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XRP removed the October LOW, after which the price was bought back to the 1.5 zone.
But in the medium term, this has not changed anything and there is a risk of further decline. Below 1.2, there is essentially a void with the nearest strong zone at 0.75. For a reversal upwards, we need to see a breakthrough of the 1.5-1.75$ zone. Where the trend will break and the last dump will be absorbed. #XRP $XRP @Ripple

Cryptocurrency is being sold off for no particular reason, but it no longer matters as many are facing liquidation on their portfolios or under collateral. And to avoid liquidation, people/funds are forced to sell assets at the order book, -12% in a day for Bitcoin is certainly not common. In the last 3 weeks, -35%, I don't even remember when this last happened, probably only during COVID. In today's video, I considered the possibility that it would hold at 70K but that did not happen and it continues to decline. Sooner or later, the sell-off will end; usually, strong movements finish with long candles like today. There are many orders around 60K, and they will likely go down from there. Let's see how the daily closes. But for now, no long positions should be considered. #BTC $BTC

Ethereum, like Bitcoin, has historically been strong in February.
Average return around 26 percent, with the month closing positively in about 80 percent of cases.
Ether does not grow on its own.
If Bitcoin realizes a growth scenario, then Ethereum is likely to follow the seasonal pattern.

With current prices around 2200, a target around 3000 looks realistic.
Fundamentally, things are looking good for ETH:
institutional purchases are happening, applications for spot ETFs are being submitted, staking in ETFs is being discussed, and corporate treasuries based on Ethereum are emerging.

The market currently lacks a trigger to start moving. #ETH #Seasonality $ETH @Ethereum

February is ahead, let's take a look at the seasonality of the cryptocurrency market.
According to statistics, Bitcoin closed above its opening price in February 82 percent of the time.
The average return is about 11.5 percent.
This is the strongest month for BTC throughout the year.
Currently, the crypto market is at low values.
At the same time, it is important to understand: Bitcoin is still in a downtrend.
Despite strong seasonality, caution is needed with forecasts.

Macro and on-chain factors indicate a bullish fundamental, but the market lacks a key trigger — a conditional "switch" that will initiate market growth.
When this reversal occurs, the movement can be swift.
Key resistance levels:
– local level — 84000, medium-term level — 95000.
#BTC #Seasonality $BTC

🪙Another fun weekend for the crypto market.
Bitcoin has worked out the pattern and dropped -10% to the 75K zone.

At the moment, it has been bought back locally, but they may do so several more times. After a massive liquidation, which was very large today, a technical pullback usually occurs, with the main pressure starting from the 81-82K zone, and the price will likely test this zone. #BTC $BTC

🪙 December lows have been broken. There may of course be more sell-offs; for example, the low level remains at 80500.

What is causing the crypto drop? Nothing specific, there are no obvious reasons other than those I mentioned at the beginning of the week: the monthly expiration, the Fed meeting, the orange swan, and today was added a correction in precious metals, and crypto was dumped along with it.
The nearest reversal zone is 86K; if they buy back, it may bounce. But tomorrow is Friday and a narrow market is ahead... this is stressing me out, there could be surprises.
I have been shaken out of my stop losses in local trades, so I'm watching for now.
#BTC $BTC

Results of the Fed meeting for the crypto market.

The Fed kept the rate unchanged and indicated that there is no hurry to lower it. For the crypto market, this means the following:
Monetary liquidity
There will be no rapid influx of liquidity at least not right now. The Fed expects a sustained slowdown in inflation, which means conditions remain tight. At the same time, the annual calculation will exclude the January sampling, which was 0.5% in 2025, so the next inflation in annual terms will decrease.
Rate and expectations
Two members of the FOMC have already voted for a rate cut. This is important. The market receives a signal that the peak of policy tightness has passed, but the phase of expectation continues.
Bitcoin
Responded without positivity with a smooth decline.
Altcoins
Alts remain under pressure. Without a rate cut and without an increase in liquidity, a full alt season is impossible.
Conclusion
The Fed does not interfere with the market, but it also does not help.
For crypto, this is a transitional stage:
not a bear market,
but also not a growth phase.
We expect a new Fed chair and more active actions towards easing monetary policy. #Macro