The federal government of the USA is halting part of its operations — and the crypto market is feeling it. When Congress does not pass a budget, uncertainty increases: the SEC and IRS are operating with reduced staff, regulatory processes are delayed, and liquidity in the system is tightening. For BTC, ETH, and altcoins, this results in rapid price fluctuations: some sell out of fear, while others buy on the dip.
🔹 Mechanisms of influence:
1️⃣ Uncertainty → volatility. The lack of economic data and forecasts forces traders to react emotionally.
2️⃣ Regulatory pause. ETFs, licenses, and new rules are delayed, which restrains institutional investors.
3️⃣ Limited liquidity. Money is 'locked' in Treasury accounts, while in the crypto market, this leads to strong movements on low volumes.
📆 Remembering last year:
During the 2025 shutdown (43 days), BTC and ETH showed sharp volatility. Some assets fell by 5–7% in a day, while others rose as investors sought alternatives to traditional markets. This once again showed: the market's reaction is always unpredictable, and fear/greed drive short-term pricing.
💡 What is important now:
Expect high volatility and be prepared for sharp price movements.
Keep an eye on the news from regulators, as they affect ETFs and institutional products.
Understand: the shutdown does not stop blockchain technology, but it affects the psychology and actions of market participants.
❓ How do you react to news about the shutdown? Do you buy on the dip, or do you hold positions?
