🚨 IT’S GETTING OUT OF CONTROL…
The China-U.S. silver spread just blew out to levels we’ve NEVER seen before.
China tightening silver exports isn’t about price control, it’s about domestic priority.
When Beijing starts licensing exports, global supply gets rationed whether traders like it or not.
The Shanghai premium tells you everything.
Physical silver is already trading well above Western spot prices, which means the paper market is lagging reality again.
Silver isn’t just a metal… It sits at the intersection of industrial demand, energy transition, and monetary stress.
Historically, moves like this show up right at the end of cycles, not at the beginning.
Higher costs bleed through to earnings fast, and it leaves central banks with bad choices and markets don’t like that… trust me.
Matter of fact, I believe a recession is coming sometime next year, probably Q3.
$BTC
I’ve watched countless people call for a super cycle this cycle, and every single one of them was wrong.
So here’s my bold prediction.
The real super cycle begins when precious metals roll over into a multi-year downtrend while Bitcoin, driven by absolute scarcity, breaks to new highs. That’s the true rotation. Boomers stay parked in gold, while a new generation of capital moves into a new asset class. Metals underperform, and Bitcoin absorbs the flow.
Look at gold in 1972 compared to where Bitcoin is heading into 2027. The setup is almost identical. It aligns perfectly with the idea that Bitcoin massively outperforms every asset class in the next cycle.
Gold’s market cap sits around $31.7 trillion. Bitcoin’s is roughly $1.83 trillion. Even at $200,000 per BTC, the market cap would only be about $5 trillion, still 6 times smaller than gold.
And as always, there will be reasons not to buy. This time it’s quantum computing/AI. Before that it was regulation, energy use, volatility. Fear always finds a new costume.
That fear will push people out of the market right before the real move begins.
I’ll be buying.
Because this is likely the last bear cycle where Bitcoin trades below $100,000.
Here’s my prediction. No filters. No hedging. No two sided bullshit. $BTC $XAU
🚨
THE $3.5 TRILLION FRAGILE FORTRESS
I spent 6 months analyzing leaked OpenAI documents, FTC filings, and restructuring footnotes.
What I found changes everything about Microsoft.
OpenAI spent $12.4 BILLION on Azure in 2024-2025.
Their revenue: $4.3 billion.
Read that again.
They're burning $2.20 to make $1.00.
Microsoft books this as "AI cloud growth."
The FTC calls it "circular financing."
I call it a financial ouroboros eating its own tail.
But here's the bombshell nobody is talking about:
Page 47 of the October 2025 restructuring docs:
"Microsoft's exclusive cloud provider status has been modified to preferred partner status."
EXCLUSIVE IS DEAD.
The $500B Stargate project? Running on Oracle Cloud.
Oracle's backlog just hit $523 BILLION.
Up 438% in one year.
The entire Microsoft AI premium was built on exclusivity that NO LONGER EXISTS.
Meanwhile:
→ Custom Maia chips delayed to 2026 → GPU depreciation hiding $18B in annual costs
→ 5 regulators circling with $25B exposure → Security culture deemed "inadequate" by federal review board
At 35x earnings, there is ZERO margin for error.
PREDICTION:
By July 1, 2026, Microsoft announces accelerated depreciation. EPS drops 10-15%.
Every sovereign wealth fund I brief is repositioning.
The smart money sees it.
Do you?
Bookmark this.
The arithmetic is merciless.
NFA DYOR
$BTC
🚨 SILVER: THE GREATEST MISPRICING IN 45 YEARS
What you think happened: Speculation drove silver +169%.
What actually happened:
China made the most catastrophic strategic error in commodity market history.
In October 2025, Chinese bullion banks shipped 660 tonnes of silver to London to capture 35% lease rate arbitrage.
One month later, MOFCOM announced export licensing effective January 1, 2026.
They sold their safety valve to the West. Then locked the door.
THE NUMBERS ARE MERCILESS:
820 million ounces consumed since 2021. That's one full year of global mine production—permanently gone.
SHFE warehouses at 852 tonnes. Decade lows. 30 trading days from theoretical zero at current burn rate.
Shanghai premium: $8/oz over London. The arbitrage mechanism that governed pricing for 40 years has broken.
Lease rates hit 40% annualized. The last time? 1980.
BUT HERE'S WHAT THEY'RE MISSING:
This is not 1980. Industrial demand is 59% of consumption vs 35% then.
Solar alone consumes 232 million ounces annually. TOPCon cells require 30% more silver than legacy PERC. HJT requires 120% more.
This demand cannot evaporate. The panels are being installed. The factories run 24/7. They bid for silver because production shutdown costs exceed any premium.
The price mechanism has ceased to function.
MY FALSIFIABLE PREDICTION:
By March 31, 2026, the Shanghai premium will exceed $12/oz as MOFCOM processes zero export licenses for non-state entities.
The old equilibrium is gone. Resource sovereignty has begun.
The window for arbitrage closed January 1.
The question isn't whether silver stays elevated.
The question is whether the West understands it's now paying tribute to Beijing for every solar panel, every EV, every semiconductor that requires the metal with the highest electrical conductivity on Earth.
Thoughts?
$BTC
Even though there is a lot of hype surrounding gold and silver right now (their parabolic moves are awesome and long overdue),
I think it's foolish to lose sight of how superior Bitcoin is and its price potential.
I have no doubt that BTC will see its own meteoric rise, on its own time, whether that starts in 1 month, 1 year or 4 more years.
I am confident Bitcoin will continue to outperform gold and silver on a long-term basis.
Patience rewards, as always.
It's unwise to chase parabolic moves, especially those that are well advanced. Instead, it's a time for setting trailing stop losses if you are already invested. It's not a time for chasing.
My long term bullishness for $BTC has not lessened at all, even in light of gold and silver's big moves while BTC goes sideways.
Congrats to the people holding gold & silver, as they've waited a LONG TIME to see such a move up. They deserve it, as far as I'm concerned.
I hold a tiny bit of silver and it's nice to see it finally make some big moves, but my eye is still on Bitcoin. There is simpy too much global adoption that has yet to be fulfilled by BTC. In a technological world, digital value is clearly the right place to be positioned.