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90.8k got cleanly rejected. 86k was the triangle level we waited for. Now we’re there.
I’m long again.
This wasn’t rushed. We mapped the upside confirmations first, just in case price wanted to prove strength. It didn’t. The 90.8k close never came, price rejected exactly there, and did what markets usually do next — rolled back into the lower end of the range we marked earlier.
That gave us what we wanted: a lower entry, closer to the real lows, without chasing.
I stayed patient after closing the last long around 89k and ignoring late, risky longs. Paid off. Weekly bias is still bullish. This zone is a strong POI, and the R:R is much better down here, especially with sentiment stretched again.
ETH is already showing local mmd from the 84.5k BTC low, and there’s room for another if BTC dips toward 81k. Order flow lines up too — shorts pressing, spot buyers stepping in, visible capitulation into limits. Longs are still hesitant. That’s fine. That’s what you want to see here.
Yes, it’s an aggressive long. No clean local price confirmation yet. So half size makes sense — that’s what I’m doing. Can add later if ETH confirms or if we get structure next week. But this is still the long we planned for.
Knife catches feel uncomfortable. They’re supposed to. In my experience, that discomfort is often the turn.
We waited a long time for 86k. We got it. At that point, you take the trade — with a plan, not fear. $RIVER $ETH
James - Pump Trading
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Read this as early as you can
An extreme signal is starting to appear in Bitcoin on-chain data. Net Realized Profit and Loss is showing a clear shift. Bitcoin investors are beginning to sell at a loss. When you look back at history, this pattern has shown up more than once. First, realized profits start to fade. As price momentum weakens, fewer participants are able to take profit. This tells us demand is no longer strong enough to absorb supply at higher levels. Next, realized losses begin to dominate. Price continues to soften, and more investors are forced to sell below their cost basis. In previous cycles, this phase often marked the transition from distribution into redistribution, not an immediate reversal. The important part is this. Each time realized losses expand in a meaningful way, the market usually moves into a deeper correction or a prolonged consolidation, rather than bouncing right away. This does not mean the cycle is over. But it does suggest a few things clearly. Market sentiment is weakening. Selling pressure is becoming forced, not proactive profit taking. Leverage and short term expectations are being slowly washed out. Historically, these phases are where weaker hands exit the market, while patient capital steps back, observes, and begins preparing for what comes next. This is a moment worth paying close attention to.
B2 is sitting comfortably around the $0.88 area, using the rising EMA as a floor. This range looks like healthy absorption after the push, not distribution. As long as the trendline stays intact, the upside idea is still valid. I’m looking for continuation, not a chop fest. Lose $0.8550 and this trade is done, no second thoughts.
📉 $AUCTION Price just got pushed down from the local high after a sharp run. Now it’s compressing right above the dynamic EMA, holding but feeling heavy.
AUCTION failed to reclaim the $7.80 top and has been stalling ever since. The recent red candles came with solid volume, sellers clearly stepping in and capping upside. I want to see a clean break below the blue EMA to confirm the short is on. Buying momentum is fading fast, looks like exhaustion after the push. Any close back above $7.20 and this idea is dead, no debate.
A clean win, structure did all the work. No rushed decisions, no panic at any point. When the plan is clear, your only job is to stick with it and let price play out.
The rejection at $80 was clean, looks like a local top for now. The $73–$75 zone failed on the reclaim and flipped into supply. If $66.50 gives way, downside should open up quickly. Positioning was stretched up top, pullback can snowball once bids step away. Strong reclaim of $80 on volume and this short is instantly wrong.
Price is holding the $120 floor after a messy retrace, sellers haven’t broken it. This zone has acted as a launch area before, buyers usually show up here. For this to really breathe, SOL needs to take back $128 and hold it. As long as we stay above $118.97 on a daily close, the structure is fine. Acceptance below $110 means the structure failed — long is dead, no arguments.
Price dipped into the $3.70 area and got absorbed, sellers couldn’t push it lower. That zone is acting like real demand, finally slowing the down move. I want to see price hold above $3.68 — that’s the line that matters. A push through $3.85 would be a good sign the bounce is real. 4H close under the recent low and this long is dead, no second chances.
This isn’t luck. Everything was defined in advance: entry zone, risk level, profit targets. Real trading is when you don’t need hope — you just follow the plan.
James - Pump Trading
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Bajista
📉 $ETH Price just lost the 3,000 level after a string of lower highs. Now it’s sitting under key support, tape feels heavy, no real bounce energy.
ETH couldn’t hold 3,000 and that tells the story. The push back up failed, sellers stepped in fast, and price rolled over again. As long as ETH stays pinned below this zone and under the MA20, downside pressure stays on. This setup is about a continuation move, not catching tops. Clean close back above 3,100 and the short is done, no debate.
SOL is sitting just above the recent low and can’t lift its head. Every small bounce gets slapped right back by the moving average, showing clear sell pressure. As long as $125.00 doesn’t hold, I’m looking for another leg down. This setup stays valid only while price remains below $130.50. Clean reclaim and hold above that level, and the short is done. No debate.
After a sharp vertical push, price is taking a breather right above the breakout zone. That old resistance around $7 is doing its job as support so far. Buyers showed up hard on the breakout, volume wasn’t fake. As long as we hold above $6.20, the structure stays clean for another leg up. A candle closing back inside the old range = momentum’s gone, no reason to stay.
AVNT is testing the previous structure and the 15m EMA, right where a higher low should form. This area was the last heavy trading zone before the push up, so it matters. I want to see sellers get absorbed here and price stop bleeding. As long as we hold above $0.2980, the bullish structure stays intact. Hourly close below that level and the long is done, straight cut.
SOL is sitting just above the recent low and can’t lift its head. Every small bounce gets slapped right back by the moving average, showing clear sell pressure. As long as $125.00 doesn’t hold, I’m looking for another leg down. This setup stays valid only while price remains below $130.50. Clean reclaim and hold above that level, and the short is done. No debate.
$NOM already printed a clear lower high and just lost the old support shelf. Bounces are getting quieter, volume dries up fast — sellers are soaking up whatever demand is left. As long as price stays below 0.0165, this structure stays bearish and a push toward the 0.0100 liquidity pocket makes sense. No need to overthink it. Close back above 0.0165 and the short is done, instantly.
$NOM already printed a clear lower high and just lost the old support shelf. Bounces are getting quieter, volume dries up fast — sellers are soaking up whatever demand is left. As long as price stays below 0.0165, this structure stays bearish and a push toward the 0.0100 liquidity pocket makes sense. No need to overthink it. Close back above 0.0165 and the short is done, instantly.
ZK is stalling around the 0.1800 area right after that sharp rejection from the highs. Buyers showed up fast on the way up, but the follow-through is gone — volume is thinning and momentum is leaking. This only works if price stays capped below the 0.1900 swing high, that’s the line in the sand. As long as it sits below, mean reversion makes sense here. Clean push back above 0.1900 and this idea is instantly dead, no drama.
Price is grinding inside a clear demand zone after getting smacked down earlier. Selling pressure is fading, volume says sellers are tired, but this is still a risky bottom play. The $0.0232 area has to hold, no wiggle room here. As long as price stays above that floor, a bounce toward the upper targets is possible. A clean close below the recent wick low and this setup is done — instantly.
ZK is stalling around the 0.1800 area right after that sharp rejection from the highs. Buyers showed up fast on the way up, but the follow-through is gone — volume is thinning and momentum is leaking. This only works if price stays capped below the 0.1900 swing high, that’s the line in the sand. As long as it sits below, mean reversion makes sense here. Clean push back above 0.1900 and this idea is instantly dead, no drama.
Price is grinding inside a clear demand zone after getting smacked down earlier. Selling pressure is fading, volume says sellers are tired, but this is still a risky bottom play. The $0.0232 area has to hold, no wiggle room here. As long as price stays above that floor, a bounce toward the upper targets is possible. A clean close below the recent wick low and this setup is done — instantly.
Long $我踏马来了 👇
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