斌哥说趋势

The rule is scissors, the emotion is rock. Most people's problem is that they always want to smash scissors with rock, resulting in an unclear loss.
Old friends who read my articles know that I rarely write about contracts. It's not because I don't do contracts, but because I've seen too many people go astray on this path. Today, I saw someone in the ZEC community discussing being liquidated, so I decided to say a few honest words.
In 2025, the total forced liquidation amount in the cryptocurrency derivatives market will reach 150 billion USD. How many sleepless nights and zeroed accounts are behind this number? Clearly, it is a game that requires precise calculations, yet many people have turned it into a coin toss.

Bet less, act slowly, and leave an escape route; this is true skill.
I remember when I first entered this circle, I only had a little over 1,000 U in my pocket. Watching others double their money easily, it would be a lie to say I wasn't tempted, but I quickly figured out a principle: a small capital isn't the problem; the problem is that you always want to use this small capital to do big things.
I've seen too many people who come in thinking they can reach the sky in one step, only to find themselves out of resources in no time.
I chose a different path: for every trade, I only risk a small amount to test the waters. If it goes well, I gradually increase my investment; if it goes wrong, I cut my losses immediately. Although it's slow, my account balance steadily rises, and more importantly, my mindset becomes more stable.

Self-restraint is more important than impulsiveness, and rhythm is more valuable than frequency.
When many people talk about short-term trading, their first reaction is 'you need to be quick.' As if slowing down for a second means the opportunity will slip away. When I first entered the market, I thought the same, staring at the screen all day, clicking and typing like a trading expert from a movie.
What was the result? After a month, I paid a lot in transaction fees, but my account balance shrank.
Later I realized that in short-term trading, it's not about who has the fastest hands, but who understands 'when to stay still.' Today, I want to share with everyone the short-term trading insights I've gained through real money as an old trader.

Brothers, I am Brother Bin. I have been in the crypto world for nearly ten years, and I have seen too many people get rich quickly, but I have also seen many more go to zero. Today, I won't waste time; let's get straight to the point and discuss the core survival rules you must master if you want to make a living in this industry.
1. Just entered the market? Learn to crawl first, then learn to run.
Newbies always want to double their money overnight, but once the leverage is applied, they end up getting liquidated. The biggest trap in the crypto world is the 'quick money illusion'; those who truly survive are the ones who pay tuition fees before making profits. For example, after I finished reading the white paper, I tried DeFi mining and lost money for half a year before understanding the rules. Remember: don’t touch contracts before you have a good grasp of exchanges, wallets, and cross-chain bridges, or you will be a sacrifice.

Brothers, I am Brother Bin. I have been in the cryptocurrency circle for 8 years and have seen too many people become rich today and go bankrupt tomorrow. I have also stepped into all the pitfalls, and in the end, what helped me survive was not luck, but a few principles engraved in my bones. Today, I won’t discuss complex techniques, only the most straightforward and life-saving experiences.
1. The essence of small funds: wait for the wind to come, and don't mess around.
The biggest advantage of funds within 200,000 is flexibility, while the biggest disadvantage is that they cannot withstand turmoil. For this type of capital to turn around, the key is to 'wait for a round of major upward trends', rather than frequent trading.
Don't envy those who share their profits every day: in a bull market, it's not uncommon for altcoins to double in a day, but they can also drop to zero overnight. Small funds can't withstand such fluctuations; preserving the principal is the first step.

The temptation and risk of wealth coexist; only discipline can keep you alive.
I have seen too many people's account curves—slowly and steadily climbing up, numbers jumping from five digits to six digits, even seven digits, and then in an instant, all profits vanish, leaving very little of the principal. The cryptocurrency market is a battlefield, and the harsh truth is: the speed of making money can never keep up with the speed of a single mistake wiping everything out.
Among all trading strategies, rolling positions is undoubtedly the most extreme, most exciting, and the greatest test of human nature. Unlike holding coins, which requires patience to wait for market cycles, it is proactive, amplifying returns in a volatile market.

——I am Bin Ge, a crypto analyst who survived relying on the system
Many people think that the crypto world is a casino, where luck and courage are the main factors. But after six years in the game, I've seen too many stories of overnight wealth and sudden loss. To be honest, those who survive don't rely on superstition but on a set of solid rules. Today, let's share some practical advice based on the survival rules I summarized after losing a million dollars.
1. The trend is your father, don't go against the market head-on​
I've seen too many newcomers rush to trade without even understanding the weekly charts. The daily chart sets the direction, and the hourly chart finds the position—this is a hard rule. Before the trend is established, it's better to stay out and watch than to trade against the trend. Go long in a bull market and short in a bear market; following the trend has the lowest cost.

A true winner does not rely on one or two bursts of luck, but on a systematic approach to survive each cycle.
People often ask me: Brother Bin, is making money in the crypto world all about luck? I always counter with a question: Even if good luck hits you, can you handle it?
Many people see others doubling their money in a wave of market movement and immediately say, 'He is just lucky.' But what they don't see is that behind luck are always two things: trading strategy + risk management. Today, I will share some practical insights based on my experiences over the years.
First, luck is a ticket, but strength is the foundation for your long stay.

No matter how long you stare at the screen, the K-line won't change direction just because you're anxious. The cruelest truth in the cryptocurrency world is that most people are not trading; they are gambling with their money.
Not long ago, a brother found me, his voice hoarse, saying: “Brother Bin, I can't hold on anymore.” His account shrank from six figures down to just a few thousand U, and he looked like his soul had been drained.
He trades over twenty times a day, with transaction fees exceeding his profits. He rushes to sell when there's a slight rise, and when it drops, he stubbornly holds on, always fantasizing that 'the market will reverse soon', only to receive liquidation messages instead. The scariest part is that when he sees others posting profit screenshots, he impulsively jumps in with his entire account, and the next day he wakes up to find his account balance down by another digit.

The cryptocurrency world never lacks stars, but lacks longevity.
I have seen too many novices rush into the market with dreams of 'turning over in one night,' starting with a bang and leaving quietly. What is most lamentable is not that they lost money, but that most people do not even know where they lost it.
Last year's Bitcoin crash is still fresh in memory; in just 24 hours, over 140,000 people were liquidated, with a total liquidation amount reaching $363 million. Behind this is not only market volatility but also the collective collapse of countless trading strategies lacking risk control.
I also crawled out from the lessons of blood. Once, I confidently entered the market with a sum of money, but ended up rapidly depleting my account in a cycle of following trends, averaging down, and stubbornly holding on. The most important lesson the market taught me is: before making money, learn how to avoid losing it first.

Real trading is not a competition of technology, but a cultivation of mindset
Friends, I am Brother Bin. I have been in the cryptocurrency market for over five years, seeing too many people get rich overnight only to return to zero the next night. Today I want to talk to you about the most core topic: how can one survive in this market?
When I first entered the market, I was also obsessed with various technical indicators, thinking I had found a 'foolproof' secret. After a few years, my biggest realization is that technical analysis is just the surface; mindset management is fundamental.
1. Position is a mirror, reflecting your inner self

Behind the rise and fall of prices is the psychological game between big players and retail investors. If you can't understand the rhythm, you are just prey delivered to them.
When I first entered the industry, I was also a 'tender leek'. Watching the prices fluctuate wildly felt like a roller coaster ride following the candlestick charts. After losing money a few times, I slowly began to understand the rules of the game in this market.
Today, let's talk about why most retail investors always experience a drop when they buy and a rise when they sell. How exactly do the big players cut leeks? And how can small investors like us snatch a piece of meat in this market surrounded by wolves?
1. How are retail investors cut?

My brother used to be really into it.
When the account had only ten thousand left, he still told me, 'Just one more opportunity, and I can turn it around.' I directly scolded him awake: What you lack is not an opportunity, but to stop digging holes for yourself. High leverage, chasing trends, believing in group messages, and making orders based on emotions — he stepped on all these landmines and still stubbornly said it was bad luck. It’s not luck; it’s that the system is utterly broken.
Later, I forced him to change a few things, and the account slowly started to grow. Today, let's speak some real talk; both beginners and veterans should take a look.
1. Survive first, then talk about making money
The market is never short of opportunities; what it lacks is accounts that can survive. Small funds shouldn’t fantasize about a sudden turnaround; first, make defense your utmost priority. Before every trade, ask yourself: Will this loss hurt my vitality? Clearly mark your stop-loss line, and only proceed if you can afford the loss. My brother later only took the most certain segments of the market, stayed put if the structure was unclear, made 5% and left, not greedy throughout. Following the trend is more important than making a lot.

What liquidation has taught me is far more than just making profits.
I've been involved in the crypto world for nearly ten years now. I still remember when I first started; I was just like most retail investors—staying up late to monitor the market, my heart racing whenever my phone's app sent a notification. Seeing someone in the group posting profit screenshots, my fingers would uncontrollably follow their trades; with even a slight market fluctuation, I could already calculate how much I could make.
The result is predictable; liquidation has become a common occurrence. The money just got deposited and before it can even warm up, a wave of reverse fluctuations brings it straight down to zero.
At my lowest point, I couldn't even pay my rent and was hiding in my rented room eating instant noodles. Looking back now, the pitfalls I encountered over those years were all due to three words: greed, impatience, and wanting to make a comeback. Today, I want to share the survival tips I've gained through hard-earned money.

The biggest enemy of investment is not the market, but the greed and fear within yourself.
A few days ago, a fan messaged me, very emotionally: 'Brother Bin, I've been cut again! This garbage market can't make money at all!' I asked him what happened, and it turned out he heard that ZEC was going to rise sharply, so he invested all his funds. As a result, the price fluctuated for two days, and he got scared and quickly sold at a loss. Just after he sold, the price rebounded.
I've heard this kind of story too many times. Brothers, let me tell you the truth: the vast majority of people lose money not because of technical issues, but because their mindset collapses.
First, you are not here to invest; you are here to 'gamble with your life.'

Seeing the right direction is more important than the effort put into it.
The longer I stay in this industry, the more I discover a heart-wrenching truth: most people's efforts are fundamentally misplaced. You might spend years studying various indicators, staying up late monitoring the market, and reviewing countless candlestick charts, but if the direction is wrong, all of that is for nothing.
The market never reasoned with us; it only recognizes one thing - trends. Unfortunately, many people always think they can 'beat the market,' only to be schooled by it time and again.
1. Why do we always love to go against trends?

The rules determine life and death, discipline determines victory and defeat.
I mentored a beginner who started with only 1500U, and in three months, he reached 28,000U. Now his account balance has rolled over to over 56,000U, and he never got liquidated during the entire process. This is not some myth or due to good luck, but it is a logic that can be repeatedly copied that is at work.
Today I will share this set of methods with everyone, all of which I have personally practiced and found useful. The cryptocurrency market indeed has opportunities, but to survive and make money, merely guessing price fluctuations is far from enough.
First rule: Money must be clearly divided.

Behind price fluctuations lies the battle of emotions and rhythm.
As someone who has been navigating the crypto market for many years, I've seen too many retail investors (myself included) repeatedly make the same mistakes. Just last month, a friend complained to me: "Why does ZEC start to drop every time I buy it; and when I sell, it rebounds? Is the market really lacking my little bit of chips?"
It's not that luck is against us, but rather our emotions are being used as contrarian indicators by the main players. Today, I want to share my observations on market rhythm in the simplest language, hoping to help you avoid some detours.

The harshest blow in trading often isn't being liquidated,
Instead, you start to lose faith in your own judgment.
Watching the fluctuations on the screen, you hesitate to take action. Clearly, last night during the review, your thoughts were clear, and the plan was meticulously written, but when it came time to act, your fingers felt as heavy as lead.
After much difficulty, I finally mustered the courage to enter the market, made a little money, and quickly ran away. As a result, the market surged away, and I could only stand there in disbelief. Reluctant to chase in, I was instead tossed around by the fluctuations, and my mindset completely collapsed.
Slowly, you stop cursing at the market makers and blaming the market, but instead begin to doubt yourself: Am I just not suited to this line of work? Why can others make money with the same logic, while I always seem to miss the beat?

Discipline smooths out fluctuations, patience beats cleverness
In 2015, I entered the cryptocurrency world, and fifty years of life experience was no match for the candlestick charts. I experienced the panic of losing six months' profits in 24 hours and felt the despair of almost being liquidated by stubbornly holding onto positions. What really turned my situation around and allowed me to stabilize my profits were not advanced technical indicators, but a few simple iron rules that seemed as trivial as 'common sense.'
The insights I'm sharing today may help you avoid taking years of detours.
1. Understand the real language behind the ups and downs
Don't easily get off the bus during a rapid rise and slow fall. After a quick price surge followed by a slow decline, with moderate trading volume, this is often the main force quietly accumulating shares. They quickly raise the price to attract retail investors' attention, then slowly lower the price to make impatient retail investors give up their shares. Remember, the main force needs time to accumulate shares; it won't directly take off in a V-shaped reversal.