饶哥加密日记

The method is in place,
The rhythm is right
A few days ago, another young person complained to me, saving money to accumulate 2000U to enter the cryptocurrency world, but ended up losing 30% in one go, almost smashing his phone in frustration. I've heard too many stories like this, how many people come in with dreams of overnight wealth, only to leave with nothing but their underwear.
After so many years of struggling in this circle, my biggest realization is: the cryptocurrency world is not a casino, but a place for cognitive monetization. You can never earn money beyond your cognitive range; even if you earn it by luck, you will eventually lose it back through skill.
Just like the administrative guy who learned from me, he turned 2000U into 7888U in just 9 days, and he doesn't even have to stay up all night watching the market. Today, I will share my three secret tips with everyone, hoping to help you avoid detours in this market.

Four simple rules hide great wisdom
Last year, I met a delivery guy who hustles on the road every day. He delivers meals during the day and drives at night, earning a few thousand yuan a month through hard work. However, last year, he surprisingly made a profit in the cryptocurrency market equivalent to his annual income in just three months.
When he first entered the cryptocurrency market, he was like most beginners: eager to sell as soon as he made a little profit, fearing that the gains would slip away; but when he faced losses, he stubbornly held on, always fantasizing that a rebound would happen in the next moment. He couldn't sleep at night watching the candlestick charts, and whenever there was volatility on the weekend, he was as anxious as an ant on a hot pan.

Dear friends, I am an analyst who has been deeply involved in the crypto market for many years. Today, I won't talk about abstractions, but will share three core principles that I have honed through real trading. These three rules may seem simple, but they are hard-earned truths that I discovered through trial and error with real money. I hope they help you avoid the pitfalls I have encountered.
First Rule: The trend is your friend, going against the trend is a gamble​
Many people are obsessed with predicting short-term fluctuations, turning trading into a guessing game. But the truth is: the trend is the key to determining profit and loss. The market always has cycles; a pullback in a bull market is an opportunity, while a rebound in a bear market is a trap.
My practical mindset:​

The rules are ingrained in the bones, emotions are left at the door; this is the true essence of how small players survive.
I have blown four accounts.
I still remember the night of my first liquidation; I slumped in my chair, palms sweating, my mind filled with fantasies of 'if I had another chance.' A few thousand dollars felt like being thrown into water, not even making a sound.
This kind of pain, I believe many people have experienced. With a few thousand U, I rushed into the market, thinking of a quick turnaround, but ended up losing it even faster.
The harsh reality is: small funds die quickly, not because they earn slowly, but because they lose too fast. After countless pitfalls, I summarized a systematic method to roll 4000U step by step to 60000U. This is not a myth of getting rich quickly, but a real experience of surviving with three tricks of 'slow work.'

Brothers, today let's talk about a real case. Half a year ago, a fan messaged me, calm as if he wasn't losing money: 'Teacher, I only have 7700U left. Can I reach 80,000U in half a year?' I've seen too many people in despair seeking help, but this brother was different—no complaints, only goals. I replied to him: 'If you can execute strictly, I'll help you keep the rhythm.'
Step 1: Start with a light position and practice the rhythm
We started with a light position of 1000U. I made it clear to him: don't fantasize about getting rich overnight, don't go all-in on contracts, just seize high-certainty small opportunities. In the first month, the account rose from 7700U to 13,000U. There were losses and gains along the way, but he adhered to two iron rules: a single loss should not exceed 5% of the principal, and calculate the risk-reward ratio before placing an order. These seemingly basic rules helped him avoid multiple risks of liquidation.

The market is never short of opportunities; what is lacking is the ability to understand the market and withstand fluctuations.
'Teacher, I've almost lost everything; the remaining money is only enough for next month's rent, and there are just a few hundred U left in the account. Can it be saved?'
Receiving this message late at night, I seemed to see myself two years ago when I first entered the crypto world. I didn't say much, just replied: 'Do two trades with me, and follow the plan strictly.'
Starting from over 1000 U, after a few successful trades, his account turned into a five-digit number a week later. He excitedly sent a screenshot: 'This is the first time in half a year that my account has shown decent growth!'

The crypto world is like a primeval forest, where opportunities often hide traps beneath them.
I have been in this circle for seven years, and I have seen too many people come in with dreams of getting rich quickly, only to disappear quietly. I myself have gone from a complete novice, to experiencing despair from near-zero several times, to now being able to achieve stable profits—none of this is due to luck, but rather the experience gained from stepping into countless pitfalls.
Today, I want to share a few practical rules that can truly help you survive longer in this market. These are lessons I learned with real money, and I hope they can help you avoid years of detours.

Surviving in the crypto world is not about who makes the most insane profits, but about who lasts the longest.
I am Brother Bin, and I have been navigating the crypto market for seven years. I have witnessed the winter of 2018, experienced the frenzy of 2021, and personally witnessed the birth and demise of countless 'myths.' Today, I want to share with you not a secret to overnight riches, but a true story of starting from 1800U and steadily growing to 54,000U.
There are no thrilling hundredfold leverage strategies behind this, nor the legendary luck of 'meme coins'; the only strategy is — to resist the urge to gamble.

Slow is fast, less is more
I am Lao Xiao, and I have been in the crypto world for nearly ten years. I have seen people around me make a fortune overnight through contracts, and I have also seen them go bankrupt the next day. Recently, what touched me the most is my distant cousin who works in an electronics factory—his monthly salary is five thousand, working in two shifts on the assembly line, but last year he made a stable profit of sixty thousand in the crypto world, equivalent to his annual salary.
At first, he was like most newcomers: chasing after rises, holding on during falls, running away after making a little money, and lying flat after big losses. His account was like a roller coaster, and his mentality became more and more unstable. Later, I chatted with him for a whole night and gave him the simplest method. Three months later, he sent me a message: “Bro, this month there was no overtime on the assembly line, but my account actually increased by six thousand.”

Rules lock in greed; patiently wait for opportunities.
Three years ago, I entered the cryptocurrency market with 8000U and witnessed too many beginners with a few hundred to a thousand U dreaming of "doubling in one go". As a result, their accounts were wiped out in less than half a month. However, one beginner I mentored started with only 3000U and grew to 55,000U in four months. Now, their account is steadily sitting above 68,000U, and they have never been liquidated.
This is not luck, but rather the core method I exchanged for real money. Today, I want to share with small capital players how to steadily navigate this market.
01 Capital is divided into three parts; survival is the hard truth.

Discipline is the only amulet, and execution is the true competitive strength.
Watching my account grow from 3800U to 50,000U step by step, my deepest feeling is not how many opportunities I seized, but that I finally learned to resist temptation. Three years ago, when I first entered the crypto space, like most newcomers, I was keen on chasing highs and cutting losses, risking thousands of U in a heartbeat, and within days could see my investment halved.
It wasn't until I thoroughly understood three simple yet profound trading principles that I truly turned around the situation of continuous losses. Today, as an experienced trader who has been navigating the crypto market for many years, I want to share these three core concepts that changed my trading trajectory.

Control your hands, watch the trends, and stick to discipline; it sounds simple, but those who can achieve it are one in ten thousand.
As an old veteran who has been in the crypto world for many years, I have seen too many people dreaming of getting rich overnight only to end up losing everything. Today, I won't talk about those illusions; instead, I will share my observations and experiences on how small funds can survive in this market first, and then seek development.
Last month, a brother in my community steadily grew his account from 2800U to 68000U. He didn't catch any hundredfold tokens; the core secret is three points: control your hands, watch the trends, and stick to discipline. It sounds like old clichés, but those who can truly achieve it are one in ten thousand.

The less money you have, the more you need to act like an old hunter: first ensure your survival, then think about the prey.
Looking at the paltry funds in my account, my finger hovered over the mouse for a long time, hesitating to click – this feeling is all too familiar to me. When I first entered the industry, I too hesitated countless times in the middle of the night, staring at the trading interface. Now, as I have become what others call a 'senior analyst,' I find myself even more in awe of the market.
Last year, one of my apprentices started with only 1000U and turned it into 39,000U in three months, with no records of liquidation. This is not a myth; it's simply because we adhered to a strict rule: the primary goal for small capital is not to double it, but to first learn not to get liquidated.

In the face of discipline, intelligence takes a backseat.
Many people ask me how I survived in the cryptocurrency world for eight years and even turned my debts into stable profits.
My answer may disappoint you: it is not based on some profound technical analysis or insider information, but rather on refining a few of the simplest 'foolish methods' to perfection.
In 2018, I got divorced and was in debt, and I reluctantly entered the cryptocurrency market. At first, I was like a headless fly chasing after rising and falling prices until I couldn't take the losses anymore, and only then did I realize a principle: in this 24/7 market, fancy techniques are no match for simple discipline. Today, I want to share the four iron rules I've summarized through my struggles over the years, hoping to help those of you who are struggling in the cryptocurrency world avoid unnecessary detours.

When you see five thousand U in your account, do you often feel at a loss on how to start?
When I first entered the crypto world, I, like most people, always thought about making a fortune overnight. After a few operations, my account was almost at zero. Later, I realized a principle: to survive in the market with small capital, you must have a set of strict rules.
So, I set a four-step rule for myself. Unexpectedly, this simple set of rules has allowed my account to start growing steadily. Today, I am sharing this method with everyone, hoping to help players who, like me, are starting with a small amount of capital.

If you can control your hands and your heart, even a small account can make a big difference.
Brothers and sisters, I am Sister Ke. I've been in the cryptocurrency circle for five years and have seen various stories. What impresses me the most is not which big shot became rich overnight, but rather a brother's recent turnaround experience.
He used to complain about the small principal, only 2200U, and almost went to zero after messing around for a few months. Later, after listening to my advice, he adjusted his rhythm, and with the same principal, he made it to 16,000U in two weeks.
This once again validates my point: the root of losing money has never been the size of the principal, but rather your disordered rhythm. Today, I want to talk to everyone about how small funds can survive in the cryptocurrency world and still live comfortably.

Those who can buy are apprentices; those who can sell are masters.
I remember in 2017 I bet on ADA, starting to accumulate at $0.03, and within three months I watched it rise to $1.2, with my account's floating profit nearly 40 times. During that time, the first thing I did every morning was check how many more zeros my account had gained, and I even started to construct plans for buying a house in my mind.
As a result, I didn't sell. So what? ADA fell back to $0.2, giving up 80% of the profits, and my house just turned into thin air. This experience made me fully understand: in the crypto world, the timing of entry is just a beginner's lesson, while the timing of exit is the real knowledge.

The less you look at the myth of becoming rich quickly, the more you should pay attention to risk warnings.
I still remember when I first entered the crypto space, I only had less than 1500U in my pocket, and my fingers couldn't help but shake when placing orders. But I knew that with less capital, I couldn't have a 'gamble' mentality. Three months later, my account broke through 100,000U, and six months later, it reached 300,000U, all without any liquidation.
Some people ask me if I'm just lucky? Not at all. Today, I want to share three ironclad rules for survival and making money that I've summarized from my own struggles, hoping to help those who genuinely want to develop in the crypto space.

Having traded for five years, I've seen too many people rush into the market with a sum of money, only to disappear quietly in the end. I can survive not because my predictions are so accurate, but because I've long realized one thing: in this market, you must act as the casino, not the gambler. Gamblers rely on luck, while casinos rely on rules. The three rules I'm sharing today may be more practical than any 'wealth code'.
First rule: profit locking, give funds a bulletproof vest
I never let profits run naked. Every transaction should have stop-loss and take-profit; it's basic skill, but the key lies in the actions after making a profit: as soon as the profit reaches 10% of the principal, immediately withdraw 50% of the profit to a cold wallet, and the remaining amount can be considered 'zero-cost chips' to continue rolling.

市场永远不会眠，但机遇窗口稍纵即逝。靠运气赚的钱，最终会凭实力亏回去。
记得29岁那年，我带着几分不服气和憧憬扎进了币圈。如今37岁，回首这8年，仿佛经历了一场人生速成课。我见证了无数次牛熊交替，也亲身走过了从负债到资产千万的曲折道路。
很多人直截了当地问我：“币圈真能赚到钱吗？”我的回答从不绕弯：能，但绝非靠运气和盲目跟风。
一、币圈最大的敌人不是市场，而是自己的情绪
在加密货币市场摸爬滚打多年，我深知情绪是大多数投资者最大的敌人。多少人因为贪念而追高，又因为恐慌而割肉，最终血本无归。
FOMO（害怕错过）是币圈最常见的心理陷阱。看到别人在短时间内赚了大钱，就会对自己的长期持仓产生怀疑。后来我才明白，长期持仓的投资逻辑是以年为单位，而不是以周或天计算的。
币圈是一个复杂的生态系统，没有人会真心为你考虑。正因如此，拥有自己的投资策略和原则显得尤为重要。
我的经验是，亏损并不可怕，可怕的是不敢面对亏损。每次亏损后，我都会做一次复盘，分析亏损的原因。只有接受亏损，把亏损当成成长的学费，才能在交易中不断进步。
二、我的“三步仓位法”：稳健前行的制胜法宝
第一步：三成仓位，试探水温
拿10万资金为例，我最初只会投入30%（3万）进行小步试水。这样做的好处是既能保持平和心态，又能将风险控制在可控范围内。
在这个阶段，我像一名侦察兵，耐心观察市场动向。许多人一开始就因贪心栽了大跟头，再也没有回本的机会。
我强烈建议大多数人只持有5-10个仓位作为核心投资组合。这样可以确保你有足够的时间管理这些仓位，及时了解最新消息，并定期调整。
第二步：四成仓位，借波动加码
当价格开始波动时，我绝不会追高，而是耐心等待回调机会；价格下跌时我也不恐慌，而是有计划地分批补仓。
市场不可能永远上涨，长期生存的关键在于学会锁定利润。在这一阶段，我通常会设定明确的获利了结区域和失效点，确保自己不会因贪婪而错失良机。
根据我的经验，跌破成本价20%，或跌破30日均线且1天内未收回时，应该考虑止损。而止盈可以采用“倒金字塔模式”，浮盈20%卖30%仓位，浮盈50%卖40%仓位，浮盈100%清剩余30%。
第三步：三成仓位，趋势明朗后精准发力
当市场方向变得清晰、趋势稳定后，我才会投入剩余的三成资金。此时的操作效率最高，能更稳妥地把握行情，让收益最大化。
在这一阶段，我遵循“让赢家奔跑，砍掉输家”的原则。加密货币交易全是关于动量，要尽可能长时间地乘浪前行，并避免被浪拍倒。
我单日有效成交次数不会超过3次，同一标的当天仅交易1次。成交3次后关闭交易软件，避免冲动操作。
三、币圈生存的额外心法
只参与你理解的东西
如果你不理解某个项目或代币，在理解之前不要购买。很多人因为炒作或FOMO而购买代币，但并未真正理解项目或其商业模式。
永远不要投资你并不真正理解的东西。在加密货币市场，如果你没有构建完善的逻辑和强大的底层信念，你将很难承受其波动。
叙事大于基本面
在加密货币市场中，叙事是推动价格的核心力量。资金流决定一切，叙事总是跑在基本面之前。
你可能研究了一个拥有最好团队、最佳商业模式的项目，但如果没有社区、没有叙事、没有资金流入，这些都无关紧要。相反，有大量基本面“糟糕”的代币和板块因为受到关注而价格暴涨。
控制头寸规模
头寸规模控制可能是散户交易者最常搞砸的问题。你可能在正确的时间选对了币，但如果你没有正确控制入场头寸规模，那就毫无意义。
根据我的经验，单币仓位不超过总资金的10%，山寨币单币不超5%，可以有效规避归零风险。核心资产（BTC/ETH）占比应≥60%，高风险资产（小市值币）占比≤10%。
四、成功背后：不只是金钱的收获
在币圈“成功”后，我逐渐明白了一个道理：金钱并不能解决所有问题。如果你的目标只有金钱，成功后可能会感到空虚甚至抑郁。
真正的自由是每天醒来可以做自己想做的事，与有趣的人一起创造价值，同时有足够的时间陪伴家人和朋友。
在币圈这些年，我最大的收获不是八位数的资产，而是认知和心态的成长。这些内在的提升，才是真正不会消失的财富。
结语：慢而稳，才能赢得比赛
币圈没有捷径可走。交易不是一场冲刺赛，而是一场持久战。不要急于求成，慢慢积累，只要坚持正确的交易理念和方法，总有一天会实现目标。
我的“三步仓位法”可能看起来不那么刺激，甚至有些平淡。但正是这种“笨”方法，让我在多数人亏得血本无归时，能够稳步前行。
各位币圈同行，别小看这简单的方法论。把每一步都做扎实，才能在这多变的市场里，真正赚到属于自己的钱。记住，慢而稳才能赢得比赛。
只有当潮水退去时，你才会发现谁在裸泳。而我希望，当下一轮牛市来临时，你已经成为那个穿着泳衣准备冲浪的人。
关注我，带你了解更多一手资讯和币圈知识精准点位，成为你币圈的导航，学习才是你最大的财富！#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 比特币ETF净流入流出 $ETH