2026.1.30 Silver Epic Crash: The Bloodiest Single-Day Market Since 1980
Spot silver plummeted over 30% in a single day, crashing from $121/oz to $75/oz; the SLV silver ETF also fell 30%, and the leveraged AGQ suffered a "halving again" type of plunge, marking the most brutal single-day market in silver since 1980.
Trigger Point of the Crash: Kevin Warsh was nominated as Federal Reserve Chairman, leading the market to interpret it as a significant easing of concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence, causing the dollar to rebound, while the logic of silver's safe-haven trading instantly collapsed.
Technical Warning Already Issued: Silver prices previously exceeded the 200-day moving average by over 100%, reaching the 261.8% Fibonacci extension, and the CME has consecutively raised the silver trading margin to 16.5%. Under multiple technical and funding constraints, the crash became inevitable.
Market's Magical Contrast: While paper silver (financial derivatives) crashed, the Chinese spot market experienced a frenzied buying spree, with physical silver premiums exceeding the international spot price by $30/oz, showing extreme divergence between the financial and physical market.
The crash of paper silver and the frenzy for physical silver, which one truly reflects the real value of silver?
There’s nothing much to say about the liquidity crisis. Choose what you think has the strongest logic, copy it slowly, don’t get too excited, and don’t go all in.
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