GDP 4.4%! The U.S. economy "refuses to decline," how long will the dream of interest rate cuts last?

Tonight's data is very "hardcore," pouring a bucket of cold water on the market.

1. Data Breakdown:

🇺🇸 GDP final value 4.4% (expected 4.3%): Economic growth is not only not slowing down, but is also stronger than expected.

🇺🇸 Initial unemployment claims 200,000 (expected 210,000): The job market remains tight, and there has not been the wave of layoffs that everyone was worried about.

2. Cycle Catcher's Interpretation: This is a typical **"good news is bad news"** moment. The better the economic data, the fewer reasons the Federal Reserve has to cut interest rates. The "recession-style rate cut" scenario that Wall Street originally anticipated is failing.

3. Impact on the Crypto Market: In the short term, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) will gain support and rebound, which will put pressure on the prices of $BTC and E$ETH . The market needs time to digest the expectation that "high interest rates will last longer (Higher for Longer)."

Conclusion: Don't panic due to short-term declines, nor blindly chase after gains. The current macro environment is **"soft landing is a foregone conclusion."** As long as the economy does not collapse, the long-term upward trend remains unchanged, but the short-term liquidity feast may be delayed.

What the hunter should do now is observe the depth of the pullback and look for cheaper chips. #宏观分析