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$BTC
$BTC

The structure is starting to resemble a head and shoulders, and the market, as always, keeps us in suspense without providing conditions for a trade.

The left shoulder and head are quite clearly visible.

What is forming now looks more like an attempt to gather the right shoulder: a weak pullback, without momentum and without volume.

The key point is not the shape of the figure.

But how the price will behave in the neck area:
- will there be acceptance below the zone;
- will there be initiative from the seller, rather than just inertia of movement.
So far, this is just an observation, not a confirmed pattern.
The market is in a decision phase, and the next impulse will provide more information than any hypothesis right now.

Hello. My name is Vadim.

I've been in the market for 4 years.
Over this time I've gone through the full cycle of a trader:
- quick money,
- euphoria,
- mistakes,
- and painful losses.

The market quickly teaches the most important lesson:
It's not the smartest people who make money, but the most disciplined.

I don't trade emotions and don't chase every impulse.
My focus is on zones, market expectations, liquidity, macro factors, and psychology.

Here I publish:
• thoughts before movement, not after;
• 'if/else' scenarios;
• observations on BTC and the market as a whole;
• conclusions from my own mistakes and decisions.

No signals.
No promises.
No '100%'.

The market is not a chart.
The market is mindset and responsibility for your own decisions.

If this approach resonates with you - you're in the right place.

For January $BTC dropped by 10%, $ETH - by 17.5%, with the main decrease occurring at the very end of the month.

We are currently not observing signs of a mass shutdown of mining equipment. However, if $BTC falls below the mark of $78,000, the market may enter a phase of miner capitulation - a phase that historically coincides with the formation of a final bottom.

At the same time, a significant portion of altcoins is still holding 2–3 times above their local minimums. True pressure on the market will begin when assets like $SOL , $ADA , and $DOT update their 2024 minimums.

$BTC
As you can see, the entire movement was predicted in advance.
The entire scenario was executed by the market exactly.

I expected yesterday's drop to the 75-77 zone, I wrote about this in advance — there you could work with long positions.

If you have patience and know what you are doing — you can work.
The result will come.

Don't forget about the risks!

$ETH
The Ethereum position of Bitmine has gone down by 5.5 billion dollars amid the current market crash.

Let us remind you that its chairman, Tom Lee, predicted an increase in ETH to 7-9 thousand dollars in January 2026.

😭😭😭

$BTC
They rolled in well
Previously, we received a reaction from our zone 82–84.7.
Now we have gone lower — this is normal, the context is not broken.

Don't forget: we have a gap.
In the event that BTC comes into the zone of 75-76, one can consider building a position with the aim of extending to 84.5.$BTC

Don't forget about the risks !!!

$SOL

The last setup worked out — we took +5–6% net.
Part was fixed, part was left in use.

Now for the current picture
Zone 100–108 — indeed a strong zone for long positions:
it suits both for spot and overall position building.

But keep in mind:
they might bring it down to 96 — this is within the scenario.

It will be beautiful.
A bit painful.
But they are doing their job —
and we try to move with them, not against.

We are working

‼️ #trump ‼️

Trump signaled the market: the gold chart looked like this before yesterday's decline 😁

In one day, the capitalization of gold decreased by $6.3 trillion.

This is comparable to the complete loss of Bitcoin 3.7 times in one day 🤗
$XAU

Updated the thesis, next - the weekend

What I expect:
I expect an upward movement in a 'stair-step' manner. For those in positions from 2600–2700, I would advise to be patient — I think we will see a good rise above 3000+ in the near future.

The movement will likely be impulsive — the market will not allow those who want to re-enter longs to do so comfortably.

I am in position at $ETH , planning to hold for a long time.

Thank you to each of you!

To those who subscribed.
To those who like.
To those who read, think, comment, and support.

It has been an interesting journey and an important experience.

There are even more ideas, observations, and thoughts ahead Beyond the Schedule.
Thank you for your trust. Thank you for your faith.
Also, thank you to the market and @Binance Square Official

This is just the beginning 🚀

Digital Gold Rush

– Bitcoin/Gold is currently at a key support level.
– Analysts say: money may flow from gold to bitcoin.
– Prepare for the "digital gold rush".

But seriously, such levels in technical analysis are very rarely broken through on the first attempt, so one could at least expect a bounce, if not a reversal. (My personal thoughts) The market is always right.

$BTC
👇
$XAU
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Given the situation regarding $BTC , a clear picture emerges: we can certainly approach the resistance zone. However, considering the shutdown of power, investor uncertainty, and the overall situation, there are no buybacks — there is panic in the market. Another significant capital outflow from the market has occurred, and it creates the impression that we are immediately heading to - 78k after - 73k.
A rebound can be taken, but high risks should be anticipated in advance
👇

Chicago Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust became the first bank to go bankrupt this year.

When you see that now not only cryptocurrency is falling, but also the stock market along with precious metals)

Tether reports a profit of 10 billion dollars in 2025 as the circulation volume of USDT exceeds 186 billion dollars

AI-Satoshi: the market is growing, but the idea is dying

Ki Yong Joo, CEO of CryptoQuant, stated that he "recreated" Satoshi Nakamoto using AI, training the model on all of his letters, posts, and whitepapers. After that, the neural networks described the current state of Bitcoin: ETFs, institutional investors, and custodial storage.

The response from the virtual "Satoshi" was harsh. He pointed out that the community is thinking less about decentralization and more about speculation. Institutionalization, in his opinion, leads to new centralization through intermediaries and funds.

The main thesis is that without developers and real financial independence for users, Bitcoin loses its "soul." As an investment asset, it may thrive, but the idea of peer-to-peer money is gradually disappearing.

When it came to the identity of Satoshi, the AI refused to answer, emphasizing that the identity does not matter if the system works.

There will be no mercy apparently 😱

The main PPI indicators in the USA turned out to be higher than expected.

ACTUAL VALUE: 3.3%
FORECAST: 2.9%

Inflationary pressure is not cooling down - it is rising again.

The markets may not like this... Another sell-off is possible 📉

Apparently, this is why the blood is being spilled 🩸

At the moment, $ETH is at a critical support zone, and there is no visible active buying from buyers. Most likely, we are expecting an unfavorable scenario that may also affect altcoins.

With the opening of America, there may be attempts to buy, but given the geopolitics and the fall of metals, we may indeed face such a scenario.

Be prepared and remember about risk management and money management.
👇