Nathan金言

The BTC weekly K EMA200 has just fallen below, which is definitely not good news. If it can recover, that would be fine; if it can't, we can only slowly move down below... Bears are fierce, but I still hope for a rebound during the Spring Festival. Rebounds, it's all about rebounds. Both bulls and bears remember to set stop losses or protections. Good night #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

Still pretty perfect, wrapping up tonight, I still got an order in 2020, all thanks to fate's favor, good night! #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

A little head warehouse, the rest is left to fate's arrangement. If it drops to 67-68 again, then breaking it means 65! Leave it to fate, set up protection. #ETH

Continuation. The small futures gap has been filled. The larger futures gap is above. I will continue to bet on a rebound when it comes down. Recently unable to post videos. I will officially return in March~~ If there is anything, chat in the group #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

最后一次在群里更新点位是2118，暂时只发现三个人挂了。76一个小压力。现在这种洗盘多空都要设保护的。身体不行明日再看 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

2120-2150 Bet a game, weekly rising point. The level mentioned on the 31st #eth

January 30
80600~81000 is the main weekly bottom pool, as well as the historical bottom resonance zone, a major trading area. Tomorrow, we will see if the closing can recover 84 at the 15-day line; if it cannot recover, it will not be executed instantly. There is currently a small long position in the short term.

What we need to focus on now is the closing position of the monthly line, which will determine whether next month will be a slow rise for recovery or a downward trend.

eth2720~2625; the rebound pressure zone looks at 2888~2950, hard stop loss at 2580 #btc

Gambling at multiple points, as shown! #BTC

January 29 market
There hasn't been much change from yesterday. The short position in ETH has been closed.
Pay attention to recent liquidity at 87265-86880 first, then look at 86510-86075; the system hard stop loss is 851, and if it breaks, the structure will be damaged.
ETH sync: first look at 2895~2866; then look at 2812~2787, structure stop loss at 2780/2760, hard stop loss at 2710; pressure first look at 3051~3069, then 3168~3240. #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

2026.1.28 Market Morning Report
Operation: 87060, Second support 86200-86080;
Structural stop loss: Break and close below 85880 for 1 hour;
System hard stop loss: 85450 once it reaches this point it indicates a structural change
First target 89450-90500; Second target 90580-91250
--------------------------------
Ether: 2860-2870, Second replenishment position 2795-2787;
Structural stop loss: Close below 2778 for 1 hour
System hard stop loss: 2738 (reaching this basically declares demand failure)
First target 2945-2985; Second target 3035-3069
--------------------------------------------
I have a small short position at 3025 for ETH. Stop loss 3051 #ETH

Someone has recently been trading gold, and has been asking me continuously. It's possible, but don't have a large perspective. For pullbacks, protect or take profits at 30 minutes or 1 hour. The gold market hasn't peaked yet. Short positions should only be for the short term, not for the long term first. #黄金

1.23 Market Analysis
Overall, it is still in a downtrend correction. If it pulls back again:
BTC: 87500-87200, hard stop loss (daily level): if the daily closing price falls below 87263 again and continues (unable to recover the next day), stop the long strategy.
ETH: 2905-2865, hard stop loss: if the daily closing price continues to fall below 2860 and cannot recover, stop the long strategy.
Macro-wise, the market is under the backdrop of "Trump's tariffs/geopolitical rhetoric changes + fluctuations in US and Japanese bond yields," with risk appetite fluctuating; after Trump retracted some tough statements, the stock market rebounded, the dollar weakened, and gold strengthened, with BTC/ETH declining/weakening." #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

1.22 market
BTC is currently in a consolidation recovery phase. Light position at 89500-88500,
core level at 87400-86600. Stop loss structure: a break below 87200 on a 4-hour chart is considered a true break, hard stop loss at 85800.
Main resistance at 938-947, reduce position, while the range of 9-905, 92 is considered a mid-journey rhythm gate, which is a pressure level on the hourly chart.

ETH light position trial at 3000-2950,
core level at 2900-2865. Structural stop loss at a break below 2860 on a 4-hour chart, hard stop loss at 2790. Look for a rebound first at 3090~3130 (reduce first)
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

In the next few days, I will likely be bottoming around the area of 87895-87550, with rebound resistance at 90588, and then make another attempt at a lower bottom to clear out the long stop losses. ETH 3000-3030 has also become a new resistance, BTC is okay, but ETH has completely broken down. It's better to go long on the right side of the position, or continue to short on the rebound. #eth

The long positions given yesterday morning from 3160-3170 have a temporary low of 3165, perfect
ETH has support at 3140 and 3100, today's operations are roughly as follows, strictly with stop-losses

BTC: 92050-91550; structural stop-loss: 91080 (if it breaks and does not recover within 1 hour), hard stop-loss: 90780 (to prevent extreme spikes)
First target: 93650-93950 Second target: 94750-95600

ETH: 3170-3125; structural stop-loss: 3075; hard stop-loss: 3035; target 1: 3245-3285; target 2: 3309-3355

The points yesterday were quite impressive, with a low of 3165. Those who haven't placed their bets can continue to do so here, paying attention to the futures gap. #ETH

Ethereum's non-entity breaking below 3180 is not a problem. If you want to go long, you can set a buy order between 3160-3170 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

1.16 Market Brief
Market Rhythm:
Pullback without breaking 94/95 → Re-test 979 (near this week's temporary high) → Test the 100 barrier;
Only if below 94 is broken will the trend switch to a rapid downward move back to 92/90 (more prone to stop-loss triggers).
ETH: Structure shows clear supply around 3400; support at 3100+3050 (structural bottom). If strong, test 3400 or fake breakout; if weak, re-test 31xx for secondary confirmation.
BTC pullback to 946–952, structural stop-loss: below 938 (confirmed by 1h close); system hard stop-loss: 93300 (to prevent night-time pin); First target: 97200–97900; Second target: 998–100500 (start taking profits in batches here, avoid over-trading).
ETH pullback to 3220–3270 (enter light position first), add-on zone: 3120–3170 (consider only near 3100 pivot); structural stop-loss: below 3090 (1h close); hard stop-loss: 3040; Target 1: 3380–3400; Target 2: 3480–3550 (requires BTC to strengthen in sync).
Core points from last night to today:
1) ETFs in the capital segment show real inflows, with daily inflows reaching multi-month highs, indicating major funds are treating BTC as the primary allocation.
2) Derivatives short squeeze has occurred (near 700 million level), increasing the likelihood of a short-term 'push—wash—re-select direction' pattern; avoid chasing, wait for pullback confirmation.
3) Two key triggers today: U.S. macro data (industrial output, etc.) + ARB unlock supply shock—both can directly trigger stop-losses and volatility. #btc

1.15 Market Early Report
BTC structure remains bullish. The close was near the high end, with the main force seemingly holding to wait for a second sweep of liquidity.
Buy in batches at 94780-93860, exit if 4-hour close breaks 93860, hard stop-loss at 932; first target 96950-97900, look at 99500～100000 if confirmed.

ETH, although I have short positions, still follow the trend: buy back at 3300-3280, exit if breaks 3280, hard stop-loss at 3235, target 3400-3450;
eth only consider going above 3450 if it holds above 3400 and retests without breaking, with the number #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 remaining unchanged.

1.14 Market Analysis
BTC market is currently showing short-term bullish momentum, but it's about to enter a period of high supply density. This wave is likely to follow three stages: 1. First, sweep above the 965 liquidity zone; 2. Re-test and confirm support around 94-93; 3. Then decide whether to push toward 98/100! (Major milestone, high resistance, strong barrier). Conditions for a bullish structure to remain intact: re-test does not break below 93-94.5, and no consecutive breaks within the day.
Conditions for structural weakening: break below 91, indicating structural breakdown.
Short-term re-test: partial entries between 94,150 and 94,800; structural stop-loss at 936, hard stop-loss at 92,980; target first 963, then 982! #btc