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Emma Nickels

Small researcher with high hopes for the future.
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Publications
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Will $BTC hit $80k or $100k first?
Will $BTC hit $80k or $100k first?
$80.000
$100.000
1 jour(s) restant(s)
🇷🇺 Russia’s New Crypto Law The 2027 Roadmap 🔓 Russia is officially pivoting. The State #Duma votes this June on a massive regulatory shift. Here is the "too long; didn’t read" for traders: • The Timeline: Voting ends July 2024. Full market access starts July 1, 2027. • Retail Rules: Non-pros are capped at $4,000/year and limited to "liquid" assets like $BTC , $ETH, $SOL , and $TON . • Pro Traders: Unlimited access to all assets, but Privacy Coins (#XMR , #ZEC ) remain strictly banned. • The Catch: Crypto is for investment and global trade only. Using it to buy a coffee in Russia stays illegal. The Verdict: A major economy is onboarding millions. It’s a massive liquidity play, even with the retail training wheels on. 📈 #Russia
🇷🇺 Russia’s New Crypto Law
The 2027 Roadmap 🔓

Russia is officially pivoting. The State #Duma votes this June on a massive regulatory shift.

Here is the "too long; didn’t read" for traders:
• The Timeline: Voting ends July 2024. Full market access starts July 1, 2027.

• Retail Rules: Non-pros are capped at $4,000/year and limited to "liquid" assets like $BTC , $ETH, $SOL , and $TON .

• Pro Traders: Unlimited access to all assets, but Privacy Coins (#XMR , #ZEC ) remain strictly banned.

• The Catch: Crypto is for investment and global trade only. Using it to buy a coffee in Russia stays illegal.

The Verdict: A major economy is onboarding millions. It’s a massive liquidity play, even with the retail training wheels on. 📈

#Russia
Sideways! ;) $BTC
Sideways! ;) $BTC
Emma Nickels
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$BTC sideways?!
Honey .. one indicator is not enough! 👸🏼🥲
Honey .. one indicator is not enough! 👸🏼🥲
Crypto Expert BNB
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Has Bitcoin Found a Floor Near $86K? ONE BTC Indicator Says…
Bitcoin’s price has been under pressure lately, hovering around $86,000 as bulls and bears battle for control. On-chain metrics and technical tools are giving mixed signals, but one important indicator is drawing attention for what it could mean about a potential floor.

What’s Going On With Bitcoin

Right now BTC is trading close to the $86,000 support zone, a level that’s acted as a pivot point in recent weeks. Prices have bounced off this area several times but haven’t managed a sustained move higher above $88K–$90K, which remains a key resistance band that traders are watching.

Market sentiment is fragile and still leaning toward fear, which historically can make bottoms harder to confirm. That’s partly reflected in Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator, which measures how many investors are in profit vs. loss. When NUPL falls into negative territory, it can signal strong accumulation and often marks macro market bottoms. Right now the metric is still positive but trending lower, suggesting that many holders are nervous and selling into weakness rather than buying aggressively.

Why the Indicator Matters

The NUPL indicator has a solid historical track record in Bitcoin cycles. In past cycles, when NUPL went negative, it often marked a major capitulation phase before a strong recovery began. That hasn’t happened this time yet, meaning BTC may not have hit a long-term bottom even if it’s holding near $86K for now.

But there’s another part of the picture that’s a bit more optimistic: despite the weak sentiment, some longer-term holders and on-chain data show signs of accumulation rather than capitulation, which could build a foundation beneath this price range if those trends grow stronger.

Support, Resistance, and What Could Happen Next
Technically, $86K is significant for a few reasons

Bitcoin has bounced near this region before, and some analysts see it as a demand zone where buyers step in.
If BTC can break and hold above the $88,000–$90,000 resistance range, it would improve confidence and make a rebound more likely.Failure to hold below $86K could lead to deeper tests of support closer to the $82K–$84K range. Market structure and order flow data suggest that downside is still possible if selling intensifies.
What This Means for Traders and Investors

Right now, the NUPL indicator isn’t showing a confirmed market bottom, but it’s also not flashing extreme bearish signals. Instead the indicator reflects a market where fear still influences behavior, and bulls need stronger demand and momentum to flip the short-term trend.

If Bitcoin can stabilize above $86K and NUPL begins to turn higher, that shift could help build confidence and make this level look more like a true floor. On the flip side, continued weakness and poor demand could push BTC back down below $84K or lower.
In short, $86K is an important support zone, but not yet a confirmed bottom according to the current indicator setup. Traders will likely be watching both on-chain signals and price action in the coming weeks to see which direction sentiment and flows break.$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
$SOL
{future}(SOLUSDT)
🚨 TRUMP JUST TANKED THE DOLLAR? 💸📉 "No, I think it's great." 🤯 That is literally what President Trump just said about the crashing US Dollar in Iowa. While the mainstream media panics, the DXY (Dollar Index) has smashed down to a 4-year low (95.566), levels we haven't seen since Feb 2022! The Result? A Historic Pump for Hard Assets 🚀 While Fiat bleeds, Gold is going absolutely PARABOLIC. 🥇 Price: Hit a massive $5,265/oz (+1.6% overnight). 📈 Momentum: Up nearly $700 (+15%) in just 1.5 weeks! 🔥 Trend: Since late 2025, Gold is up 22%. Trump wants a weak Dollar to boost US exports, but for us, the signal is clear: Fiat is losing purchasing power FAST. As the Dollar dumps, smart money is flooding into hedges. First Gold moves... is Crypto next? 👀💎 Question for the squad: With the DXY in freefall, are you rotation into Gold or Bitcoin right now? Let me know below! 👇 #Gold #china #india #DXY #Crypto #Trading #Trump #Economy #Bitcoin #Inflation
🚨 TRUMP JUST TANKED THE DOLLAR? 💸📉
"No, I think it's great." 🤯

That is literally what President Trump just said about the crashing US Dollar in Iowa. While the mainstream media panics, the DXY (Dollar Index) has smashed down to a 4-year low (95.566), levels we haven't seen since Feb 2022!
The Result? A Historic Pump for Hard Assets 🚀
While Fiat bleeds, Gold is going absolutely PARABOLIC.

🥇 Price: Hit a massive $5,265/oz (+1.6% overnight).

📈 Momentum: Up nearly $700 (+15%) in just 1.5 weeks!

🔥 Trend: Since late 2025, Gold is up 22%.
Trump wants a weak Dollar to boost US exports, but for us, the signal is clear: Fiat is losing purchasing power FAST.

As the Dollar dumps, smart money is flooding into hedges. First Gold moves... is Crypto next? 👀💎
Question for the squad: With the DXY in freefall, are you rotation into Gold or Bitcoin right now? Let me know below! 👇

#Gold #china #india #DXY #Crypto #Trading #Trump #Economy #Bitcoin #Inflation
$BTC sideways?!
$BTC sideways?!
Bitcoin Is LaggingAs we head into the #January2026 close, Bitcoin is navigating a high-stakes environment. While precious metals like Gold ($5,100+) and Silver ($110+) shatter records, $BTC remains stuck in a narrow range, currently testing critical support levels. 1. Price Action: The #$86,000 Battleground Bitcoin recently dipped to $86,000, losing key weekly support at $87,500. Traders are closely monitoring the 100-week SMA ($87,250). A failure to reclaim these levels could open the door to the low $80s, fueled by nearly $750 million in cross-crypto liquidations. Despite the sell-off, order book data shows strong liquidity absorption, suggesting tactical selling rather than outright panic. 2. Macro Watch: #FOMC‬⁩ and Global Shifts 🏛️ This week’s FOMC meeting is the primary focal point. While interest rates are expected to remain steady, Chair Jerome Powell’s guidance is crucial amid ongoing tensions and shifts in Fed leadership. * The "Wild" 2026: Markets are pricing in geopolitical instability, potential U.S. government shutdown risks, and a stronger Euro. * The Divergence: Crypto is currently lagging behind stocks and commodities. Analysts suggest this "valuation gap" between Bitcoin and Gold/Silver is at historic extremes, potentially signaling a generational rotation opportunity. 3. Regulation & Adoption: Germany Leads the Way 🇩🇪 Germany continues to professionalize the sector under the Kryptomärkteaufsichtsgesetz (KMAG) and the EU’s MiCA framework. * Full Implementation: 2026 marks the end of transitional periods for Crypto-Asset Service Providers (CASPs). Licensing is now mandatory, bringing institutional-grade market integrity rules (insider trading and market abuse prohibitions) to the on-chain world. * Tax Transparency: The DAC8 directive is now live. Exchanges must report domestic and cross-border transactions to authorities. In Germany, the one-year holding rule for tax-free gains remains a key pillar for long-term investors. 4. On-Chain: Short-Term Holder Capitulation 📉 Data shows Short-Term Holders (STHs)—those holding less than six months—are realizing losses at levels reminiscent of the 2022 bear market bottom. With supply in profit dropping to 62%, the market is at a psychological "inflection point." Historically, when supply in profit stays below 70%, it signals a prolonged bottoming phase before a trend reversal. The Bottom Line: High macro volatility and record-breaking metal prices are keeping crypto sidelined for now. However, professional traders view the current "tactical distribution" and STH capitulation as the final stages of a bottoming process before a potential move toward the $145,000 target. 🚀 What is your primary risk hedge this FOMC week? Stay sharp. Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Data-driven market analysis for informational purposes only.

Bitcoin Is Lagging

As we head into the #January2026 close, Bitcoin is navigating a high-stakes environment. While precious metals like Gold ($5,100+) and Silver ($110+) shatter records, $BTC remains stuck in a narrow range, currently testing critical support levels.
1. Price Action: The #$86,000 Battleground
Bitcoin recently dipped to $86,000, losing key weekly support at $87,500. Traders are closely monitoring the 100-week SMA ($87,250). A failure to reclaim these levels could open the door to the low $80s, fueled by nearly $750 million in cross-crypto liquidations. Despite the sell-off, order book data shows strong liquidity absorption, suggesting tactical selling rather than outright panic.

2. Macro Watch: #FOMC‬⁩ and Global Shifts 🏛️
This week’s FOMC meeting is the primary focal point. While interest rates are expected to remain steady, Chair Jerome Powell’s guidance is crucial amid ongoing tensions and shifts in Fed leadership.
* The "Wild" 2026: Markets are pricing in geopolitical instability, potential U.S. government shutdown risks, and a stronger Euro.
* The Divergence: Crypto is currently lagging behind stocks and commodities. Analysts suggest this "valuation gap" between Bitcoin and Gold/Silver is at historic extremes, potentially signaling a generational rotation opportunity.

3. Regulation & Adoption: Germany Leads the Way 🇩🇪
Germany continues to professionalize the sector under the Kryptomärkteaufsichtsgesetz (KMAG) and the EU’s MiCA framework.
* Full Implementation: 2026 marks the end of transitional periods for Crypto-Asset Service Providers (CASPs). Licensing is now mandatory, bringing institutional-grade market integrity rules (insider trading and market abuse prohibitions) to the on-chain world.
* Tax Transparency: The DAC8 directive is now live. Exchanges must report domestic and cross-border transactions to authorities. In Germany, the one-year holding rule for tax-free gains remains a key pillar for long-term investors.
4. On-Chain: Short-Term Holder Capitulation 📉

Data shows Short-Term Holders (STHs)—those holding less than six months—are realizing losses at levels reminiscent of the 2022 bear market bottom. With supply in profit dropping to 62%, the market is at a psychological "inflection point." Historically, when supply in profit stays below 70%, it signals a prolonged bottoming phase before a trend reversal.
The Bottom Line: High macro volatility and record-breaking metal prices are keeping crypto sidelined for now. However, professional traders view the current "tactical distribution" and STH capitulation as the final stages of a bottoming process before a potential move toward the $145,000 target. 🚀
What is your primary risk hedge this FOMC week? Stay sharp.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Data-driven market analysis for informational purposes only.
#BTCVSGOLD : A Bullish Divergence Here’s a macro signal most people sleep on 😴 Historically, when Bitcoin’s correlation with gold turns negative, something wild tends to happen: 📊 $BTC rallies ~56% on average within ~2 months There was only one exception — May 2021, driven by: • China’s mining crackdown • Forced deleveraging across the market Fast forward to 2026: • Global liquidity is expanding • The Fed’s quantitative tightening is ending • #ETF demand + institutional flows are still in play Different environment. Different outcome. 👀 ////// 🧠 The Big Picture (TL;DR) Bitcoin at $95,274 isn’t random — it’s strategic. ✅ Clean breakout + successful retest ✅ Bullish EMA structure forming ✅ Long-term holders reducing sell pressure ✅ BTC leaving exchanges ✅ Macro liquidity turning supportive If BTC reclaims $100K as support, the path toward $107K becomes much clearer. This doesn’t mean straight up. This doesn’t mean no volatility. But it does mean the odds are shifting. ⚖️
#BTCVSGOLD : A Bullish Divergence

Here’s a macro signal most people sleep on 😴

Historically, when Bitcoin’s correlation with gold turns negative, something wild tends to happen:

📊 $BTC rallies ~56% on average within ~2 months

There was only one exception — May 2021, driven by:
• China’s mining crackdown
• Forced deleveraging across the market

Fast forward to 2026:
• Global liquidity is expanding
• The Fed’s quantitative tightening is ending
#ETF demand + institutional flows are still in play

Different environment. Different outcome. 👀

//////

🧠 The Big Picture (TL;DR)

Bitcoin at $95,274 isn’t random — it’s strategic.

✅ Clean breakout + successful retest
✅ Bullish EMA structure forming
✅ Long-term holders reducing sell pressure
✅ BTC leaving exchanges
✅ Macro liquidity turning supportive

If BTC reclaims $100K as support, the path toward $107K becomes much clearer.

This doesn’t mean straight up.
This doesn’t mean no volatility.

But it does mean the odds are shifting. ⚖️
OG $BTC Holders Are… NOT SELLING This is where things get interesting. On-chain data tracking coins dormant for over 5 years (true OG supply) shows something very clear: 🧊 Selling pressure is fading fast • Earlier in this cycle, OG holders were distributing ~2,300 BTC into strength • As of January, that number has dropped close to ~1,000 BTC • Translation: fewer ancient coins are hitting the market Why does this matter? Because OGs usually sell into tops. And right now, they’re doing the opposite: holding. 💬 CryptoQuant analyst #DarkFrost summed it up perfectly: “Their selling pressure, which can sometimes be massive, has clearly decreased, and the prevailing trend now seems to lean more toward holding rather than distribution.” At the same time, Bitcoin is seeing its largest net outflows from exchanges since December 2024. 📉 Less BTC on exchanges = tighter supply 📈 Tighter supply + demand = price pressure upward Simple math.
OG $BTC Holders Are… NOT SELLING

This is where things get interesting.

On-chain data tracking coins dormant for over 5 years (true OG supply) shows something very clear:

🧊 Selling pressure is fading fast
• Earlier in this cycle, OG holders were distributing ~2,300 BTC into strength
• As of January, that number has dropped close to ~1,000 BTC
• Translation: fewer ancient coins are hitting the market

Why does this matter?

Because OGs usually sell into tops.
And right now, they’re doing the opposite: holding.

💬 CryptoQuant analyst #DarkFrost summed it up perfectly:

“Their selling pressure, which can sometimes be massive, has clearly decreased, and the prevailing trend now seems to lean more toward holding rather than distribution.”

At the same time, Bitcoin is seeing its largest net outflows from exchanges since December 2024.

📉 Less BTC on exchanges = tighter supply
📈 Tighter supply + demand = price pressure upward

Simple math.
🚨 $BTC “REAL Breakout” Has Officially Started Here’s Why $107K Is Back on the Table 🚨 Bitcoin doesn’t move quietly when it’s serious. And right now? The charts, the on-chain data, and the macro signals are all whispering the same thing: 👉 This breakout looks real. Over the last 8 hours, BTC has entered a decisive phase that could flip $100,000 into support and open the door toward $107,000 in the coming days or weeks. Let’s break it down, no fluff, just signal. 👇 🧩 1. The Chart Says: “Breakout Confirmed” If you zoom out and actually look at the structure (see the charts 👀), Bitcoin just did something extremely important. 🔺 #AscendingTriangle → #Breakout → #Retest • BTC broke above a multi-week ascending triangle around $95K • Instead of dumping (classic fakeout), price retested the breakout level as support • Buyers stepped in fast — exactly what you want to see in a real breakout This isn’t hype — this is textbook market behavior. 📐 Measured move target: By adding the triangle’s height to the breakout zone, the technical target lands near $107,000 — potentially as soon as February. ⚡ Bonus signal: Bull Cross Incoming On the daily chart, the 20-day #EMA (green) is about to cross above the 50-day EMA (red). The last time BTC printed this setup? ➡️ +17% in the following month Not guaranteed, but probabilities are stacking. 📊
🚨 $BTC “REAL Breakout” Has Officially Started Here’s Why $107K Is Back on the Table 🚨

Bitcoin doesn’t move quietly when it’s serious.
And right now? The charts, the on-chain data, and the macro signals are all whispering the same thing:

👉 This breakout looks real.

Over the last 8 hours, BTC has entered a decisive phase that could flip $100,000 into support and open the door toward $107,000 in the coming days or weeks.

Let’s break it down, no fluff, just signal. 👇

🧩 1. The Chart Says: “Breakout Confirmed”

If you zoom out and actually look at the structure (see the charts 👀), Bitcoin just did something extremely important.

🔺 #AscendingTriangle #Breakout #Retest
• BTC broke above a multi-week ascending triangle around $95K
• Instead of dumping (classic fakeout), price retested the breakout level as support
• Buyers stepped in fast — exactly what you want to see in a real breakout

This isn’t hype — this is textbook market behavior.

📐 Measured move target:
By adding the triangle’s height to the breakout zone, the technical target lands near $107,000 — potentially as soon as February.

⚡ Bonus signal: Bull Cross Incoming

On the daily chart, the 20-day #EMA (green) is about to cross above the 50-day EMA (red).

The last time BTC printed this setup?
➡️ +17% in the following month

Not guaranteed, but probabilities are stacking. 📊
Remember $DOGE 800% breakout in 2021? 🥲 From meme to serious market mover, it surprised traders and investors alike. Do you still remember where you were when #DOGE went parabolic?#memecoins #memes #2021
Remember $DOGE 800% breakout in 2021? 🥲
From meme to serious market mover, it surprised traders and investors alike. Do you still remember where you were when #DOGE went parabolic?#memecoins #memes #2021
$ETH back at $3.2K — resistance or base? 📊 #Ethereum trades at $3,212, but the market remains cautious. Key data points: 📉 ETH failed to hold above $3,300 multiple times in the last 60 days 🔄 DEX activity cooling: 7-day ETH #DEX volume ~$9B, down 65% from October 💸 Network fees collapsed 87% in 3 months ($21.3M → $2.6M) What’s holding ETH back? Layer-2s drive most activity, while cheaper L1 rivals compete for users Broader crypto market weakness + US macro uncertainty No clear catalyst for a sustained move toward $4,000 Still, Ethereum dominates: 🏦 ~50% share of DEX activity (ETH + L2s) 🔒 Leading TVL, signaling institutional preference 🧩 Rollup-first scaling keeps fees low by design 👉 Does $3.2K flip to support, or is ETH stuck in range? Source: Cointelegraph
$ETH back at $3.2K — resistance or base? 📊

#Ethereum trades at $3,212, but the market remains cautious.

Key data points:

📉 ETH failed to hold above $3,300 multiple times in the last 60 days

🔄 DEX activity cooling: 7-day ETH #DEX volume ~$9B, down 65% from October

💸 Network fees collapsed 87% in 3 months ($21.3M → $2.6M)

What’s holding ETH back?

Layer-2s drive most activity, while cheaper L1 rivals compete for users

Broader crypto market weakness + US macro uncertainty

No clear catalyst for a sustained move toward $4,000

Still, Ethereum dominates:

🏦 ~50% share of DEX activity (ETH + L2s)
🔒 Leading TVL, signaling institutional preference
🧩 Rollup-first scaling keeps fees low by design

👉 Does $3.2K flip to support, or is ETH stuck in range?

Source: Cointelegraph
$BTC for Price Alerts on 94k and 95k!
$BTC for Price Alerts on 94k and 95k!
Emma Nickels
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Set Price Alterts and continue to watch $BTC Whales are moving 🐋👀

On-chain data shows big holders quietly positioning after months of chop between $86k–$94k.

My take: $94,000 is the key level right now 🚨
Set your price alerts 📲 what happens from here is crucial and could get very volatile fast ⚡️📉📈

When whales buy into fear and move near pivots… things usually get interesting 🚀💥

Not financial advice ❌💰

#WhaleActivity #Pricealerts
The Relative Address Supply Distribution shows how a cryptocurrency’s supply is divided among small and large holders, indicating ownership concentration.
The Relative Address Supply Distribution shows how a cryptocurrency’s supply is divided among small and large holders, indicating ownership concentration.
Emma Nickels
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Set Price Alterts and continue to watch $BTC Whales are moving 🐋👀

On-chain data shows big holders quietly positioning after months of chop between $86k–$94k.

My take: $94,000 is the key level right now 🚨
Set your price alerts 📲 what happens from here is crucial and could get very volatile fast ⚡️📉📈

When whales buy into fear and move near pivots… things usually get interesting 🚀💥

Not financial advice ❌💰

#WhaleActivity #Pricealerts
The Chart: Relative Address Supply Distribution
The Chart: Relative Address Supply Distribution
Emma Nickels
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Set Price Alterts and continue to watch $BTC Whales are moving 🐋👀

On-chain data shows big holders quietly positioning after months of chop between $86k–$94k.

My take: $94,000 is the key level right now 🚨
Set your price alerts 📲 what happens from here is crucial and could get very volatile fast ⚡️📉📈

When whales buy into fear and move near pivots… things usually get interesting 🚀💥

Not financial advice ❌💰

#WhaleActivity #Pricealerts
Set Price Alterts and continue to watch $BTC Whales are moving 🐋👀 On-chain data shows big holders quietly positioning after months of chop between $86k–$94k. My take: $94,000 is the key level right now 🚨 Set your price alerts 📲 what happens from here is crucial and could get very volatile fast ⚡️📉📈 When whales buy into fear and move near pivots… things usually get interesting 🚀💥 Not financial advice ❌💰 #WhaleActivity #Pricealerts
Set Price Alterts and continue to watch $BTC Whales are moving 🐋👀

On-chain data shows big holders quietly positioning after months of chop between $86k–$94k.

My take: $94,000 is the key level right now 🚨
Set your price alerts 📲 what happens from here is crucial and could get very volatile fast ⚡️📉📈

When whales buy into fear and move near pivots… things usually get interesting 🚀💥

Not financial advice ❌💰

#WhaleActivity #Pricealerts
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Sorry?
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$$XRP has been clinging to the 20-day EMA ($1.90) for the past few days, increasing the likelihood of an upside breakout. If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair could rise to the downtrend line. There is resistance at the 50-day #SMA ($2.02), but it is likely to be crossed. Sellers are expected to mount a strong defense at the downtrend line. If the price turns down sharply from the downtrend line, the pair may remain inside the channel for some more time. The $1.61 level is the critical support to watch out for on the downside. If the level cracks, the XRP price may start a new downtrend toward the Oct. 10 low of $1.25.
$$XRP has been clinging to the 20-day EMA ($1.90) for the past few days, increasing the likelihood of an upside breakout.

If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair could rise to the downtrend line. There is resistance at the 50-day #SMA ($2.02), but it is likely to be crossed. Sellers are expected to mount a strong defense at the downtrend line. If the price turns down sharply from the downtrend line, the pair may remain inside the channel for some more time.

The $1.61 level is the critical support to watch out for on the downside. If the level cracks, the XRP price may start a new downtrend toward the Oct. 10 low of $1.25.
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