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And tomorrow could be the worst day of 2026 yet…

Most people don’t know this, but:

Tariffs stays = DOWN
Tariffs gone = DOWN

THERE IS NO WIN SCENARIO.

If you hold stocks or any assets, you need to pay attention to this.

Before we even talk about tariffs, look at where we are standing.

– The "Buffett Indicator" (Market Cap to GDP) just hit ~224%. That’s an all-time record. It’s higher than the Dot-Com bubble peak (~150%) and higher than the 2021 top.

– The Shiller P/E is hovering near 40. We have only seen this ONCE in 150 years… right before the 2000 crash.

The market is priced for utopia. It can’t handle a 1% miss, let alone a trade war.

Here’s where things get worse…

1. THE "GREENLAND" ESCALATION: 10% tariffs on European allies (France, Germany, UK, etc.) effective Feb 1. This is a direct hit to the bottom line of multinationals trading at 22x earnings.

2. THE CONSTITUTIONAL CRISIS: Rumors are circulating that the Supreme Court is about to rule Trump’s IEEPA tariffs are ILLEGAL.

Someone who’s been here for years already knows: THERE IS NO BULLISH OUTCOME.

Let me explain.

SCENARIO A: The Tariffs Stick (Inflation Shock)

– Margins COLLAPSE. Companies cannot pass 10-20% cost hikes to a tapped-out consumer, so they eat it.

– History Lesson: When Bush imposed steel tariffs in 2002, steel-consuming industries lost 200,000 jobs… more than the entire steel industry employed. The market hated it.

– In 2018, tariff threats caused immediate sell-offs (CAC 40 lost 1.7% in a day, Apple dropped 2.6%).

The math is terminal: 2026 earnings estimates are ~15% too high.

SCENARIO B: The Tariffs Are Illegal (Insolvency Shock)

– This is the "Refund Nightmare." If voided, the U.S. government technically owes BILLIONS in refunds to importers.

– The 1930 Ghost: We are rhyming with Smoot-Hawley. In 1930, the market crashed 16% before the bill was even signed, just on anticipation.

– If the court rules against Trump, the administration won't fold. They will trigger Section 232 or executive orders to block refunds.

– Markets hate legal chaos and insolvency risk MORE than they hate taxes.

We are either facing a margin-crushing trade war OR a constitutional crisis over fiscal solvency.

This is a KNOWN UNKNOWN.

I know this is hard for new investors to hear, but 20+ years in this game teaches you one thing.

Amateurs pray for the rally to continue, and the pros pray for the floor to drop out.

Wealth isn't made at the top, it's made when everyone else is too scared to buy.

Keep in mind, I’ve called every major market top and bottom over the last decade.

When I make my next move (very soon), I’ll post it here for everyone to see.

If you want to OUTPERFORM retail, all you have to do is follow me.

You’ll wish you followed me sooner, trust me.

Btw, if you want my $0-$1M guide, comment "GUIDE" and check your DMs.
#TrumpTariffs #CPIWatch #CryptoMarketAlert #TradingCommunity

Актив $DUSK завершил фазу агрессивного вертикального роста, достигнув ценовой области, где исторически проявлялось существенное предложение. Такие импульсные пампы создают технический дисбаланс: цена отрывается от средних значений, а локальный спрос часто оказывается исчерпан. Это формирует предпосылки для контртрендовой коррекции, целью которой является либо фиксация прибыли, либо перераспределение позиций перед возможным продолжением движения.
Логика установки основана на принципе mean reversion (возврата к среднему) после экстремального отклонения. Рынок редко движется по вертикали без пауз; за сильным импульсом часто следует откат, особенно при контакте с ключевым сопротивлением. Однако торговля на откат в условиях высокой волатильности сопряжена с повышенным риском ложного пробоя. Поэтому вход должен быть точен, а риск — строго ограничен, так как основная тенденция может оказаться сильнее, чем ожидаемая коррекция.
Вход (Шорт): 0.265 – 0.285. Эта зона представляет собой область для входа при появлении признаков истощения покупателей — например, формирования медвежьих свечных моделей или снижения объёмов на попытках дальнейшего роста.
Цели:
TP1: 0.245 (первый уровень поддержки)
TP2: 0.235 (следующий значимый рубеж)
TP3: 0.2250 (цель для более глубокой коррекции).
Стоп-лосс: 0.305. Пробой выше этого уровня будет сигнализировать о продолжении импульсного движения, что полностью разрушает логику контртрендовой сделки.
Памп — это не тренд, а событие. Его завершение — это не разворот, а поиск равновесия.
Что вы сочтёте ключевым подтверждением для входа: формирование паттерна разворота (например, доджи или поглощения) в зоне продажи или резкое снижение импульса на осцилляторах при тесте сопротивления?
#MarketRebound #FOMCWatch #CPIWatch

🚨 WARNING: A BIG STORM IS COMING!!!

99% OF PEOPLE WILL LOSE EVERYTHING IN 2026,
No rage bait or clickbait listen..

Fed just released new macro data and it’s WORSE than expected.

If you currently hold assets,
you’re not going to like what comes next:

A global market crash is approaching, yet most people don’t even realize what’s happening.

A systemic funding issue is quietly forming beneath the surface, and almost no one is positioned for it.

The Fed has already been forced into action.

The balance sheet has expanded by roughly $105 billion.
The Standing Repo Facility added $74.6 billion.
Mortgage-backed securities jumped $43.1 billion.
Treasuries rose just $31.5 billion.

This is not bullish QE.

This is the Fed injecting liquidity because funding conditions tightened and banks needed cash.

When the Fed is absorbing more MBS than Treasuries, it tells you the collateral coming to the window is deteriorating.
That only happens under stress.

Now add the bigger problem most people are ignoring.

U.S. national debt is at an all-time high.
Not just nominally - structurally.
Over $34 trillion and rising faster than GDP.

Interest expense alone is exploding, becoming one of the largest line items in the federal budget.
The U.S. is issuing more debt just to service existing debt.

That’s the definition of a debt spiral.

At these levels, Treasuries are no longer “risk-free.”

They’re a confidence instrument.
And confidence is what’s starting to crack.
Foreign demand for U.S. debt is weakening

Domestic buyers are price-sensitive.
The Fed becomes the buyer of last resort - whether they admit it or not.
This is why funding stress matters so much right now.

You cannot sustain record debt levels when funding markets tighten.
You cannot run trillion-dollar deficits when collateral quality is deteriorating.

And you cannot keep pretending this is normal.

This isn’t just a U.S. problem either.
China is doing the exact same thing at the same time.
The PBoC injected more than 1.02 trillion yuan via 7-day reverse repos in a single week.

Different country.
Same issue.
Too much debt.
Too little trust.

And a global system built on rolling over liabilities that no one actually wants to hold.
When both the U.S. and China are forced to inject liquidity simultaneously, this isn’t stimulus.
It’s the global financial plumbing starting to clog.

Markets always get this phase wrong.
People see liquidity injections and assume it’s bullish.
It isn’t.

This isn’t about supporting prices.
It’s about keeping funding alive.
And when funding breaks, everything else turns into a trap.

The order is always the same.
Bonds move first.
Funding markets show stress before equities.
Stocks ignore it - until they can’t.
Crypto sees the most violent drops.

Now look at the signal that actually matters.
Gold is at all-time highs.
Silver is at all-time highs.
This isn’t a growth narrative or an inflation trade.
This is a rejection of sovereign debt.

Capital is leaving paper promises and moving into hard collateral.
That doesn’t happen in healthy systems.
We’ve seen this exact setup before.

→ 2000 before the dot-com collapse.
→ 2008 before the global financial crisis.
→ 2020 before the repo market seized.

Every time, recession followed soon after.
The Fed is cornered.

If they print aggressively to absorb record debt issuance, precious metals surge and signal loss of control.
If they don’t, funding markets lock up and the debt burden becomes unserviceable.

Risk assets can ignore this for a while - but never forever.
This is not a normal cycle.
This is a balance-sheet, collateral, and sovereign debt crisis developing quietly.

I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.

Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.$BTC
#MarketRebound #BTC100kNext? #USJobsData #CPIWatch