🔥 IMBALANCE (FVG) + FIBONACCI: the formula for the exact entry used by Smart Money
If you have ever wondered why the price suddenly reverses 'out of nowhere', the answer almost always lies in an imbalance. Let's break it down in human terms, without complicated formulas 👇
1️⃣ What is an imbalance (Fair Value Gap) and how to find it
Imbalance (FVG) is a zone of imbalance between supply and demand that appears when the price is moving too fast 🚀
🎯 Want to always enter a trade with surgical precision? Then this trading method is for you 🔥
🤔 Many already know about the LEVEL RETEST, but still do not understand how to use it correctly. The reason is banal — this method requires discipline.
Most beginners make the same mistake: 📍 the price approached the level — and the trade is opened. And then the familiar scenario: it gets stopped out, the market moves further and only then starts to move 🤦♂️
👉 Remember the key rule: a broken level almost never works out on the first touch.
How this whole strategy works👇
🔹 1. Confirmed level We mark the level in advance, from which the price has already reacted. Without this step, everything else is meaningless.
🔹 2. Strong breakout The price confidently passes through the level with momentum. Not with a shadow, not with doubts — but with strength.
🔹 3. Consolidation Several candles show: the market has accepted the new price.
🔹 4. Retest The most important moment. We do not enter immediately. We wait for the market to test the level for strength 🧠
📌 What we look for on the retest: ✔️ a clear reaction from the level ✔️ price holding above / below the level ✔️ confirming pattern (pin-bar, engulfing, etc.)
🚨 Moment of truth for SOMI/USDT: correction or new impulse?
On the hourly timeframe $SOMI a key point is forming. After a confident upward movement, the market has entered a correction for the first time — and such moments often provide the best opportunities. Currently, the price 0.2931 is testing EMA21, which acts as dynamic support. The further scenario depends on the reaction to this level.
🔍 Briefly on indicators:
EMA (21 / 50 / 99): the price is holding near EMA21 — a sign of maintaining a local uptrend
RSI (14): 34.28 — an exit from the oversold zone is possible with the slightest upward impulse
Stochastic RSI: near oversold, a potential reversal is forming
📈 Trading plan
Main scenario: bounce from EMA21 → we work long
🎯 Targets:
0.3000 — +2.3%
0.3100 — +6.4%
0.3400 — +15%
📍 Entries:
Conservative: 0.2920 — after confirming the bounce
Aggressive: 0.2950 — with a confident hold above EMA21
🛑 Stop-loss:
0.2600 — below key EMAs, protection against scenario breakdown
🧠 Conclusion
SOMI is in the classic zone of the first pullback after growth. As long as EMA21 holds — the priority is long. The potential for movement remains, but discipline and confirmation of entry are mandatory.
⚡ Moment of truth for ZEC/USDT: EMA99 decides everything
$ZEC is closely approaching the key EMA99 zone, where the market is always forced to make a choice. After a series of sales, the price is squeezed in the oversold zone — and it is often here that strong bounces are born. The question is: is this a pause before a reversal or just a stop before a new decline?
➡️ In summary: the market is overheated for sale, the likelihood of a technical bounce increases.
🧭 Trading plan
Main scenario: LONG from the EMA99 zone
🎯 Targets:
380.55 — +2%
385.93 — +4%
392.00 — +5%
📍 Entry:
Conservative: consolidation above 374.89
Aggressive: current levels ~372.76
🛑 Stop-loss: 360.00 — protection in case of a support break
🔍 Conclusion
ZEC/USDT is on the verge: EMA99 + oversold create conditions for a bounce, but confirmation is still important. We work carefully, according to the plan and without emotions. The market is already close — now it's time for a decision. 🚀
🔥 HYPE/USDT: the first pullback — the moment of truth for the bulls
After a powerful upward impulse $HYPE transitioned into the phase of the first healthy pullback. The price is now 32.880, and the market is testing key support, where the further direction of movement may be determined. It is precisely such moments that provide the best entry points.
📊 Briefly on the indicators:
EMA21 (32.715) — the main dynamic support, from which a rebound is possible
RSI (55.8) — neutral zone, room for continued growth remains
MACD — slight slowdown, typical for a correction after an impulse
Stochastic (5.0) — close to oversold, a signal in favor of a rebound
🎯 Trading plan:
Main scenario — LONG upon confirmation of holding and rebound from EMA21. The trend remains upward, the correction looks controlled.
🎯 Targets:
34.000 — +3.4%
34.500 — +5.0%
35.000 — +7.0%
📍 Entries:
Conservative: 32.900 — after confirmed rebound
Aggressive: 32.800 — on reaction from EMA21
🛑 Stop-loss:
30.100 — below key support, protection against scenario breakdown
✅ Summary:
This is the first pullback after the rise, and it is here that the best longs are formed. As long as EMA21 holds — the priority is with buyers. Discipline, confirmation, and clear risk — and the market will do the rest 🚀
🔥 BTC: moment of truth — rebound or continuation of the correction?
The market is approaching a decisive zone. The price $BTC is currently testing the area between EMA50 and EMA99 — a classic level where the market either finds support or accelerates the decline. Volatility is increasing, which means movement is imminent. Let's analyze what we have in terms of technicals and where to act calmly, not emotionally.
📊 Briefly on the indicators:
EMA 50 / 99 — the price is trapped in a range, decision-making zone
MACD — selling pressure remains, but the momentum is weakening
RSI (48.2) — neutral, the market is ready for an impulse
Stochastic RSI (0.7) — oversold, possible reversal upwards
🎯 Trading plan:
Main scenario — LONG, but only with confirmation of EMA50 holding. Entry without a signal is a guessing game.
Conservatively: rebound + close of the candle above 89,400
Aggressively: breakout of 89,100 with a short stop
🛑 Stop-loss:
87,000 — below the zone where the long scenario loses relevance.
🧠 Conclusion:
The EMA zone is not a place for emotions, but a point for a plan. Either the market confirms the strength of buyers, or we go into defense. Discipline is key.
🔥 The market is on the brink: a moment of truth for PTB/USDT
$PTB has approached one of the most important zones on the chart — EMA99. We see a smooth pullback, a slowdown in momentum, and a phase of accumulation. It is moments like these that often become the market's decision point: a bounce or a continuation of the decline. Let's analyze the situation based on the facts 👇
📊 Briefly on the indicators
RSI (14): 41.97 — zone below neutrality, selling pressure is weakening, a bounce is possible
Stochastic: 14.35 — deep oversold, the market is ready to react
MACD: in the negative — bearish background is still present
➡️ Conclusion: the structure indicates potential for a technical bounce, but confirmation is essential.
🎯 Trading plan
Main scenario: working from a long position from EMA99 Alternative: upon breakout — shift in priority to short
PTB is in a zone where risk is minimal, and potential is limited only by confirmation. We are watching for reactions to EMA99 and volumes — they will provide the final signal.
🔥 Moment of truth for TURTLE/USDT: bounce or failure?
$TURTLE approached the key zone — the price tests EMA99, which means the market is at a crossroads. It is here that the strongest decisions are often made: either a confident bounce or a deepening correction. Let's analyze the situation calmly 👇
📊 Brief on indicators:
EMA99 — price right at the level, critical support
RSI (14): 40.47 — zone closer to oversold, selling pressure is weakening
MACD — hint at a possible reversal
Stochastic — at the bottom of the range, signal in favor of a bounce
➡️ In summary: the market looks tired from the fall.
🧭 Trading plan
Main scenario: LONG from EMA99
🎯 Targets:
0.0650 — +6% (nearest resistance)
0.0680 — +7.9% (intermediate level)
0.0700 — +10.7% (key historical zone)
📥 Entries:
Conservative: 0.0630 — after confirmed bounce from EMA99
Aggressive: 0.0640 — on impulsive consolidation above current values
🛑 Stop-loss:
0.0580 — below support, with controlled risk
🧠 Conclusion
EMA99 — this is the line where everything is decided. Indicators hint at a possible bounce, but confirmation is everything for us. We work strictly according to the plan and do not forget: the market pays for discipline, not for emotions 💼📈
🔥 SOL/USDT — correction or entry opportunity? | 1H analysis
SOL is currently trading around 125.86, after pulling back from the local high of 128.34. The price has returned right into the zone of key moving averages — EMA50 and EMA99, making the current moment technically very important.
📊 Briefly on the indicators
EMA21 (126.64) — the price is already below, short-term momentum has weakened
EMA50 / EMA99 (≈125.8) — strong support, decision-making zone
MACD — moving into the negative, selling pressure is increasing
RSI(14): 45 — neutral, there is room for movement
RSI(6): 30 — local oversold condition
StochRSI: ~0 — a technical bounce is possible
Volume — increasing on the decline → testing support is not random
🎯 Trading plan
Main scenario — bounce from EMA50–99
Entry (aggressive): 125.5–125.9
Entry (conservative): after returning above 126.6
Targets:
🎯 T1: 127.4 (+1.2%)
🎯 T2: 128.3 (+2.0%)
🎯 T3: 130.0 (+3.3%)
Stop-loss: 123.1
Alternative (negative): A hold below 124.7 will open the way to 123.1 and 121.8.
🧠 Conclusion
SOL is in a key support zone. The indicators hint at a possible bounce, but confirmation will come only with a hold of EMA50–99. Here it is decided — continuation of growth or a deeper correction. We will work strictly according to the plan and with risk 🔑
$AXS approached the key EMA50 zone (2.326) — this is where the market usually makes a decision. After a smooth correction, the price has slowed down, and we are now at a point where one impulse can set the direction for the upcoming sessions. Either a cautious bounce up or a deepening correction. Let's analyze without emotions.
📊 Briefly on indicators
RSI (14): 45.14 — neutral zone, space for movement in both directions.
MACD — slight pressure from sellers, but without a strong downward impulse.
Stochastic: 2.54 — deep oversold, possible trigger for a bounce.
🧭 Trading plan
Main scenario: cautious long from support.
🎯 Targets:
2.500 — +8%
2.600 — +12%
2.706 — +17%
📍 Entries:
Conservative: confirmed bounce from EMA50
Aggressive: breakout and hold above 2.350
🛑 Stop-loss: 2.000
🧠 Summary
EMA50 — the point of truth for AXS. Holding above opens the path for recovery and growth. Losing this level will increase selling pressure. We work according to the plan, do not overload the position, and strictly adhere to risk management.
The price of RESOLV/USDT = 0.1068 has sharply corrected and is now testing EMA50 — the key dynamic support. This is usually where the market makes a decision: a bounce and continuation of growth or a break in structure with a move below. The situation is tense but interesting 👀
🔍 Brief on indicators:
EMA50: 0.1074 — the price is trading right at support
RSI (14): 31.07 — oversold zone, increasing the chance of a bounce
Stochastic: below 20 — weakness of sellers, a reversal is possible
📈 Trading plan (main scenario — LONG)
If EMA50 holds, we expect a technical bounce and continuation of the upward movement.
If the price confidently breaks EMA50 downwards, the long scenario is canceled — in that case, we prepare to consider a short after a retest.
💡 Conclusion: RESOLV is currently in the decision-making zone. Indicators hint at a possible bounce, but confirmation is key. We work strictly according to the plan, control risk, and do not rush. The market will show everything 📊
🔥 KAIA/USDT — moment of truth on 4H: EMA99 decides everything
Price $KAIA is trapped in a zone of increased volatility. After a pullback, the market approached key support, where a decision will be made: a bounce and continuation of growth or a breakout and deepening of the correction. Right now — is exactly the point where emotions give way to structure.
📌 Briefly on the market
Price: 0.0672 24h range: 0.0671–0.0752 Volatility is increasing — the market is preparing for an impulse.
📊 Indicators (briefly)
EMA99 — 0.0663: key support, reaction zone
RSI (14) — 42.47: neutral, there is room for growth
MACD — -0.0013: selling pressure is weakening
Volumes: increase — a sign of preparation for a strong movement
🧠 Trading plan
Main scenario: long on confirmed bounce from EMA99
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 0.0692 (+3%)
TP2: 0.0705 (+5%)
TP3: 0.0720 (+7.5%)
🚀 Entries:
Aggressive: 0.0670 on the appearance of buyer reaction
Conservative: after consolidation above 0.0680
🛑 Stop-loss:
0.0590 — behind the zone of structural breakdown
🧩 Conclusion
EMA99 — the last line of defense for bulls. A bounce will provide an excellent risk/reward ratio, a breakout — a signal to stay out of the market and wait lower.
Currently, $ESPORTS is trading at 0.50848, and we see the price fluctuating between EMA21 and EMA50. The question is: will there be a rebound from EMA50 or will the decline continue?
📊 Indicators say the following:
EMA21/EMA50: uncertainty, the price is between them.
MACD: in the negative zone → bears hinder the rise.
RSI: 29.73 → oversold, chance for a rebound.
Stochastic: low values → additional signal for a potential reversal.
⛔️ Stop-loss: 0.4800 (below EMA50) — risk minimization during decline.
💡 Conclusion: Now is a key moment: the market either rebounds or continues to decline. Keep an eye on the indicators and enter when the signals are confirmed.
This week, the market enters one of the most dangerous macro-zones in recent months. In just 72 hours, investors will have to digest 6 key events, and for cryptocurrency, this is precisely the moment when a single deviation from expectations can sharply change the trend.
📌 What awaits us:
• Trump's speech — any statements about the economy, energy, or prices can instantly impact inflation expectations. • Fed decision + Powell's speech — the rate is unlikely to be touched, but the tone of the comments will determine everything. Hawkish rhetoric = pressure on risk. • Reports from Tesla, Meta, and Microsoft — directly shape market psychology. Weak numbers can trigger a sell-off, strong ones can lead to a rebound. • US PPI — hot data means no rate cuts and liquidity shortage. • Apple report — weakness here often triggers a chain reaction across the market. • Risk of US government shutdown — this has previously led to a sharp withdrawal of liquidity.
⚠️ Conclusion: This is not a week for emotions and FOMO. This is a week for discipline, risk control, and a cool head.
🔥 ZKC/USDT: decision zone — rebound or continuation of decline?
Price $ZKC on the 4H timeframe went into correction and is currently trading in a key zone between EMA21 and EMA50. The current price is 0.1275, which is –6.25% lower than the local maximum. It is here that the market often makes a decision: either a quick rebound or a deepening correction.
📊 Brief on indicators:
EMA21: 0.1305
EMA50: 0.1233
RSI (6): 39.6 — close to oversold
MACD: negative — selling pressure persists
Stoch RSI: 11.15 — strong oversold
👉 The set of indicators hints at a possible technical rebound.
📈 Trading plan
Main scenario: short-term long from the EMA21–EMA50 zone upon confirmation of price reaction.
🎯 Targets:
0.1305 (EMA21) — +2.5%
0.1350 — +5.8%
0.1400 — +9.9%
🎯 Entry points:
Conservatively: 0.1280 — after confirmed rebound
Aggressively: 0.1270 — first touch of the EMA50 zone
🛑 Stop-loss: 0.1110 — below EMA50, with a buffer from market noise.
🧠 Summary
ZKC has approached a strong dynamic support zone, and the indicators are already screaming about oversold conditions. A rebound looks logical, but as long as the MACD remains bearish — we operate cautiously and strictly according to plan.
🔥 AKT/USDT: moment of truth at EMA99 — the market is ready for movement
Price $AKT = 0.4441 makes a careful pullback to EMA99 — a classic decision-making zone. Here the market either defends support and bounces, or breaks structure. Let's analyze quickly and to the point 👇
Briefly about the situation: The pullback occurs without seller aggression, oscillators are in oversold territory — this increases the chances of a technical bounce if EMA99 is held.
🚨 Indicators (short):
EMA 21/50/99: price at EMA99 — key support
RSI (14): 38.9 — oversold zone
MACD: pressure is weakening, hint at a reversal
Stochastic: oversold — fuel for the bounce
🧭 Trading plan
Main scenario — LONG
🎯 Targets:
0.4540 — +2%
0.4680 — +5%
0.4800 — +8%
📍 Entry points:
Aggressively: from current 0.4441
Conservatively: after a hold above 0.4480
🛑 Stop-loss: 0.4100 (below EMA99, protection against false bounce)
Conclusion: As long as the price holds above EMA99, the priority remains for longs. Indicators are on the buyers' side, but confirmation is in the hold. We work according to the plan, without emotions and with risk control 💪📊
🔥 VVV/USDT: the market is tightening — preparing for an impulse
Price $VVV on 4H is squeezed between buyers and sellers. After a pullback to EMA(50), the market is paused in anticipation: either a careful bounce and continuation of the uptrend, or a breakdown of the structure and deepening of the correction. Now is precisely the moment when patience = money.
🚨Briefly on the indicators:
EMA 21 / 50 / 99: 3.173 / 3.075 / 2.916
RSI(14): 45.3 — neutral, there is room for growth
MACD: on the verge of turning positive
Stochastic: 17.7 — oversold
Indicators hint at a possible bounce, but confirmation is still a priority.
🎯 Trading plan
Main scenario — bounce from EMA(50): Price holds the zone 3.05–3.10, volume appears, and buyers' initiative emerges.
Targets:
🎯 TP1: 3.175 (+3.3%)
🎯 TP2: 3.350 (+9.0%)
🎯 TP3: 3.540 (+15.2%)
Entry points:
🛡 Conservative: consolidation above 3.100
⚡ Aggressive: bounce from 3.070–3.080
Stop-loss: 2.750 (below EMA(99), protection against a scenario breakdown)
🧠 Conclusion
If RSI turns up and MACD gives confirmation — VVV gets a chance for continued growth. Losing EMA(50) without a quick return will strengthen bearish pressure. We don’t guess — we work based on price reaction. The market will always show everything. 💥