The weekly rebound of #BTC has a high probability of being over. Next, it will retreat to the support level near the previous low of 80,000. It should be difficult to rebound back to 95,000 to recover the mistakenly operated positions. This year, it will ultimately break below 80,000 and start a wave C decline.

The newly opened $RIVER has already broken through the previous high of 66 and is currently in the final topping phase at the weekly level. The last wave of a strong coin's main rise usually lasts for 4 to 6 weeks, and in most cases, it ends in the fourth week. The last week of the topping often sees the largest increase in the main rise. Last week, RIVER's increase reached 157%, and it is unlikely to exceed this increase this week. Either last week's high of 79 is the major top of this round, or the price will spike to around 90 before quickly falling back, thus ending the main rise. The weekly closing point this week will likely be below 79.

My position in RIVER is not large. Currently, the funding rate at the high position is over -1% per day, which is acceptable for short-term trading. However, when it reached -2% in just one hour previously, it became unmanageable. Therefore, I currently have no stop-loss plan unless the funding rate rises significantly, then I will consider stopping losses and exiting.

I am still operating according to the previous model. After being trapped at Binance for a distance, I will open a new order on the adjacent platform to copy my trapped positions. Currently, the success rate for shorting at the bottom on the adjacent platform is 100%. When Bitcoin was trapped at 108,000, I shorted near the range of 115,000 to 120,000. When ZEC was trapped at 630, I shorted near 700 (currently the cost is over 500 due to adding a lot of positions in the 400-500 range). When Ethereum was trapped at 4200, I shorted near 4600.

Due to the high funding rate of $RIVER, I do not plan to hold it long-term. After seeing a rapid decline following the peak, I will close the position and will not hold it for half a year like Bitcoin, Ethereum, or ZEC. Yesterday, the overall market fell sharply, but it continued to move independently. It is highly likely to complete the topping in the form of a spike. The risk of this coin is much greater than the previous operations of $ZEC , $BCH , and $XMR . The main risk still comes from the funding rate. It is advised to wait and observe, and not to follow the trend.