By the end of the year, $BTC still has chances for an attempt to break through and consolidate above the mark of $100,000 per coin. This scenario is based on a combination of several factors: a structural reduction in supply due to halving, the growing role of spot ETFs, as well as a gradual expansion of institutional demand. Given favorable macroeconomic conditions and sustained interest in risk assets, the market is theoretically capable of forming another wave of an upward trend aimed at recovering quotes above the psychologically significant level of $100,000.
From the perspective of market structure, such a leap is usually accompanied by a contraction of liquidity on the supply side: some long-term holders are in no hurry to take profits, while free supply on the spot decreases. At the same time, new demand can come from both retail investors reacting to rising prices and media noise, as well as from institutional players increasing positions through regulated instruments. The combination of these factors creates conditions for accelerated upward movements, where even a relatively small change in the balance of orders leads to strong impulses.
However, it is important to understand that the attempt to consolidate above 100,000 dollars is unlikely to be a linear process. The market may face increased volatility, series of profit-taking, and sharp pullbacks against the backdrop of news or macroeconomic triggers. For many participants, this level will become a natural zone for partial unloading of positions, which can form powerful resistances and a 'saw' near key price points. In this sense, even a successful breakout of the level does not guarantee immediate stable consolidation without a consolidation phase.
Therefore, considering the scenario of returning and consolidating Bitcoin above 100,000 dollars is more appropriately viewed as one of the probable trajectories, rather than a predetermined outcome. For the investor, the key here becomes not so much the target level itself, but the readiness for various developments: the presence of a well-thought-out profit-taking strategy, risk management, leverage scale (if used), and investment horizon. In conditions of high uncertainty, a more justified logic appears, in which the long-term thesis on Bitcoin is combined with tactical flexibility, rather than a rigid attachment to one specific price point.
