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X: @haigechanlun666
Occasional Trader
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BTC | Chan Theory
The BTC upward structure is relatively full.
The short-term rebound momentum has gradually been released,
expected to enter the retracement phase starting today.
Focus on the key support level around 68k (near the 21-day moving average)
Whether it can stabilize will determine if the rebound continues.
If it falls below, the rebound structure will be damaged, and further declines need to be guarded against.
In the current position, do not chase long positions or blindly bottom-fish,
wait for the retracement to provide structure before discussing direction.
$BTC
The BTC upward structure is relatively full.
The short-term rebound momentum has gradually been released,
expected to enter the retracement phase starting today.
Focus on the key support level around 68k (near the 21-day moving average)
Whether it can stabilize will determine if the rebound continues.
If it falls below, the rebound structure will be damaged, and further declines need to be guarded against.
In the current position, do not chase long positions or blindly bottom-fish,
wait for the retracement to provide structure before discussing direction.
$BTC
BTC | Moving Average System
Currently still in the rebound recovery phase after a decline, with short-term prices operating between the medium-term moving averages.
Expected Path:
1. Pay attention to the 21-day moving average at the 68500 level for pullback targets.
2. If a pullback stabilizes and forms support, there is a chance to continue testing the 55-day moving average upward.
3. If the 21-day moving average is lost, the trend will weaken, with key support at the 66k level below.
Before the moving averages show a bullish divergence, we still focus on interval thinking + structural confirmation.
Market direction is not guessed; it is followed as it unfolds.
#BTC走势分析
Currently still in the rebound recovery phase after a decline, with short-term prices operating between the medium-term moving averages.
Expected Path:
1. Pay attention to the 21-day moving average at the 68500 level for pullback targets.
2. If a pullback stabilizes and forms support, there is a chance to continue testing the 55-day moving average upward.
3. If the 21-day moving average is lost, the trend will weaken, with key support at the 66k level below.
Before the moving averages show a bullish divergence, we still focus on interval thinking + structural confirmation.
Market direction is not guessed; it is followed as it unfolds.
#BTC走势分析
ETH | BTC | Chande Theory
The current structure of Ethereum,
clearly shows signs of divergence.
Price hits a new high, but momentum doesn't keep up,
MACD volume fails to synchronize and expand,
a typical "can't pull it anymore."
At this position, chasing long positions,
the risk-reward ratio is no longer favorable.
It's more likely to first pull back for adjustment,
whether it is a small level retracement,
or evolves into a larger level decline,
let the structure dictate.
Currently, the risk is Bitcoin moving sideways at a high level,
if Bitcoin struggles to push higher,
and weakens to form a resonance,
then a pullback will be imminent.
$ETH
The current structure of Ethereum,
clearly shows signs of divergence.
Price hits a new high, but momentum doesn't keep up,
MACD volume fails to synchronize and expand,
a typical "can't pull it anymore."
At this position, chasing long positions,
the risk-reward ratio is no longer favorable.
It's more likely to first pull back for adjustment,
whether it is a small level retracement,
or evolves into a larger level decline,
let the structure dictate.
Currently, the risk is Bitcoin moving sideways at a high level,
if Bitcoin struggles to push higher,
and weakens to form a resonance,
then a pullback will be imminent.
$ETH
After a significant market drop, it often does not reverse immediately,
instead, it tends to oscillate within a large range.
Looking at the recent structure,
it is highly probable that the price will continue to move back and forth between the upper and lower bands of the 4H Bollinger Bands.
But it is important to emphasize one point:
Oscillation is a process, not a conclusion.
From the perspective of the current large structure,
the final direction is likely still downward.
#BTC走势分析
instead, it tends to oscillate within a large range.
Looking at the recent structure,
it is highly probable that the price will continue to move back and forth between the upper and lower bands of the 4H Bollinger Bands.
But it is important to emphasize one point:
Oscillation is a process, not a conclusion.
From the perspective of the current large structure,
the final direction is likely still downward.
#BTC走势分析
Weekend trading volume is low, and the market is mostly fluctuating with false breakouts.
Without volume, there is no direction, and it is not worth heavy speculation.
Be patient and wait for the liquidity to return in the evening,
to see if the market gives a clear direction before deciding to enter or exit.
Without volume, there is no direction, and it is not worth heavy speculation.
Be patient and wait for the liquidity to return in the evening,
to see if the market gives a clear direction before deciding to enter or exit.
BTC | Chanlun
In the early session, the bulls failed to push the price up to 73–74k in one go, and the strength was weaker than expected.
Currently, 68k is a key support level, and whether it can hold will determine the subsequent pace.
Before there is clear volume expansion and structural confirmation, recklessly going long is not cost-effective.
Based on the current intensity assessment, I choose to abandon the long plan and continue to observe.
Trading doesn't always require action; the ability to give up is true risk control.
$BTC
In the early session, the bulls failed to push the price up to 73–74k in one go, and the strength was weaker than expected.
Currently, 68k is a key support level, and whether it can hold will determine the subsequent pace.
Before there is clear volume expansion and structural confirmation, recklessly going long is not cost-effective.
Based on the current intensity assessment, I choose to abandon the long plan and continue to observe.
Trading doesn't always require action; the ability to give up is true risk control.
$BTC
4H has already crossed the MACD golden cross, it won't drop significantly in the short term. It needs time.
$BTC
$BTC
I cannot guarantee that every market analysis is absolutely correct or completely objective,
but I will try to start from K-line + Chan theory structure, categorizing various possible trends completely, rather than just giving one answer.
Sharing market information is, on one hand, a record of my own trading and review,
and on the other hand, I hope to provide some truly useful references for friends who just entered the cryptocurrency space.
These experiences are not hearsay, not guesses; they were earned with real money in the market.
Being right is not important; what matters is surviving long-term.
#交易心得分享
but I will try to start from K-line + Chan theory structure, categorizing various possible trends completely, rather than just giving one answer.
Sharing market information is, on one hand, a record of my own trading and review,
and on the other hand, I hope to provide some truly useful references for friends who just entered the cryptocurrency space.
These experiences are not hearsay, not guesses; they were earned with real money in the market.
Being right is not important; what matters is surviving long-term.
#交易心得分享
XAG | Silver | Chan Theory
In this wave of silver's performance, the risks were clearly warned at the top last time.
Subsequently, a significant level of retracement was made, approaching a maximum of 50%, and the risks that needed to be avoided have been avoided.
Currently, from a structural perspective, after the retracement is completed, there is a greater tendency for a significant level of rebound.
At this position, I no longer see a bearish trend in the short term; going against the trend to short is already of low cost-performance ratio.
The rebound target is initially set at the 100 level, and there will inevitably be fluctuations in the middle, but the direction must respect the structure.
Market trends are not emotions; one should short when it’s time to short and long when it’s time to long.
$XAG
In this wave of silver's performance, the risks were clearly warned at the top last time.
Subsequently, a significant level of retracement was made, approaching a maximum of 50%, and the risks that needed to be avoided have been avoided.
Currently, from a structural perspective, after the retracement is completed, there is a greater tendency for a significant level of rebound.
At this position, I no longer see a bearish trend in the short term; going against the trend to short is already of low cost-performance ratio.
The rebound target is initially set at the 100 level, and there will inevitably be fluctuations in the middle, but the direction must respect the structure.
Market trends are not emotions; one should short when it’s time to short and long when it’s time to long.
$XAG
BTC | Chande Analysis
Bitcoin is likely to enter a wide fluctuation between 65k and 77k in the short term.
This is not a money-making market; it is a challenging market.
Chasing long positions can easily lead to missed opportunities, while chasing short positions can easily result in counter-trend losses.
In a fluctuating range, position size > direction, rhythm > opinion.
Seize the trading opportunities you can grasp; making trades based on structure will be more rational.
$BTC
Bitcoin is likely to enter a wide fluctuation between 65k and 77k in the short term.
This is not a money-making market; it is a challenging market.
Chasing long positions can easily lead to missed opportunities, while chasing short positions can easily result in counter-trend losses.
In a fluctuating range, position size > direction, rhythm > opinion.
Seize the trading opportunities you can grasp; making trades based on structure will be more rational.
$BTC
BTC | Chan Theory
Bitcoin continues to plummet, clearly exceeding most people's expectations.
This extreme market condition occurs once or twice every few years, specifically targeting those who "think they can endure".
For contract players, the most important rule can be summarized in one sentence: fixed position.
It's not about increasing position when the market is strong, nor about going all-in just because the price is low.
The market is always there, but losing control of one position could lead to immediate exit.
Surviving is the only qualification for discussing the next round.
#BTC走势分析
Bitcoin continues to plummet, clearly exceeding most people's expectations.
This extreme market condition occurs once or twice every few years, specifically targeting those who "think they can endure".
For contract players, the most important rule can be summarized in one sentence: fixed position.
It's not about increasing position when the market is strong, nor about going all-in just because the price is low.
The market is always there, but losing control of one position could lead to immediate exit.
Surviving is the only qualification for discussing the next round.
#BTC走势分析
BTC | Chande
Bitcoin once dipped to 70k, the space has been ample.
In theory, the bulls should attempt a counterattack once.
Whether it can produce a decent rebound depends on whether the structure can break out.
Be patient and wait for the trend to provide an answer.
$BTC
Bitcoin once dipped to 70k, the space has been ample.
In theory, the bulls should attempt a counterattack once.
Whether it can produce a decent rebound depends on whether the structure can break out.
Be patient and wait for the trend to provide an answer.
$BTC
I personally think it can go higher, stop loss at tonight's low point.
Invest at your own risk.
$BTC
Invest at your own risk.
$BTC
Gold | XAU | Chan Theory
Pullback does not return to the center, standard three-buy structure
SL 4850 TP 5100-5150+
The structure is there, the bulls have reason, pay attention to whether it can break out of the segment.
$XAU
Pullback does not return to the center, standard three-buy structure
SL 4850 TP 5100-5150+
The structure is there, the bulls have reason, pay attention to whether it can break out of the segment.
$XAU
BTC | Perspective of Chan Theory
1H Moving Average System is still in a bullish arrangement
But the price is locked in a secondary level center, oscillating repeatedly.
If there is no choice to pump tonight, the bullish structure will start to look bad.
Bullish has only one choice to pull up, with a target looking at 80–81k first.
No pull = weak, the bullish time is running out.
$BTC
1H Moving Average System is still in a bullish arrangement
But the price is locked in a secondary level center, oscillating repeatedly.
If there is no choice to pump tonight, the bullish structure will start to look bad.
Bullish has only one choice to pull up, with a target looking at 80–81k first.
No pull = weak, the bullish time is running out.
$BTC
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