被盗 445亿韩元，中心化平台安全何去何从？
完整详情已更新至主页，期待你的查阅

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