Matrixport: BTC remains in correction as long as the price is below the 21-week moving average.

A fresh report from #Matrixport shows a simple and categorical logic: the 21-week moving average has long acted as a boundary for market phases. They have already written about this. Above it, the market tends to develop as "bullish," while below it, it transitions into a correction phase with increased risks.

#BTC broke this line downwards in the fourth quarter of 2025, which immediately increased the likelihood of a deeper correction. At the end of December, a rebound formed, but the most telling aspect is that the price returned to the 21-week average and received a clear rejection. This means the market attempted to recover, but the "door upwards" is still closed. Therefore, to grow, liquidity needs to be accumulated from below.

On the chart, the key level is now around 96 044$ - this is the zone where the price "got stuck" after the pullback. As long as BTC remains below the 21-week average, the overall regime remains corrective. The upper risk zone according to the model lies around $121,078, while the lower one is about $71,011.

The market can bounce around within the range as much as it wants, but as long as the 21-week average is above, the trend will resemble "bounces in correction," rather than a sustainable recovery.