TheTrendBaller

#bitcoin recent drop has reignited a familiar debate: was this the bottom, or is the real pain still ahead? With $BTC hovering around $70,000, traders are scrambling to figure out whether this is just another leverage flush or the start of something deeper.

Two analysts, Alex Mason and Brett, have been sounding the same uncomfortable warning this week: the key signal isn’t the price itself—it’s how Bitcoin bottoms historically form. And if history is a guide, the market may not be done yet.

Alex Mason: Timing Matters More Than Price

Alex Mason highlights what most traders ignore during corrections: cycle timing. His analysis tracks Bitcoin drawdowns from all-time highs to eventual cycle lows. The takeaway is clear: true bottoms rarely happen immediately after a major sell-off. Instead, Bitcoin often needs hundreds of days to fully reset market sentiment.

Traders tend to chase clean numbers—“I’ll buy at $60K” or “the bottom is $50K”—but Mason argues history shows the final low comes after a long psychological grind, not during the first panic wave.

Even if BTC bounces sharply from $70K, Mason warns it doesn’t confirm the bottom. Price may feel cheap, but time could still inflict more damage.

Brett: -50% Isn’t the Bottom, It’s Just the Beginning

Brett reinforces this point through an even harsher lens. His analysis shows that bear markets rarely end with a V-shaped recovery. Instead, Bitcoin forms a messy, frustrating base.

This base is marked by months of sideways trading, repeated fakeouts, dead-cat bounces, and emotional exhaustion—the true reset phase of the market.

Brett’s charts reveal a key historical pattern: the -50% drawdown isn’t the finish line. It’s often just the start of the bottom formation zone, where BTC consolidates for months before the next major uptrend begins.

The takeaway? Traders are ignoring the base, not the wick or the bounce.

Why This Matters Now
Bitcoin’s recent volatility is normal, even in long-term bullish cycles. Declines of 40–50% are historically part of the process.

The real risk is psychological. Most traders expect the bottom to arrive quickly, but bear markets end not when fear peaks, but when exhaustion takes over.
If Mason and Brett are correct, Bitcoin may need more time to build a solid floor, flush out remaining leverage, and test market patience. The next major move may not come from a single candle, but after months of consolidation.
Bitcoin isn’t broken. It’s just following the pattern it has for every cycle. Patience, history, and timing remain the market’s most overlooked sign$BTC