BOSNIAN_HUNTER

​In 2024, I wrote a post here about risk, the digital illusions of wealth, and the fact that human life has no price tag. Today, in 2026, I am writing again—not to judge, but to share what two years of additional experience in this market has confirmed.
​The world of crypto has changed, but human nature has stayed exactly the same.
​The Illusion of "Instant Success"
​We still see a constant flow of new users arriving with the same dream: instant wealth. They are looking for a shortcut out of difficult economic realities. To them, I say the same as before: be extremely careful. The internet remains a stage where people pretend to be something they are not. Many who paraded expensive cars and mansions two years ago have quietly disappeared. The "magic button" for riches doesn't exist, and the search for it often leads to losses that people simply cannot afford.
​The Cycle of Shortcuts
​I also notice that the habits of some users haven't changed. There are still many who invest immense energy into managing multiple accounts and trying to outsmart the system’s rules. While they might see this as "resourcefulness," I often wonder if the mental exhaustion and the constant pressure are truly worth the small gains. True financial freedom isn't found in chasing loopholes; it's found in stability and peace of mind.
​My Conclusion for 2026
​We live in a world of capitalism where money is the primary measure of success. But after two more years in this space, I am more convinced than ever: Money comes and goes, but your life and your peace are irreplaceable.
​If you are from a country where opportunities are scarce, do not let desperation dictate your investments.
​Do not gamble with money you need for bread.
​Do not trust the digital facades of strangers.
​Do not forget that being "realistic" is your best defense.
​Fortunately, I can still afford to lose what I have invested. But I know many of you cannot. Take care of yourselves and your families first. There is no amount of money in the world that can replace a life or a ruined spirit.
​Stay grounded.
#Write2Earn #StaySafeCryptoCommunity #DYOR🟢

Dusk Network stands out in the crowded blockchain space as a privacy-first Layer 1 specifically built for regulated financial markets. While most chains focus on either full transparency or maximum anonymity, Dusk strikes a perfect balance: true confidentiality via zero-knowledge proofs (like the Phoenix protocol) combined with built-in compliance for MiCA, MiFID II, DLT Pilot Regime and more.
This means institutions, businesses, and everyday users can finally bring real-world assets (RWAs) on-chain without exposing sensitive data — yet remain fully auditable when required.
Key highlights right now:
• DuskEVM mainnet just launched (or launching very soon in early 2026) — bringing full EVM compatibility so developers can deploy Solidity contracts while settling privately and compliantly on Dusk's L1. This removes huge friction for DeFi and RWA projects.
• DuskTrade — their flagship RWA application coming in 2026 in partnership with NPEX (a regulated Dutch MTF exchange). It will onboard over €300M in tokenized securities, creating compliant secondary markets directly on-chain. Waitlist is already open!
• Hedger alpha live — enabling privacy-preserving yet auditable transactions even on EVM, using advanced zero-knowledge tech and homomorphic encryption.
Dusk isn't just another privacy coin — it's infrastructure for the next generation of regulated DeFi, tokenized stocks/bonds, digital securities, and institutional adoption. Founded back in 2018, the team has been laser-focused on solving real pain points in traditional finance: privacy + compliance + instant settlement.
If you're looking for a project that aligns with the growing RWA narrative and Europe's regulatory push (MiCA etc.), $DUSK deserves serious attention. Economic inclusion just got a powerful new tool.
Check out more: https://dusk.network and the CreatorPad talking points here: https://tinyurl.com/dusk-creatorpad
What do you think — will privacy-compliant chains like Dusk lead the next bull run for RWAs? Drop your thoughts below!
@Dusk $DUSK #Dusk

BTCUSD
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) sellers resumed their activity on Thursday as the BTC price dropped below $69,000, the lowest since Nov. 6, 2024.
Analysts said that Bitcoin showed signs of "full capitulation" and a potential bottom forming, due to extreme market fear, panic selling by short-term holders and the relative strength index (RSI).
Key takeaways:
• Short-term Bitcoin holders have sold nearly 60,000 BTC in 24 hours.
• The Crypto Fear & Greed index shows "extreme fear," signaling a potential bottom.
• Bitcoin's "most oversold" RSI points to seller exhaustion.
Short-term holder capitulation deepens
Nearly 60,000 BTC, worth about $4.2 billion at current rates, held by short-term holders (STHs), or investors who have held the asset for less than 155 days, were moved to exchanges at a loss over the last 24 hours, according to data from CryptoQuant.

This was the largest exchange inflow year-to-date, which is contributing to selling pressure.
"The correction is so severe that no BTC in profit is being moved by LTHs," CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost said in a post on X, adding:
When analyzing the volume of coins spent at a loss, Glassnode found that the 7-day SMA of realized losses has risen above $1.26 billion per day.
This reflects a "marked increase in fear," Glassnode said, adding:
"Historically, spikes in realized losses often coincide with moments of acute seller exhaustion, where marginal sell pressure begins to fade."
Bitcoin's capitulation metric has also "printed its second-largest spike in two years," occurrences that have previously coincided with accelerated de-risking and elevated volatility as market participants reset positioning," Glassnode said.
"Extreme fear" could signal market bottom
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which measures overall crypto market sentiment, posted an "extreme fear" score of 12 on Thursday.
These levels were last seen on July 22, a few months before the BTC price bottomed at $15,500 and then embarked on a bull run.
Data reveals that in all capitulation events where the index hit this extreme level, short-term weakness was common, but almost every event produced a rebound.
"We are at an 'extreme fear' level with a Crypto Fear and Greed Index of 11," said analyst Davie Satoshi in an X post on Thursday, adding:
"History has shown this is the time to buy and accumulate more!"
Crypto sentiment platform Santiment said in an X post on Thursday that the investor sentiment has "turned extremely bearish toward Bitcoin."
"This remains a strong argument for a short-term relief rally as long as the small trader crowd continues to show disbelief toward cryptocurrency as a whole."
Bitcoin "most oversold" RSI signals seller exhaustion
CoinGlass' heatmap shows that BTC's RSI is displaying oversold conditions on five out of six time frames.
Bitcoin's RSI is now at 18 on the 12-hour chart, 20 on the daily chart and 23 on the four-hour chart. Other intervals also display oversold or near-oversold RSI values, such as 30 and 31 on the weekly and hourly time frames, respectively.
In fact, data from TradingView shows that the weekly RSI is at 29 on Thursday, the "most oversold" since the 2022 bear market, according to analysts.
"Bitcoin is now the MOST oversold since the FTX crash," CryptoXLARGE said in an X post on Wednesday, adding that it reflects panic selling among investors.
"Historically, this is where fear peaks and opportunity begins," the analyst added.
Bitcoin's RSI is at the same oversold levels last seen around $16K in 2022, which marked the "last major capitulation" phase, said analyst HodlFM in a recent post on X, adding:
"Not a timing signal by itself, but historically, this is where risk/reward favors the buyers."
Cointelegraph

#Cointelegraph #btc #Fullcapitulation

Wintermute OTC's article has pointed out a very important point that many investors are still not fully aware of: the four-year cycle of crypto is not just delayed, it's dead. This is not a mild comment or a temporary forecast—it's a profound structural change in the way the crypto market operates, and it has profound implications for investors, especially those looking for growth opportunities in 2026 and beyond.
To understand this better, we need to go back in history. The four-year cycle of crypto—often called the "halving cycle"—has been one of the most predictable phenomena in financial market history. It is based on a simple assumption: every four years, the reward for mining BTC will be halved. This event is supposed to create an artificial scarcity, leading to a price increase. And indeed, in the three previous halving cycles (2012, 2016, 2020), this happened pretty much as expected.
However, 2025 broke this pattern. Although the BTC halving happened in April 2024, the market did not follow the traditional script. Instead, we witnessed an extreme concentration of capital into a few large assets, while the rest of the altcoin market was left behind. This shows that the fundamental factors of the halving cycle are no longer the main determinants of market performance.
Instead, what is determining market performance is where the capital is actually flowing into. And in 2025, the capital flowed into a few large assets—mainly BTC, ETH, and some other large altcoins—rather than being dispersed across the entire market as in previous cycles.
A significant factor contributing to the fragmentation of the crypto market is the rise of ETFs and digital investment tools (DATs). These products have formed 'walled gardens', where new capital inflows into the market are concentrated on a limited group of assets they support.
The operating mechanism of ETFs and DATs makes it easy for institutional investors to access crypto without having to manage wallets or face security risks. However, to pass strict regulatory approval processes, they often only include major, highly liquid, and widely recognized assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and some top altcoins.

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As a result, new capital is mainly 'locked' in these assets, rather than spreading to smaller projects or less prominent altcoins. Unlike previous cycles, where Bitcoin's bull run often triggered a ripple effect or capital flow to Ethereum and then to smaller altcoins, this phenomenon has almost disappeared in 2025. Capital is retained in 'walled gardens' instead of being widely distributed.
According to data from Wintermute OTC, the extent of capital diffusion has significantly declined. Specifically, altcoin price rallies have become shorter and less frequent: if they lasted an average of 60 days in 2024, they only lasted about 20 days in 2025.

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According to data from Wintermute OTC, the spread of capital has significantly declined. Specifically, altcoin price rallies have become shorter and less frequent: if they lasted an average of 60 days in 2024, they only lasted about 20 days in 2025.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#WhenWillBTCRebound #imbroke #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold