Has Bitcoin Found a Floor Near $86K? ONE BTC Indicator Says…
Bitcoin’s price has been under pressure lately, hovering around $86,000 as bulls and bears battle for control. On-chain metrics and technical tools are giving mixed signals, but one important indicator is drawing attention for what it could mean about a potential floor.
What’s Going On With Bitcoin
Right now BTC is trading close to the $86,000 support zone, a level that’s acted as a pivot point in recent weeks. Prices have bounced off this area several times but haven’t managed a sustained move higher above $88K–$90K, which remains a key resistance band that traders are watching.
Market sentiment is fragile and still leaning toward fear, which historically can make bottoms harder to confirm. That’s partly reflected in Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator, which measures how many investors are in profit vs. loss. When NUPL falls into negative territory, it can signal strong accumulation and often marks macro market bottoms. Right now the metric is still positive but trending lower, suggesting that many holders are nervous and selling into weakness rather than buying aggressively.
Why the Indicator Matters
The NUPL indicator has a solid historical track record in Bitcoin cycles. In past cycles, when NUPL went negative, it often marked a major capitulation phase before a strong recovery began. That hasn’t happened this time yet, meaning BTC may not have hit a long-term bottom even if it’s holding near $86K for now.
But there’s another part of the picture that’s a bit more optimistic: despite the weak sentiment, some longer-term holders and on-chain data show signs of accumulation rather than capitulation, which could build a foundation beneath this price range if those trends grow stronger.
Support, Resistance, and What Could Happen Next Technically, $86K is significant for a few reasons
Bitcoin has bounced near this region before, and some analysts see it as a demand zone where buyers step in. If BTC can break and hold above the $88,000–$90,000 resistance range, it would improve confidence and make a rebound more likely.Failure to hold below $86K could lead to deeper tests of support closer to the $82K–$84K range. Market structure and order flow data suggest that downside is still possible if selling intensifies. What This Means for Traders and Investors
Right now, the NUPL indicator isn’t showing a confirmed market bottom, but it’s also not flashing extreme bearish signals. Instead the indicator reflects a market where fear still influences behavior, and bulls need stronger demand and momentum to flip the short-term trend.
If Bitcoin can stabilize above $86K and NUPL begins to turn higher, that shift could help build confidence and make this level look more like a true floor. On the flip side, continued weakness and poor demand could push BTC back down below $84K or lower. In short, $86K is an important support zone, but not yet a confirmed bottom according to the current indicator setup. Traders will likely be watching both on-chain signals and price action in the coming weeks to see which direction sentiment and flows break.$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) $SOL {future}(SOLUSDT)
🚨 TRUMP JUST TANKED THE DOLLAR? 💸📉 "No, I think it's great." 🤯
That is literally what President Trump just said about the crashing US Dollar in Iowa. While the mainstream media panics, the DXY (Dollar Index) has smashed down to a 4-year low (95.566), levels we haven't seen since Feb 2022! The Result? A Historic Pump for Hard Assets 🚀 While Fiat bleeds, Gold is going absolutely PARABOLIC.
🥇 Price: Hit a massive $5,265/oz (+1.6% overnight).
📈 Momentum: Up nearly $700 (+15%) in just 1.5 weeks!
🔥 Trend: Since late 2025, Gold is up 22%. Trump wants a weak Dollar to boost US exports, but for us, the signal is clear: Fiat is losing purchasing power FAST.
As the Dollar dumps, smart money is flooding into hedges. First Gold moves... is Crypto next? 👀💎 Question for the squad: With the DXY in freefall, are you rotation into Gold or Bitcoin right now? Let me know below! 👇
As we head into the #January2026 close, Bitcoin is navigating a high-stakes environment. While precious metals like Gold ($5,100+) and Silver ($110+) shatter records, $BTC remains stuck in a narrow range, currently testing critical support levels. 1. Price Action: The #$86,000 Battleground Bitcoin recently dipped to $86,000, losing key weekly support at $87,500. Traders are closely monitoring the 100-week SMA ($87,250). A failure to reclaim these levels could open the door to the low $80s, fueled by nearly $750 million in cross-crypto liquidations. Despite the sell-off, order book data shows strong liquidity absorption, suggesting tactical selling rather than outright panic.
2. Macro Watch: #FOMC and Global Shifts 🏛️ This week’s FOMC meeting is the primary focal point. While interest rates are expected to remain steady, Chair Jerome Powell’s guidance is crucial amid ongoing tensions and shifts in Fed leadership. * The "Wild" 2026: Markets are pricing in geopolitical instability, potential U.S. government shutdown risks, and a stronger Euro. * The Divergence: Crypto is currently lagging behind stocks and commodities. Analysts suggest this "valuation gap" between Bitcoin and Gold/Silver is at historic extremes, potentially signaling a generational rotation opportunity.
3. Regulation & Adoption: Germany Leads the Way 🇩🇪 Germany continues to professionalize the sector under the Kryptomärkteaufsichtsgesetz (KMAG) and the EU’s MiCA framework. * Full Implementation: 2026 marks the end of transitional periods for Crypto-Asset Service Providers (CASPs). Licensing is now mandatory, bringing institutional-grade market integrity rules (insider trading and market abuse prohibitions) to the on-chain world. * Tax Transparency: The DAC8 directive is now live. Exchanges must report domestic and cross-border transactions to authorities. In Germany, the one-year holding rule for tax-free gains remains a key pillar for long-term investors. 4. On-Chain: Short-Term Holder Capitulation 📉
Data shows Short-Term Holders (STHs)—those holding less than six months—are realizing losses at levels reminiscent of the 2022 bear market bottom. With supply in profit dropping to 62%, the market is at a psychological "inflection point." Historically, when supply in profit stays below 70%, it signals a prolonged bottoming phase before a trend reversal. The Bottom Line: High macro volatility and record-breaking metal prices are keeping crypto sidelined for now. However, professional traders view the current "tactical distribution" and STH capitulation as the final stages of a bottoming process before a potential move toward the $145,000 target. 🚀 What is your primary risk hedge this FOMC week? Stay sharp. Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Data-driven market analysis for informational purposes only.
Historically, when Bitcoin’s correlation with gold turns negative, something wild tends to happen:
📊 $BTC rallies ~56% on average within ~2 months
There was only one exception — May 2021, driven by: • China’s mining crackdown • Forced deleveraging across the market
Fast forward to 2026: • Global liquidity is expanding • The Fed’s quantitative tightening is ending • #ETF demand + institutional flows are still in play
On-chain data tracking coins dormant for over 5 years (true OG supply) shows something very clear:
🧊 Selling pressure is fading fast • Earlier in this cycle, OG holders were distributing ~2,300 BTC into strength • As of January, that number has dropped close to ~1,000 BTC • Translation: fewer ancient coins are hitting the market
Why does this matter?
Because OGs usually sell into tops. And right now, they’re doing the opposite: holding.
💬 CryptoQuant analyst #DarkFrost summed it up perfectly:
“Their selling pressure, which can sometimes be massive, has clearly decreased, and the prevailing trend now seems to lean more toward holding rather than distribution.”
At the same time, Bitcoin is seeing its largest net outflows from exchanges since December 2024.
📉 Less BTC on exchanges = tighter supply 📈 Tighter supply + demand = price pressure upward
🚨 $BTC “REAL Breakout” Has Officially Started Here’s Why $107K Is Back on the Table 🚨
Bitcoin doesn’t move quietly when it’s serious. And right now? The charts, the on-chain data, and the macro signals are all whispering the same thing:
👉 This breakout looks real.
Over the last 8 hours, BTC has entered a decisive phase that could flip $100,000 into support and open the door toward $107,000 in the coming days or weeks.
Let’s break it down, no fluff, just signal. 👇
🧩 1. The Chart Says: “Breakout Confirmed”
If you zoom out and actually look at the structure (see the charts 👀), Bitcoin just did something extremely important.
🔺 #AscendingTriangle → #Breakout → #Retest • BTC broke above a multi-week ascending triangle around $95K • Instead of dumping (classic fakeout), price retested the breakout level as support • Buyers stepped in fast — exactly what you want to see in a real breakout
This isn’t hype — this is textbook market behavior.
📐 Measured move target: By adding the triangle’s height to the breakout zone, the technical target lands near $107,000 — potentially as soon as February.
⚡ Bonus signal: Bull Cross Incoming
On the daily chart, the 20-day #EMA (green) is about to cross above the 50-day EMA (red).
The last time BTC printed this setup? ➡️ +17% in the following month
Remember $DOGE 800% breakout in 2021? 🥲 From meme to serious market mover, it surprised traders and investors alike. Do you still remember where you were when #DOGE went parabolic?#memecoins #memes #2021
The Relative Address Supply Distribution shows how a cryptocurrency’s supply is divided among small and large holders, indicating ownership concentration.
Emma Nickels
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Set Price Alterts and continue to watch $BTC Whales are moving 🐋👀
On-chain data shows big holders quietly positioning after months of chop between $86k–$94k.
My take: $94,000 is the key level right now 🚨 Set your price alerts 📲 what happens from here is crucial and could get very volatile fast ⚡️📉📈
When whales buy into fear and move near pivots… things usually get interesting 🚀💥
$$XRP has been clinging to the 20-day EMA ($1.90) for the past few days, increasing the likelihood of an upside breakout.
If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair could rise to the downtrend line. There is resistance at the 50-day #SMA ($2.02), but it is likely to be crossed. Sellers are expected to mount a strong defense at the downtrend line. If the price turns down sharply from the downtrend line, the pair may remain inside the channel for some more time.
The $1.61 level is the critical support to watch out for on the downside. If the level cracks, the XRP price may start a new downtrend toward the Oct. 10 low of $1.25.