BlackCat Crypto

🚨 Markets are quietly repricing the hedge trade

Something important is shifting under the surface.
• Gold now carries a ~45% probability of outperforming $BTC and the S&P 500 in 2026 $SENT
• That’s a meaningful flip in expectations, not a rounding error
• Traders are no longer positioned for a clean, full risk-on environment $ZRO

What this usually signals:
• More caution around growth
• A growing focus on capital preservation
• Late-cycle or stress-style positioning, not early expansion behavior

This doesn’t mean markets collapse tomorrow.
But it does mean the tone is changing.

Narratives almost always shift before price reacts 🚀

$SCRT — the bounce is getting sold into, and buyers can’t build acceptance higher.

SHORT $SCRT
Entry: 0.185 – 0.19
Stop Loss: 0.198
TP1: 0.172
TP2: 0.162
TP3: 0.150

Price pushed higher but couldn’t hold the bounce. Selling pressure showed up quickly near resistance, and every attempt to extend is meeting rejection. This looks like active supply stepping in, not simple profit-taking.

Momentum is rolling back over, and structure continues to favor downside continuation as long as this zone caps price.

Trade $SCRT here 👇

$FARTCOIN — the dip got absorbed quickly, and sellers couldn’t push it any lower.

LONG $FARTCOIN
Entry: 0.305 – 0.312
Stop Loss: 0.279
TP1: 0.315
TP2: 0.325
TP3: 0.340

Price pulled back into a local demand pocket and found buyers almost immediately. Selling attempts showed no follow-through, and the reaction looks like absorption, not distribution. Momentum is stabilizing after the dip instead of accelerating lower.

As long as this support zone continues to hold, the structure favors continuation rather than another downside leg.

Trade $FARTCOIN here 👇

#Altcoins update 📈

First altseason — done ✅ $SENT
Second altseason — done ✅ $FOGO

The third phase is getting close.

Zooming out to the higher timeframe, the structure is… familiar.
Not identical, but it rhymes the same way it always does.

Compression. Rotation. Then expansion.

This chart honestly looks clean. $DUSK
No hype needed here — the setup speaks for itself.

Do you see it too? 🚀

$ZRO — upside stalled at resistance, and buyers are losing follow-through.

SHORT $ZRO
Entry: 2.32 – 2.38
Stop Loss: 2.45
TP1: 2.22
TP2: 2.10
TP3: 1.98

Price pushed into the supply zone but couldn’t build acceptance above it. Multiple rejections show sellers are active here, while buying pressure faded quickly after the test. Momentum is starting to roll over rather than expand.

As long as this resistance continues to cap price, the structure favors a move lower rather than continuation higher.

Trade $ZRO here 👇

$SOL — buyers defended the dip cleanly, and downside pressure stalled fast.

LONG $SOL
Entry: 127 – 130
Stop Loss: 124.0
TP1: 133.0
TP2: 138.0
TP3: 145.0

Price dipped into support and was met with immediate absorption. Sellers tried to press lower, but couldn’t get continuation below the level. Structure continues to hold higher lows, and momentum remains steady after the pullback rather than flipping bearish.

As long as this base stays intact, this looks like a pause before another leg higher, not distribution.

Trade $SOL here 👇

$ZEC — the push higher got rejected, and follow-through never showed up.

SHORT $ZEC
Entry: 360 – 370
Stop Loss: 382
TP1: 340
TP2: 320
TP3: 300

Price couldn’t hold above recent resistance, and sellers stepped in almost immediately on strength. Buy pressure looks thin, rejections are stacking up, and momentum is rolling over instead of expanding after the extension. There’s movement, but no acceptance.

This reads as distribution into resistance, not continuation. As long as this zone keeps capping price, the structure favors another leg lower rather than a sustained push higher.

Trade $ZEC here 👇

$SENT — the bounce is running straight into supply, not real demand.

SHORT $SENT
Entry: 0.0290 – 0.0300
Stop Loss: 0.031
TP1: 0.0278
TP2: 0.0265
TP3: 0.0250

The push higher couldn’t build acceptance, and upside attempts are getting absorbed almost immediately. Price action shows hesitation rather than strength, with momentum starting to roll back over instead of expanding.

This reads as a corrective bounce into resistance, not accumulation. As long as sellers continue to defend this zone, the structure favors downside continuation rather than any sustained recovery.

Trade $SENT here 👇

📊 Older Bitcoin supply is starting to move again

Coins that sat untouched for 2+ years are waking up. $SENT
That’s not random activity — it’s supply rotation. $FOGO

What’s happening under the surface:
• Long-term holders are distributing, not panicking $PIPPIN
• Dormant coin activity has risen sharply since 2024
• 2024–2025 marks the highest LTH selling we’ve seen in Bitcoin’s history

This doesn’t mean an instant crash.
It means price has reached levels that finally convince veterans to sell.

That’s how mature phases of cycles usually look.
Early money hands off to late money — quietly, gradually, without headlines.

It’s not bullish or bearish by itself.
It’s a transition signal.

And transitions are where most people misread the market 🔥

A lot of people are asking the same question right now:

Does $BTC go to $60K first… or $100K?

Here’s how I’m looking at it, without guessing.

I’ve been watching Bitcoin closely, and price is clearly reacting from a major historical demand zone around $80K–$82K. This isn’t a random area — it’s a zone that has produced strong bounces multiple times in the past, and the current behavior suggests buyers are stepping back in again.

After that reaction, $BTC is now consolidating around $89K, basically building a base after the pullback. No panic selling, no expansion — just digestion.

If this range continues to hold, the structure opens the door for the next leg higher, with the main liquidity sitting up in the $105K–$120K zone, where prior highs and unfinished business remain.

From a spot perspective, this whole region is important.
Even if Bitcoin revisits the $80K support, that area still looks like a high-probability accumulation zone based on both historical reactions and current structure.

Momentum is stabilizing.
Demand is visible.
This feels more like preparation, not distribution.

I’m focused on spot accumulation and only considering low-leverage longs with proper risk management. No need to force anything — let structure lead.

👉 $BTC

$AXS — the upside extension is starting to look tired, and sellers are leaning back in.

SHORT $AXS
Entry: 2.90 – 2.95
Stop Loss: 3.07
TP1: 2.80
TP2: 2.72
TP3: 2.68

The push higher couldn’t hold acceptance, and follow-through is already fading. Upside attempts are getting absorbed instead of expanded, while momentum is rolling over after the extension. Buyers pushed, but they’re no longer in control.

This reads as distribution into resistance, not strength. As long as this zone continues to cap price, a pullback remains the cleaner path.

Trade $AXS here 👇

$DUSK — buyers are finally showing real intent after the washout.

LONG $DUSK
Entry: 0.178 – 0.182
Stop Loss: 0.168
TP1: 0.195
TP2: 0.215
TP3: 0.238

After the sell-off, price reacted strongly and, more importantly, held above the recent base instead of rolling back over. Selling pressure has eased noticeably, dips are getting absorbed rather than extended, and momentum is stabilizing from oversold conditions.

This reads as accumulation after a flush, not another distribution leg. As long as this structure remains intact, continuation to the upside stays in play.

Trade $DUSK here 👇

🔥 Solana staking just hit an all-time high $SENT

The network now has ~$60B worth of $SOL staked, pushing the staking ratio to a record ~70%. $FOGO

That’s a big deal. More coins locked means less liquid supply, and it usually reflects longer-term conviction, not short-term speculation.

Not a price call.
Just a signal that participants are choosing to commit, not flip.

🚨 BREAKING — U.S. GDP just surprised to the upside

U.S. GDP grew +4.4% in Q3 2025, beating expectations. $SENT
• Expected: ~4.3% $GUN
• Fastest growth in two years $SLP

This doesn’t look like a soft economy at all. Demand is still strong, even with rates this high.

What that likely means:
• Rate cuts get pushed out
• Liquidity stays tighter for longer
• USD stays supported
• Risk assets face mixed conditions short term

So no — macro isn’t cracking.
If anything, it’s running hot 🔥

🔴 Important on-chain signal — worth respecting

Right now, there still aren’t enough investors in profit to confirm a stable bullish recovery. $SENT

The key thresholds to watch are pretty clear: $GUN
• Current supply in profit: ~71%
• Recent danger zone: ~64%
• Bullish stability range: 75%–80%

When the market sits below 75%, it tends to stay fragile. Confidence is shaky, rallies struggle to sustain, and downside risk doesn’t fully disappear.
Once supply in profit moves back above 75%, structure usually starts to stabilize and trends become easier to maintain. $FRAX

This isn’t about calling tops or bottoms.
It’s about knowing whether the market has enough participants “in the green” to support continuation.

That zone is the divider.
It likely decides the next major move 🔥

Let’s cool the emotion and look at what’s actually repeating.

Alt moves of this scale have never come from magic — they come from dominance rotation. $SENT

The pattern has shown up more than once: $GUN
• 2017: $BTC.D dropped ~45% → ALTs expanded ~83x
• 2021: $BTC.D dropped ~45% → ALTs expanded ~105x
• Now: a ~40% $BTC.D compression is being discussed going into 2026

That doesn’t promise a specific multiple.
It highlights where pressure tends to release once Bitcoin dominance rolls over.

Nothing fancy here. $SLP
No secret indicators.
Just capital rotating out of safety and into risk — the same mechanism every cycle.

Smart money usually positions before dominance breaks.
Retail usually reacts after price moves.

Altseason isn’t a single candle.
It’s a process — slow positioning first, fast expansion later 🔥

$BTC — U.S. Senate just moved crypto into the real policy phase 🚨

Washington quietly crossed an important threshold. The U.S. Senate is now formally advancing crypto regulation, even without full bipartisan alignment. Chairman Boozman released a new draft and confirmed the bill is heading to markup on January 27 — a clear signal this is moving forward, not stalling in debate.

That shift matters.$ETH

Crypto is no longer being treated as a gray-area experiment. The framework points toward recognition of crypto markets as legitimate financial markets, bringing exchanges, brokers, and custodians under clearer federal oversight. Expect stricter standards around custody, transparency, and market integrity — closer to TradFi rules than regulatory loopholes.

This isn’t about whether regulation is “good” or “bad.”
It’s about status.

U.S. crypto policy is leaving the talking stage and entering execution mode.$SOL

The real question now is:
Is this the clarity institutions have been waiting for —
or the opening move in a longer regulatory tug-of-war?

Either way, the landscape just changed.

$GUN — the bounce feels forced, and sellers are still in control.

SHORT $GUN
Entry: 0.0365 – 0.0375
Stop Loss: 0.0387
TP1: 0.0335
TP2: 0.0310
TP3: 0.0285

The push higher failed to gain acceptance. Every upside attempt gets absorbed almost immediately, and momentum never follows through. Price action stays heavy, with no signs of buyers taking control.

This reads as a corrective bounce into supply, not a reversal. As long as sellers continue to defend this zone, the cleaner path remains continuation to the downside.

Trade $GUN here 👇

$ETH - Analysis

ETH and most coins are not in a good position for entries, either it'd be longs or shorts.

So, here's a quick analysis on where Ethereum is at right now.

Price is nearing its strong support zone once again. A level that has kept price under previously and as well supported price from a massive selling pressure.

Not much to say, but if you're asking me where is the closest support level, there it is.

📈 $BTC DAILY UPDATE

1D Timeframe

Price is still stuck at the same level from yesterday, so the roadmap still remains.

The 1.618 fibonacci is the next downside target. But, it might take some time to get there.

A very likely scenario is a quick rebound from the current price, reject its closest bearish FVG, and then head lower from there.