🚨 WHEN IS IT BEST TO BUY & SELL $BTC USING MACRO CYCLES?
I’ve rounded the dates to clean day counts; the real difference is around 10–20 days each time, but it doesn’t change the main idea: if you buy #BTC on day 395, you’re buying almost at the bottom, and if you sell $BTC on day 1064, you’re exiting almost at the cycle highs.
2015–2017 Bull: 8 Jan ’15 → 17 Dec ’17 (1066 days) 2017–2018 Bear: 18 Dec ’17 → 15 Dec ’18 (365 days)
2018–2021 Bull: 16 Dec ’18 → 10 Nov ’21 (1066 days) 2021–2022 Bear: 11 Nov ’21 → 21 Nov ’22 (365 days)
Vanar is one of the few L1s that feels like it’s building for normal people, not just crypto people.
They’re coming from games, entertainment, and brands… and their whole angle is simple: bring the next 3 billion users into Web3 through things people already use — gaming, metaverse experiences, AI tools, and brand products.
What makes it interesting for me is the “behind the scenes” stack.
They’re pushing Neutron (their “Seeds” idea) — compressing data into smaller, usable onchain objects, so apps can store more than just tiny hashes and still keep it verifiable. And then there’s Kayon, which is built around reasoning + natural-language style interaction, so the chain can be used in a more app-friendly way.
That’s why I’m watching it: it’s not only speed… it’s about making onchain data and AI actually practical.
$VANRY also exists as an ERC-20 token on Ethereum (the contract is live on Etherscan), which keeps liquidity + accessibility simple for a lot of traders.
My takeaway: if they keep shipping real tools around Neutron + Kayon and we start seeing apps using it daily, this story gets much bigger than “just another L1.”
Reclaiming that level is a constructive sign. If the market keeps holding above it, the relief bounce has a better chance of continuing, but losing it again would weaken momentum.
Research Based Talkies
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The $TOTAL Crypto Market cap swept the April/Tariff lows and closed back above it the next day.
I think this is an important area for the market to hold if it wants to sustain a further relief bounce. $YGG {future}(YGGUSDT) $OG {future}(OGUSDT) $ZEN {future}(ZENUSDT) #EthereumLayer2Rethink? #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #USIranStandoff #GoldSilverRally #Market_Update
The $TOTAL Crypto Market cap swept the April/Tariff lows and closed back above it the next day.
I think this is an important area for the market to hold if it wants to sustain a further relief bounce. $YGG {future}(YGGUSDT) $OG {future}(OGUSDT) $ZEN {future}(ZENUSDT) #EthereumLayer2Rethink? #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #USIranStandoff #GoldSilverRally #Market_Update
Governments (e.g., US ~210,000 BTC from seizures) hold large amounts but rarely trade actively. Broader Picture Major trades today are driven more by institutional flows (ETFs, corporates like Strategy, hedge funds) than pure anonymous whales. Exchanges like Binance and Coinbase route most retail/institutional order flow, while OTC desks handle the biggest whale/institutional deals off-exchange to minimize slippage. Large sells from over-leveraged positions or ETF outflows can cascade, but no one "controls" Bitcoin outright—the market is still shaped by supply/demand across thousands of participants. Concentration has increased since 2024 ETF approvals, shifting influence toward Wall Street-style players. $BTC #USGovernment #ETFvsBTC #OTC #exchanges