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$BTC Non-farm previous value 6.4, expected 6, published value betting less than previous value, in line with market expectations, 89780 short-term long positions patiently waiting for take-profit level #美国贸易逆差 #Bitcoin price forecast for 2026
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#比特币2026年价格预测 Bitcoin price forecast for 2026 shows clear divergence: mainstream institutions have a neutral target of $150,000, with a range of $120,000 to $170,000; optimistic views project $200,000 to $250,000, while pessimistic scenarios suggest a drop to $60,000 to $100,000. Key drivers include institutional ETF allocations, regulatory clarity, Federal Reserve rate cuts, and early pricing for the 2028 halving; risks center on tightened macro liquidity, stricter regulation, and excessive leverage leading to cascading liquidations. Quarterly trends show a gradual upward trajectory: Q1 bottoms out at $90,000 to $130,000, with Q4 aiming for $150,000 to $200,000. Trading recommendations: limit single position size to no more than 5%, leverage ≤3x, accumulate gradually between $70,000 and $80,000, reduce positions at $180,000 to $200,000, set stop-loss at 10%-15%, and use options to hedge extreme risks.
#比特币2026年价格预测 Bitcoin price forecast for 2026 shows clear divergence: mainstream institutions have a neutral target of $150,000, with a range of $120,000 to $170,000; optimistic views project $200,000 to $250,000, while pessimistic scenarios suggest a drop to $60,000 to $100,000. Key drivers include institutional ETF allocations, regulatory clarity, Federal Reserve rate cuts, and early pricing for the 2028 halving; risks center on tightened macro liquidity, stricter regulation, and excessive leverage leading to cascading liquidations. Quarterly trends show a gradual upward trajectory: Q1 bottoms out at $90,000 to $130,000, with Q4 aiming for $150,000 to $200,000. Trading recommendations: limit single position size to no more than 5%, leverage ≤3x, accumulate gradually between $70,000 and $80,000, reduce positions at $180,000 to $200,000, set stop-loss at 10%-15%, and use options to hedge extreme risks.
🔥ETH 3110 consolidation is not accumulation, it's the manipulators slowly cooking the bulls in warm water! No-volume rebound + step-by-step sell-off, the bulls' backbone is already broken. Any move below 3160 is a fake signal. The short-sellers' ambush zone is 3125-3135, with a target straight down to 2980!🔥
Watching the charts until the ashtray is full, this 3110 consolidation is truly treacherous! Many see the 'double bottom' forming and start shouting about 3300, but check the 1-hour chart—this is not a bottom build, it's the主力 (main players) using time to exchange space, slowly killing the bulls!
The logic is clear: From 3308 downward, it's a classic step-by-step sell-off—each peak is lower than the last: 3308 → 3250 → now around 3120. This shows the bulls are already broken, rebounds are just brief breaths, and volume keeps shrinking. No-volume rebound = a classic fake signal!
The current 3110 consolidation is not building momentum—it's a trap set by the主力 to lure you in, making you feel 'safe' and itching to go long. Then they hit you hard once you're in!
My strategy: Core principle: As long as it doesn't close above 3160, every rally is a trap! Short entry zone: 3125-3135, lightly test the waters. If it spikes to around 3155, that's the主力 (main players) handing you money—go heavy short! Stop-loss: 3188 (allowing some room for friction, but if it breaks above the previous high resistance, admit the mistake and exit immediately) Target levels: First target: 3060 (take profit from this rebound) Second target: 2980 (break through psychological support) Trading isn't about who shouts the loudest during consolidation—it's about who gets to the top of the mountain before the crash!
Right now, the candlestick pattern—do you see it as a buildup toward 3200, or a last gasp heading to 2900? Comment below: Where's your stop-loss? Don't be afraid to short—what scares me is the greenhorns still dreaming during consolidation! #Solana涨势分析 #美国贸易逆差 #币安上线币安人生 #MSCI暂不排除数字资产财库公司 #币安钱包TGE $ETH $ {spot}(ETHUSDT) {spot}(SOLUSDT) $币安人生 {spot}(币安人生USDT)
🇺🇸 Latest News: Fitch Upgrades U.S. Economic Growth Outlook, Expects Two Rate Cuts by the Fed in First Half of 2026
The international rating agency Fitch Ratings has released its latest report, upgrading its forecast for U.S. economic growth and projecting that the Federal Reserve will implement two rate cuts in the first half of 2026. This assessment indicates that despite ongoing global economic uncertainties, the resilience of the U.S. economy exceeds previous expectations, and the overall outlook is gradually improving.
Fitch notes that U.S. consumer spending remains stable, the labor market has cooled slightly but still holds firm support, and business investment is gradually rebounding, providing a solid foundation for economic growth. Meanwhile, inflationary pressures continue to ease, creating space for a shift in monetary policy. Under these conditions, Fitch believes the Federal Reserve does not need to maintain high interest rates for an extended period, and moderate rate cuts would help solidify the achievement of a soft landing.
The report also highlights that the marginal improvement in fiscal policy and financial conditions is a key reason behind the upward revision of economic expectations. Although high debt levels remain a medium-term risk, they are not currently imposing significant constraints on economic activity. If inflation continues to move toward the target range, two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the first half of 2026 would become increasingly reasonable.
Market participants generally view Fitch's latest assessment as a signal of optimism. For capital markets, the expectation of rate cuts helps improve risk appetite, benefiting equities and long-term asset allocation; at the same time, it may also provide renewed support for interest-rate-sensitive sectors such as real estate and technology. Overall, the U.S. economy is moving toward a more moderate and sustainable growth path.#美联储何时降息?
Currently maintaining a bullish outlook, the daily chart of Bitcoin has closed above 90,500, indicating at least no major risks overall, continuing to expect a rise towards around 97,000 USD