btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

#btc BTC-USD (Short & Simple)
📍 Buy (Long) Setup – Example
Entry: 90,000
Stop Loss: 87,000 (support ke niche)
Target 1: 95,000
Target 2: 100,000 (strong resistance)#

🚨 WARNING: A BIG STORM IS COMING!!

Countries are DUMPING US Treasuries like never before.

Europe dumped $150.2 BILLION - the BIGGEST SELL since 2008
China dumped $105.8 BILLION - the BIGGEST SELL since 2008
India dumped $56.2 BILLION - the BIGGEST SELL since 2013

This matters because Treasuries are the base of the whole system.

When big players sell Treasuries, bond prices drop and yields go up.
When yields go up, the cost of money goes up.
When the cost of money goes up, liquidity gets tighter.
And when liquidity gets tighter, risk assets start choking.

Let me explain this in simple words.

Stocks and crypto do not live in a vacuum.
They are built on cheap funding + easy liquidity.

So when bonds get hit, it is not “boring bond stuff”.
It is collateral getting weaker.

Banks, funds, and market makers all use Treasuries as the cleanest collateral.
If that collateral drops, they cut risk.
That is when selling spreads across everything.

And the order is always the same.

BONDS move first.
STOCKS react later.
CRYPTO gets the violent move first.

My advice is simple.

Be extremely careful with leverage right now.
Watch Treasury yields, because that is where the storm shows up first.

I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.

#TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat #WriteToEarnUpgrade #squarecreator #Squar2earn #btc

$BTC
$SOL
$ETH

$BTC against the backdrop of Trump's speech and various comments, caused a shake-up within the range of 87,800-90,300, but the price is consolidating below key resistance within the current downtrend

The downtrend may continue if Bitcoin consolidates below 90K. There is a chance of this happening as there is still no fundamental support for the market. Everyone is talking about the "CLARITY Act" on cryptocurrencies, but there is no date for its signing, and there are rumors that the process may be postponed until late winter or mid-spring, leaving the market without a bullish driver.
The market is experiencing a phase of struggle for the 90K resistance zone. Bears are stubbornly resisting, forming a false breakout and consolidation below resistance. The structure could be broken if there is an impulsive breakout of the 90,500 zone and the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone, but the bears have formed a fairly strong resistance zone.

Resistance levels: 90,400, 91,400
Support levels: 87800, 85000

I do not rule out another attempt to retest the 90350 zone, but if the bears keep the price below 90K, the market will have no chance for growth. In this case, a pullback to 89K - 88K can be considered.
#btc #bitcoin #TrendingTopic

Trump: Firmly prevent Eastern powers from interfering in the cryptocurrency field

The Ministry of Foreign Exchange responds: Eastern powers have always conducted bilateral currency and financial cooperation

The reasoning is that the currency issued by the central bank does not apply to the next generation of currency systems. Although the next generation of currency systems is still very vague, there is huge market potential seen in stablecoins and blockchain application layers.

CBDCs issued primarily by central banks are destined to be outperformed by stablecoin issuance systems framed by private enterprises. Many have written about the issue of decentralizing the right to issue currency in the past, but it is believed that many regions do not realize the fundamental nature of the problem. Ten or fifteen years later, the central bank monetary system dominated by CBDCs will regret the path taken today.

$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo

$BTC has never moved in a straight line.

Each cycle came with deep pullbacks:
2013 saw an ~87% drop
2017 corrected over 80%
2021 wasn’t much different

Still, in 2025, a small bounce is enough for people to shout “moon.”

Being cautious gets mocked.
Being reckless gets praised — until it doesn’t.

The truth is simple:
No one shares profits with you.
No one takes responsibility for your losses.

So trade based on your own conviction.

If it works, the reward is yours.
If it fails, the lesson is also yours.

Do your own research. Stay disciplined.
#btc

$BTC BITCOIN IS SETTING UP A DOUBLE FAKEOUT.

First:
break above resistance (~$96k)… then rejected.

Now:
price is back at the rising trendline support.

Bullish fakeout case:
$BTC reclaims the trendline and squeezes back up.

Bearish case:
We likely revisit the range lows.

Markets love trapping both sides.
#btc

Hello, I am an ICT analyst and a wave analyst. I provide recommendations in the crypto and forex market with a profit percentage of 50%.
Or I manage forex accounts or funded accounts.
The most important currencies I have are $BTC $ETH $XRP .
Be cautious that #btc and #eth have a high probability of a significant drop in the coming period. This is my personal analysis for #BTC and #ETH over the last two days.
The maximum rise for #BTC is 98 thousand; the area below it is all sellable at 78 thousand.

$BTC SOMEONE JUST OPENED A $18,000,000 BITCOIN LONG POSITION

HE KNOWS WHAT’S COMING 🚀
#btc

Here's a little-known fact about Bitcoin mining!
Do you know how long it takes for a Bitcoin miner to mine 1 BTC?
The answer is
【13 years】
and this is under ideal conditions, without sudden power outages, failures, increasing difficulty, or accounting for electricity costs.
Why does it take so long? Let me break it down for you.
🧊 Taking the Avalon A1566HA as an example:
• Hash rate: 480T
• Total network hash rate: approximately 1.08Z (= 1,080,000T)
• Block reward: 3.125 BTC
• Total network daily output: 450 BTC / day
Converted:
480T / 1.08Z ≈ 0.0000444 of the total network hash rate
Daily yield ≈ 450 × 0.0000444 ≈ 0.01998 BTC/year
In other words:
A 480T machine takes about 13 years to mine 1 BTC.
And this is still under 'perfect conditions' —
Not counting:
❌ Electricity costs
❌ Hosting fees
❌ Mining farm costs
❌ Equipment depreciation
❌ Constantly increasing difficulty
In reality, it will only take longer, not shorter.
This is why old miners never compete for a single miracle:
• They compete on electricity prices; the cheaper the electricity, the better the advantage
• They compete on hosting costs
• They compete on scale and efficiency
• They compete on long-term cycles, not overnight riches
Real mining has never been about fantasizing about getting rich,
but rather about racing against time, costs, and difficulties.
If you have always thought 'a mining machine can mine a big coin in a few months',
then today might leave you a bit speechless.
#btc #sol #eth

📊 Analysis — BTC x Global Liquidity (Fair Value Model)

The chart shows three key things:
• Green line (Fair Value) → "fair" price of BTC based on global liquidity
• Orange line (BTC Price) → market price
• Shaded area → acceptable statistical zone (±1 deviation)

What this says today:
• The price of $BTC is below or very close to the Fair Value, even with:
• Global liquidity expanding
• Less restrictive monetary policy on the horizon
• Structural entry of institutional capital (ETFs, custody, derivatives)

📌 In previous cycles, when $BTC was below Fair Value, it did not last long; the adjustment came through the price, not through liquidity.

👉 In other words: it is not that $BTC is weak, it is the liquidity that has not yet been fully priced in.

🧠 Simple translation

The market has not yet reflected all the liquidity available in the global system.
When this happens, historically, Bitcoin catches up.

#btc #Onchain #analysis #crypto

Most traders are currently in long positions 🙌

Around 70% of traders on the Binance exchange are currently holding long positions.

This imbalance strongly suggests that we should see a near-term liquidation of these dominant positions. As noted earlier, price may still be pushed slightly higher in the short term to further increase the skew, since longs continue to be aggressively accumulated on pullbacks.

Overall, this positioning only reinforces our bearish expectations for the market in the near term.

#btc #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #signaladvisor #ShareYourTrade

$BTC

$BTC 📈

So we got a local #bitcoin pump up to $91,000!

From here they should already start slowly turning back down. Be careful.

#btc #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #Write2Earn

1.24 Bitcoin Ideas

Due to the weekend, liquidity is generally low, and there may be news-driven movements. We will ignore this for now, as the market has digested most of the news that has emerged. In the current range of operation, unless there is very strong policy, it is difficult to determine the direction. Currently, the upward channel is in operation, with limited space below. The four-hour Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the EMA144 above around 91500, while the EMA120 on the one-hour chart is around 91000, and fifteen minutes is around 89500. It looks like small levels are influencing larger levels, but in reality, it's just through operation that the moving averages and candlesticks will get closer and closer. The four-hour EMA30 and one-hour EMA120, 144 for Ethereum are all around 3050. We can consider this as short-term pressure. Bitcoin is around the aforementioned 91200.

The future market operation will still depend on whether the pressure zone from the previous period of 89500-90500 can stabilize and break through. This area is very important as it is the center of early December and the pressure zone of late December, and it is also the starting point for this month’s rally. If it can hold above this level, the direction of the future market will become clear.
In the short term, we will focus on swings, with the main range set at 88500-89800, and the expanded range or replenishment zone set at 87800 and 90500. Stop losses should be handled according to personal habits. For Ethereum, be a bit more conservative than yesterday, targeting 2880-3000, with the lower stop loss placed around 2850. The upper side still has a lot of pressure, with the possibility of expansion, so try to focus on buying. #btc

#GlobalBCEsummit El Salvador 🇸🇻
$BTC
#btc

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$BTC #btc #game #click_fast