mirza 07

Pertemuan FOMC kemarin berjalan persis seperti yang diharapkan oleh "uang pintar"—suku bunga tetap stabil di 3,5%–3,75%. Namun, cerita sebenarnya bukanlah penundaan; itu adalah kurangnya persatuan. Untuk pertama kalinya dalam siklus ini, kita melihat ketidaksepakatan yang menonjol (Waller dan Miran) mendesak untuk pemotongan.
The Fed tidak lagi menjadi monolit. Retakan mulai terbentuk, dan pasar mengetahuinya.
📉 Cuplikan Pasar:
Bitcoin ($BTC ): Menstabilkan di $88,154. Kami melihat penurunan singkat ke $87,600 setelah pengumuman, tetapi dukungan $88k terbukti tangguh.

Rally "Tahun Baru" awal 2026 telah menghadapi tembok yang signifikan. Sementara Bitcoin tetap menjadi raja yang tak terbantahkan dari aset digital, aksi harga hari ini menguji ketahanan bahkan dari HODLers yang paling berpengalaman. Mari kita uraikan teknikal, data on-chain, dan kebisingan makro.
​🔍 1. Indikator Teknikal: Pertikaian "Bulls vs. Bears"
​Diagram saat ini memberikan sinyal campuran, yang biasanya mendahului lonjakan volatilitas yang besar.
​Rata-rata Bergerak: Bitcoin saat ini melayang sedikit di atas EMA 50 harinya ($86,200). Secara historis, penutupan harian di bawah level ini telah mengarah pada pengujian ulang SMA 200 hari, yang saat ini berada jauh di bawah di $74,500.

Tagar #TrumpTariffs terutama merujuk pada kebijakan perdagangan yang diterapkan oleh Donald Trump, khususnya penggunaannya terhadap tarif (pajak pada barang impor) sebagai alat utama dari kebijakan ekonomi dan luar negerinya.
Inti dari kebijakannya dalam pemerintahan keduanya telah beralih ke pendekatan tarif yang lebih agresif dan menyeluruh.
🇺🇸 Elemen Kunci dari Tarif
Tarif Universal/Dasar: Tarif 10% dikenakan pada hampir semua barang impor dari negara-negara yang belum dikenakan sanksi lainnya, yang mulai berlaku pada 5 April 2025. Ini diterapkan menggunakan Undang-Undang Kekuasaan Ekonomi Darurat Internasional (IEEPA).

In late November 2025, the crypto market is experiencing a rout that has sent Bitcoin to its worst monthly slump since 2022. This downturn is linked to a wider flight from riskier assets, with some analysts noting a connection between crypto and big tech market movements. Despite the market volatility, several projects and institutions are moving forward with developments. 

Market conditions and factors

Wider market downturn: Riskier assets, including crypto, are experiencing significant declines, with Bitcoin falling to a seven-month low and nearing year-to-date lows.$BTC

Correlation with tech stocks: Some analysts note that the selling pressure in crypto is related to losses in big tech, creating a "violent cycle to the downside".

Federal Reserve and macro concerns: Mixed signals from the Federal Reserve regarding future interest rate cuts and government shutdown fears have dampened risk appetite.

ETF outflows and profit-taking: Despite large ETF inflows earlier in the year, recent significant outflows and ongoing tech profit-taking are contributing to the market correction. 

Key news and developments

Bitcoin slump: Bitcoin has experienced its worst monthly slump since 2022, and its price tumbled below $90,000 to a seven-month low. Some analysts believe a key test for its future lies 18 months ahead.

CoinDCX crisis: The Indian crypto unicorn CoinDCX is facing a crisis following a $44 million hack and senior-level departures.

Project developments:#BTCVolatility #CPIWatch $BTC

Mutuum Finance: The DeFi project has moved into Phase 2 development and is currently undergoing a security audit by Halborn Security.

Blazpay: The DeFi hub, which uses AI-driven automation, is continuing its presale as it nears the end of its Phase 4.

Bitcoin Munari: This new project has opened its public presale at $0.10 per token and plans to deploy on Solana in early 2026.

Exchange delisting: Binance Futures will delist the USDⓈ-M PORT3USDT perpetual contract on November 23.

VanEck concern: VanEck CEO has voiced concerns about Bitcoin's encryption and privacy, suggesting the firm might walk away unless quantum-resistant privacy is adopted.
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UK fraud office investigation: The UK fraud office is probing a $28 million cryptocurrency collapse tied to Basis Markets. 

InsightsNewsCryptocurrencies
Two AI tokens with potential to rally as Bitcoin leans into September rate cut
Source Fxstreet
Sep 5, 2025 20:52
Bitcoin regains bullish momentum, briefly breaks above $113,000 and retreats.Bittensor targets a 16% wedge pattern breakout to $375 in the short term.Internet Computer is on the verge of a 13% move backed by multiple buy signals.
Bitcoin (BTC) leads the market in recovery on Friday, breaking above resistance at $113,000 before fast-tracking its pullback below $112,000. Interest in the crypto market has been picking up pace this week as select United States (US) economic data support the need for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates in September.
US economic data signal September rate cut
The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) rose by 22,000 in August, below market expectations of 75,000, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday. 
Similarly, the Unemployment Rate increased to 4.3% from 4.2% in July, pointing to a cooling labor market.
The Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, had last month hinted at the need for a monetary policy change, but stressed the need to monitor incoming data. Investors will closely monitor data over the coming week, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on September 11, to gain insight into the Fed’s monetary policy direction.
An interest rate cut is expected to boost interest in riskier asset classes, such as cryptocurrencies and equities, with investors and crypto enthusiasts looking forward to a bullish fourth quarter.
Bitcoin is trading above $111,000 after correcting from a macro-driven intraday swing to $113,384. Interest in BTC picked up pace after the release of US Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate data, which pointed to a cooling labor market while increasing the probability of what would be the first interest rate cut this year.
The days leading up to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will provide insight into the direction the Bitcoin price may take as it heads into the fourth quarter.
A breakout above the $118,000 round-figure resistance could increase the probability of Bitcoin price reclaiming support above $120,000 and later extending the uptrend above the current all-time high of $124,474.

BTC/USDT daily chart 
AI tokens update: Bittensor and Internet Computer 
Bittensor (TAO), the largest AI token with a market capitalisation of $3.1 billion, is trading above $315 after briefly swinging to $327 on Friday. There was a fake confirmation of a falling wedge pattern breakout, projecting a 16% surge to $375.
However, profit-taking quickly snuffed out part of the intraday gains as TAO retreated below the upper trendline resistance. The falling wedge pattern remains unbroken as it stands, awaiting confirmation. 
Meanwhile, the sharp reversal in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45 on the 4-hour chart highlights the importance of risk management. If the pullback develops into a downtrend, traders will shift their attention to the next key support at $300.