$BTC
5 out of 6 of my scales have now been hit.
My current average entry sits at 95,673.
After careful consideration, I’ve decided to close 25% of the position at a loss. This effectively wipes out the gains from the initial move I caught from 94K > 90K. That said, I believe this is the most prudent decision overall.
By doing this, I’ve pushed my liquidation level out to 112K. I said multiple times in the 110–120K region that I believed BTC had topped. After months of getting mocked for that view, the thesis played out. I captured roughly a 30% drop from the 123K swing shorts, which were posted publicly.
The reason for extending my liquidation to 112K is simple: I believe we still have a few more weeks before a meaningful reversal fully plays out. Call it aggressive if you want, but this is how I structure my swing positions.
With my current average at 95,673, my realistic target is 63K, which still offers close to a 2R:R setup. To me, that is far more attractive than positioning for further upside at this stage.
Using cross margin allows me to position this way. And no, I’m not risking my entire net worth. My liquidation represents only a percentage of my total assets. In the worst case, I’m essentially giving back profits from the previous 123K swing short, which I’m completely fine with.
As always, this is not financial advice. My swing system works for me, but it won’t work for everyone. Yes, we could retrace back to my entry and I could wait to break even, but risk management comes first.
So my invalidation (liquidation) level is 112K.
Come get me, market makers.
Based on the provided TradingView chart image analysis (ETH/USDT weekly chart), here is an analysis suitable for sharing in English for potential buyers:
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Technical Analysis: Ethereum (ETH/USDT) – Weekly Chart
Current Status:
· Price: $3,241.33 (📈 +2.64% / +83.42)
· Weekly Range: $3,065.55 – $3,402.89
· Recent High: $3,373.43 (44 days ago)
Key Indicators:
1. RSI Divergence Indicator (14 close): 47.09
· Signal: BEARISH divergence detected.
· Suggests potential weakening of upward momentum.
2. Multi-Timeframe MACD (CM_Ult_MacD_MTF):
· MACD: -94.48
· Signal Line: -23.82
· Histogram: -70.66
· Interpretation: MACD is deep in negative territory, indicating strong bearish momentum on higher timeframes.
Chart Context:
· The chart shows a significant rally from mid-2024 (~$1,500) to a peak near $4,977.6 in early 2026.
· Since then, price has corrected and is currently consolidating around the $3,200–$3,400 zone.
· Key support to watch: $3,065 (weekly low).
· Key resistance: $3,403 (weekly high).
Conclusion & Outlook:
While Ethereum shows short-term bullish momentum (green weekly candle), higher timeframe indicators are bearish:
· RSI divergence suggests loss of bullish strength.
· MACD remains negative on weekly and multi-timeframe analysis.
For Buyers:
· Entry Consideration: Wait for a break above $3,403 with volume for confirmation of renewed bullish momentum.
· Risk Management: A break below **$3,065** could signal further decline toward next support near $2,800.
· Strategy: Given the bearish divergence, consider waiting for confirmation before entering long positions. Alternatively, look for smaller timeframe entries if bullish structure holds.
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This analysis is based on a weekly chart and is for informational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and consider risk management before trading.$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
#ETH #TEAMMATRIX
Hedge funds are extremely bullish on semiconductor stocks:
Semiconductor and semiconductor equipment stocks now reflect 7.5% of total global hedge fund market exposure, the highest on record.
This metric has DOUBLED since 2022, driven by surging prices of the sector’s stocks and increasingly aggressive positioning.
Meanwhile, net exposure, which measures positioning after accounting for hedges, is up to 10.5%, also an all-time high.
Net exposure has risen +900% since 2022
Hedge funds are heavily exposed to chip stocks.
$BTC