cryptoedge37
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How banks think about crypto market scenarios
Standard Chartered recently published research outlining valuation scenarios for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
These types of forecasts are part of how large banks model potential client demand and risk exposure.
When institutions release targets, it doesn’t mean prices will move there. It usually reflects internal assumptions about adoption, liquidity, and market structure under certain conditions.
More than a signal to trade, reports like this show how traditional finance is gradually integrating crypto into its long-term frameworks.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #MarketCorrection #WhenWillBTCRebound #EthereumLayer2Rethink?
Standard Chartered recently published research outlining valuation scenarios for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
These types of forecasts are part of how large banks model potential client demand and risk exposure.
When institutions release targets, it doesn’t mean prices will move there. It usually reflects internal assumptions about adoption, liquidity, and market structure under certain conditions.
More than a signal to trade, reports like this show how traditional finance is gradually integrating crypto into its long-term frameworks.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #MarketCorrection #WhenWillBTCRebound #EthereumLayer2Rethink?
Why Bitcoin’s price doesn’t move only on spot supply anymore
Bitcoin’s on-chain supply is still capped at 21 million. That hasn’t changed.
What has changed is how price discovery works in today’s market.
Over time, a large financial layer has formed around Bitcoin. This includes futures, perpetuals, options, ETF structures, and other derivatives that track BTC’s price without moving real coins on-chain.
When derivatives volume becomes larger than spot trading, price starts reacting more to positioning, leverage, and liquidations than to simple buying and selling of $BTC itself.
This doesn’t mean scarcity is gone on-chain. It means that in financial markets, synthetic exposure now plays a bigger role in short-term price behavior.
Understanding this helps explain why Bitcoin can move sharply even when on-chain activity looks quiet.
What has changed is how price discovery works in today’s market.
Over time, a large financial layer has formed around Bitcoin. This includes futures, perpetuals, options, ETF structures, and other derivatives that track BTC’s price without moving real coins on-chain.
When derivatives volume becomes larger than spot trading, price starts reacting more to positioning, leverage, and liquidations than to simple buying and selling of $BTC itself.
This doesn’t mean scarcity is gone on-chain. It means that in financial markets, synthetic exposure now plays a bigger role in short-term price behavior.
Understanding this helps explain why Bitcoin can move sharply even when on-chain activity looks quiet.
ETF flows: a simple way to read recent market behavior
Recent data shows a clear difference in where capital is moving.
Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded notable net outflows, while Solana saw small but positive inflows.
This doesn’t point to retail panic. ETF flows mostly reflect institutional positioning and risk management.
Outflows can mean reduced exposure or rebalancing, while inflows suggest growing interest or evaluation.
It’s too early to call this a long-term shift, but the divergence is worth watching as market structure evolves.
Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded notable net outflows, while Solana saw small but positive inflows.
This doesn’t point to retail panic. ETF flows mostly reflect institutional positioning and risk management.
Outflows can mean reduced exposure or rebalancing, while inflows suggest growing interest or evaluation.
It’s too early to call this a long-term shift, but the divergence is worth watching as market structure evolves.
Dogecoin is often cited as a clear example of early positioning in crypto. It started as a meme with little structure, yet early participants benefited simply because they arrived before broad attention.
This pattern shows up across cycles. New narratives tend to form quietly, long before they become popular topics.
Today, many discussions focus on whether newer meme projects can follow a similar early path while also launching with more developed tools from the start.
From a research perspective, the key question is how to identify early-stage narratives without relying on hype.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #WarshFedPolicyOutlook #ADPDataDisappoints #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold
This pattern shows up across cycles. New narratives tend to form quietly, long before they become popular topics.
Today, many discussions focus on whether newer meme projects can follow a similar early path while also launching with more developed tools from the start.
From a research perspective, the key question is how to identify early-stage narratives without relying on hype.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #WarshFedPolicyOutlook #ADPDataDisappoints #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold
Recent on-chain data suggests institutions are becoming more cautious with Bitcoin.
Dip buying has been weak, and rebounds are often met with selling. Large wallets and ETF flows point to distribution rather than accumulation, while many recent buyers are sitting at a loss. This tends to turn rallies into exit points instead of new entries.
Until steady demand returns, upside looks fragile.
What on-chain signal would convince you that positioning is changing?
#ADPDataDisappoints #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold #WhaleDeRiskETH #WhaleDeRiskETH
Dip buying has been weak, and rebounds are often met with selling. Large wallets and ETF flows point to distribution rather than accumulation, while many recent buyers are sitting at a loss. This tends to turn rallies into exit points instead of new entries.
Until steady demand returns, upside looks fragile.
What on-chain signal would convince you that positioning is changing?
#ADPDataDisappoints #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold #WhaleDeRiskETH #WhaleDeRiskETH
Crypto history is clear: The biggest gains don’t come from holding giants, they come from spotting the next narrative early.
SHIB and PEPE already changed lives. But expecting another 100x from them now means waiting for miracles.
Each cycle introduces a new opportunity:
• DOGE
• SHIB
• PEPE
• BONK
Pepeto is positioning itself as a next-cycle contender, blending meme culture with tools built for traders from day one.
Early narratives shape the biggest outcomes. Smart money studies before headlines arrive.
#BinanceSquare #CryptoTrends #Pepeto #Altcoins #NextBigThing
SHIB and PEPE already changed lives. But expecting another 100x from them now means waiting for miracles.
Each cycle introduces a new opportunity:
• DOGE
• SHIB
• PEPE
• BONK
Pepeto is positioning itself as a next-cycle contender, blending meme culture with tools built for traders from day one.
Early narratives shape the biggest outcomes. Smart money studies before headlines arrive.
#BinanceSquare #CryptoTrends #Pepeto #Altcoins #NextBigThing
Spot Bitcoin ETF assets have slipped below the $100B mark.
Recent outflows added to year-to-date withdrawals, showing that some institutions are reducing exposure. This puts pressure on ETF holders and changes how large players may manage risk.
At the same time, there are small inflows into other crypto ETFs, which suggests rotation rather than a full exit.
Do you see this as a temporary shift or a longer-term change in positioning?
#TrumpEndsShutdown #USIranStandoff #KevinWarshNominationBullOrBear #xAICryptoExpertRecruitment #TrumpProCrypto
Recent outflows added to year-to-date withdrawals, showing that some institutions are reducing exposure. This puts pressure on ETF holders and changes how large players may manage risk.
At the same time, there are small inflows into other crypto ETFs, which suggests rotation rather than a full exit.
Do you see this as a temporary shift or a longer-term change in positioning?
#TrumpEndsShutdown #USIranStandoff #KevinWarshNominationBullOrBear #xAICryptoExpertRecruitment #TrumpProCrypto
Just spotted a key on-chain signal: U.S. institutions have directed $561.89M into Bitcoin via spot ETFs, marking a reversal from recent outflows. This institutional demand is absorbing supply and could indicate stronger market stability, potentially signaling a bottom formation. Meanwhile, we're seeing outflows from Ethereum (-$2.86M) and $XRP (-$404.69K), highlighting a current preference for Bitcoin. Overall, this inflow reversal suggests accumulation is picking up momentum. #MarketSignal #cryptotrading #BTC #TrumpProCrypto
Just in: Bitmine's chair, Tom Lee, shared on CNBC that crypto markets could be bottoming out, even as Bitmine purchased another 41,788 $ETH last week amid a $6.6 billion paper loss on Ethereum.
#TrumpProCrypto
#GoldSilverRebound
#VitalikSells
#StrategyBTCPurchase
#ETH
#TrumpProCrypto
#GoldSilverRebound
#VitalikSells
#StrategyBTCPurchase
#ETH
Just in: A growing number of Americans believe Joe Biden has performed better as president than Donald Trump.
#GoldSilverRebound #StrategyBTCPurchase #USCryptoMarketStructureBill #TRUMP #US
#GoldSilverRebound #StrategyBTCPurchase #USCryptoMarketStructureBill #TRUMP #US
Volatility is the setup, not the threat.
Smart money accumulates where emotions break. Bookmark this.
Smart money accumulates where emotions break. Bookmark this.
WangLoc BNB
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$BTC Outlook: Short-Term Pressure, Long-Term Expansion
Bitcoin is approaching a decisive inflection point where volatility is not a risk, but a signal.
In the near term, price action suggests a technical relief bounce toward the $83k area as liquidity above current levels is tested.
This move, however, should be viewed as a structural reaction rather than confirmation of a sustained uptrend.
Following that bounce, the market is likely to enter a controlled corrective phase, gradually rotating price into the $65k–$55k range.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
This zone represents a high-probability area for leverage reset, emotional capitulation, and strategic accumulation.
Historically, these conditions are required before any meaningful expansion phase can begin.
The key phase to watch is the consolidation that follows likely around two weeks where volatility compresses and market control quietly shifts back to stronger hands. Once accumulation is complete, Bitcoin can transition into its next growth leg with renewed momentum and healthier structure.
If this cycle continues to rhyme with prior market behavior, a move toward $140k per $BTC becomes a realistic upside target rather than speculation.
Short-term drawdowns test patience, not conviction. Stay disciplined, manage risk, and let the market do the heavy lifting.
Bookmark this and revisit it in August clarity always comes after volatility.
#BTC #StrategyBTCPurchase #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund
In the near term, price action suggests a technical relief bounce toward the $83k area as liquidity above current levels is tested.
This move, however, should be viewed as a structural reaction rather than confirmation of a sustained uptrend.
Following that bounce, the market is likely to enter a controlled corrective phase, gradually rotating price into the $65k–$55k range.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
This zone represents a high-probability area for leverage reset, emotional capitulation, and strategic accumulation.
Historically, these conditions are required before any meaningful expansion phase can begin.
The key phase to watch is the consolidation that follows likely around two weeks where volatility compresses and market control quietly shifts back to stronger hands. Once accumulation is complete, Bitcoin can transition into its next growth leg with renewed momentum and healthier structure.
If this cycle continues to rhyme with prior market behavior, a move toward $140k per $BTC becomes a realistic upside target rather than speculation.
Short-term drawdowns test patience, not conviction. Stay disciplined, manage risk, and let the market do the heavy lifting.
Bookmark this and revisit it in August clarity always comes after volatility.
#BTC #StrategyBTCPurchase #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund
Just a quick update: Spot buying for $BTC has been strong today, with Coinbase and Binance making the largest purchases. Additionally, Binance's SAFU fund has invested $100M. It seems likely we'll see positive BTC ETF flows tomorrow. I'll keep everyone posted. What do you think—will we see positive net flows?
#StrategyBTCPurchase #AISocialNetworkMoltbook #USCryptoMarketStructureBill #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #WhenWillBTCRebound
#StrategyBTCPurchase #AISocialNetworkMoltbook #USCryptoMarketStructureBill #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #WhenWillBTCRebound
MACRO SIGNAL: Why Today's $BTC Dump is a Policy-Driven Liquidity Shock. This sell-off isn't random. It’s a macro repricing of policy risk happening in real time. A traditional risk-off rotation was sparked by hotter-than-expected PPI data and a more hawkish Fed outlook. Risk assets like $BTC and $ETH are being compressed by this change in liquidity expectations. This is not an event unique to cryptocurrency. On-chain data confirms this isn't panic. Instead of complete surrender, we are witnessing the methodical unwinding of leverage. Institutional de-risking is what this is. Conclusion: Bearish. At the moment, cryptocurrency is trading rate expectations rather than fundamentals. Price will follow the Fed's narrative. #BTC #MacroInsights #FederalReserve #CryptoTrading #ETH
Today’s pullback looks more connected to macro conditions than to anything specific in crypto.
Recent inflation data and tougher policy expectations tend to reduce liquidity across all risk assets.
When that happens, leverage usually gets reduced first, and crypto often reacts quickly.
This kind of move is more of a stress test than a statement on long-term fundamentals.
How much weight do you give macro factors when reading crypto markets right now?
$BTC $ETH
#BTC #Macro #crypto #StrategyBTCPurchase #AISocialNetworkMoltbook
Recent inflation data and tougher policy expectations tend to reduce liquidity across all risk assets.
When that happens, leverage usually gets reduced first, and crypto often reacts quickly.
This kind of move is more of a stress test than a statement on long-term fundamentals.
How much weight do you give macro factors when reading crypto markets right now?
$BTC $ETH
#BTC #Macro #crypto #StrategyBTCPurchase #AISocialNetworkMoltbook
After a long downtrend, $XRP has moved out of a multi-year compression range.
Since then, price has been trading sideways, which is often how markets pause and rebalance after a major structural shift.
This phase helps reveal whether buyers are still active or momentum is fading.
Watching how price behaves here can offer clues about the next longer-term move.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #USCryptoMarketStructureBill #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #WhenWillBTCRebound #xrp
Since then, price has been trading sideways, which is often how markets pause and rebalance after a major structural shift.
This phase helps reveal whether buyers are still active or momentum is fading.
Watching how price behaves here can offer clues about the next longer-term move.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #USCryptoMarketStructureBill #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #WhenWillBTCRebound #xrp
Why is $XRP dropping despite strong on-chain data?
XRP has slid to around $1.60, its lowest level in months, even as fundamentals improve.
RWA TVL is up 11% to a record ~$235M, and network expansion continues.
The issue isn’t XRP itself — it’s Bitcoin dominance.
With XRP showing an extremely high correlation to $BTC, broader market volatility is overpowering individual catalysts.
Until Bitcoin stabilizes, upside for many altcoins may stay limited.
Bias: Short-term caution while BTC leads.
#xrp #bitcoin #WhenWillBTCRebound #PreciousMetalsTurbulence #MarketCorrection
XRP has slid to around $1.60, its lowest level in months, even as fundamentals improve.
RWA TVL is up 11% to a record ~$235M, and network expansion continues.
The issue isn’t XRP itself — it’s Bitcoin dominance.
With XRP showing an extremely high correlation to $BTC, broader market volatility is overpowering individual catalysts.
Until Bitcoin stabilizes, upside for many altcoins may stay limited.
Bias: Short-term caution while BTC leads.
#xrp #bitcoin #WhenWillBTCRebound #PreciousMetalsTurbulence #MarketCorrection
This isn’t politics — it’s math. When your biggest funder pulls back, reality hits fast. The U.N. is about to face some hard questions.
Sui Media
·
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💥THE U.N. IS RUNNING OUT OF MONEY $C98
The United Nations is warning of a funding crunch. $DCR
Secretary-General António Guterres sent an emergency letter to all 193 member states, saying the U.N. could run out of funds by July. $SOPH
The pressure point: Donald Trump moving to cut U.S. funding, one of the U.N.’s largest revenue sources.
This isn’t rhetoric. It’s a cash-flow issue that could disrupt core operations within months.
The United Nations is warning of a funding crunch. $DCR
Secretary-General António Guterres sent an emergency letter to all 193 member states, saying the U.N. could run out of funds by July. $SOPH
The pressure point: Donald Trump moving to cut U.S. funding, one of the U.N.’s largest revenue sources.
This isn’t rhetoric. It’s a cash-flow issue that could disrupt core operations within months.
Good trade management. After a hard dump, price rarely goes straight down. Locking partials and letting the rest run is how you stay consistent.
Will $RIVER keep dropping to $10?
It’s possible if the market stays weak, but after a strong dump, price usually gets some bounce or consolidation first. I wouldn’t expect a straight line down — better to let it prove itself step by step.
My RIVER short from this morning is already up about +$2,500.
I’m taking 50% profit here and letting the rest run with a tight stop.
That way I lock gains and still stay in if the move continues.
{future}(RIVERUSDT)
It’s possible if the market stays weak, but after a strong dump, price usually gets some bounce or consolidation first. I wouldn’t expect a straight line down — better to let it prove itself step by step.
My RIVER short from this morning is already up about +$2,500.
I’m taking 50% profit here and letting the rest run with a tight stop.
That way I lock gains and still stay in if the move continues.
{future}(RIVERUSDT)
Running on “jail Trump” instead of policy says everything. That’s not a platform — that’s desperation. Voters will see right through it.
Monad Media
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💥BREAKING:$BULLA
$CYS 🇺🇸 Top Democrat is allegedly planning a $ZKP 2028 presidential run centered on JAILING Trump and his former Cabinet.
$CYS 🇺🇸 Top Democrat is allegedly planning a $ZKP 2028 presidential run centered on JAILING Trump and his former Cabinet.
Infrastructure sounds nice, but narratives don’t ship players.
Until real users stay, this is still hype > adoption.
Show traction — or it’s a short.
Until real users stay, this is still hype > adoption.
Show traction — or it’s a short.
Anasta Maverick
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Why Vanry Chain Matters in the Future of Web3 Gaming
Web3 gaming is growing fast, but many projects still struggle to keep players engaged. The reason is not a lack of ideas or funding. The real issue is weak infrastructure. Games need speed, smooth performance, and stability. Without these, even the best games fail to hold attention. This is why Vanry Chain is becoming more important.
Vanry Chain is built to support gaming from the ground up. Instead of using a general blockchain and adjusting it for games, Vanry focuses directly on gaming needs. This means lower delays, better performance, and more reliable gameplay. Players may not see the technology, but they feel the difference when games run smoothly.
Another key strength of Vanry Chain is its focus on developers. Game studios want to build great experiences, not fight technical problems. Vanry provides an environment where developers can focus on gameplay, design, and community while the infrastructure handles performance and scaling.
Vanry Chain also looks beyond short-term trends. It is not built for one popular game or one season. Its goal is to support many games and digital worlds over time. This creates a strong ecosystem where projects can grow naturally.
Web3 gaming needs strong foundations to succeed. By focusing on performance, usability, and long-term growth, Vanry Chain is quietly shaping the future of blockchain gaming.
$VANRY @Vanar #vanar
Vanry Chain is built to support gaming from the ground up. Instead of using a general blockchain and adjusting it for games, Vanry focuses directly on gaming needs. This means lower delays, better performance, and more reliable gameplay. Players may not see the technology, but they feel the difference when games run smoothly.
Another key strength of Vanry Chain is its focus on developers. Game studios want to build great experiences, not fight technical problems. Vanry provides an environment where developers can focus on gameplay, design, and community while the infrastructure handles performance and scaling.
Vanry Chain also looks beyond short-term trends. It is not built for one popular game or one season. Its goal is to support many games and digital worlds over time. This creates a strong ecosystem where projects can grow naturally.
Web3 gaming needs strong foundations to succeed. By focusing on performance, usability, and long-term growth, Vanry Chain is quietly shaping the future of blockchain gaming.
$VANRY @Vanar #vanar
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