Plagiartist

📌 Just sharing my thoughts for fun & learning.
Not financial advice 🙃 only my personal views and market vibes.
If you like my take on $BTC, $ETH, $SOL, $XRP, other alts & macro, follow me.
Comment, share news, or tag me ☄️ let’s discuss and learn together!

#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #MarketThoughts

⏱️ $BTC NY premarket check

Price just got rejected from the local value area low.
If New York doesn’t flip this move early into the session, the risk of printing a new low today increases fast. This is one of those moments where reaction matters more than levels.
Either NY steps in quickly, or downside continuation stays in play. Watching the open closely.

#BTC #Bitcoin #PriceAction

📈 $BTC money flow update

Money flow, a structure and trend-based indicator, is now starting to trend upward. Each consecutive sell-off is getting shallower.
This usually suggests that sell pressure is being absorbed and downside momentum is fading, even if price still looks weak.
It doesn’t mean the downside is done, but it does change the risk profile compared to earlier legs down.
Watching how $BTC reacts if this continues.

#BTC #Bitcoin #TechnicalAnalysis

⏱️ Execution rules from here

Gold rejected from a local POC and showed divergences on lower timeframes. Clean signal, but missed.
For $BTC I want to see at least an H1 divergence, ideally forming during the New York session. That’s where I trust participation the most.
Until then, patience. No need to force trades

#BTC #Bitcoin #PriceAction

⚠️ $BTC sentiment and flow check

Fear levels are extreme. We’ve only seen more fear once, back in November 2025.
Yesterday the US session sold aggressively. S&P 500 and NQ also sold hard, which is usually a tough environment for $BTC . Interestingly, Asia has been a consistent buyer for weeks.
We swept the April 2025 low, but for now the daily closed back above it. That’s a daily SFP and something worth respecting.
#BTC #MarketStructure #priceaction

📅 $BTC weekly outlook
If this week closes after a real bounce, a bullish divergence could form on the weekly timeframe.
It’s still too early to celebrate. Weekly signals need confirmation and patience.
I don’t expect this to be the final bottom. My base case remains a relief rally first, not a clean trend reversal.

#BTC #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis

⏳ $BTC 8H context
On the 8H timeframe, the shift is not confirmed yet. Money flow hasn’t fully turned, but divergences are forming on RSI and momentum.
This is early-stage behavior. Promising, but not actionable on its own.
Higher timeframes still need to agree before treating this as anything more than a potential relief move.

#BTC #Bitcoin #TechnicalAnalysiss

📊 $BTC and $ETH 4H divergence update

Both are showing clean bullish divergences on the 4H timeframe. According to this setup, a local bottom is either in or very close.
That said, sentiment remains extremely bearish and price action still feels heavy. This is not comfort-zone price action.
Divergences signal weakening downside momentum, not a confirmed reversal. Reaction and follow-through will matter much more than the signal itself.

#BTC #ETH #TechnicalAnalysis

😅 $ETH every dip be like…

Me: I’ll just check the chart
Market: don’t forget to buy the dip

Jokes aside, this is exactly how strong trends train people. Every pullback feels like an opportunity, until it suddenly isn’t.

Right now $ETH is sitting at a point where reactions matter more than memes. Short-term dips can bounce, but higher timeframes still decide whether it’s continuation or just another trap.

Enjoy the meme, but always check the structure before pressing buy.

#ETH #Ethereum #BuyTheDip

📉 $BTC cycle drawdowns in context

Looking at previous cycles from ATH to cycle low:
• 2013: ~-86%
• 2017: ~-84%
• 2021: ~-78%

Clear pattern: drawdowns are getting smaller over time. That’s the diminishing returns effect in action.
If this trend continues, expecting another 80%+ collapse may be unrealistic. It doesn’t mean downside is gone, but it does suggest that each cycle absorbs sell pressure better than the last one.
This is why blindly waiting for “historical” drawdowns can leave traders sidelined.
Context matters, and cycles evolve.
Watching how $BTC behaves relative to this trend instead of anchoring to past extremes.

#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoMarket

📉 $BTC yearly bottom around 37k?

Based on diminishing returns calculated from the average of the last three cycles, a yearly bottom somewhere around 37k is not impossible.
That said, I’ll be honest. At this stage of the cycle, it’s hard to fully believe that scenario.
Market structure, positioning, and past behavior don’t make it an easy call.
Models give ranges, not certainty.
Price will still need to confirm or invalidate this idea on the chart.
For now, it’s a level worth being aware of, not something to blindly anchor bias to. Watching how $BTC behaves before committing to any long-term conclusions.

#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis

⚠️ $BTC monthly close warning
In 5 days, the monthly candle closes. That timing matters.
As it stands right now, this candle looks textbook bearish. No drama, no narratives, just structure and positioning. Monthly candles don’t give many signals, but when they do, they tend to matter.
A lot can still change in a few days, but ignoring the monthly close here would be a mistake. This is the kind of context that can shift bias for weeks, not hours.
Watching how $BTC behaves into the end of the month very closely

#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #Marketstructure #TechnicalAnalysis

📈 $BTC local bounce scenario

Locally, there is definitely a case for a bounce.
We have bullish divergence on the 4H below the yearly open, price trading around the value area low of the range, plus a clear liquidity grab. There’s also divergence visible on the 8H.
That said, money flow is still trending red, so this looks more like a reaction than a full reversal for now.
Short-term upside is possible, but higher timeframes still need confirmation. Watching how price reacts if this bounce develops.

#BTC #Bitcoin #PriceAction #CryptoTrading #MarketStructure

📊 $BTC weekly structure update

On the weekly, money flow is breaking below zero. We have a red dot that still needs confirmation or invalidation this week, so this candle matters more than usual.
There’s a real chance we won’t get a clean touch of the 50WMA this cycle. In previous cycles, that retest usually came first and marked key moments. This time, structure looks different.
So far, the anchored VWAP from the ATH retest gave the best short entry of the cycle. That reaction was technical and respected, which says a lot about current positioning.
Weekly confirmation will decide whether this is continuation or just another pause.

#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure

📉 $BTC short-term technical note

A bit of technical talk, but it matters.
I’m holding based on price vs oscillator divergence on the 1-minute timeframe. That divergence gave a clear signal for a potential local top and roughly a 2% pullback, which hasn’t been taken out for over 24 hours.
That kind of reaction shows weakness. Even when it’s only visible on very low timeframes, it’s often enough reason to reduce risk.
When the 1-minute chart starts showing weakness, taking some off the table makes sense. I reduced a few percent of my position here and let the rest run.
Small signals still matter when structure agrees.

#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction

📉 $BTC honest take on the bottom

Seriously speaking, this amount of liquidity is not typical for a textbook bottom. It doesn’t look clean or comfortable.
At the same time, I’ve never seen a perfect bottom where only spot buyers were involved. Real bottoms are messy and usually come with heavy positioning on derivatives.
For now, I’m allowing myself to get stopped out. We already have a structure shift on H4 and H8, and that matters more to me than forcing a bias.
Next direction depends on how $BTC reacts to this new structure. Watching lower timeframes closely from here.

#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #MarketStructure #PriceAction

📉 $BTC moved before the narrative

I know many will say the drop happened because of Trump tariffs. That narrative came after the move.

My setup was planned well in advance and the position was opened purely based on technical structure and levels, before any tariff headlines appeared.

Price often moves first. Stories follow later.

Right now the focus is on how $BTC behaves after the impulse. Continuation or reclaim will decide the next bias. Charts matter more than headlines here.


#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #priceaction

📊 $BTC market structure update

On the weekly, VWAP rounded out and price flushed. The move already happened and it was clean from a technical point of view.

I’m not chasing shorts here. There may be new short opportunities later, but only after volatility cools down and structure becomes clear again.

What matters now:
• $BTC daily trend is still up
• No confirmed daily breakdown so far
• Next trades depend on reaction after consolidation

If daily structure holds, pullbacks remain part of the uptrend. If it fails, bias flips quickly. Watching price closely from here.


#BTC #Bitcoin #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure

Sunday $BTC market context.

📊 Multiple timeframes are sending mixed but important signals
🧱 Higher timeframes are testing key resistance zones
🔍 Lower timeframes show cooling momentum and visible divergences
⚖️ Bulls still defend structure, bears still apply pressure

ETF flows earlier in the week showed strong spot demand, while the slowdown into Friday adds another layer of uncertainty. This is the type of environment where patience and context matter more than speed.
The coming weekly and monthly closes will likely answer questions that intraday moves cannot. Until then, this is a market built on reactions, not confirmations.
Quiet Sundays often matter more than loud weekdays.

#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Market #TechnicalAnalysis #Web3