V340RK
Є копітрейдинг. Можна підключитись — угоди повторюються автоматично, статистика відкрита. Або просто читати канал і розуміти, що відбувається на ринку.
11 Following
66 Followers
311 Liked
39 Shared
All
Quotes
PINNED
This is a channel about the cryptocurrency market and real earnings on it.
I do not publish trades here and do not give signals.
My main income is trading.
If someone wants to repeat my actions — there is copy trading
with open statistics, where trades are repeated automatically,
without manual entry.
This channel is not about 'what to buy'.
Here I explain:
Macro data and liquidity
news that really moves the market
My main income is trading.
If someone wants to repeat my actions — there is copy trading
with open statistics, where trades are repeated automatically,
without manual entry.
This channel is not about 'what to buy'.
Here I explain:
Macro data and liquidity
news that really moves the market
The Paradox of the Crypto Market: When Both the Bear and the Bull Can Step in a Puddle
There is a strange moment in the market right now.
Being a bear is really strange. Being a bull is also stupid.
And that's why.
1. Bears are having a hard time right now - the market is cleaning out the weak.
▪️ Big capital is reducing shorts on BTC.
▪️ Retail capitulates so hard that the transfer of coins to 'strong hands' is visible.
This is the classic end-of-phase: the coin stops moving between hands - it is simply taken by those who plan to survive the cycle and capture the growth.
Being a bear is really strange. Being a bull is also stupid.
And that's why.
1. Bears are having a hard time right now - the market is cleaning out the weak.
▪️ Big capital is reducing shorts on BTC.
▪️ Retail capitulates so hard that the transfer of coins to 'strong hands' is visible.
This is the classic end-of-phase: the coin stops moving between hands - it is simply taken by those who plan to survive the cycle and capture the growth.
Why BTC is stuck between 88–89k and not moving anywhere: a brief overview of the "options cage"
Banks, hedge funds, insurance companies, and large market makers have entered the market — and now options have become the main tool of the game. They are currently keeping Bitcoin in a narrow corridor.
By January 30, there is a huge options expiration.
Two opposing bets:
1) "Bulls"
Bought a Call expecting that BTC > $100,000 by January 30.
By January 30, there is a huge options expiration.
Two opposing bets:
1) "Bulls"
Bought a Call expecting that BTC > $100,000 by January 30.
In the US, it smells like shutdown again
On Polymarket, the bets on the shutdown until January 31 have already soared to 78%.
That's a lot — traders aren't pricing in such probabilities for no reason.
What's happening
1. Democrats are threatening to block the budget bill.
The reason is the funding for DHS (Department of Homeland Security).
The scandals surrounding ICE raids on migrants have raised the stakes so much that Democrats don't want to vote 'as is.'
That's a lot — traders aren't pricing in such probabilities for no reason.
What's happening
1. Democrats are threatening to block the budget bill.
The reason is the funding for DHS (Department of Homeland Security).
The scandals surrounding ICE raids on migrants have raised the stakes so much that Democrats don't want to vote 'as is.'
How Tether transformed from a 'gray office' into a mini-Central Bank.
In short: what started as a murky stablecoin issuer today looks like a private macro player with its influence on gold, U.S. government debt, and the entire crypto market. Next - why.
1) Where it all started
Tether was born in 2014 as a company issuing USDT under the promise of 'for every token - a real dollar.'
1) Where it all started
Tether was born in 2014 as a company issuing USDT under the promise of 'for every token - a real dollar.'
ETF flows for the week (20–23.01):
BTC Spot ETF: −$1.324 billion
• already 4 sessions in a row of pure loss
• main blow — 21.01: −$708.7 million
Looks like a tough unloading + exit of part of the capital into cash before the Fed/macroeconomic indicators.
ETH Spot ETF: −$600.7 million
• the whole week in the negative, not a single attempt at a break
Ether is now more of a 'passenger' than a driver. The flow is noticeably weak.
• already 4 sessions in a row of pure loss
• main blow — 21.01: −$708.7 million
Looks like a tough unloading + exit of part of the capital into cash before the Fed/macroeconomic indicators.
ETH Spot ETF: −$600.7 million
• the whole week in the negative, not a single attempt at a break
Ether is now more of a 'passenger' than a driver. The flow is noticeably weak.
USA: what we are really focusing on during the week of January 27–30
The week is under the Fed, Trump, and headlines.
The harshest volatility is almost guaranteed — on Wednesday.
Tuesday, 27.01
17:00 — Consumer Confidence
Quick litmus test on sentiments.
If a failure occurs — yields may drop, risk may react nervously.
If above expectations — on the contrary, the market is slightly exhaling.
The harshest volatility is almost guaranteed — on Wednesday.
Tuesday, 27.01
17:00 — Consumer Confidence
Quick litmus test on sentiments.
If a failure occurs — yields may drop, risk may react nervously.
If above expectations — on the contrary, the market is slightly exhaling.
Iran: situation as of today
Flight cancellations are not yet war.
Airlines always play to anticipate: they saw the risks → closed the air corridor. This is more of a precaution.
The USA is increasing its presence, but not for a 'strike this evening'.
Aircraft carriers have not yet entered the combat triangle, aviation is not deployed in full package. For now, this is classic pressure and demonstration of strength, not an actual operation.
Airlines always play to anticipate: they saw the risks → closed the air corridor. This is more of a precaution.
The USA is increasing its presence, but not for a 'strike this evening'.
Aircraft carriers have not yet entered the combat triangle, aviation is not deployed in full package. For now, this is classic pressure and demonstration of strength, not an actual operation.
US Macroeconomic Data (PMI):
Manufacturing PMI (January)
Actual: 51.9
Forecast: 51.9
Previous: 51.8
Manufacturing remains above 50, meaning the sector is growing.
Composite PMI (January)
Actual: 52.8
Previous: 52.7
Overall business activity has slightly improved. A slight but positive shift.
Services PMI (January)
Actual: 52.5
Forecast: 52.9
Previous: 52.5
Actual: 51.9
Forecast: 51.9
Previous: 51.8
Manufacturing remains above 50, meaning the sector is growing.
Composite PMI (January)
Actual: 52.8
Previous: 52.7
Overall business activity has slightly improved. A slight but positive shift.
Services PMI (January)
Actual: 52.5
Forecast: 52.9
Previous: 52.5
Gold and insiders hint: a new war is already near
Gold has broken a new historical maximum and almost touched the crazy mark of $5000. Such a parabolic move does not come out of nowhere — the market is reacting to two very specific signals.
1. The Middle East: the smell of operation
The entire Twitter is filled with insights about the fact that the USA and Israel are preparing an operation against Iran.
1. The Middle East: the smell of operation
The entire Twitter is filled with insights about the fact that the USA and Israel are preparing an operation against Iran.
Whales are buying Bitcoin like never before
Something very telling is happening in the BTC network right now:
the number of wallets with a balance of 100 BTC is reaching historical highs.
This is important not because of the record itself, but because of who is buying.
The 'distribution of coins' existed — but not the way everyone imagined.
For two years, we were told the story about 'retail is entering the market and collecting 0.01 BTC.'
the number of wallets with a balance of 100 BTC is reaching historical highs.
This is important not because of the record itself, but because of who is buying.
The 'distribution of coins' existed — but not the way everyone imagined.
For two years, we were told the story about 'retail is entering the market and collecting 0.01 BTC.'
Geopolitical Situation: A Complete Picture of the Latest News
1. Cuba - The USA is openly working on regime change.
Washington is officially moving into the next phase of its policy towards Havana for the first time in many years.
Key:
● According to WSJ, the USA wants to achieve regime change in Cuba by the end of the year.
● The USA considers Cuba economically weakened because Venezuela has significantly reduced its support.
Washington is officially moving into the next phase of its policy towards Havana for the first time in many years.
Key:
● According to WSJ, the USA wants to achieve regime change in Cuba by the end of the year.
● The USA considers Cuba economically weakened because Venezuela has significantly reduced its support.
How one news item wiped out hundreds of millions in shorts in 30 minutes
Last night, the market pulled a classic trick: it showed a harsh trap for short sellers at the moment when everyone was expecting a downward failure.
Bitcoin came almost close to the long liquidity pool. It seemed that just a little more, and a cascade of long liquidations would begin, which means a flow of market sales into the order book and a sharp impulse downward.
Bitcoin came almost close to the long liquidity pool. It seemed that just a little more, and a cascade of long liquidations would begin, which means a flow of market sales into the order book and a sharp impulse downward.
Geopolitics and macro: 4 risks currently choking the market
1) Japan is the main candidate for a macro shock
Here the story is serious.
• The Bank of Japan raises the rate
• The yield on their bonds is soaring
• "Zero interest rates", on which the whole world stood for 17 years, are practically dead
Carry trade is collapsing:
when the rate rises → investors close positions in the USA → money returns home.
Here the story is serious.
• The Bank of Japan raises the rate
• The yield on their bonds is soaring
• "Zero interest rates", on which the whole world stood for 17 years, are practically dead
Carry trade is collapsing:
when the rate rises → investors close positions in the USA → money returns home.
The US economy is starting to send alarming signals
Let's start with the most important thing — the US stock market is diverging from the real economy.
The S&P 500 is growing significantly faster than GDP. And the greater this difference, the more painful the future squeeze can be.
Such a 'bubble' is the last place you want to be in longs on altcoins.
The second point is real estate.
The S&P 500 is growing significantly faster than GDP. And the greater this difference, the more painful the future squeeze can be.
Such a 'bubble' is the last place you want to be in longs on altcoins.
The second point is real estate.
Trump wants to take control of Greenland due to the Nobel Prize
Donald Trump sent a letter to the Prime Minister of Norway, in which he stated: after the refusal to award him the Nobel Peace Prize, he no longer considers himself obliged to act solely in the logic of "supporting peace" and is now primarily guided by the interests of the USA.
Key points from the letter:
Key points from the letter:
Wintermute has released a fresh OTC report. And it explains well why 'the alt season like in 2021' is already a myth
Yes, this is the same Wintermute around which the market loves to build legends. But what matters here is not the name, but how money actually moves and where liquidity is located.
1) Money is no longer being 'spread out' — it is being gathered together
According to their data on OTC:
● The share of BTC + ETH is slowly decreasing:
54% → 51% → 49% (2023–2025)
1) Money is no longer being 'spread out' — it is being gathered together
According to their data on OTC:
● The share of BTC + ETH is slowly decreasing:
54% → 51% → 49% (2023–2025)
A very illustrative news in the private sector
The financial regulator of Dubai — a jurisdiction that for years has been maximally loyal to semi-legal and 'gray' technologies — has banned anonymous blockchains.
Banned are:
● #zcash
● #DASH
● #Monero
● and other privacy coins
And here arises a simple, yet unpleasant question.
If even one of the most open and crypto-friendly jurisdictions takes such a step — what will the conservative West, which is used to controlling and regulating everything, do?
Banned are:
● #zcash
● #DASH
● #Monero
● and other privacy coins
And here arises a simple, yet unpleasant question.
If even one of the most open and crypto-friendly jurisdictions takes such a step — what will the conservative West, which is used to controlling and regulating everything, do?
The situation at this moment appears very tense.
Tensions around Iran are escalating seriously.
Canada and the United States are directly urging citizens and allies to immediately leave Iran.
Trump says 'help is already on the way'.
Republicans are spreading the message that 'the Iranian nightmare will soon be over'.
Meanwhile, television is broadcasting numbers about 12,000 deceased protesters, clearly building up the backdrop and emotions.
Canada and the United States are directly urging citizens and allies to immediately leave Iran.
Trump says 'help is already on the way'.
Republicans are spreading the message that 'the Iranian nightmare will soon be over'.
Meanwhile, television is broadcasting numbers about 12,000 deceased protesters, clearly building up the backdrop and emotions.
Pentagon — on round-the-clock mode.
The so-called 'Pentagon Pizza' meme indicator has shown abnormal activity around the Pentagon for several days in a row.
It sounds funny, but historically such spikes strangely coincided with real military events.
And right now the mood is very tense.
After the mobilization of reservists, Israel began placing hospitals on emergency mode.
It sounds funny, but historically such spikes strangely coincided with real military events.
And right now the mood is very tense.
After the mobilization of reservists, Israel began placing hospitals on emergency mode.
Login to explore more contents