WA7CRYPTOAR

🟥 Released Now:

⭕ United States of America - 🇺🇸
⬅️ Composite Customer Services Index (20)

▪️ Previous: 1.3%
▪️ Estimate: 1.2%
▫️ Current: 1.4%

🎯 Result: Positive for the US dollar - Negative for gold

📰🔴 Europe distances itself from Washington: seeking new partners in the East

🔴 A radical shift: Germany and Europe announce the need to find economic alternatives due to deteriorating relations with Washington and the imposition of hefty tariffs by the United States

🔴 Turning East: a European race towards India and China, led by Starmer and Macron, to establish strategic agreements that threaten to sever ties with the United States' traditional ally

📌 News impact: negative on the euro and Western alliances; markets anticipate a reshaping of global supply chains and a shift in trade weight in favor of Asian powers

🟥 Released now:

⭕ United States of America - 🇺🇸
⬅️ ADP data for employment changes

▪️ Previous: 8.00 thousand
▪️ Estimate:

▫️ Current: 7.75 thousand

🎯 Result: Decrease in the value of the US dollar

$BTC $ETH $BNB
Bitcoin faces two potential paths: a drop or a rise. However, I see a downward trend. Various factors contribute to this, including political and governmental issues, such as the possibility of the U.S. government shutting down again, which resumed after 43 days. This is a very likely scenario.

Bitcoin is currently in a phase of either a breakout or another drop. I expect a sharp correction in the market. However, we should not forget the drop in gold and silver prices last night, which is currently a positive indicator for Bitcoin and altcoins.

Bitcoin needs to re-test the market after the opening of the U.S. market. It broke the level of 88,350, then failed to break it, and returned to 88,000.

Currently, we have two negative closures, but the four-hour chart has not closed yet. Focusing on this matter is extremely important. If the price does not close as a green candle, a correction is likely.

A break of the 86,000 level today may lead to a correction towards 83,500. Conversely, a positive closure may target the 91,500 level, which is not unlikely in light of today's news.

Therefore, the opening of the U.S. market today is extremely important. If any disruption occurs, we may witness a sharp decline. For this reason, caution should be exercised when trading.

🟥 President Donald Trump 🇺🇸:

🔥 Trump says that a "great power" is heading towards Iran.

⬅️ Trump says he will soon announce his nominee for the Federal Reserve chair.

⬅️ Trump says that the United States will soon begin oil exploration in Venezuela.

🟥 Urgent:

⚠️ Société Générale Bank expects the price of gold to reach $6000 per ounce by 2026.

🔥 This expectation is based on strong investment flows and liquidity towards gold as a safe haven.

⬅️ In contrast, the report indicates a decline in central bank purchases compared to previous periods.

⬅️ These expectations may lead to significant fluctuations in gold and precious metal markets in the coming period.

$BTC The Bitcoin currency dropped after negative news, which was also due to the rise in gold and the pressure on Bitcoin liquidity caused by FOMO (fear of missing out) currently affecting gold and silver. Liquidity is low in the market, which is waiting for any movement from the American markets.

However, it is very likely that a recovery will occur before the opening of the American markets. We may see movement with the opening of the Asian markets, but currently, Bitcoin is in accumulation zones.

As we see, Bitcoin could return to 86,000 tomorrow, and perhaps even lower than that, as it is the beginning of the week, so anything is possible. However, I foresee a negative movement.

Breaking the level of 86,450 would be negative, but as long as Bitcoin is above 87,150, the chances of a rebound are high, and it may bounce back again. Therefore, the American and Asian markets are closed.

When the Asian markets open, we may witness sideways movement, or we may see the opposite. So, anything is possible. Currently, Bitcoin is trading in the range of 87,450.

We expect Bitcoin's price to range between 85,000 and 80,000. The reason is the large gap between 88,750 and 80,000. Not breaking through this level means that the bullish movement's failure, which is considered a retest, could lead to a very sharp decline, similar to what happened a few weeks ago when Bitcoin collapsed.

In any case, a corrective decline to 86,450 or lower is expected. The best rebound zones currently are 85,350 and 84,450.

By God, the situation is serious! 😰

• Gold $5,097
• Silver $109.81

The market does not expect a recession… it expects a collapse of the dollar!

Silver is up 7% in one day - people are afraid to hold dollars.

And worse: the real price is much higher!

• In China: $134 per ounce
• In Japan: $139

The Federal Reserve is trapped:
• If it lowers the interest rate = gold goes to $6,000
• If it holds the interest rate = stocks and real estate collapse

There is no escape…
The coming days will be madness

$BTC Bitcoin's price may witness a sideways rise today, followed by a temporary correction on the daily chart, then another correction, and finally a rise to 90,000. Currently, the price of Bitcoin is 87,940. However, the downside is that the daily relative strength index is in the oversold area. We may see fluctuations in the price of Bitcoin on the weekly chart in the rebound areas, but the US market will open tomorrow. Therefore, we may see a sideways rise as mentioned, or conversely, if signs of war between Iran and Israel emerge, we may see a drop in the price of Bitcoin, exceeding the level of 86,000. Currently, the strongest support level is at 86,300. If this level fails, along with tomorrow's news, we may see a drop to at least 80,000. Keep in mind that there is a possibility of an upward movement. Why might the price of Bitcoin drop? It may be similar to what happened when the news of Bitcoin's price reaching 74,450 spread, and we saw the strongest rise. Currently, we may witness a strong rise. We need to surpass the level of 88,750 or close Bitcoin at 88,300 on the daily chart for it to rebound on the weekly chart and continue the upward trend. So, let's wait until tomorrow and avoid rushing into trading.

🟥 Released Now:

⬅️ United States of America - 🇺🇸
🔵 Durable Goods Orders

▪️ Previous: -2.2%

▪️ Estimate: 3.1%

▫️ Current: 5.3%

👈 Result: Positive for the US Dollar | Negative for Gold

Breaking now: Michael Saylor is buying his "strategy" 2932 Bitcoins worth 257 million dollars.

🔴 Urgent | United States of America 🇺🇸

📈 The likelihood of a government shutdown in the United States by Friday reaches a new record level:

🔹 Risks are sharply rising as negotiations in Congress over the government funding bill stall.

🔹 Political disagreements threaten to disrupt the operations of federal agencies and public services.

🔹 Markets are closely monitoring developments amid fears of widespread economic and financial repercussions.

⚠️ If an agreement is not reached, the United States may face another government shutdown within days.

🟥 It is expected that the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at a level between 3.5% and 3.75%, despite pressure from President Donald Trump and increasing calls to lower borrowing costs. 🇺🇸

📈 Data from the Chicago Options Exchange indicates a 96% likelihood that interest rates will remain unchanged at the next meeting.

🚨 Urgent:

Binance launches trading of Tesla ($TSLA) on Binance Futures platform 🚀

⚠️🔴 Strong warning in Japanese: Prime Minister Takiyashi pledges to take action against speculators

⬅️ Firm tone: Prime Minister Takiyashi warned of taking all necessary measures to address abnormal market movements and speculation that harm economic stability.

⬅️ Message to the markets: Traders interpreted these statements as a sign of impatience regarding yen fluctuations and bond yields, especially after recent pressures from government spending and election promises.

📌 Impact of the news: Positive for the Japanese yen; these statements have increased caution regarding imminent intervention, causing the yen to rise as short positions were closed to mitigate risks.

🔴🔴 The ghost of a U.S. government shutdown looms once again

🛑 Risks are rising: The likelihood of a U.S. government shutdown by Friday has reached a new record high amid stalled negotiations in Congress.

🛑 Race against time: Political disagreements over the budget are pushing Washington to the brink of administrative paralysis, with funding set to expire in just a few days.

📌 Impact of the news: Negative for the dollar and positive for gold; this uncertainty is prompting investors to abandon the U.S. currency and seek safe havens.