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Johnny Ng Pushes Hong Kong As Crypto’s Global Connector Between East and West
Johnny Ng, a pro-technology lawmaker in Hong Kong’s Legislative Council, is pitching the city as crypto’s global connector — not a battleground. As regulators in Washington, Beijing and across Asia carve out different plays for digital assets, Ng is focused on building the “glue” between markets, technologies and legal systems that rarely move in lockstep. Ng, who is scheduled to speak at CoinDesk’s Consensus Hong Kong conference next month, has become one of the city’s most visible Web3 advocates. In the past two years he’s driven stablecoin legislation, supported licensing for crypto exchanges and helped position Hong Kong as an early mover in regulated crypto finance. But his ambition goes beyond policy wins: he wants structural connectivity — linking traditional finance, crypto-native innovation and jurisdictions across East and West. “Crypto and Web3 are really highly linked with the traditional financial system,” Ng told CoinDesk. He argues Hong Kong’s existing strengths — a common-law system and English-language courts, open capital flows and a dense cluster of global banks, asset managers, lawyers and auditors — make it uniquely equipped to be a safe, credible crypto hub. That role becomes even more potent within the Greater Bay Area plan, which aims to deepen trade between Hong Kong, Shenzhen and Macau. Ng says Hong Kong doesn’t need to replicate Shenzhen’s manufacturing and engineering culture; it should connect to it. Shenzhen brings youthful technical talent and scale — “the average age of the people is really young, under 30,” he observed — while Hong Kong supplies capital, legal structures and global market access that can turn ideas into products. Ng points to the region’s crypto pedigree: Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin spent significant time in Zhuhai, Shenzhen and Hong Kong during Ethereum’s early years, underscoring that southern China has long been a fertile ground for protocol-level experimentation. What Hong Kong adds today, Ng says, is regulatory clarity and financial credibility. His outreach has been global. In 2023, amid aggressive U.S. enforcement actions, Ng publicly invited Coinbase and other exchanges to consider applying for official trading platforms in Hong Kong — a move that some read as competitive signaling. Ng reframes it as collaborative: “I’m not going to see the competition with any countries,” he said. “Crypto cannot be easily divided by country or economy. It is one world.” Instead of rivalry, he argues the industry needs regulatory coordination and predictability so crypto can link more directly with real-world economic activity. Back in Hong Kong’s legislature, Ng is pushing the next phase of infrastructure. This year’s agenda includes custody and OTC rules, and potential changes to enable higher-volume trading for professional investors — plumbing that could make regulated crypto markets more functional and institution-friendly. Ng also sees convergence with artificial intelligence as another vector for Hong Kong’s connective role. Because the city can interface with both Western and Chinese datasets and partners, he believes it’s well placed to host cross-border AI collaboration alongside crypto development. In short, Hong Kong’s bet isn’t on outbuilding Shenzhen or Silicon Valley. It’s on staying open, regulated and connected — positioning itself as the center of a system still under construction and offering the legal and financial scaffolding that can bridge innovation from mainland factories to global markets. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Bitcoin Falls Below $78K — Traders Warn 'Hopium' Fading As Bears Eye Mid-$50K to Low-$60K
Bitcoin’s weekend nosedive — below $78,000, its weakest close since April — has many traders warning that bullish “hopium” may be running out. The sell-off, driven by profit-taking against a backdrop of thin liquidity and a shortage of fresh buyers, looks like more than a one-off dip: it could be the start of a broader corrective phase. Why markets slipped - Corporate demand that helped fuel the rally — most notably MicroStrategy’s (MSTR) aggressive bitcoin purchases — has cooled, leaving fewer natural buyers to absorb selling pressure. - With liquidity thin, profit-taking has amplified forced selling and derivative liquidations, creating cascades that push prices lower. What traders and markets are saying - Eric Crown, a former NYSE Arca options trader who now covers crypto market moves for a large audience, has argued since late October that bitcoin is in a sideways-to-downside phase. He calls renewed optimism about fresh all-time highs or a rotation back from metals into crypto misplaced “hopium.” - Options positioning supports the more bearish take: traders are increasingly betting on a drop below $75,000 and abandoning $100,000 calls. On Deribit, the dollar notional of active $75,000 put contracts sits at roughly $1.159 billion — nearly matching the $1.168 billion in notional open interest locked in $100,000 calls. Technical signals point lower - Several indicators Crown highlights have historically preceded extended pullbacks: - Monthly MACD crossed down in November — a rare move that in past cycles has signaled longer downturns. - The weekly 21 vs. 55 EMA recently crossed into bearish territory, an arrangement that often precedes multi-month losses. - The 2025 yearly chart closed as a “shooting star,” a candlestick pattern frequently associated with medium-term reversals. Macro context and range targets - Bitcoin’s behavior has diverged from equities and other risk assets since October, declining while those markets held up — a characteristic late-cycle risk-off pattern where speculative assets are sold first. - The October crash also flushed many leveraged altcoin positions, reducing appetite among traders to re-enter at elevated levels. - Crown suggests bitcoin could fall further — potentially into the mid-$50,000s to low-$60,000s — before finding a stable base. He views that zone as a possible accumulation opportunity for long-term exposure rather than the end of crypto’s broader cycle. Bottom line Short-term momentum has clearly shifted toward the bears: options flows, technicals and thinning liquidity all point to a higher risk of further downside. For traders and investors, that means tempering expectations for an immediate return to new highs and watching lower support levels — some strategists are already marking the mid-$50k to low-$60k range as the next key battleground. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
India Gives Crypto Rules Real Teeth: Budget 2026 Adds Fines to Curb Offshore Trading
India’s Union Budget 2026 tightens the screws on crypto reporting, adding real teeth to disclosure rules as regulators move to curb offshore trading. What changed - The Finance Bill has added a penalty framework to enforce reporting requirements under Section 509 of the Income-tax Act, 2025. These rules require “prescribed reporting entities” — crypto exchanges, marketplaces and intermediaries — to submit detailed statements of crypto-asset transactions to the tax department. - The rules take effect from April 1, 2026. - Penalties: - Rs. 200 per day for failure to furnish the required statement, continuing until the filing is completed. - A flat Rs. 50,000 penalty if information submitted is inaccurate or misleading, or if errors flagged by the tax authority are not corrected. Why it matters - Until now, disclosure obligations lacked strong enforcement. The new penalties shift the regime from mild compliance requests to one backed by enforceable fines, increasing accountability for platforms. - Exchanges are expected to respond by tightening data collection, improving transaction tagging and strengthening reconciliation workflows to avoid fines — moves that will indirectly affect traders through stricter onboarding and reporting processes. Industry reaction - Raj Karkara, COO of ZebPay: “By introducing well-defined measures to address non-compliance, the Budget strengthens accountability while bringing digital asset reporting closer in line with established financial standards.” - Nischal Shetty, Founder of WazirX: “These measures continue to impact liquidity, participation and India’s competitiveness in the global digital asset landscape. We remain hopeful that future policy discussions will address these concerns in a manner that balances innovation, compliance, growth and ease of doing business.” Crypto tax stance unchanged - The Budget did not alter India’s existing crypto tax regime: a 30% tax on gains from virtual digital assets (VDAs), a 1% tax deducted at source (TDS) on transactions, and continued restrictions on setting off losses. Offshore migration — the backdrop to the clampdown - Regulators are acting amid significant migration of Indian crypto trading to offshore venues: - KoinX reports that 72.7% of India’s crypto trading volume in FY25 — roughly Rs. 51,252 crore — moved to offshore exchanges. - TDS collected on Indian exchanges accounted for just 0.60% of overall turnover, highlighting how transaction-level frictions have altered trader behaviour. - AMBCrypto separately estimated Indian users generated nearly $5 trillion in crypto trading volume on offshore platforms between late 2024 and 2025. - Tax authorities have also intensified enforcement: the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) identified undisclosed VDAs worth Rs. 888.82 crore and issued over 44,000 communications to taxpayers flagged for potential non-disclosure. Bottom line The Budget’s penalties aim to close loopholes that encouraged offshore trading and weak reporting. While the tax rates remain untouched, the new compliance regime will likely push exchanges to beef up reporting and could further influence where and how Indian traders transact. Sources: Union Budget 2026–27 / Finance Bill; KoinX; AMBCrypto; CBDT. Note: AMBCrypto’s reporting is informational and not investment advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries high risk; do your own research. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Ethereum Bears Crush Market — $1.16B Liquidated As Whales Buy and Capitulate
Headline: Ethereum bears dominate the latest rout — $1.16B of $2.59B liquidated as whales both buy and capitulate The crypto market plunged into what analytics firm Alphractal calls its most bearish phase since 2023, producing $2.59 billion in total liquidations — and Ethereum took the lion’s share. ETH alone accounted for roughly $1.16 billion of those losses as risk-off sentiment pushed the token toward lows near $2,300, a level not seen since July 2025, according to TradingView. The sell-off was sharp and indiscriminate, but reactions among large holders diverged. Some traders and institutions exited at heavy losses, while several whales treated the dip as a buying opportunity, deploying tens of millions into ETH amid widespread fear. Whale accumulation vs. capitulation - Buying: Two wallets stood out for large purchases. The “7 Siblings” wallet — known for buying during steep pullbacks — led the accumulation wave, spending about $31.08 million on ETH in the latest dip. That wallet’s total ETH holdings are now roughly $599.53 million. Wallet “0xB7” bought 10,000 ETH (about $26.36 million at the time), lifting its holdings to about $294.79 million. On-chain data also show unfilled buy orders, suggesting more accumulation intent. - Selling/losses: Not all big-name positions survived. BitMine’s Ethereum Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) is sitting on an estimated unrealized loss of around $6 billion after steady accumulation. To generate yield and partially offset markdowns, BitMine had staked roughly $3.33 billion in ETH as of January 12. Another notable liquidation involved the wallet “HyperUnit,” linked to Garrett Jin — which reportedly fully exited its ETH holdings after the crash, crystallizing an estimated $250 million loss. Prior to the exit, HyperUnit held about $299.46 million in ETH; the wallet now holds just $53. What the on-chain and flow indicators say Market structure metrics remain tilted toward sellers. The Money Flow Index (MFI), which tracks capital inflows versus outflows, sits below neutral and was around 41 at the time of reporting, signaling persistent selling pressure. Volume-driven Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has been negative since re-entering bearish territory after a brief July 2025 recovery, reinforcing the downside bias. Taken together, these indicators leave the path open for ETH to revisit the $2,000 region unless buying sentiment gains clear momentum. Takeaway The episode underscores two realities: volatility spares neither retail nor institutions, and large-scale accumulation during panic can reflect long-term positioning but does not guarantee a market bottom. While whale buys and unfilled bids hint at potential support, substantial unrealized losses and recent capitulations show downside risk remains real. Note: This article is informational and not investment advice. Cryptocurrency trading is high-risk; always do your own research before making financial decisions. Sources cited include Alphractal and TradingView, plus on-chain analytics. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
120M XRP Moves to New Whale — Buy-the-Dip or Wallet Shuffle?
A newly active whale on the XRP ledger moved a large chunk of tokens in rapid succession, sparking debate among traders about whether this was a buy-the-dip play or routine housekeeping. What happened (on-chain snapshot) - On-chain records show a newly activated address received two equal transfers totaling 120 million XRP — reported as two batches of 60 million XRP each. - Those incoming batches passed through an intermediary wallet that shuffled the coins across several quick hops. - Each 60 million XRP batch was forwarded to a single holding address within about an hour. - That receiving account is now showing a balance of 185 million XRP after adding a reported 35 million XRP it previously held. - No exchange tags or known custodial labels are attached to the addresses, making the trail harder to interpret. Why traders are divided - Routine explanations: Large holders and service providers routinely move funds for non-market reasons — custodians consolidating wallets, exchanges reorganizing reserves, or firms rotating assets between cold and hot storage. Routing through a central address for accounting or security checks is common. - Buy-the-dip thesis: The moves occurred while XRP slid into the low $1.70s, breaking the $1.80 support and falling roughly 10% since Jan. 29. If this were accumulation, traders would often expect follow-through signs such as price stabilization or a bounce, rising spot volume, and net outflows from exchange wallets. Why the on-chain signal is ambiguous - No immediate market confirmation appeared: the transferred funds sat in the receiving wallet rather than being deployed into the market, and typical indicators of fresh buying (price uptick, volume surge, exchange outflows) were absent. - Without evidence that the coins originated off-exchange or were purchased on the open market, the move could equally be internal reshuffling as it could be coordinated buying. - Similar patterns have previously flipped between being routine housekeeping and strategic accumulation — context and follow-up flows usually clarify intent. What to watch next - Net flows from exchange wallets (large outflows could signal accumulation). - Any rapid redistribution of the holding address’s balance into multiple addresses or to exchanges. - Price reaction and spot-volume changes following the transfer. Bottom line: The on-chain activity is eye-catching but not decisive. Treat it as ambiguous until additional on-chain signals or market behavior point clearly to either accumulation or internal wallet management. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
MicroStrategy Hikes STRC Dividend to 11.25% As Preferred Trades Just Below Par
Headline: MicroStrategy hikes STRC dividend to 11.25% as preferred share trades just under par MicroStrategy’s executive chairman Michael Saylor announced a 25‑basis‑point bump to the dividend on the company’s perpetual preferred share STRC, raising the February rate to 11.25%. The move marks the sixth increase since STRC began trading in July 2025. STRC, which MicroStrategy markets as a “short‑duration, high‑yield savings account,” pays monthly cash distributions. The company sets the monthly dividend to encourage trading near STRC’s $100 par value and to help limit price swings. Despite the raise, STRC closed Friday at $98.99 — slightly below par. MicroStrategy has also built a $2.25 billion reserve to back dividend payments on its perpetual preferreds, which the company’s dashboard shows amount to roughly $887 million per year in obligations. The announcement came on X after bitcoin briefly slid below $76,000 on Saturday, which momentarily pushed MicroStrategy’s average bitcoin cost basis above market prices. Bitcoin has since recovered and was trading near $78,000. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Indonesia Snubs US Drone Offer in Trade Talks — BRICS Pivot Could Boost Crypto
Indonesia, now a BRICS member, has taken a notable diplomatic stance—declining to include US surveillance drones in a high-stakes trade package during talks with Washington, according to the Times of India. What happened - During negotiations over tariff reductions and expanded US market access, Indonesia rejected a proposal to buy American surveillance drones. Jakarta said constitutional limits and national sovereignty constrained any security-linked equipment purchases. - At the same time, Indonesia remains engaged with the US on commercial topics such as fuel imports, tariff cuts, and broader market access, so the drone rejection appears targeted rather than a total rupture. Why it matters - Reports suggest the decision was partly motivated by tensions in the South China Sea—Indonesia appears to be resisting trade measures tied to security cooperation, seeking to avoid steps that could escalate regional friction. - The move fits a larger pattern among emerging economies: BRICS countries and other developing states are increasingly asserting independence in trade policy and pushing back on deals they view as politically conditioned or one-sided. Regional and global context - The Philippines and other ASEAN members have been convening high-level meetings amid rising South China Sea tensions, highlighting broader regional alarm. - Indonesia joined BRICS in 2025; its stance is being read as illustrative of how BRICS members may leverage collective weight to resist perceived US pressure during the Trump administration. Bigger picture: trade alignments and reactions - The trend extends beyond Indonesia. India, which will chair the upcoming BRICS summit, recently sealed a major trade agreement with the European Union that EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen called the “mother of all deals.” - The original report quoted a US official, Scott Bessent, expressing disappointment over Europe’s deal with India and noting US tariffs on India over Russian oil purchases. (Note: the exact official title used in some reports should be independently verified.) Implications for markets and crypto - Geopolitical shifts like these—BRICS consolidation, trade realignments, and growing reluctance to accept security-tied commercial terms—can reshape currency and capital flows. For crypto markets, increased geopolitical friction and moves toward trade diversification may accelerate interest in digital assets as alternative stores of value or settlement mechanisms, particularly among countries seeking independence from traditional dollar-dominated systems. Bottom line Indonesia’s refusal to accept a drone purchase as part of a US trade package highlights a sharper, sovereignty-first approach among BRICS and other emerging economies. The episode underscores an evolving global trade landscape that could have ripple effects across conventional markets—and in time, on crypto adoption and cross-border finance. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Dollar in Peril: BRICS CBDCs and Gold Rush Could Reshape Crypto
The US dollar’s slide looks set to continue as emerging non-Western payment systems and reserve shifts accelerate, raising new questions about the greenback’s future as the world’s dominant reserve currency. What’s happening to the dollar - The dollar fell to a four-year low this week, sliding roughly 3% in about a week against major currencies. - ING analysts now see the dollar weakening another 4–5% through 2026, citing policy uncertainty and changing global investment patterns. - Currency strategists broadly agree on the direction—many argue the only open questions are timing and magnitude. BRICS: building a parallel financial system BRICS members are actively constructing what analysts call a parallel financial architecture designed to reduce dependence on Western-cleared systems. Key developments: - Late 2025 pilot: BRICS launched the “Unit,” a digital trade currency composed of 40% physical gold and 60% BRICS national currencies, explicitly designed for cross-border settlement outside Western intermediaries. - 2026 rollout: BRICS Pay, the alliance’s CBDC payment system, is slated for broader deployment throughout 2026. India, which chairs BRICS this year, is pushing to link BRICS+ central bank digital currencies to ease cross-border trade and tourism payments. Gold accumulation and reserve reshuffling Central bank behavior shows a concrete rotation away from Treasuries toward gold: - BRICS countries have amassed over 6,000 tonnes of gold—about 21% of global central bank reserves. Russia holds 2,336 tonnes, China 2,304 tonnes. - Gold hit $5,500 per ounce in January 2026. In 2025, foreign central banks’ gold holdings exceeded their US Treasury holdings in value terms for the first time in nearly 30 years. - Analysts take this as a structural move, not just speculative trading, and a major reason many expect further dollar weakness. Digital currencies at scale already Alternative payment rails are no longer theoretical: - The mBridge platform (China, Hong Kong, Saudi Arabia, Thailand, UAE) has processed RMB 387.2 billion (~$55 billion) in payments so far, with 95% of flows using the digital yuan. - These numbers demonstrate that non-dollar digital settlement systems can operate at scale today, increasing perceived US dollar reserve risk. Market sentiment, policy risk and capital flows Political and policy uncertainty in the US has amplified market concerns: - Critics point to erratic policy moves as a driver of investor unease; Robin Brooks (Brookings) says markets are reacting to a “haphazard” policy environment. - Thierry Wizman (Macquarie) says tensions—such as those over Greenland in January 2026—have unnerved investors and pushed up volatility bets on the dollar. - Institutional flows show signs of de-dollarization: some pension funds in Amsterdam and Denmark have trimmed US Treasury holdings, and 11 of 19 emerging-market currencies tracked by Oxford Economics gained more than 1% against the dollar in the latest month. Voices from the markets - Chris Turner, ING: “Most people would think the dollar should, could, and would weaken further this year. The jury’s out on the timing but less so on the direction.” - Economist Peter Schiff warned more dramatically that the dollar could be replaced by gold, calling for a major economic crisis—an outlier but illustrative of growing fears. Why this matters for crypto readers A BRICS-backed digital payment stack, growing gold reserves, and large-scale CBDC pilots have direct implications for digital-asset markets and cross-border payments: - CBDC networks and gold-backed trade units could create new payment rails that compete with dollar-denominated systems and affect stablecoin utility. - Faster adoption of alternative digital settlements may change FX demand dynamics and the role crypto plays as a cross-border liquidity layer or store of value. Bottom line Central banks and major emerging economies are actively diversifying away from dollar-dominated instruments—into gold and digital, non-dollar settlement systems. Analysts generally agree the dollar has further to fall; the debate is now over how quickly and by how much. For crypto and payments ecosystems, the shift is worth watching closely: it may reshape cross-border finance and the competitive landscape for digital currencies. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Shiba Inu's Slump Explained: Why Volatility Persists and How Holders Should Respond
Shiba Inu (SHIB) holders have had a rough ride through 2025 and into 2026. After a late-2024 peak — when SHIB briefly reached about $0.00003 in December 2024 — the token has trended downward, leaving many who remember the 2021 bull run wondering what’s next. Here’s a clearer, more practical look at where SHIB stands, why volatility is expected, and how to approach your holdings during this bear market. What’s going on with SHIB - SHIB’s price has declined since its December 2024 highs and remains well off the speculative peaks seen during earlier crypto euphoria. - As a memecoin, SHIB tends to move more violently than major blue-chip crypto like Bitcoin or Ethereum. That means bigger upside in strong rallies — but also deeper drawdowns in corrections. Why SHIB behaves this way - Memecoin dynamics: Memecoins trade heavily on sentiment, social momentum, and speculative flows rather than fundamentals. That amplifies both gains and losses. Many early SHIB investors made outsized returns in 2021 with relatively small stakes; the same structural factors that enabled those spikes make SHIB vulnerable to sharp downturns. - Crypto market cycles: Crypto markets are cyclical. For perspective, Bitcoin climbed to roughly $69,000 in 2021 before a steep pullback to around $15,000 in November 2022. These cycles show how long recoveries can take and how painful corrections can be — but also that major recoveries do occur over time. Macro backdrop matters - The broader crypto market’s weakness stems partly from macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty. Improvements in global economic conditions, risk appetite, or a cooling of geopolitical tensions tend to help risk assets, including memecoins, recover. How to navigate the current downturn - Reassess your allocation: Make sure SHIB exposure aligns with your risk tolerance and time horizon. Memecoins should typically be a small portion of a diversified portfolio. - Have a plan: Decide in advance whether you’re holding for the long term, trimming positions, or using dips to dollar-cost-average (DCA) in. Avoid emotional, impulsive trades. - Use DCA or selective buys: If you believe in a longer-term recovery and want exposure, DCA reduces timing risk. - Diversify: Balance high-risk memecoin positions with more established assets or stable holdings. - Monitor project fundamentals: Track ecosystem developments (protocol upgrades, tokenomics changes, burn mechanisms, layer-2 initiatives, exchange listings) that could materially affect SHIB’s supply/demand dynamics. - Risk management: Consider stop-losses for shorter-term trades, and consult tax strategies like loss harvesting if applicable. What could trigger a rebound - Better macro conditions and renewed risk appetite. - Positive ecosystem news or adoption events that improve SHIB’s utility or scarcity. - Broader crypto market rallies led by Bitcoin and major altcoins. Bottom line SHIB’s current slump is painful but not unusual for a memecoin in a bearish market. Its high risk-reward profile means volatility is the norm — which can produce both spectacular gains and steep losses. Evaluate your exposure, stick to a clear plan, and prioritize risk management rather than reacting to short-term price noise. This isn’t financial advice, but a framework to help owners make clearer decisions during a volatile stretch for SHIB. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Shiba Inu Lead Dev Returns, Teases 'Sunday' Reveal — Could It Spark a SHIB Comeback?
Headline: Shiba Inu Holders Rally Eyes on “Sunday” After Lead Dev Breaks Silence — Could a Reveal Spark a Revival? Shiba Inu’s price has been trapped in a sluggish downtrend for weeks, but the community may finally have something concrete to watch. Pseudonymous lead developer and co-founder Shytoshi Kusama resurfaced on X after a long absence and teased a revelation slated for Sunday, injecting fresh attention into the ecosystem at a time when investor confidence has been tested. Lead dev returns, drops a cryptic tease Kusama — who had been largely quiet since early December — returned this week with a thread explaining his period of inactivity and resumed regular posting and reposting. One post stood out: he hinted at an accidental discovery tied to what he called “an ancient marker older than time itself,” and said a fuller explanation would arrive on Sunday. The post’s cryptic nature quickly drew engagement from a SHIB community eager for direction. Transparency questions follow Shibarium exploit The timing of Kusama’s reappearance became especially significant after an exchange with a community member known as RuggRat on X. RuggRat criticized the lack of an official explanation from Kusama about the Shibarium Bridge exploit in September 2025, which led to roughly $4.1 million in stolen crypto. In response, Kusama acknowledged concerns and framed his Sunday update as a step-by-step effort to address outstanding issues: “This is what Sunday is for. One at a time.” Market context: price pressure and waning confidence Shiba Inu’s market performance has failed to regain traction so far in 2026, continuing a trend from late 2025. At the time of writing, SHIB trades near $0.0000071, down about 1.8% over 24 hours and roughly 10.5% over the past week. The chart has shown a pattern of lower lows and persistent selling pressure, and many holders have been trimming positions as expectations for tangible ecosystem utility remain unfulfilled. Why Sunday matters For a community looking for clarity and leadership, Kusama’s promised update could matter more than usual. If the message addresses transparency around Shibarium, outlines concrete remediation steps, or unveils new utility or roadmap elements, it might calm nerves and provide a concrete catalyst. Conversely, a non-specific or vague message could deepen skepticism. What to watch - The content and tone of Kusama’s Sunday announcement — concrete plans and timelines vs. cryptic messaging. - Any official statements or technical disclosures related to the September 2025 Shibarium Bridge exploit. - Market reaction in the hours and days after the reveal, particularly liquidity and volume changes. Bottom line: Kusama’s reappearance and his promise of a Sunday update have given SHIB holders something to focus on amid a difficult market stretch. Whether that will be enough to convert cautious sentiment into renewed buying remains to be seen. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Saylor’s BTC Hoard Briefly 'Underwater' At MicroStrategy — No Forced Sell, but Buying May Slow
Michael Saylor’s bitcoin hoard briefly dipped below his firm’s cost basis — but don’t expect a panic. What happened - Bitcoin slid to roughly $75,500 over the weekend, momentarily putting the market price just below MicroStrategy’s (MSTR) average purchase cost of about $76,037 per coin. - That technically makes MicroStrategy “underwater” on its bitcoin holdings, but it doesn’t spell immediate trouble for the company. Why this isn’t an emergency - MicroStrategy holds 712,647 BTC and all of it is unencumbered — none of those coins are pledged as loan collateral — so there is no risk of forced selling simply because the spot price has dipped below the company’s average cost. - The company carries about $8.2 billion in convertible debt, which sounds large but is flexible. MicroStrategy can roll maturities, convert debt to equity when due, or pursue other liability-management tools. The first put date on its convertible notes isn’t until Q3 2027. - There are precedent tactics in the space: other bitcoin treasury firms (for example, Strive, ticker ASST) have used instruments like perpetual preferred shares to address convertible debt, and MicroStrategy has similar options available. - MicroStrategy also holds roughly $2.25 billion in cash on its balance sheet, earmarked for dividend payments. Where the real friction shows up - The main constraint is fundraising. MicroStrategy has traditionally funded new BTC purchases by selling shares through at-the-market (ATM) offerings, where brokers drip stock into the market at current prices. That approach works best when MSTR trades at a premium to its net asset value (mNAV) — i.e., when the market capitalization exceeds the real-time value of its bitcoin stash. - When bitcoin was near $89–90k last week, MicroStrategy traded at about a 1.15x mNAV premium. With bitcoin plunging into the mid-$70k range, that premium flipped to a discount (below 1x), making new equity raises less attractive and more dilutive. - Trading below its cost basis doesn’t force a sale, but it does slow MicroStrategy’s ability to grow its BTC position without issuing more shares (which would dilute existing holders). For context: in 2022, when MSTR traded below its bitcoin-holding value for much of the year, the company added only about 10,000 BTC. What to expect next - The company’s balance sheet isn’t under immediate stress and it’s unlikely to be forced into emergency measures. However, if bitcoin remains at these levels or falls further, MicroStrategy’s stock will likely face downside pressure when markets reopen, and the pace of future bitcoin accumulation could slow materially. Disclosure: The analyst who wrote the original piece owns shares of MicroStrategy (MSTR). Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news