比特币总裁

Last night, the total contract liquidation amounted to 2.5 billion USD, the liquidation amount was only second to October 11, but October 11 was even harsher, with 19.1 billion USD liquidated, some people became rich, while others went bankrupt.

On February 1, 2026, Bitcoin broke below the 80,000 mark, ending the previous range of fluctuations. It is evident that this year will be difficult to break the four-year bull-bear cycle. I officially announce that Bitcoin will continue to follow the four-year cycle, and the next bull market will begin around the halving in 2028. Everyone can have a good year and focus on playing cards.

Today a friend moved in and had a housewarming party. Most people didn't drink, but the three of us drank from 2 PM until 10 PM, finishing 6 bottles of red wine. Truly, good friends make every cup feel too few, happy 😀😀

Starting next Monday, all 7 and 8-year-old children in El Salvador must receive mandatory education on Bitcoin, and trading must start from a young age.

First bear market, bottomed out at the end of 2014
Second bear market, bottomed out at the end of 2018
Third bear market, bottomed out at the end of 2022
Fourth bear market, ____ year end bottomed out

Polymarket odds show that Bitcoin is more likely to drop below $55,000 this year than to rise to $120,000, with more people believing that the probability of dropping to $75,000 is the highest

The cryptocurrency market enters a bear market every 4 years
In 2014, Bitcoin started the first round of the bear market
In 2018, Bitcoin started the second round of the bear market
In 2022, Bitcoin started the third round of the bear market
In 2026, Bitcoin will start _________

Tomorrow, the U.S. Congress will vote on 12 funding bills. If the vote fails, the government will have to shut down again. The reason for the government shutdown in October last year was that Trump was unwilling to cooperate with the Democrats. Although there is a willingness to cooperate this time, whether cooperation can be achieved is still unknown.

In October last year, when the U.S. government shut down, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant drop on October 11. If there is another shutdown, it would be a severe blow to the cryptocurrency market.

From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin has experienced two consecutive bearish candles, and the price is once again approaching previous lows. In the short term, 80,000 is the last line of defense; if it holds, the subsequent market will oscillate between 80,000 and 90,000. Conversely, if it breaks below 80,000, it will break the previous range, and the market will continue to oscillate downward. The probability of a bear market this year is over 80% #BTC #比特币

The U.S. Senate will vote on the cryptocurrency market structure bill today at 3 PM (Eastern Time)
This is one of the most important regulatory moments in the cryptocurrency sector in recent years, with clear rules
• Favorable to attracting institutions
• Compliance risks decrease
• Long-term adoption accelerates

The bill is likely to pass, indicating that the cryptocurrency sector is gradually moving towards the mainstream

Why hasn't the cryptocurrency market experienced a widespread bull run in this cycle?

The main reason is the lack of new applications and models. In 2017, there was ICO; in 2020, there was DeFi; in 2021, there was GameFi. In this halving cycle, we only have Bitcoin ETFs and asset reserves, so the funds have flowed into BTC. Meanwhile, exchanges and project teams have taken advantage of people's desire to make quick money, wildly speculating on meme coins. The final result is that most people lose money, while a very small number of BTC investors make a profit.

Trump is going to strike Iran again. Whenever there is a war, gold and silver prices soar, while the cryptocurrency market plummets. If this continues, those getting married won't be able to afford hardware anymore. Give single people a way out.

The analysis from the day before yesterday indicated that the short-term rebound of Bitcoin approached 90,000, so it was better not to chase the rise. Last night, it peaked just above 90,000 and then fell back down, leaving those who chased it trapped. The entire trend was consistent with the analysis #BTC #比特币

S&P 500 first broke the 7000-point barrier
Gold first broke the 5260 barrier
Silver first broke the 110 barrier
A-shares first broke the 4160 barrier
Hong Kong stocks first broke the 28000 barrier
UK stocks first broke the 10180 barrier

The stock market, gold, and silver are all rising; even the previously struggling A-shares have reached new highs, while the cryptocurrency market is declining. People in the crypto space are having a bit of a cold year.

Trump's crypto layout
1. Stablecoins
His company has issued stablecoin USD1, with a market value exceeding $2 billion, ranking 8th in the stablecoin market.
2. Meme coins
The TRUMP and MELANIA coins issued by his family have profited countless people.
3. Mining
The mining company ABTC, which operates in partnership with his family, just went public in the United States.
4. NFT
The first thing Trump did when entering the circle in 2022 was to issue NFTs.
5. Mainstream coins
Trump's company has purchased a significant amount of BTC and ETH.

To be a believer like Salvador, still buying one BTC every day, no matter how much gold and silver rise. You can allocate, but do not stop the pace of buying Bitcoin. In 10 or 20 years, this country will amaze the world.

Good news
Gold has broken through 5200, setting a new historical high
Silver has broken through 110, setting a new historical high

Bad news
Bitcoin has come down from its peak, dropping by 40%

The U.S. government is about to fall into a shutdown crisis again. Data predicts that on January 31, there is an 80% chance the U.S. government will shut down again. Last October, when the U.S. government shut down, Bitcoin experienced a massive crash. If it shuts down again this time, will it crash again?

AVAX ETF was listed in the United States, and not a single person bought it on the first day. The cryptocurrency market has fallen into this state, with funds moving to gold and silver. Even the spot ETFs for BTC and ETH are experiencing net outflows. It would be strange if anyone bought at this point.

From the daily level, Bitcoin has started a short-term rebound from the bottom, but the rebound strength is average, and it is suppressed by MA60 above. If the rebound cannot break through and stabilize above the 90,000 mark, a second pullback will follow, revisiting previous lows around 86,000 and below. Therefore, recently, it is advisable not to chase the rise of Bitcoin as it approaches 90,000 #BTC #比特币 .