舞袂凌云

Family, who understands, XPL put on a thrilling 'V-shaped reversal' performance from February 9 to 10. It dropped from a high of 0.0853 to a low of 0.0781, and then strongly rebounded to 0.0848. How many people were left in shock from this operation? Today, I will thoroughly review this market trend with you, deeply interpreting the logic behind it from a technical perspective.

1. Market Review: From Unilateral Decline to Strong Rebound

From the three candlestick charts you provided, XPL's market can be divided into three stages:

Phase One: Unilateral Decline (February 9 00:45 - February 9 18:45)

1. Market Review: Long and Short Game Under Narrow Fluctuations

From the two K-line charts you provided, VANRY exhibited a clear narrow fluctuation pattern from February 9 to 10. The price fluctuated repeatedly within the range of 0.005993 to 0.006439, with a 24-hour amplitude of less than 10%. Both long and short positions fiercely contested at the key level of 0.006.

In the K-line chart from February 9 at 18:45, we can see that VANRY's price once dropped to a low of 0.005993, at which point the RSI(6) indicator was only 17.7, indicating a severely oversold zone, with market sentiment extremely pessimistic. However, at this moment, the SUPERTREND indicator switched from the red bearish zone to the green bullish zone, which is a strong reversal signal, indicating that bottom-fishing funds began to enter the market.

Friends, who understands, yesterday's DUSK market was like a thrilling roller coaster ride, plunging from the high point of 0.13937 to 0.09668, with a maximum daily drawdown close to 30%, then strongly rebounding in the early morning, reaching a high of 0.11044. As a veteran player who has deeply invested in DUSK for over a year, I kept a close watch on the market, my heart fluctuating with the candlesticks. Today, I will review this thrilling market movement and discuss the underlying logic and upcoming opportunities.

1. Market Review: From a high surge to a bottom reversal

Starting from the high point of 0.13937 at 03:30 on February 9, DUSK initiated a one-sided decline. On the 15-minute candlestick chart, we can clearly see that the SUPERTREND indicator switched rapidly from the green bullish area to the red bearish area, which is a strong trend reversal signal. Subsequently, the price broke through key support levels, reaching an intraday low of 0.09668 around 14:15, with a 24-hour decline exceeding 12% at one point.

At 5 AM, I stared at the two candlestick charts on my phone, unable to calm down for a long time. From the peak of 0.006753 at 23:45, it fell all the way to 0.006141 at 05:30. The RSI plummeted from 65.9 to 20.27, and the MACD also switched from a golden cross to a death cross. This wave of rise and fall not only caught many investors off guard but also gave me a clearer understanding of Vanar's future.

First, look at the market. The first chart is a 15-minute candlestick from February 8 at 23:45, when it just peaked at 0.006753. The RSI(6) was 65.9. Although the MACD red bar had not completely exhausted, there were already signs of a top divergence. The trading volume reached 55,691,700, and the willingness to take profits was obvious. By the second chart, on February 9 at 05:30, the situation changed dramatically - the price directly broke below the SUPERTREND moving average, the RSI entered the oversold zone, the MACD formed a death cross, and the trading volume shrank to 773,400. The bullish momentum was almost exhausted, and the bears completely took control of the situation.

Does anyone understand?! Just yesterday, I was complaining to my friend about how boring the market is, and today I woke up to $DUSK completely bewildered—within 24 hours, it skyrocketed nearly 50%, from 0.087 USDT all the way up to 0.139 USDT. That big bullish candlestick on the chart made my heart skip a beat. As a long-time fan of Dusk for nearly two years, this surge was both unexpected and yet anticipated. Today, let's have a good chat about whether this surge is driven by short-term emotional speculation or if Dusk has truly reached a turning point for value reassessment.

First, look at the market. These three charts break down Dusk's trend clearly. The first chart is a 15-minute candlestick from February 8th at 01:15, when the price was still hovering around 0.083, with an RSI(6) of only 56.68, and the MACD just turned positive. Everything was calm, like the calm before the storm. In the second chart, at 22:30 on February 8th, the situation changed dramatically— the price broke through 0.12 directly, the RSI soared to 94.59, entering a severe overbought zone, the MACD's red bars continued to expand, and the trading volume reached 185 million, with funds pouring in madly, and the bulls completely took control. The third chart is from February 9th at 03:30, after a brief pullback to 0.13, the price continued to rise. Although the RSI fell to 84.55, it is still at a high level, and the MACD maintains a golden cross, indicating that the bullish momentum has not been completely exhausted, and market sentiment remains exuberant.

Friends, Binance at six in the morning has lost the hustle and bustle of the day, leaving only the K-line charts silently revealing the secrets of the market. I am staring at the 15-minute K-line of VANRY on the screen, from the plunge at 08:00 to the rebound at 01:45, and then to the drop at 06:21, each K-line is like a code waiting for us to decipher. As a long-term investor who has been following Vanar, I want to share my thoughts on this project and my strategic layout for the Year of the Horse.

First, let's talk about the technical aspects. These three K-line charts perfectly showcase the fluctuations of VANRY within a 24-hour period. At 08:00, the price plummeted by 6.56%, the SUPERTREND indicator was bearish, the RSI was severely oversold, and the MACD showed a death cross, which is a typical extreme bearish signal. By 01:45, the price rebounded to 0.006358, the SUPERTREND briefly turned bullish, the RSI was severely overbought, and the MACD showed a golden cross, which is a typical oversold rebound signal. By 06:21, the price fell back to 0.006133, the SUPERTREND turned bearish again, the RSI returned to neutral, and the MACD momentum weakened, which is a typical signal of weakening rebound.

Family, who understands, still reviewing VANRY's K-line at five-thirty in the morning, just to dissect this extreme market trend. As an old player who has been navigating Binance for three years, I am well aware of the opportunities and traps hidden in such short-term fluctuations. Today, let's start from these three charts and thoroughly analyze VANRY's movement from February 6 to 8, from technical, funding, to emotional aspects.

First, let's look at the first chart, the timestamp is February 6, 08:00. At that time, VANRY's price was 0.005181, a drop of 6.56% from the previous K-line, with a fluctuation of 8.33%, trading volume of 32,008,200, and a transaction amount of 171,700 U. From the SUPERTREND indicator, the red band is firmly pressing above the price, with a value of 0.005846, indicating a completely bearish short-term trend. The RSI(6) dropped directly to 14.06, entering a severely oversold range, which indicates that market sentiment has reached a state of extreme panic, with bulls nearly completely slaughtered. Over at MACD, DIF is -0.000090, DEA is -0.000076, MACD bar is -0.000013, the death cross signal is strong, and bearish momentum is ample.

Friends, at five in the morning on Binance, the hustle and bustle of the day is gone, leaving only the candlestick chart silently revealing the secrets of the market. I stare at the 15-minute candlestick of DUSK on the screen, from the drop at 08:15, to the bottom at 22:30, and then to the rebound at 05:20. Each candlestick is like a code waiting for us to crack. As a long-term investor focused on Dusk, I want to share my views on this project and my layout strategy for the Year of the Horse.

Let's start with the technical aspect. These three candlestick charts perfectly illustrate the price changes of DUSK over a 24-hour period. At 08:15, the price dropped by 2.26%, the SUPERTREND indicator was bearish, RSI was neutral, and MACD showed a weak golden cross, which is a typical continuation signal for a downward trend. By 22:30, the price hit a low of 0.08158, RSI was approaching oversold, and MACD was at zero, indicating a potential reversal signal. By 0:30, the price rebounded strongly, breaking through the SUPERTREND, RSI was overbought, and MACD showed a strong golden cross, signaling a clear reversal. This type of movement is called a 'V-shaped reversal' in technical analysis, often indicating a complete change in the short-term trend.

Family, who understands, at four-thirty in the morning still staring at the market, just to thoroughly analyze the 15-minute trend of DUSK. As an old investor who has been on Binance for three years, I am very clear about the opportunities and traps hidden in such short-term fluctuations. Today, we will start from three candlestick charts to completely dissect the market trend of DUSK from February 7 to 8, from technical, capital, to emotional aspects.

First, let's look at the first chart, timestamp is February 7, 08:15. At that time, the price of DUSK was 0.08592, down 2.26% from the previous candlestick, with a volatility of 2.47%, a trading volume of 4,018,800, and a transaction amount of 348,900 USDT. From the SUPERTREND indicator, the red band is still firmly pressing above the price, with a value of 0.08832, which means the short-term trend is still bearish. RSI(6) is at 36.78, in a neutral to bearish range, indicating that bullish strength is still accumulating and has not fully erupted. On the MACD side, DIF is 0.00004, DEA is -0.00001, MACD histogram is 0.00005, although it shows a golden cross, the value is almost zero, which belongs to a 'weak golden cross', and the signal strength is very limited.