XtoxhI18

🚨Most people are distracted by daily candles, but the 99% are about to lose it all.
This isn't FUD—it's a structural macro shift that happens once in a generation.​The signals are quiet, but the math is loud. Here is the professional breakdown of the "Slow-Motion Collapse" unfolding right now:
​1️⃣ The Debt Death Spiral 💸​The U.S. National Debt isn't just a number anymore; it’s a trap. Debt is growing faster than GDP. We aren't in a "Growth Cycle"—we are in a Refinancing Cycle. We are printing money just to pay the interest on the money we already printed.​
2️⃣ Liquidity is Suffocating 🏦​Don't be fooled by "injections." The Fed is pumping cash because the pipes are leaking.​Repo facilities are spiking.​Banks are desperate for cash.​The Reality: Central banks act quietly when they are scared.​
3️⃣ The "Safe Haven" Signal 🟡​Why are Gold and Silver hitting record highs? It’s not a coincidence. Smart money is fleeing "paper assets" and seeking Hard Assets. When confidence in the system erodes, capital rotates to where it can’t be deleted.​
4️⃣ How the Crash Actually Happens:​History shows us the exact sequence every single time:​
5️⃣Funding Tightens (We are here 📍)​Bond Stress Appears 3. Equities Ignore It (The "Trap" Phase)​Volatility Explodes
💥​Risk Assets Reprice (The Great Reset)​⚠️ THE BOTTOM LINE:​By the time the news headlines scream "CRASH," it will be too late. The market whispers before it screams. This is a phase for positioning, not panic. Leverage will be unforgiving in 2026. Risk management is no longer optional—it is your only survival tool.​
Are you prepared for a 2026 market repricing, or are you hoping the music never stops? 👇

So, ICYMI…

The godfather of global liquidity, Michael Howell, expects liquidity (aka: the amount of money sloshing around the global financial market) to peak in Q1 of this year.

With that in mind, one of our PRO All Access members posed this question:

“Given that historically Bitcoin has been closely linked to global liquidity, and it often enters a bear market before liquidity actually peaks, I’m concerned that even if the broader business cycle improves in 2026, as Tomas has suggested in his newsletters, we may already be in a longer-term bear market.”

To which our resident macro big-brain, Tomas (previously mentioned) said this:

“I believe Michael's theory is derived from his famous ‘liquidity waves’ chart.”

“I'll just say I have no idea how this was created - I've tried to recreate it and haven't come anywhere close.”

BUT!

“Crypto can demonstrably perform well when Howell's mysterious liquidity wave is falling.”

“The same liquidity chart was plunging throughout the whole of 2017 (which was the biggest and stupidest crypto mania of all time).”

Phew! Ok, nerves: calmed.

And yet, almost no one is paying attention.

I’m not talking about Trump tariffs.
I’m not talking about Gold and Silver hitting new highs.

For the first time in over a decade, the New York Fed is openly signaling intervention in the Japanese yen.

That is a big deal.

Japanese government bond yields keep pushing to extreme levels.
The Bank of Japan is still in a hawkish mode.
And the yen is falling continuously.

When bond yields rise, the currency usually strengthens.

In Japan, the opposite is happening.

That is a sign something is breaking, and investors are feeling pessimistic about Japan’s economy.

As we know, Japan’s poor economic condition is horrible for the global economy.

And it looks like US policymakers are finally taking this risk seriously.

The New York Fed’s comments suggest a shift. They are now willing to step in and support the yen.

Here is how this usually works.

To support a currency, a central bank uses its own money. They create or use reserves, sell their own currency, and use that money to buy the currency they want to protect.

In simple terms:
The US would sell dollars and buy yen.

That is why markets reacted fast.

The US dollar index just printed one of its weakest weekly candles in months.

Traders are already pricing in a potential dollar devaluation and a stronger yen.

This is not just about helping Japan.

A weaker dollar actually helps the US government.

When the dollar loses value, future US debt becomes easier to deal with. The government still pays the same number of dollars, but those dollars are worth less in real terms.

A weaker dollar also makes US exports cheaper for the rest of the world, which reduces the trade deficit.

So supporting the yen while letting the dollar weaken is not a loss for the US. It is a policy choice that benefits both sides.

But the biggest winners are not governments. They are asset holders.

When a reserve currency like the dollar is devalued, assets priced in that currency usually go up.

Stocks, real estate, metals, and other financial assets rise in nominal terms.

That is already visible.

Most major asset classes are at or near all-time highs.

The only market that is still lagging is crypto.

While stocks and other assets look stretched, crypto is still far below its previous highs.

It has not fully priced in the same level of currency debasement and liquidity.

That is where the opportunity forms.

If the dollar devaluation theme continues, investors will start rotating.

They will look at markets that are trading at a big discount, and crypto will look appealing.

And this is when capital will start rotating out of crowded trades and into the crypto market, setting up one of the best catch-up trades ever.

I've been trading long enough to watch dozens of blue chip alts fade into irrelevancy. Bitcoin is the only asset where I genuinely don't worry about whether or not it will exist in the next 5 or 10 years. So, what is the strategy? How do you accumulate Bitcoin over time to actually build wealth?This is where most people go wrong. They're trying to trade Bitcoin like they do any other altcoins. They're trying to buy and sell, buy every dip, sell every top, get in and out constantly. With Bitcoin, you're much better of accumulate Bitcoin over the long term and allowing it to become part of your long-term portfolio with a multi-year, multi-decade time horizon.This is not a strategy for trading. We're not trying to catch every single pump and dump. What we're trying to do is accumulate Bitcoin over time. So, what's the best way to do that?Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)In my opinion the first one we can consider is dollar cost averaging. Buying regularly regardless of price. This is going to work for the vast majority of people. You're price agnostic and you're buying based on specific time intervals that you stick to.
Bitcoin Bull and Bear CyclesNow, if you want to take it one level further, you can actually analyze the chart and see that Bitcoin moves in relatively predictable bull and bear cycles. Let’s take a look. Basically, every four years in Bitcoin, we have a bull and a bear market. Every bull market, price goes up like crazy. Then we get anywhere from a 70% to 90% plus pullback before the bear market lows.Am I saying you need to wait for Bitcoin to drop 70% plus from all-time high to buy? Of course not. But 30%, 40%, 50% buys on Bitcoin have almost always yielded a very nice entry in the not too distant future. In the bull run, we can see pullbacks from 30% to 40%, sometimes even more, before price continues higher. Generally, once we get past that 50% pullback mark, we’re in a bear market and things can trade significantly lower.The good news is we’re not so worried about timing the bottoms and the tops. We just want to buy when price is at a discount.
Two Ways to Dollar Cost Average
In terms of dollar-cost averaging, there are really two ways to go about it:
1- Buy on predetermined time intervals, completely price agnostic.
2- Buy during massive capitulation events. When you see Bitcoin pull back 40%, 50%, 60%, sometimes more, it almost always and so far every time leads to a very well- discounted buy. You could sell at a much higher price not that long after.If you want a dollar cost average with a little more accuracy, this is how I would do it.
Look at the high timeframe charts only. Wait for those serious pullbacks on Bitcoin, and that’s when you really back up the truck. Otherwise, consistent buys over time are going to outperform almost everyone.This isn’t that complicated, but it can be hard to execute when your emotions are very high. Seeing big red candles, those are difficult to buy.
Remember, when there’s blood in the streets, that’s when we want to be looking for our opportunities. Your goal is to accumulate more Bitcoin over time because, remember, the denominator it’s worthless.
That’s all I got for this article, guys. I hope you enjoyed it.

Sì, Bitcoin sta creando una bandiera ribassista molto simile al 2022.
Sì, HTF e LTF sembrano entrambi ribassisti.
Ma le condizioni di liquidità sono diverse.
Questo è un dato quando si guarda al bilancio della FED.
Questo è qualcosa da tenere a mente.

The Netherlands will tax unrealized capital gains on Bitcoin, stocks, and bonds starting in 2028.
Parliament already approved the legislation which taxes investors annually on asset value changes whether sold or not.
The reform measures the difference between an asset's year-start and year-end value, plus any income.
Probably even more people will move out of the Netherlands now.

Here is everything you need to know:
1. THE GREENLAND PIVOT
The military threat is OFF the table.
"I won't use force."
But the acquisition? It’s still ON.
He demanded "immediate negotiations" to buy the island.
The reason isn't just resources.
It’s the "GOLDEN DOME."
He wants Greenland as a strategic shield against nuclear missiles.
2. EUROPE ON NOTICE
He looked NATO leaders in the eye and told them the hard truth.
"We give so much, we get so little."
He dropped this line to the entire room:
"Without us, you’d be speaking German and Japanese."
The era of the free ride is officially over.
3. THE END OF THE WAR
Ukraine. Russia. It stops now.
Trump claims he knows the mindset of both leaders.
Putin wants a deal.
Zelenskyy wants a deal.
He’s meeting Zelenskyy TODAY to finalize the peace.
4. THE ECONOMIC "MIRACLE"
He’s taking a victory lap on the US economy.
His stance on interest rates is clear:
The US should have the lowest rates on Earth.
Why?
Because the Dollar is the standard.
Without US stability, other nations have "nothing."
So, here’s the summary:
– No war for Greenland.
– Hardball with NATO.
– Peace deal for Ukraine.
What do you guys think about this?